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The TourâI Love Lucy season 4, originally aired 5/30/1955
A very funny part of the I Love Lucy Hollywood story arc. Lucy and Ethel go on a sightseeing tour bus, where Lucy gets on the wrong side of the bus driver. Lucille Ball's friend, Barbara Pepper, gets some screen time as the overweight passenger who tries to sit on Lucy in order to get her seat! This very funny part of the episode ends when Lucy and Ethel get off by Richard Widmark's house (this week's guest celebrity), and Lucy decides to sneak into his house and get one of the grapefruit growing in his backyard as a souvenir. This backfires, as Lucy gets trapped in the backyard.
Lucy tries to sneak through the house in order to go out the front door, when she hears Richard Widmark coming. She attempts to hide in his sitting room, which is filled with various hunting trophies. Into the room comes Richard Widmark, along with his guestâRicky Ricardo! They are talking about the strange, almost stalking behavior of Ricky's wife, Lucy! Ricky is trying to warn Richard Widmark about the extremes to which Lucy is willing to goâand Lucy is reacting to their âinsulting' comments, while living them out!
A very funny episode, and recommended.  The Tour is available as part of the I Love Lucy Season 4 DVD collection.
Funny quotes from The TourâI Love Lucy
Ricky Ricardo (Desi Arnaz): I don't like that tone. You are planning something.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): There's no law about me going to Romanov's. Perhaps maybe stopping by your table andâ¦
Ricky Ricardo (Desi Arnaz): Lucy, if I so much as see your face at Romanov's, I'm gonna wrap you up in brown paper and mail you back to New York. And that's an ultimatum.
Ethel Mertz (Vivian Vance): An ultimatum? I'm not surprised.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): I am. I didn't think he knew how to pronounce it.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): Will you at least wait for us?
Bus Driver: Go ahead. TRY me.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): âGo ahead. TRY meâ.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): I wish there were a place to sit where we could see both sides.
Bus Driver: There is.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): Where?
Bus Driver: I can strap you to the front of the bus.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): Well.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): [a large woman has just sat on Lucy] Madam, it doesn't seem to be getting through to you, but this seat is taken.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): [trying to get back over wall, pursued by guard dog] Oh, no, he's got my shoe!
Ethel Mertz (Vivian Vance): That's your good shoe! Is he chewing it up.
Lucy Ricardo (Lucille Ball): [looks] Nope. He swallowed it whole.


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Mono Discussion: Stallman Warns, Ubuntu Dismissive
Jun 29, 2009The introduction of Mono into Linux and the open source environment begs risking patent claims from Microsoft. Free Software Foundation founder Richard Stallman sees it that way. The Technical board at Ubuntu, on the other hand, doesn't consider it any reason to be disturbed.
more »LinuxTag 2009: Better Bad Drivers than None
Jun 29, 2009In the conference's traditional "Kernel Kwestioning" seminar this year in Berlin, 11 kernel developers addressed questions from the public. The result was that the panel of experts invited the entire community to send Linux drivers to the kernel mailing list, quality notwithstanding.
more »Multitouch with Kernel 2.6.30
Jun 16, 2009Linux and multitouch input also work without X.org and with help from the new Kernel 2.6.30. Three French students show how it's done.
more »It Runs: Torvalds Pleased with Kernel Development and Git
Jun 12, 2009Development of the next Kernel 2.6.31 has just begun, which leaves Linus Torvalds some time for blogging again. He's apparently in good spirits, at least as to the current source code management.
more »Boot and Work Faster: Kernel 2.6.30 has arrived
Jun 10, 2009Thanks to the already implemented fastboot patches, the new Kernel 2.6.30 has the ability to recognize hard disks simultaneously and therefore significantly quicker. Ext 4 operates more securely, and Ext 3 increases performance.
more »First Driver for USB 3.0
Jun 09, 2009After a year-and-a-half's worth of work, Intel hacker Sarah Sharp announced that Linux will be the first operating system supporting USB 3.0.
more »Kernel News
May 31, 2009SELinux Sandbox for Untrusted Programs
May 28, 2009The security framework SELinux is set to offer a Sandbox in which applications deemed insecure can be partitioned off from other system areas.
more »Issue 197/2017
Buy this issue as a PDF
Old Linux Kernel Bug Discovered
The bug was introduced back in 2009 and has been lurking around all this time.
OpenSSH 7.5 Released
The new release deprecates the sshd_config UsePrivilegeSeparation option.
Ubuntu Touch Not Dead
Lives on as a community project
Dell Launches Five New Linux Systems
Five new systems join Dell XPS 13 Developer Edition that come with Ubuntu pre-installed.
Microsoft Takes Skype for Linux Out of Alpha
The Skype Linux client now has almost the same capabilities that it enjoys on other platforms.
CeBIT 2017 OpenStack Day
At CeBIT 2017, OpenStack Day will offer a wide range of lectures and discussions.
Munich Plans to Ditch Linux and Go Back to Windows
A major setback for the Linux desktop.
Linux Kernel 4.10 Comes with New Security Features
Improved support for GPU in virtualization.
OpenSUSE Site Hacked
News site for the openSUSE community falls victim to a Wordpress exploit.
LibreOffice Goes Online with 5.3 Release
The source code is available online.

subset: commoncrawl


text:
I am wondering if anyone here knows whether or not Bushwackers have metal sheets in them that require a 4.1 mm drill bit and a tap. I know that I can drill with a 3.5mm bit and see if I get metal, but I am not using a jig, and it is easier to keep the hole centered if I don't have to enlarge it.
I posted this in the ski tuning section, but I didn't get a reply.


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Thursday, May 2, 2013
Come celebrate Free Comic Day with me at Bergen Street Comics
This Free Comic Book Day, Saturday May 4th, at 5 PM I'll be signing at Bergen Street Comics in Brooklyn. I'll be doing a Poseidon-centric presentation detailing my own troubled relationship to the God of the Sea with live drawing (and one lucky fan will get to go home with the original art). To read more about it, click here.
1 comment:
- AnonymousMay 31, 2013 at 4:07 PM
PS. do Poseidon just have sons cause the only ones in got are:
- Bellerophon
- Pegasus
- Otus and Ephilates
- Triton
- Arion
- Polyphemos
- Theseus
- Orion
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Snap Fitness is dedicated to changing lives through a results-driven culture in each of our locations. We offer members no contracts, high-quality workout equipment, and 24/7 access to all of our clubs worldwide. With Snap Fitness, we'll provide you with more than a membership – you'll have everything you need to get results you want.
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Try a Fit Pass and kick-start your 30-day fitness journey with Snap Fitness.


