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What's the weather like?
Coming to Lo Pagan for 4 months, arriving beginning of November till the end of February, we were wondering what the weather should be like?
Join the Lo Pagan forum
Coming to Lo Pagan for 4 months, arriving beginning of November till the end of February, we were wondering what the weather should be like?
Helpful member
Fri Oct 12, 2018 8:59pm
Posts: 398
Location: Balsicas
140 helpful posts
Weather usually good through to end of January, February usually a bit damp but you never can tell, should be better than UK though, usually warm between 10-4pm.
Helpful member
Sat Oct 13, 2018 8:55am
Posts: 237
Location: Camposol
124 helpful posts
Agree with the above. Evenings & nights can be chilly.
Fantastic opportunity! This corner detached villa, recently built with high standards, with four b...
Nice apartment in a modern building, with elevator and underground parking in a communal garage, l...
This ground floor apartment boasts 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom with bath and shower. it has a good s...
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Moving To Kona Big Island
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Offers Over £208,000
**SOLD IN 3 WEEKS!** Johnstone Hunter of RE/MAX COMPLETE is delighted to present to the market this , lovely, modern, Four bedroom Detached Villa, situated within a modern, estate in the popular (...)
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Table of Contents
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LastMod 2018-12-08
License CC BY-NC-ND 4.0


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The Watchman peak offers one of the highest accessible viewpoints on Crater Lake's caldera rim, second only to Garfield Peak.
The first part of the trail follows the level roadbed of the original Rim Drive. After leaving the road you will start your trek southeast through mountain hemlock and whitebark pines. After a short distance the trail starts to switchback and you'll begin climbing a steep and rocky path until it reaches the peak and the fire lookout station. Sitting at 8,013 feet, the lookout station has been used for surveillance of the surrounding forests since 1932 and is still in use today.
An overlook beside the fire lookout affords excellent aerial views of the lake, the caldera, Wizard Island, and distant peaks including Mount Thielsen and Mount Shasta.
Note: Snowpack can remain on the trail into July.
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text: MusicShatta Wale – Ego Taya Dem February 20, 2018February 20, 2018 - Leave a Comment Download Shatta Wale Ego Taya Dem New track from Shatta Wale titled Ego Taya Dem. Enjoy and share. https://fibemusic.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/Fibemusiccom_-_Shatta_Wale_Ego_Taya_Dem.mp3 DOWNLOAD MP3 Related posts: Shatta Wale – 419 Kay Smooth ft Shatta Wale – Odo Y3 D3 Shatta Wale Shito Shatta Wale – Performer


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Academic Calendar
Also see: NYU Official Academic Calendar
Monday, August 27 - Friday, August 31, 2018
New Student Orientation and Registration Week
Monday, September 3, 2018
Labor Day/No classes scheduled/University Holiday
Tuesday, September 4, 2019
Fall 2019 Semester Begins
Monday, September 17, 2018
Last day to drop/add courses on Albert
Monday, October 8, 2018
Deadline for Second and Third Year M.A. Students to a submit thesis topic of approx. 100 words and three potential advisors to the Academic Office
Friday, October 12, 2018
Thesis Advisors will be confirmed for Second and Third-year M.A. Students
Monday, November 5 - Friday, November 9, 2018
Spring 2018 Course Registration Interviews
Friday, November 9, 2018
Thesis Proposal Deadline for Second and Third-year M.A. Students. 500 word proposal with a short bibliography and one image to your advisor and the Academic Office
Wednesday, November 21 - Sunday, November 25, 2018
Student Thanksgiving Recess - No Classes (Institute buildings remain open only on Wednesday, November 21)
Monday, December 3, 2018
Outline of Thesis due to your advisor and the Academic Office
Tuesday, December 11, 2018
Language Proficiency Exams in the Marble Room: 10:00am and 12:00pm
Friday, December 14, 2018
Last day of Fall 2018 courses
Saturday, December 22 - Tuesday, January 1, 2019
Winter Recess - Institute and NYU facilities are closed
Wednesday, January 2, 2019
Institute and NYU reopen
Monday, January 21, 2019
MLK Holiday - NYU and Institute facilities are closed
Monday, January 28, 2019
Spring 2019 classes begin
Wednesday, January 30, 2019
Revised and annotated bibliography (15 sources) due to your advisor and the Academic Office
Monday, February 5, 2019
Graduate Spring payments are due
Sunday, February 10, 2019
Last day to drop/add courses on Albert
Monday, February 18, 2019
Presidents' Day - NYU and Institute facilities are closed
Monday, March 11, 2019
First Draft of the M.A. Thesis due to your advisor (7,000 words) The draft should aim to be complete, must be at least 7000 words
Monday, March 18 - Sunday, March 24, 2019
Spring Recess - No classes are scheduled
Monday, April 22, 2019 5PM
Deadline to submit two final copies of the M.A. Thesis to the Academic Office (one for your advisor and one for your 2nd reader)
Wednesday, May 7, 2019
Language Proficiency Exams in the Marble Room: 10:00am and 12:00pm
Monday, May 13, 2019
Last day of Spring 2019 classes
Tuesday, May 21, 2019
Institute Commencement at Global Center for Spiritual Life. Reception following at the Duke House
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text:
See this link for the instructions. L work FootprintingReconnaissance) The tester would attempt to gather as much information as possible about the selected network. List of 75 security tools based on a vote by s no secret that using GNU Linux is generally safer than using Microsoft Windows, however, there are specific distributions of GNU Linux that are even more.