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Bruce Bawer has lived in Europe since 1999. WHILE EUROPE SLEPT is his enlightening and disturbing report on anti-American and anti-Israeli sentiment in Europe and on the egregious failure of European liberals to confront Islamic extremism in their own countries. Traveling to major cities and talking with people in trains, cafes, restaurants, and on street corners, Bawer came face-to-face with the peculiar mix of moralistic smugness and abysmal ignorance that feeds the rising tide of hatred toward the United States. He found, as well, a widespread refusal to grapple with problems caused by a growing Islamic presence in Europe-from the violation of immigration laws to appalling incidents of honor killings to horrific acts of terrorism, including the assassination of a prominent Dutch politician and the March 2003 bombing in Madrid.
Bawer warns that Europe can no longer ignore the clash of civilizations raging on its own territory and around the world. Failure to recognize the problems and react quickly, he predicts, will lead to a virulent right-wing nationalism of a kind not seen since the 1930s.
Einband | Taschenbuch |
Seitenzahl | 262 |
Erscheinungsdatum | 01.01.2008 |
Sprache | Englisch |
Verlag | Broadway Books (A Division of Bantam Doubleday Dell Publishing Group Inc) |
Maße (L/B/H) | 134/203/24 mm |
Gewicht | 240 |


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Have you been injured in a motor vehicle accident, by medical malpractice or suffered another kind of personal injury, through no fault of your own?
If your answer is "yes", then you have come to the right place. Our practice is dedicated to personal injury, including auto accidents and medical malpractice law. We have represented and serve clients throughout the commonwealth of Kentucky. Our firm fights for the rights of our clients, as well as the compensation that they are entitled to, as victims of the intentional, careless or negligent actions of another. No matter your circumstance, we believe that each client and case is important and deserves personal attention, compassion and rigorous representation. Through our experience in and dedication to personal injury cases, we have earned a respectable and reliable reputation, while also being renowned for our thorough and assertive approach. As our client, we promise that you will be represented by an attorney who will spend the time necessary to ensure the best possible outcome for your case, whether it is small or has the potential for a seven figure settlement. If you have questions about your rights or believe you may need a Kentucky personal injury lawyer, then call us for a free consultation and evaluation of your case. Top personal injury lawyers in Kentucky:
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Objective. —To determine whether implantable insulin pump (IIP) therapy and multiple daily insulin (MDI) injections could equally attain improved blood glucose control, and to compare the 2 treatments with respect to reducing daily blood glucose fluctuations, reducing serious hypoglycemic insulin reactions, and improving patients' quality of life.
Design. —Randomized clinical trial.
Setting. —Seven Veterans Affairs medical centers.
Patients. —One hundred twenty-one male type II diabetic patients between the ages of 40 and 69 years, receiving at least 1 injection of insulin per day and having hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels of 8% or above.
Intervention. —Intensive therapy (IIP or MDI) for 1 year.
Main Outcome Measures. —Hemoglobin A1c and blood glucose levels.
Results. —Blood glucose levels declined to 7.96±1.08 mmol/L (143.4±19.5 mg/dL) and 8.30±1.52 mmol/L (149.6±27.4 mg/dL) (mean ± SD) for IIP and MDI, respectively (P=.57). Hemoglobin A1c levels improved in both groups (time effect P<.001), to means of 7.54%±0.83% (MDI) vs 7.34%±0.79% (IIP). IIP reduced blood glucose fluctuations compared with MDI (P<.001), and reduced the incidence of mild clinical hypoglycemia by 68% (P<.001); IIP also eliminated the weight gain associated with MDI therapy and yielded better overall quality-of-life (P=.03) and impact-of-disease subscale scores (P=.05). Adverse events included 25% of subjects with episodes of insulin underdelivery due to microprecipitates of insulin within the pump.
Conclusions. —Intensive insulin therapy with IIP and MDI is effective in controlling non—insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus. IIP has significant advantages in reducing glycemic variability, clinical hypoglycemia, and weight gain, while improving aspects of quality of life.
Saudek CD, Duckworth WC, Giobbie-Hurder A, Henderson WG, Henry RR, Kelley DE, Edelman SV, Zieve FJ, Adler RA, Anderson JW, Anderson RJ, Hamilton BP, Donner TW, Kirkman MS, Morgan NA. Implantable Insulin Pump vs Multiple-Dose Insulin for Non—Insulin-Dependent Diabetes MellitusA Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 1996;276(16):1322-1327. doi:10.1001/jama.1996.03540160044031
© 2017


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Topic Review (Newest First) |
wsmurdoch |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? We bought our T-22 K/CB with a trailer new in 1981 and still own it. It has been the length of the Tennessee River from Knoxville to the Ohio River and along the US east coast from the northern Chesapeake Bay to St Augustine with multiple trips to the NC Sounds and the Chesapeake Bay all generally a week of two at a time with my wife and I aboard and with our two daughters until the older one turned 15. (She became hell on wheels.) We now keep it on a mountain lake in NE Tennessee. I hope you have found the Tanzer group on Yahoo. https://groups.yahoo.com/neo/groups/tanzer/info . ....and the old T-22 web page Tanzer 22 Class Association . At least one T-22 has been sailed west to east across the Atlantic. We are now retired and have a Pacific Seacraft 34 which we have taken to the Bahamas for five or six months each year for the past nine years. While we have been around a Catalina 22, a Compact 23, and an O'Day 22 in the Bahamas, we have yet to see a Tanzer 22. Check out the picture at the top of the June 6, 2015 post in my wife's blog. Irish Eyes to the Bahamas You just have to be much more cautious and picky about your weather with a small boat. I'd love to draw 2-1/4 foot rather than 5 foot in the Bahamas, but a age 65 my wife will not tolerate the T-22's accommodations. |
Pendragon35 |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? I sailed a Tanzer 22 (fin keel) from Suttons Bay in Leelanau County all over West Traverse Bay and northern Lake Michigan for eight years. You are close to the water and in big waves (I've been out when they are 10 ft), it's scary but I never felt the boat was in danger. I've also had her mast down to the water (my fault: I was single handing and should have reefed but I was close to the mooring so.....then the wind gusted . She came right back up as soon as I loosed the main sheet. She was a quick little boat, in informal racing she easily beat Catalina 30's. We sailed with a 110 (standard jib on a T22), slab reefing main, 155 and my favorite, a 130 I bought used. The 130 was the best to be honest. We cruised with a gimbled one burner stove with propane hung near the companionway. I have an Alberg 35 now which I love but I have to admit, sometimes I miss my nimble little Tanzer. Great, solid boats. |
chuck53 |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? Quote:
Originally Posted by Tattonscorner
View Post
I just bought a Tanzer22 last night, and I'd like to find out more about this friend who sailed to Caribbean. I will be doing some sailing in NB, NS, and hopefully Caribbean. Cheers |
Sal Paradise |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? My dock mate has a Tanzer 22 and I've looked at it both in and out of the water, and it really looks sturdy compared to my Catalina. But it's still a 22 foot boat, taking it long distances is for the extremely hardy. |
Tattonscorner |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? rikhall, I just bought a Tanzer22 last night, and I'd like to find out more about this friend who sailed to Caribbean. I will be doing some sailing in NB, NS, and hopefully Caribbean. Cheers |
rikhall |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? Our first boat was a T22 - we loved her. As we got older we wanted more room. Moved to a T28 (exactly like a T22 only bigger.) Now an Irwin 34. A friend of our sailed his T22 from Saint John NB, Canada to the Caribbean and back. A T22 will most likely take way more punishment than you ever will. If you are young enough, go for it. ( I turn 67 on Saturday) https://lh6.googleusercontent.com/-w...%2520windy.jpg |
mainer24 |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? Thank you for the advice and links ! These tanzer22 do look akward and the deck seems closer from the water than other boats this size (they "sit low in the water" ?): do the cockpit get waves more often? It seems that tanzers have the deck screwed to the hull, and not bolted like other boats; is it less reliable ? The one i am considering has the rubber "bumper" covering the hull-deck join that gets loose and it might not be just cosmetic ? Could that compromise the hull-deck fitting ? Although the ports don't have signs of leaks, the wood separation between the cabin and "bedroom" is delaminating ; again, is it just old age or is this wood a bulkhead that has to be in perfect condition ? |
bobmcgov |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? Very stout boats -- roughly 3000# IIRC, half of that ballast. Yet surprisingly quick, & able to punch thru short chop like few boat its size. Funny-looking kid, but then Tanzer always had an unusual design sense. It's about as rugged a coastal boat as you'll find in that size. Tho if you could snag a Wilderness 21, that's even better. Not many of those on the East Coast. ETA: The 'lakes' the T22 was designed for are the Great Lakes, which can throw up conditions that make Buzzard's look like a millpond. Johann Tanzer relates taking the prototype T22 out for testing, which consisted of he and his sons trying to capsize or break the boat. They stuck the mast in the water repeatedly without harm. Couple links: http://www.tanzer22.com/Home/library/faqs http://www.canadianyachting.ca/boat-...at-review-sail |
Jimmy E |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? Learned to sail aboard a T-22 . As best as I can recall , pretty robust, but than so was I, 30 years ago. Jimmy |
CalebD |
Re: Old Tanzer 22 for ocean sailing ? Check for leaky ports on a T22. Soft decks, chain plates. The usual stuff. |
This thread has more than 10 replies. Click here to review the whole thread. |
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documentary about the controversial businessman Hennig Boilesen Jr. and his involvement with the military regime as one of its most enthusiastic supporters, financing it and participating in the tortures of political prisoners. Those actions later culminated in his assassination by members of militant groups opposed to the regime.
Résumé de IMDb.com


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Sleeps | 4 |
Bedrooms | 1 |
Bathrooms | 1 |
Space | 900 sq. ft. |
Property type | condo |
Minimum Stay | 2 nights |
When you book through the HomeAway checkout, your booking is backed by our Book with Confidence Guarantee™ offering comprehensive payment protection.
Learn moreHawaii Tax ID: W23952111-01 Our Kuau Plaza condo is a perfect location for surfers, whaler watchers and beach lovers. ON NON tourist upcountry side of Maui we are located on the beautiful Hana Hwy with condo facing beach. Located 150 yards from the beach, facing the ocean which you can see from lanai and living room. Let the crashing waves of the beach put you to sleep every night and wake up to the surf and the birds. Our condo is our second home as our grandchildren and daughter and son in law live in Haiku. So it is a very special place to us that is inviting warm and we ask that you treat it like your own home. We are in a great location for all the private beaches - yet close to great snorkeling, surfing, windsurfing, hiking, horseback riding, zip-lines and great dining at Mama's Fish House (which is literally 30 second walk in front of condo)and Paia Town. Great local artist are featured in Paia and Haiku. It is a special place that we love and hope you will to. If you want a local experience and not the tourist experience this is your place.
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Rate Period | Nightly | Weekend Night | Weekly | Monthly | Event | ||||
My Standard Rate
2 night minimum stay
Cleaning | C$100 + Tax |
Tax Rate | 13.0% |