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Mouse brushing the teeth
#cute #animal #white #funny #mouse #feature #animals #color
Kids conversation
Kid 1: "Hey, I bet you're still a virgin." Kid 2: "Yeah, I was a virgin until last night ." Kid 1: "As if." Kid 2: "Yeah, just ask your sister." Kid 1: "I don't have a sister." Kid 2: "You will in about nine months."
Tears in eyes
My friend told me he gets tears in his eyes whenever his partner makes tender love to him. At first I thought he was an overemotional sissy, then I remembered: He's still in prison
Get married
On their way to get married, a young Catholic couple is involved in a fatal car accident. The couple found themselves sitting outside the Pearly Gates waiting for St. Peter to process them into Heaven. While waiting, they began to wonder: Could they possibly get married in Heaven? When St. Peter showed up, they asked him. St. Peter said, "I don't know. This is the first time anyone has asked. Let me go find out,'" and he left. The couple sat and waited, and waited. Two months passed and the couple were still waiting. While waiting, they began to wonder what would happen if it didn't work out; could you get a divorce in heaven? After yet another month, St. Peter finally returned, looking somewhat bedraggled. "Yes," he informed the couple, "You can get married in Heaven." "Great!" said the couple, "But we were just wondering, what if things don't work out? Could we also get a divorce in Heaven?" St. Peter, red-faced with anger, slammed his clipboard onto the ground. "What's wrong?" asked the frightened couple. "OH, COME ON!," St. Peter shouted, "It took me three months to find a priest up here! Do you have any idea how long it'll take me to find a lawyer?"
Tiger Woods vs Santa
Q: What is the difference between Tiger Woods and Santa Claus? A: Santa stops after three hos.
Woman in the mirror
A woman looks in the mirror and says I look fat and then asks her husband to give her a compliment he says ok you have perfect eye sight.
Private investigator
A guy believed that his wife is cheating on him, so he hired a private investigator. The cheapest he could find was a Chinese man. This was the Chinese PI's report about what he found: "Most honorable, sir. You leave house. I watch house. He come to house. I watch. He and she leave house. I follow. He and she go in hotel. I climb tree. I look in window. He kiss she. He strip she. She strip he. He play with she. She play with he. I play with me. I fall out tree. I not see. No fee. Cheng Lee."
Snowman and vampire
What do get if you cross a Snowman with a Vampire? Frostbite.
Don´t be racist
Don't be racist; racism is a crime; and crime is for black people.


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Norodom Sihanouk was born to the Khmer royal family in 1922, and became the king of Cambodia, then a French colony, upon his grandfather's death in 1941. The hallmark of Sihanouk's long career was his flexibility, bending to the forces around him in a life-long effort first to establish and then to maintain Cambodian sovereignty.
Sihanouk accommodated – some would say collaborated with – both the Vichy French colonial administration and the Japanese military occupation, ultimately leading his country to independence from France in 1953. He abdicated in 1955 to enter politics, winning election as prime minister that year.