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Epiphany & Pre-Lent Reflections 2013
Download Reflections for Epiphany & Pre-Lent 2013
January 6, 2013 - The Epiphany of Our Lord
And when they had come into the house, they saw the young Child with Mary His mother, and fell down and worshiped Him. And when they had opened their treasures, they presented gifts to Him: gold, frankincense, and myrrh. (Matthew 2:11)
January 7, 2013 - Monday after the Epiphany
For behold, the darkness shall cover the earth, And deep darkness the people; But the Lord will arise over you, And His glory will be seen upon you. (Isaiah 60:2)
January 8, 2013 - Tuesday after the Epiphany
To me, who am less than the least of all the saints, this grace was given, that I should preach among the Gentiles the unsearchable riches of Christ. (Ephesians 3:8)
January 9, 2013 - Wednesday after the Epiphany
You shall not commit adultery. (The Small Catechism: The Sixth Commandment)
January 10, 2013 - Thursday after the Epiphany
And it came to pass, when the priests came out of the holy place, that the cloud filled the house of the Lord, so that the priests could not continue ministering because of the cloud; for the glory of the Lord filled the house of the Lord. (1 Kings 8:10-11)
January 11, 2013 - Friday after the Epiphany
And He said to them, "Why did you seek Me? Did you not know that I must be about My Father's business?" (Luke 2:49)
January 12, 2013 - Saturday after the Epiphany
"Behold! My Servant whom I uphold, My Elect One in whom My soul delights! (Isaiah 42:1a)
January 13, 2013 - The Baptism of Our Lord
And suddenly a voice came from heaven, saying, "This is My beloved Son, in whom I am well pleased." (Matthew 3:17)
January 14, 2013 - Monday of the First Week after Epiphany
So it was, when the people set out from their camp to cross over the Jordan, with the priests bearing the ark of the covenant before the people, and as those who bore the ark came to the Jordan, and the feet of the priests who bore the ark dipped in the edge of the water (for the Jordan overflows all its banks during the whole time of harvest),that the waters which came down from upstream stood still, and rose in a heap very far away at Adam, the city that is beside Zaretan. (Joshua 3:14-16)
January 15, 2013 - Tuesday of the First Week after Epiphany
But God has chosen the foolish things of the world to put to shame the wise, and God has chosen the weak things of the world to put to shame the things which are mighty; and the base things of the world and the things which are despised God has chosen, and the things which are not, to bring to nothing the things that are,that no flesh should glory in His presence. (1 Corinthians 1:27-29)
January 16, 2013 - Wednesday of the First Week after Epiphany
"You shall not steal." (The Small Catechism: The Seventh Commandment)
January 17, 2013 - Thursday of the First Week after Epiphany
"I, the Lord, have called You in righteousness,And will hold Your hand;
January 18, 2013 - The Confession of St. Peter
Now Jesus and His disciples went out to the towns of Caesarea Philippi; and on the road He asked His disciples, saying to them, "Who do men say that I am?" So they answered, "John the Baptist; but some say, Elijah; and others, one of the prophets."He said to them, "But who do you say that I am?" Peter answered and said to Him, "You are the Christ." Then He strictly warned them that they should tell no one about Him. (Mark 8:27-30)
January 19, 2013 - Saturday of the First Week after Epiphany
Blessed are those who dwell in Your house; They will still be praising You. Selah. (Psalm 84:4 from the Introit for Transfiguation)
January 20, 2013 - The Transfiguration of Our Lord
While he was still speaking, behold, a bright cloud overshadowed them; and suddenly a voice came out of the cloud, saying, "This is My beloved Son, in whom I am well pleased. Hear Him!"And when the disciples heard it, they fell on their faces and were greatly afraid.But Jesus came and touched them and said, "Arise, and do not be afraid."When they had lifted up their eyes, they saw no one but Jesus only. Now as they came down from the mountain, Jesus commanded them, saying, "Tell the vision to no one until the Son of Man is risen from the dead." (Matthew 17:5-9)
January 21, 2013 - Monday after the Transfiguration
Then Moses said to God, "Indeed, when I come to the children of Israel and say to them, 'The God of your fathers has sent me to you,' and they say to me, 'What is His name?' what shall I say to them?" And God said to Moses, "I AM WHO I AM." And He said, "Thus you shall say to the children of Israel, 'I AM has sent me to you.'" (Exodus 3:13-14)
January 22, 2013 - Tuesday after the Transfiguration
And if you call on the Father, who without partiality judges according to each one's work, conduct yourselves throughout the time of your stay here in fear; knowing that you were not redeemed with corruptible things, like silver or gold, from your aimless conduct received by tradition from your fathers, but with the precious blood of Christ, as of a lamb without blemish and without spot. (1 Peter 1:17-19)
January 23 ,2013 - Wednesday after the Transfiguration
You shall not bear false witness against your neighbor. (The Small Catechism: The Eighth Commandment)
January 24, 2013 - St. Timothy
Then he came to Derbe and Lystra. And behold, a certain disciple was there, named Timothy, the son of a certain Jewish woman who believed, but his father was Greek. He was well spoken of by the brethren who were at Lystra and Iconium. Paul wanted to have him go on with him. And he took him and circumcised him because of the Jews who were in that region, for they all knew that his father was Greek. And as they went through the cities, they delivered to them the decrees to keep, which were determined by the apostles and elders at Jerusalem. So the churches were strengthened in the faith, and increased in number daily. (Acts 16:1-5)
January 25, 2013 - The Conversion of St. Paul
But the Lord said to him, "Go, for he is a chosen vessel of Mine to bear My name before Gentiles, kings, and the children of Israel. For I will show him how many things he must suffer for My name's sake." (Acts 9:15-16)
January 26, 2013 - St. Titus
So now, brethren, I commend you to God and to the word of His grace, which is able to build you up and give you an inheritance among all those who are sanctified. (Acts 20:32)
January 27, 2013 - Septuagesima
And about the eleventh hour he went out and found others standing idle, and said to them, "Why have you been standing here idle all day?" (Matthew 20:6)
January 28, 2013 - Monday of Septuagesima
Moses said to them, "Why do you contend with me? Why do you tempt the LORD?" (Exodus 17:2)
January 29, 2013 - Tuesday of Septuagesima
But with most of them God was not well pleased, for their bodies were scattered in the wilderness. (1 Corinthians 10:5)
January 30, 2013 - Wednesday of Septuagesima
You shall not covet your neighbor's house. What does this mean? We should fear and love God so that we do not scheme to get our neighbor's inheritance or house, or get it in a way which only appears right, but help and be of service to him in keeping it. (The Small Catechism: The Ninth Commandment)
January 31, 2013 - Thursday of Septuagesima
All Scripture is given by inspiration of God, and is profitable for doctrine, for reproof, for correction, for instruction in righteousness, that the man of God may be complete, thoroughly equipped for every good work. (1 Timothy 3:16)
February 1, 2013 - Friday of Septuagesima
The Lord stood with me and strengthened me, so that the message might be preached fully through me, and that all the Gentiles might hear. (2 Timothy 4:17)
February 2, 2013 - The Presentation of Our Lord
Lord, now lettest Thou Thy servant depart in peace according to Thy word, for mine eyes have seen Thy salvation, which Thou hast prepared before the face of all people, a light to lighten the Gentiles and the glory of Thy people Israel. (St. Luke 2:29–32, Divine Service: Setting 3)
February 3, 2013 - Sexagesima
But the ones that fell on the good ground are those who, having heard the word with a noble and good heart, keep it and bear fruit with patience. (St. Luke 8:15)
February 4, 2013 - Monday of Sexagesima
[My word] shall not return to Me void, But it shall accomplish what I please, And it shall prosper in the thing for which I sent it. (Isaiah 55:11)
February 5, 2013 - Tuesday of Sexagesima
And He said to me, "My grace is sufficient for you, for My strength is made perfect in weakness." (2 Corinthians 12:9)
February 6, 2013 - Wednesday of Sexagesima
You shall not covet your neighbor's wife, or his manservant, or maidservant, his ox or donkey, or anything that belongs to your neighbor. What does this mean? We should fear and love God so that we do not entice or force away our neighbor's wife, workers, or animals, or turn them against him, but urge them to stay and do their duty. (The Small Catechism: The Tenth Commandment)
February 7, 2013 - Thursday of Sexagesima
The word of God is living and powerful, and sharper than any two-edged sword, piercing even to the division of soul and spirit, and of joints and marrow, and is a discerner of the thoughts and intents of the heart. (Hebrews 4:12)
February 8, 2013 - Friday of Sexagesima
But Jesus did not commit Himself to them, because He knew all men, and had no need that anyone should testify of man, for He knew what was in man. (John 2:24–25)
February 9, 2013 - Saturday of Sexagesima
Be my rock of refuge, a fortress of defense to save me. For You are my rock and my fortress. Therefore, for Your name's sake, lead me and guide me. (Psalm 31:2, from the Introit for Quinquagesima)
February 10, 2013 - Quinquagesima
Then Jesus said to him, "Receive your sight; your faith has made you well." (Luke 18:42)
February 11, 2013 - Monday of Quinquagesima
Then Samuel took the horn of oil and anointed him in the midst of his brothers; and the Spirit of the Lord came upon David from that day forward. (1 Samuel 16:13)
February 12, 2013 - Tuesday of Quinquagesima
For now we see in a mirror, dimly, but then face to face. (1 Corinthians 13:12)
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This Section:
January 6, 2013 - The Epiphany of Our Lord
January 7, 2013 - Monday after the Epiphany
January 8, 2013 - Tuesday after the Epiphany
January 9, 2013 - Wednesday after the Epiphany
January 10, 2013 - Thursday after the Epiphany
January 11, 2013 - Friday after the Epiphany
January 12, 2013 - Saturday after the Epiphany
January 13, 2013 - The Baptism of Our Lord
January 14, 2013 - Monday of the First Week after Epiphany
January 15, 2013 - Tuesday of the First Week after Epiphany
January 16, 2013 - Wednesday of the First Week after Epiphany
January 17, 2013 - Thursday of the First Week after Epiphany
January 18, 2013 - The Confession of St. Peter
January 19, 2013 - Saturday of the First Week after Epiphany
January 20, 2013 - The Transfiguration of Our Lord
January 21, 2013 - Monday after the Transfiguration
January 22, 2013 - Tuesday after the Transfiguration
January 23 ,2013 - Wednesday after the Transfiguration
January 24, 2013 - St. Timothy
January 25, 2013 - The Conversion of St. Paul
January 26, 2013 - St. Titus
January 27, 2013 - Septuagesima
January 28, 2013 - Monday of Septuagesima
January 29, 2013 - Tuesday of Septuagesima
January 30, 2013 - Wednesday of Septuagesima
January 31, 2013 - Thursday of Septuagesima
February 1, 2013 - Friday of Septuagesima
February 2, 2013 - The Presentation of Our Lord
February 3, 2013 - Sexagesima
February 4, 2013 - Monday of Sexagesima
February 5, 2013 - Tuesday of Sexagesima
February 6, 2013 - Wednesday of Sexagesima
February 7, 2013 - Thursday of Sexagesima
February 8, 2013 - Friday of Sexagesima
February 9, 2013 - Saturday of Sexagesima
February 10, 2013 - Quinquagesima
February 11, 2013 - Monday of Quinquagesima
February 12, 2013 - Tuesday of Quinquagesima
Related Pages:
Lenten Reflections 2017
Transfiguration & Pre-Lent Reflections 2017
Epiphany Reflections 2017
Advent and Christmas Reflections 2017
Trinity Reflections 2016
Easter Reflections 2016
Lenten Reflections 2016
Epiphany Reflections 2016
Advent Reflections 2015
Trinity Reflections 2015
Easter Reflections 2015
Lenten Reflections 2015
Epiphany and Prelent Reflections 2015
Advent and Christmas Reflections 2014
Trinity Reflections 2014
Easter Reflections 2014
Lenten Reflections 2014
Pre-Lent Reflections 2014
Epiphany Reflections 2014
Christmas Reflections 2014
Advent Reflections 2014
Trinity Reflections 2013
Pentecost through Trinity 4 Reflections 2013
Easter Reflections 2013
Lenten Reflections 2013
Advent and Christmas 2012 Reflections
Trinity Reflections 2012
Easter Reflections 2012
Lent 2012 Reflections
Epiphany and Pre-Lent 2012
Advent Reflections 2011
Trinity Reflections 2011
Easter Reflections 2011
Lenten Reflection 2011
Pre-Lent Reflections 2011
Epiphany Reflections 2011
Advent Reflections 2010
Trinity Reflections 2010
Easter Reflections 2010
Lenten Reflections 2010
Epiphany Reflections 2010
Advent Reflections 2009
Trinity Reflections 2009
Easter Reflections 2009
Lenten Reflections 2009
Epiphany Reflections 2009
Advent Reflections 2008
Trinity Reflections 2008
Easter Reflections 2008
A Simple Form for Devotions
Lenten Reflections 2008
Pre-Lent Reflections 2008
Epiphany Reflections 2008
Advent Reflections 2007
Trinity Reflections 2007
Easter Reflections 2007
Lenten Reflections 2007
Pre-Lent Reflections 2007
Epiphany Reflections 2007
Advent Reflections 2006
Trinity Reflections 2006
Easter Reflections 2006
Lenten Reflections 2006
Pre-Lent Reflection 2006
Epiphany Reflections 2006
Advent Reflections 2005
Trinity Reflections 2005
Easter Reflections 2005
Lenten Reflections 2005
Pre-Lent Reflections 2005
Epiphany Reflections 2005
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Dominican Republic commemorates 170 years of independence
FREEDOM! This special day – Dominican Independence Day – is a day to reflect, thank and honor the sacrifice, which a group of patriots made with the purpose to make the Dominican Republic an independent and free state, giving us the privilege of being called Dominicans.
Today, (February, 27th), the Dominican Republic celebrates its 170 years of Independence! The Dominican Republic, is a country which has, from the beginning fought for its freedom – having been colonized by Spain as well as been invaded by French and Haitian troops, so here we bring you the fascinating history of the Dominican Republic, Dominican Independence Day, as well as Dominican cultures and traditions celebrated on this very special day.
Although the celebration of Dominican Independence Day coincides with the celebration of the carnival, these two celebrations are actually not related. Although to think they are the same celebration is a common mistake – even among Dominicans – due to misinformation and a lack of knowledge of the history of this country.
The 27th of February 1844 is the date when Dominican's obtained their Independence and were finally called the Dominican Republic. After many years of being a Spanish colony and then being occupied by our fellow Haitians, it was in 1844 when our Founding Father, Juan Pablo Duarte, created a secret society named "La Trinitaria" in which, along with other leaders Francisco del Rosario Sánchez and Matías Ramón Mella he fought against the Haitian repression to gain Independence. See below for the full history of Dominican oppression and independence!
Celebrating Dominican Independence Day!
Activities and traditions on the 27th of February in the Dominican Republic
1. A tribute to Juan Pablo Duarte, Ramón Matías Mella and Francisco del Rosario Sánchez at the "Puerta del Conde", in Santo Domingo – where their bodies rest.
2. Traditional speech from the President of the Dominican Republic transmitted on all medias.
3. Its pretty common to see hundreds of Dominican flags which are nicely displayed by many Dominican families on their balconies. This has become a tradition and a way of showing respect to the Trinitarians.
4. Although it has nothing to do with the Dominican Independence celebrations – and it is why many tourists and surprisingly Dominicans tend to get confused – there is a 99.9% chance of walking into one or two "Diablos Cojuelos" if you take a walk around La Romana town (or any town in the Dominican Republic) since the Dominican Carnival is also celebrated at the same time as Dominican Independence day
Keep reading on Casa de Campo Living
Category: DR News |


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Painting from the imagination
Marius Els Photography
I can look at your paintings for hours, they are beautiful and captivating. Love, love them!
Anni Golemienko
I love your work. so inspirational. :)
anil pathak
Your work is truely gorgeous and so inspirational well done!
Julia Gabriel
A very impressive talent. May you go a long way.
Alan Kestner
Thank you for your kind messages. Both pictures are oil paint on paper. The Firebird is 56 x 76 cm (A1) and Dance the midnight Hour is 21 x 29.5 cm (A4). I have other painting you might like to see on ludwikart.com and there are more in the pipeline.
Wow.. great work,,really draws you in :)
Beautiful pictures. What size are they?
Feels as though these were based on dreams. Beautiful work.
Sandra Streeting
Oh wow. This brings backs memories of past fun.
Sandra Streeting
Love this. Particularly the trees they almost move. In fact the whole painting is very lively.
how amazin i love this piece it portrays such happiness, i feel like im actuallyenjoyin the party . i love your sense of colour and it is trullya work of of art you should be proud of.
jacki t buckley
beautifull, draws you in
very good
Mike Spencer
A superb and tremendous use of colour, patience, and time which has resulted in a totally absorbing and living painting (even down to the trees and backgrounds). Keep going !
Cecilia Montague
Your sense of colour is unique.The scenes that you paint with people music and dance are lively pieces of art.
james page
fantastic talent, colour rythms, harmony, joy storytelling at its best. an absaloute pleasure to see your work. keep on keeping on.
Beautiful colours great composition. Well done
Robert Major
Alan, your work is joyous and saturated with happiness, the detail is fantastic, thankyou !


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This is page 1 of 1 (This thread has 7 messages.)
Are we all ill-mannered oiks now?
(7 Posts)Susan Papas, the headmistress of Seldon School in Croyden, is the victim of a hate campaign because she has asked some parents to refrain from smoking outside her school.
While the problem itself is a trivial one its implications are not. Has it become socially acceptable in an anonymous online world to be both spiteful and hateful? Presumably in the real world anyone breaching the peace would be sanctioned accordingly, (and today's worst online offenders are too.) But this story seems to fall somewhere in between. It seems as though the parents are being poor role models at the school gate and holy terrors on the Internet.
But, I presume, there's not much to be done about it unless someone breaks the law. Presumably there's nothing illegal about expressing the view that you'd rather your child had a headmistress who was kinder to smokers.
Is this how modern life is supposed to be? Bad manners, spite and online harassment is now an acceptable and integral part of life?
Sounds as if she has her work cut out dealing with a nasty bunch.
Most people are nice, that why these sort of things are news,
Is it a particularly deprived area, or just got a few nasties, either way I feel for the children and the lovely people who have to put up with the vile, every community has some, and they always stand out because it isn't the norm.
Don't think it's anything new I'm afraid - it's always been the case that most people are decent, and few will be twattish.
Sadly you tend to notice the twattish ones - how many were being hateful, in presumable a much larger school?
I don't know the school. It's just in the education section of the BBC news website. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-24606053
But, since the woman has been brought in in order to turn the school's fortunes around, perhaps the parents ought to be grateful for her presence, rather than harassing her on account of something trivial. Presumably she can just leave if she feels like it!
'Are we all ill-mannered oiks now?'
How very rude! Some of us ain't!
Have you visited AIBU recently?
I think its amazing unless there is more to it than meets the eye. Ok dd has only been at school 6 weeks but I'm yet to see anyone smoking at the school gates. Abusing headteacher online? Words fail me truly
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Mrkopalj Pavlic's
My husband's grandfather Josip Pavlic was born in Mrkopalj, Croatia in June 1894 (according to his WWII Draft Registry). The 1930 US Census shows that he immigrated in 1910. The resulting ships manifest shows that his final destination was Raton, New Mexico. He was going to his father Anton Pavlic in Dawson, New Mexico. Josip declared that his mother Franka was his nearest living relative in Mrkopalj. I believe that my sources provide proof that Josip's father was Anton (born abt. 1864) and his mother was Franka ?. I also have evidence of Anton's brother's Ivan and Juray immigrating to the US sometime before 1908. There is also an immigration manifest that shows Marija Pavlic (born abt. 1899) immigrating to join her brother Josip in 1920, in Dawson, New Mexico. Her mother, however, is listed as Karla?.
Can anybody help me fill in the blanks. At this point there are more blanks than evidence.