Domestically, Sihanouk pursued a policy of "Buddhist socialism," while internationally he pursued a policy of neutrality between the Communist forces fighting in Vietnam and Laos and their Western opponents. In 1958, Sihanouk opened formal diplomatic relations with China, prompting a coup attempt coordinated among Sihanouk's pro-American interior minister, the pro-American governments of Thailand and South Vietnam, and the American CIA.
Sihanouk learned of the plot and had his interior minister executed, but the episode fostered distrust of the United States. A few years later, Sihanouk secretly arranged for Chinese supplies to flow through Cambodia's major port city to North Vietnam and the Viet Cong, and he allowed the Viet Cong to establish a supply trail through Cambodia from North Vietnam, in exchange for payments to Cambodia. This prompted the first American military action against the Viet Cong in Cambodia, which in turn prompted Sihanouk to sever diplomatic relations with the U.S., and prompted the Soviet Union and China to ship military assistance to Cambodia.
In 1966, parliamentary elections shifted Cambodian politics significantly to the right, favoring Lon Nol, the pro-American former general who served under Sihanouk as defense minister and prime minister. Nol became dissatisfied with Sihanouk's increasingly pro-Communist, anti-American tilt, and, in 1970, he ousted Sihanouk in a coup that may or may not have had American CIA and military intelligence support.
Nol established the Khmer Republic, which proved to be disastrous for Cambodia. He ended Sihanouk's policy of neutrality in the Vietnam War, siding with the United States against North Vietnam and the Viet Cong. The superior North Vietnamese military quickly occupied the northeastern third of the country, much of which they handed over to the Khmer Rouge guerillas.
Nol thus made Cambodia heavily dependent on American aid at a time that Americans were cutting back their commitment to the Vietnam War. Even the Americans harbored no illusion that Nol's regime could win the civil war against the Khmer Rouge, and by the end of 1974, Nol governed little more than the capital city of Phnom Penh. As Khmer Rouge forces closed in, Nol fled, and the city fell on April 17, 1975. Saigon fell to the North Vietnamese army two weeks later, with some of the last Americans leaving the country on a helicopter famously photographed by a Dutch photojournalist – not from the American embassy, as has been widely believed for more than 40 years, but from an apartment building that some CIA officers lived in.
* * *
I was a college freshman in 1974 and 1975. A Cambodian student lived a few rooms down the hall of my freshman dorm. We were acquaintances, but not close friends – I don't even remember his name.
I do remember some things about him, one being a mischievous sense of humor, and another being his unwillingness to talk about the Vietnam War, his home country, or politics in general. The school year ended just a few weeks after Phnom Penh fell to the Khmer Rouge on April 17. I remember my Cambodian acquaintance telling me that he would be flying home for the summer. He left when his exams were over and I never saw him again.
The Khmer Rouge began mass executions almost immediately after taking power. Publicly, they said they were punishing traitors and spies; they didn't announce to the world that they intended to kill anyone they deemed to be too Western or too educated or too wealthy, anyone whose light skin or smooth hands revealed that they had not worked the fields, anyone who wore eyeglasses or Western clothes, anyone who didn't fit into their radically agrarian ideal.
Certainly by the time I saw the movie The Killing Fields, in 1984, I had a pretty good idea of the extent of Khmer Rouge brutality: the best estimate is that 1.7 million Cambodians – about one-fifth of the population – died in the Cambodian Genocide, about half by execution and the rest by starvation and disease. (A proportionate American disaster would involve about 65 million deaths.)
I recently spent a few days in Phnom Penh and Siem Reap as part of a guided tour of Cambodia and Vietnam. We had local guides in both cities. Our Phnom Penh guide, a man named Som, 49 years old, described working as a child slave during the Khmer Rouge years, ending only with his escape during the Vietnamese invasion in 1979.
Our Siem Reap guide was younger. Sophai grew up near Battambang, in an area of Western Cambodia that the Khmer Rouge continued to control after the Vietnamese invasion. He was conscripted as a boy soldier in the late 1990s, at the very end of the Khmer Rouge resistance to the Cambodian government of the restored King Sihanouk.
One of the places Som took us was the Tuol Sleng Genocide Museum in Phnom Penh. The museum is a former school that served as Security Prison 21, or S-21, from 1976 to 1979. "Tuol Sleng" translates roughly to "Strychnine Hill"; S-21 was the largest of more than 150 Khmer Rouge torture and execution centers. Of some 17,000 who passed through S-21, only 12 are known to have survived.