text:
Back in Los Angeles, one day Val found himself on Rodeo Drive, watching a woman step out of her Rolls Royce, dressed to kill in total haute couture. There was just one thing that ruined her perfect image: a set of cheap white plastic headphones. This was back in 2002. Kolton suddenly realized how to put his obsessions together – he would make stylish headphones with great sound, worthy of the most demanding audiophile, using metal instead of plastic to create the missing link, with a true fashion/lifestyle brand centered around music.
In India, famous DJs like Nikhil Chinappa, Akhtar, Paroma, Shireen and Akhil Talreja have adopted V-MODA as their favoured brand.
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Lake Norman NC home listings priced from $700,000 featuring Lake Norman luxury waterfront houses for sale in Mooresville and Cornelius NC as listed in the Carolina MLS.To tour any Lake Norman houses listed below, please give us a call & we'll schedule the appointment(s) for you.
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Westerly — The Westerly Hospital is accepting applications for the winter Explorers Volunteer Program.
The program runs from January through May and allows high school students to gain exposure to the health care professions and the many services that support health care. After successful completion of the program, students will be given credit for hours served.
Students must be at least 15 years old and must complete an application and screening process. Space is extremely limited; applications must be completed and submitted to the Volunteer Services Office by Wednesday and must include a copy of the student's immunization record. Interviews will take place the week of Dec. 17 and students will be notified of acceptance during the week of Dec. 31.
Once a student has been accepted into the program, a medical screening is required as well as an orientation session. Volunteers will start their service the week of Jan. 21 and must commit to at least one three-hour shift per week.
For information and an application, visit: www.westerlyhospital.org or contact: Heather Ainslie at firstname.lastname@example.com or (401) 348-3969.
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text: These pictures were from last year's study abroad trip to Atenas, Costa Rica. This was an amazing experience that allowed me to grow as an adult. Not only did I get to study abroad, but I got the chance to mature and see the world from a different perspective. -Laura Correa-Franco By Laura October 31, 2015 2 Comments Baking Class Baking! Lauren's Birthday! Mascaras Indigenas Mascaras Indigenas Mascaras Indigenas San Jose Nacional Theater Outside of the San Jose Nacional Theater San Jose Nacional Theater La Fortuna Waterfall Activities Market Day! Talent Show Talent Show Talent Show Talent Show Baldi Group Picture @Baldi La Fortuna Waterfall La Fortuna Waterfall Baldi Zip Lining Group Picture Zip Lining Volunteer Day Volunteer Day Volunteer Day Volunteer Day San Jose Church Read more »


text: The Lone Ranger was ambushed and captured by an Indian war party. The Chief proclaims, 'So, you are the great Lone Ranger! In honour of the Harvest Festival, you will be executed in three days! But, before I kill you, I will grant you three requests.. What is your first request?' The Lone Ranger responds, 'I'd like to speak to my horse.' The Chief nods and Silver is brought before the Lone Ranger who whispers in Silver's ear. The great horse gallops away. Later that evening, Silver returns with a beautiful blonde woman on his back. As the Chief watches, the blonde enters the Lone Ranger's tent and spends the night. The next morning the Indian Chief admits he's impressed. 'You have very fine and loyal horse, but I will still kill you in two days. What is your second request?' The Lone Ranger again asks to speak to his horse. Silver is brought to him, and he again whispers in the horse's ear. As before, Silver takes off across the plains and disappears over the horizon. Later that evening, to the Chief's surprise, Silver again returns, this time with a brunette, even more attractive than the blonde. She enters the Lone Ranger' s tent and spends the night. The following morning the Chief is again impressed. 'You are indeed a man of many talents, but I still kill you tomorrow. 'What is your last request?' The Lone Ranger responds, 'I'd like to speak to my horse....ALONE.' The Chief is curious, but he agrees, and Silver is brought to the Lone Ranger's tent. Once they're alone, the Lone Ranger grabs Silver by both ears, looks him square in the eye and says, 'Listen very carefully, you di**head, for the last time............ BRING POSSE!!!!'


text:
Rugged Ridge 5" Round HID Off-Road Fog Light Kit, 35 Watts, Black - Pair
- Product Details
- Reviews
- PDF Instruction Guide
Product Name:
Rugged Ridge 5" Round HID Off-Road Fog Light Kit, 35 Watts, Black - Pair
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Product Details:
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*Some Items may require additional shipping surcharges such as Oversize Freight and Truck Freight items.


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382. atmoaggie
The NAM at 48 hours has the low east of Nicaragua My opinion only, but I have no faith in the NAM with anything south of latitude 25 N. OK, I never trust it with anything over water, either, but you get the point. |
By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:05 PM GMT on June 10, 2009
Sea level has been rising globally since the late 1700s. This rise has accelerated in recent decades, thanks to increased melting of glaciers and ice sheets due to a warmer climate, plus the fact that warmer oceans are less dense and expand, further increasing sea level. Though sea level rise appears to have slowed over the past five years, it will significantly accelerate if the climate warms the 2 - 3°C it is expected to this century. If these forecasts of a warmer world prove accurate, higher sea levels will be a formidable challenge for millions of people world-wide during the last half of this century. Sea level rise represents one of my personal top two climate change concerns (drought is the other). I'll present a series of blog posts over the coming months focusing on at-risk areas in the U.S., Caribbean, and world-wide. Today, I focus on the observed sea level rise since the Ice Age.
What's at stake
Higher sea levels mean increased storm surge inundation, coastal erosion, loss of low-lying land areas, and salt water contamination of underground drinking water supplies. About 44% of the Earth's 6.7 billion people live within 150 km (93 miles) of the coast, and 600 million people live at an elevation less than ten meters (33 feet). Eight of the ten largest cities in the world are sited on the ocean coast. In the U.S., the coastal population has doubled over the past 50 years. Fourteen of the twenty largest urban centers are located within 100 km of the coast, and are less than ten meters above sea level (McGranahan et al., 2007). The population of many vulnerable coastal regions are expected to double by 2050, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
Sea level rise since the Ice Age
Before the most recent Ice Age, sea level was about 4 - 6 meters (13 - 20 feet) higher than at present. Then, during the Ice Age, sea level dropped 120 meters (395 ft) as water evaporated from the oceans precipitated out onto the great land-based ice sheets. The former ocean water remained frozen in those ice sheets during the Ice Age, but began being released 12,000 - 15,000 years ago as the Ice Age ended and the climate warmed. Sea level increased about 115 meters over a several thousand year period, rising 40 mm/year (1.6"/yr) during one 500-year pulse of melting 14,600 years ago. The rate of sea level rise slowed to 11 mm/year (0.43"/yr) during the period 7,000 - 14,000 years ago (Bard et al., 1996), then further slowed to 0.5 mm/yr 6,000 - 3,000 years ago. About 2,000 - 3,000 years ago, the sea level stopped rising, and remained fairly steady until the late 1700s (IPCC 2007). One exception to this occurred during the Medieval Warm Period of 1100 - 1200 A.D., when warm conditions similar to today's climate caused the sea level to rise 5 - 8" (12 - 21 cm) higher than present (Grinsted et al., 2008). This was probably the highest the sea has been since the beginning of the Ice Age, 110,000 years ago. There is a fair bit of uncertainty in all these estimates, since we don't have direct measurements of the sea level.
Figure 1. Global sea level from 200 A.D. to 2000, as reconstructed from proxy records of sea level by Moberg et al. 2005. The thick black line is reconstructed sea level using tide gauges (Jevrejeva, 2006). The lightest gray shading shows the 5 - 95% uncertainty in the estimates, and the medium gray shading denotes the one standard deviation error estimate. The highest global sea level of the past 110,000 years likely occurred during the Medieval Warm Period of 1100 - 1200 A.D., when warm conditions similar to today's climate caused the sea level to rise 5 - 8" (12 - 21 cm) higher than present. Image credit: Grinsted, A., J.C. Moore, and S. Jevrejeva, 2009, "Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100 AD", Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-008-0507-2, 06 January 2009.
Sea level rise over the past 300 years
Direct measurements of sea level using tide gauges began in Amsterdam in 1700. Additional tide gauges began recording data in Liverpool, England in 1768 and in Stockholm, Sweden in 1774. These gauges suggest that a steady acceleration of sea rise of 0.01 mm per year squared began in the late 1700s, resulting in a rise in sea level of 2.4" (6 cm, 0.6 mm/yr) during the 19th century and 7.5" (19 cm, 1.9 mm/yr) during the 20th century (Jevrejeva et al., 2008). There is considerable uncertainty in just how much sea level rise has occurred over the past few centuries, though. Measuring global average sea level rise is a very tricky business. For starters, one must account for the tides, which depend on the positions of the Earth and Moon on a cycle that repeats itself once every 18.6 years. Tide gauges are scattered, with varying lengths of record. The data must be corrected since land is sinking in some regions, due to pumping of ground water, oil and gas extraction, and natural compaction of sediments. Also, the land is rising in other regions, such as Northern Europe, where it is rebounding from the lost weight of the melted glaciers that covered the region during the last Ice Age. Ocean currents, precipitation, and evaporation can cause a 20 inch (50 cm) difference in sea level in different portions of the ocean. As a result of all this uncertainty, the 1996 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report gave a range of 4 - 10" (10 - 25 cm) for the observed sea level rise of the 20th century. The 2007 IPCC report narrowed this range a bit, to 5 - 9" (12 - 22 cm), or 1.2 - 2.2 mm/year. Rates of sea level rise are much higher in many regions. In the U.S., the highest rates of sea-level rise are along the Mississippi Delta region--over 10 mm/yr, or 1 inch/2.5 years (USGS, 2006). This large relative rise is due, in large part, to the fact that the land is sinking.
Figure 2. Absolute sea level rise between 1955 and 2003 as computed from tide gauges and satellite imagery data. The data has been corrected for the rising or sinking of land due to crustal motions or subsidence of the land, so the relative sea level rise along the coast will be different than this. The total rise (in inches) for the 48-year period is given in the top scale, and the rate in mm/year is given in the bottom scale. The regional sea level variations shown here resulted not only from the input of additional water from melting of glaciers and ice caps, but also from changes in ocean temperature and density, as well as changes in precipitation, ocean currents, and river discharge. Image credit: IPCC, 2007
Sea level rise over the past 15 years
According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) 2007 report, sea level accelerated from the 1.2 - 2.2 mm/yr observed during the 20th century to 3.1 mm/year during the period 1993 - 2003. These estimates come from high resolution measurements from satellite radar altimeters, which began in 1992. Tide gauges showed a similar level of sea level rise during that ten-year period. The IPCC attributed more than half of this rise (1.6 mm/yr) to the fact that the ocean expanded in size due to increased temperatures. Another 1.2 mm/yr rise came from melting of Greenland, West Antarctica, and other land-based ice, and about 10% of the rise was unaccounted for. However, during the period 2003 - 2008, sea level rise slowed to 2.5 mm/year, according to measurements of Earth's gravity from the GRACE satellites (Cazenave et al., 2008). This reduction in sea level rise probably occurred because ocean sea surface temperatures have not warmed since 2003 (Figure 3). The authors concluded that sea level rise due to ocean warming decreased more than a factor of five from 2003 - 2008, compared to 1993 - 2003, contributing only 0.3 mm/yr vs. the 1.6 mm/yr previously.
Figure 3. Global average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) from 1990-2008. SSTs have not increased in the past seven years. Image credit: NASA/GISS.
For more information
The best source of information I found while compiling my sea level pages was the Coastal Sensitivity to Sea-Level Rise: A Focus on the Mid-Atlantic Region report by the U.S. Climate Science Program. It has a huge number of references to all the latest science being done on sea level rise.
Bard, E., et al., 1996, "Sea level record from Tahiti corals and the timing of deglacial meltwater discharge", Nature 382, pp241-244, doi:10.1038/382241a0.
Cazenave et al., 2008, "Sea level budget over 2003-2008: A reevaluation from satellite altimetry and Argo", Global and Planetary Change, 2008; DOI:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.10.004
Grinsted, A., J.C. Moore, and S. Jevrejeva, 2009, "Reconstructing sea level from paleo and projected temperatures 200 to 2100 AD", Climate Dynamics, DOI 10.1007/s00382-008-0507-2, 06 January 2009.
IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change), 2007: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [Solomon, S., D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, and H.L. Miller (eds.)]. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, and New York, 996 pp.
Jevrejeva, S., J.C. Moore, A. Grinsted,, and P.L. Woodworth, 2008, "Recent global sea level acceleration started over 200 years ago?", Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L08715, doi:10.1029/2008GL033611, 2008.
McGranahan, G., D. Balk, and B. Anderson, 2007, "The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones", Environment & Urbanization, 19(1), 17-37.
Moberg, A., et al., 2005, "Highly variable northern hemisphere temperature reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data", Nature 433, pp613-617, doi:10.1038/nature03265.