After Som took us through S-21, I told him about my Cambodian freshman acquaintance. I knew that, as a student at an American university, and an Ivy League university at that, my acquaintance stood little chance if he actually made it back to Phnom Penh. But I had held onto the hope that the Khmer Rouge, in its anti-modern fervor and its evacuation of Phnom Penh, had closed the airport and disallowed flights, stranding my acquaintance somewhere outside of Cambodia and its killing fields.
Som disabused me of that hope. He told me that the Khmer Rouge began the evacuation of Cambodia's cities within days of coming to power, and began torturing and executing intellectuals almost as fast. But he also told me that the Khmer Rouge actively encouraged Cambodians overseas to return home. In all likelihood, my acquaintance's flight was met at the airport by Khmer Rouge functionaries.
* * *
The Cambodian monarchy was restored in 1993. The prime minister has been in power since 1985, during the Vietnamese occupation, and he governs nearly unchallenged. The only substantial opposition party was outlawed in 2017, following a surprisingly successful showing in 2013 elections. But even in just a few days in the country, I saw that Cambodians freely express discontent with their nominally elected government. On the other hand, the king, Sihanouk's son and successor, is widely revered.
Cambodian government and society is thoroughly corrupt, and bribery is standard operating procedure. Transparency International ranked the country 161 of 180 in its 2017 index. Yet the country has sustained astonishing economic growth over the last 20 years, drastically reducing both the poverty rate and economic inequality. Tourism has led the way – international tourist arrivals ballooned from 100,000 in 1993 to 5 million in 2016, with tourism revenue exceeding $3.2 billion (U.S.) that year. Cambodia's economy has been one of the world's fastest growing over the last two decades. Phnom Penh now features a business district of modern high-rise office-buildings, with construction cranes dotting the horizon.
Still, Cambodia remains quite poor: for 2017, the International Monetary Fund ranked the country's per capita GDP 141 of 187. (Vietnam came in at 125, Laos at 121, and Thailand at 72.)
Cambodia is still governed by the Cambodian People's Party, which, like the Vietnamese and Chinese governing parties, is nominally Communist but functionally entirely capitalist. Phnom Penh and Siem Reap – like the cities of Vietnam that we visited – are chaotic cauldrons of private enterprise of every description.
We can never know how Cambodia might have fared had Lon Nol not staged his coup against Norodom Sihanouk in 1970. We can only know how Cambodia fared after Lon Nol did stage his coup, leading directly to the tyranny and mass murder of Pol Pot's Khmer Rouge.
Donald Trump loves to recast arguments he disagrees with in terms that are egregiously unappealing, and he doesn't mind making it up. For instance: when NFL players kneel during the national anthem to protest unpunished police killings of unarmed black men, Trump recasts the protest as disrespect for military veterans and ingratitude for the players' career success – which would be terrible, I guess, if it was true.
Trump argues for "strong borders" to combat illegal immigration, and he proposes a "big, beautiful wall" standing 30 feet high along the Mexican border from the Pacific Ocean to the Gulf of Mexico. Democrats aren't enthusiastic about the wall, so Trump says they want an "open border" – that is, no border monitoring at all, no immigration enforcement whatsoever.
This illustrates two Trump themes. First, there are no small disagreements with Trump, no differences of degree. If you're not 100 percent with Trump, you're 100 percent against him. Second, there are no fair differences of opinion with Trump. If you don't share his view, you have evil motives. If you're against Trump's wall, you're for terrorism and gang violence.
There is, of course, no Democrat who advocates either open borders or violence. But while Democrats are generally more favorable to legal immigration than Trump is, and generally less alarmed by illegal immigration, there is no fully detailed statement of a Democratic Party position on immigration. Now that Democrats will be running the House of Representatives, they have to formulate an actual position on immigration. And since Democrats are not for open borders, that position has to involve excluding some people who would like to come here. That's a hard fact, but it's a fact.
In general, my top priority is protecting the people who are here and have been here for awhile. People who have made lives here, put down roots and built families and community ties, should usually be allowed to stay, whether they came legally or illegally. Other than new arrivals, deportations should be limited to those few who commit serious or violent crimes, and even those cases should be assessed individually.