United States Geological Survey (USGS), 2006, National Assessment of Coastal Vulnerability to Sea-Level Rise: Preliminary Results for the U.S. Gulf of Mexico Coast, U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 00-179.
Tropical update
The tropical Atlantic is quiet, and the only region worth watching is the Western Caribbean, which could see formation of a tropical disturbance with heavy thunderstorm activity this weekend.
Jeff Masters
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.
Comments will take a few seconds to appear.
The NAM at 48 hours has the low east of Nicaragua My opinion only, but I have no faith in the NAM with anything south of latitude 25 N. OK, I never trust it with anything over water, either, but you get the point. |
Quoting Levi32: Match those with the 200 mb winds, the GFS remains unreasonable. |
GFS,18Z, enters it into the SE GOM in 96 hours.... |
Quoting adrianalynne: I dedicated my blog area to be a set of my personal favorite tropical links (without the need to deal with bookmarks on multiple PCs). It was entirely selfish, admittedly, but am happy to share. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/atmoaggie/show.html |
Quoting IKE: Path yes.....timing no. The NAM at 48 hours has the low east of Nicaragua, whereas the GFS has it clear up near Jamaica at that time, which as 456 pointed out is not in sync with the retreat of the upper trough and associated strong wind shear: NAM 48 hours: GFS 48 hours: |
How about Da-weather ! 374 - there are over 888 Sat's with various outputs 24x7x365. Sorry to drag it into the discussion, but I am still curious. |
Quoting Levi32: But it is slightly stronger on this run and aiming WNW...in general agreement with other models on path. |
I can never beat this |
Quoting gator23: Good point. Besides microwaves, it also gets bombarded by everything from neutrinos (which move at a significant fraction of the speed of light) to gamma radiation (more energetic than microwave), to infrared (translates more easily to heat... as it is well... heat.) A massive solar flare / CME will have the effect of heating the atmosphere by a few degrees C over 2 years. doubt a satellite system can do anything close. |
Quoting Levi32: My thoughts exactly. The time frame shear relaxes complies with the ECMWF. The GFS developed a closed low in a time frame quicker than shear is expected to relax. |
How about 'yourlocalfriendlyneighborhoodweatherman.com' |
Quoting CycloneOz: My videos are purely educational though... |
Quoting hurricane23: As I and some others have been pointing out about the GFS for the last several days. It's too fast (still is on the new 18z run btw), and has issues with handling the pattern. The ECMWF has been my model of choice for this situation since last week. It has been very consistent. |
Quoting MeterologistDewon9: MeteoStar might take issue with the star name. iAnd iI iAm iPersonally iAwfully iTired iOf iThis iStupid iFad. |
Quoting Patrap: Sigh. The NWS Lake Charles said the high was going to migrate east. So I dont know if anyone in the gulf is out of the woods should something form. :( |
Quoting hurricane23: From my post of 4:09 GMT much earlier today "The models have not really handled the SW Caribbean well if you look at the last 7 days of runs. In particular, shear values have remained stubbornly high, thus preventing any development regardless of what the models have shown. Shear has been on the rise for the past 24 hours in that area so we are at least 2 days or more away from any chance of something developing." |
Around the Big H it goes.. |
Conditions at 42058 as of Central Caribbean 2050 GMT on 06/10/2009: Unit of Measure: Time Zone: Click on the graph icon in the table below to see a time series plot of the last five days of that observation. 5-day plot - Wind Direction Wind Direction (WDIR): E ( 90 deg true ) 5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 17.5 kts 5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 21.4 kts 5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 7.2 ft 5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 8 sec 5-day plot - Average Period Average Period (APD): 6.1 sec 5-day plot - Mean Wave Direction Mean Wave Direction (MWD): ESE ( 112 deg true ) 5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.80 in 5-day plot - Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): -0.06 in ( Falling ) 5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 83.1 °F 5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 81.9 °F 5-day plot - Dew Point Dew Point (DEWP): 75.9 °F 5-day plot - Heat Index Heat Index (HEAT): 91.2 °F |
Thought this was pretty interesting from HPC earlier this afternoon. THE PATTERN EVOLUTION/FORECAST OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN CONTINUES TO PUZZLE THE MODELS. CYCLOGENESIS AS THE GFS FORECASTED HAS FAILED TO MATERIALIZED. IN EACH CYCLE THE GFS DELAYS ONSET BY 12-18 HRS...AND THE LATEST RUN IS NOT THE EXCEPTION. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO FORESEE A MUCH SLOWER EVOLUTION...AND THIS IS STARTING TO LOOK AS THE BEST OPTION. THE EARLIEST WE MIGHT SEE A CYCLONE FORMING IS GOING TO BE AT 42-54 HRS...WITH A LOW FORMING NEAR SAN ANDRES ISLAND...TO THEN PULL NORTH TOWARDS JAMAICA/THE CAYMAN ISLES BY 66-72 HRS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM IS SLOW TO DEVELOP...CONDITIONS FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION REMAIN FAVORABLE ACROSS JAMAICA-PORTIONS OF HAITI AND THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA. IN THIS AREA EXPECT RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 20-40MM/DAY AND MAXIMA OF 150-250MM. WE MIGHT SEE A LULL IN ACTIVITY ON DAY 02...WITH ANOTHER SURGE ON DAY 03 AS THE SURFACE CYCLONE BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED. BUT OVERALL...THIS REMAINS A HIGH UNCERTAINTY FORECAST |
Quoting stormwatcherCI: Water vapor imagery shows you guys remain on the dry side of the discontinuity. Yesterday's blog What is somewhat guaranteed, is that deep layer moisture will spread north across Jamaica and Eastern Cuba over the upcoming week. Total amounts may exceed 1-2 inches with lesser amounts in the Caymans due their relative position to the features. As the upper-surface features change over the upcoming days, so will the moisture distribution. |
I wasn't aware that a parabolic dish directing a EM radiation transmission would amplify it. Quoting Ossqss: True, but since microwaves generally excite water molecules, raising their temperature, it would take a while to just warm the water vapor. You would probably end up with a faster rate of heating by measuring the increased temp of surface water, or possibly increased evaporation. Considering the scales measured, the impact (at least in my mind) would be minimal at best. |
Quoting weatherwatcher12: I hope it was more beneficial than problematic. |
Quoting weatherwatcher12:No rain here today. Clouds up once in awhile but nothing yet. Maybe tonight since we normally get most of the rain here then. |
Quoting Weather456:Rain would be great since everything is so dry it will take a few days of a good rain to help. |
Quoting Weather456: I am in Jamaica and boy did it pour |
Quoting jeffs713: My point is that the energy is lost in the atmosphere, hence altering the norm. Ground level is not the issue. Gotta go. L8R |
Quoting stormwatcherCI: Based on the forecasts posted here, you shouldn't have too much to worry about. Right now, the closest thing to a consensus we have is that the system will drift north, then NW, and very slowly organize. by slowly, I mean "we might have an invest in 36-48 hours, but definitely no earlier" |
Quoting WeatherStudent:This bro could probably be your Grandmother and if you had been through a hurricane like Ivan on a small island like Grand Cayman that is still not 100% recovered since Sept 2004 you would be anxious about what was going on too. Now, you Chill Bro. Damn ! |
Quoting stormwatcherCI: Most of the model solutions bring something south of you guys so if something do develop it should not threaten the islands directly. The biggest effect here again is the rain since we cannot guarantee that something will develop. |
Quoting jeffs713: The Transmitter Power Output is 110 watts. The effective radiated power with a large parabolic dish at that frequency could be in the hundreds of thousands of watts pointed at the earth's surface. EDIT: Just did a quick calculation based on a 4-foot dish antenna at 13gHz and a 110 watt transmitter--are you ready for this--OVER 3 MILLION WATTS from the Quickscat bird |
Quoting Ossqss: If you involve the frequency, you have to add in the density of whatever material it is transmitting through.. and I don't want to get that in depth. With frequency and density added in, the number gets even lower. (lower frequency = more pentration) Quikscat transmits on a higher end microwave frequency, which means its penetration ability is very low. |
Quoting Weather456:I am not in Jamaica. I am "further west"in Grand Casyman. |
Thank you Patrap, Zoomiami, and Adrianalynne :) |
Quoting jeffs713:IF !!!!!!!! |
I love physics I am taking an AP physics course when I am senior next year. |
Quoting zoomiami: Hope this helps: " http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page?_pageid=2854,19644915,2854_19644929&_dad=portal&_schema=PORTAL " Model Link is under forecast... they update after invest has been declared. NOAA Page: http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/ FSU Page: http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/ hope that helps |
Quoting jeffs713:Would the frequency not have to be part of the equation? |
Cat 6 lead authors: WU cofounder Dr. Jeff Masters (right), who flew w/NOAA Hurricane Hunters 1986-1990, & WU meteorologist Bob Henson, @bhensonweather
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