For me, at the pinnacle of this group are the Dreamers – people who were brought to this country as children, and who have little or no remaining connection to the country they came from. Dreamers are the hardest test of the "what part of illegal don't you understand" position, and the younger the harder. An infant bears no blame for being brought here, for going to school here, for growing up here and becoming culturally American. Deporting adults to countries they left as children and never really knew is cruel.
It alarms me to read of cases of immigrants who have been economically productive, sometimes married to citizens with children who are citizens, even people who built successful businesses that sustain good jobs, deported for something they did many years ago. It alarms me even more to read that the Trump administration is reconsidering the validity of the naturalizations of ordinary people who became citizens decades ago.
For those not already here, I have two priorities. First is the close family of citizens and permanent residents. I'm not talking about second cousins twice removed – I'm talking about the spouses and minor children of adults legally here, and the parents of minor children legally here. Our country's values ought to favor the unity of close families.
Second are those seeking asylum. International asylum treaties generally protect people fleeing from religious or political persecution. I personally would add persecution based on race, ethnicity, sex and sexual orientation. But asylum laws don't cover people fleeing harsh economic conditions, or even criminal violence. And while I would love to be able to take in and shelter every suffering person in the world – the truest expression of "Give me your tired, your poor" – I also understand the impracticality of such generosity. (Of course I would be more moved by Trump's anti-asylum protestations if he joined his protests to proposals to alleviate the poverty and violence that impel people to flee.)
That said, I'm not all that concerned that Trump has drastically reduced the number of asylum seekers he will allow each year. I would prefer the larger numbers that Barack Obama allowed, but in the scheme of things the difference isn't that great. In the short run, no number will be high enough to grant most requests, let alone all of them, and in the long run Trump will be gone and his successor can return to a more reasoned approach to the question.
Nor am I committed to the so-called "catch and release" policy. People who apply for asylum at our borders, as opposed to an American consulate abroad, are released into the country and given hearing dates if they can satisfy an initial inquiry whether they have a "reasonable fear" of persecution in their home countries. What bothers me is the wide variation in the application of supposedly uniform rules. Both the rate of "reasonable fear" inquiries approved and the rate of asylum claims granted vary ridiculously around the country. This tells me as a lawyer that asylum rules are unclear or inadequate, leaving too much discretion to bureaucrats and immigration judges.
Trump's antipathy to the diversity visa lottery program, while silly because the program is so small, is not fundamentally problematic. The purpose of the program was to diversify the national origins of immigrants in the U.S., and the program, which dates to 1986, has amply achieved its purpose. More than 20 million apply annually for 50,000 green cards – the system mainly rewards luck, which for me at least is not a priority attribute for immigration.
Nor am I especially sympathetic to the work visa program. The program is supposed to allow employers to hire abroad for jobs they are unable to fill with American applicants. Too many employers use the program to hire workers at salaries that American workers would not accept. Trump himself routinely uses the work visa program to hire maids, waiters and cooks. It's just not plausible that those positions can't be filled with qualified Americans, although it is possible they can't be filled with qualified Americans for what Trump pays: from $10.17 to $12.74 an hour.
If Nancy Pelosi were to ask my advice, I would tell her this. Offer to budget money for enhanced border security, including segments of a wall, where a wall is the most cost-effective option. Offer to curtail or even eliminate some of the lowest priority visa programs, like work visas and the diversity visa lottery. And offer to clarify and tighten statutory asylum criteria. In exchange, demand statutory codification of both DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) to protect the Dreamers, and DAPA (Deferred Action for Parents of Americans) to protect families. Demand funding for education and job training programs to qualify American for jobs that employers are filling abroad. Demand a minimum wage increase from $7.25 an hour to $10 now, rising over five years to $20 and thereafter indexed to inflation, to raise the floor below which employers can't use foreign labor to undercut American wages. And demand a strict statute of limitations for deportation of illegal immigrants, with few and narrow exceptions, and an even stricter statute of limitations for re-examining citizens' naturalizations.
Of course, Trump would never accept such a deal. Trump gains much more from complaining about the illegal immigration problem than he would ever gain from solving it.
Ballots are still being counted, but as of now, Democrats are leading the nationwide voting for Congress by a margin of 53,304,829, or 51.5 percent, to 48,370,229, or 46.7 percent.
Let's pause over the fact that more than 100 million Americans voted in Congressional elections this year. CBS News estimates that 113 million Americans cast at least one vote in the midterms, putting turnout at about 49 percent of eligible voters. The last time midterm turnout was that high was 1966. By contrast, turnout in 2014 was below 37 percent – the lowest since World War II. This is closer, at least, to what democracy is supposed to look like.
All of those voters preferred Democratic candidates over Republican candidates for House seats by only 4.8 percent. I say "only" because pre-election prognostications instructed us that a substantial Democratic lead in the "generic" Congressional ballot would not be enough to overcome obstacles like gerrymandering and urban concentrations of Democratic voters. One of the direst of these prognostications came from the Washington Post, which opined last month that the Democrats' lead in the generic ballot, then 8 percent among registered voters, would not be enough for Democrats to win a House majority.
So a generic win by less than 5 percent should have been bad news for Democrats. But it wasn't. Democrats have picked up 32 seats so far, with ten races still undecided. Furthermore, Democratic candidates lead in four of the undecided races, so their total is likely to grow.
I'm not saying that gerrymandering has no effect. You only have to look at "before" and "after" pictures of Pennsylvania's House delegation to know that. Pennsylvania's Republican-controlled legislature gerrymandered the state into 12 Republican and six Democratic districts, but after the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ordered the drawing of more neutral district lines, Pennsylvanians last week voted to send nine members of each party to the House. Gerrymandering obviously alters election outcomes, but what 2018 teaches us is that the current state of the prognostication science can't really quantify the effect.
It will take awhile for data analysts to compile and pick through the exit polling data, but I expect they'll find several reasons that Democrats won so big with such a small overall vote margin. I think the two biggest factors that analysts will find will be the gender gap and the rural/non-rural gap.
Women voted vigorously pro-Democratic in this election, even more so than usual. One set of exit polls found that men favored Republican House candidates by 4 percent but women favored Democratic candidates by 19 percent. My suspicion is that women are much more turned off than men are by Donald Trump's unconstrained, testosterone-driven style. That disposition probably contributed to the large increase in the number of women running for Congress this year, which in turn probably compounded women's preference for Democratic Congressional candidates, since by far more women run as candidates of the Democratic Party than of the Republican Party.
By the way, the incoming class of the House of Representatives will have more than 100 women for the first time in history, up from 84 women in the current class. The newcomers will include the first two Muslim women elected to Congress, the first two Native American women elected to Congress, and two 29-year old women who will be the youngest members of their class. This too is closer to what democracy is supposed to look like.
Another big factor in Democrats' success was the swing of suburban voters to Democrats. FiveThirtyEight.com says that the suburban-ness of a Congressional district predicted its 2018 outcome better than did the district's presidential votes in 2012 and 2016. As 538 puts it, "all kinds of suburbs delivered the House to Democrats." Almost no matter how Republican a district is, as long as it isn't rural it was a pick-up opportunity for Democrats. Even districts that voted for both Mitt Romney and Donald Trump were up for grabs this year, if they are suburban districts.
The emblematic example of the 538 argument is Oklahoma's 5th District, which includes Oklahoma City and its suburbs. The Cook Political Report assigns the district a partisan index of 10 percent pro-Republican. The district's House seat has been held by Republicans since 1975, and the district has gone reliably for Republican presidential and gubernatorial candidates, usually by big margins. Donald Trump won the district by 13 percent – which was actually a pretty small margin of Republican victory for that district.
But last week the seat was taken by Democrat Kendra Horn, a communication technology consultant with no previous electoral experience, from Republican incumbent Steve Russell, who won his previous two elections by more than 20 percent.
* * *
In addition to Oklahoma's 5th District, several Congressional races proved to be especially satisfying for Democrats.
In Virginia's 7th District, Democrat Abigail Spanberger, a former postal inspector and CIA officer, and a first-time candidate, ousted Republican David Brat, the Tea Party insurgent who took the seat from then-House Majority Leader Eric Cantor in 2014. Spanberger ran, as many successful Democrats did this year, on a campaign that included vigorous advocacy of the Affordable Care Act, which Brat despised.
Georgia's 6th District is the one that held a special election last year to replace Tom Price, who served ever so briefly as President Trump's scandal-ridden secretary of Health and Human Services. The seat had been in Republican hands since Newt Gingrich won it in 1978, but Democrat Jon Ossoff, a first-time candidate, took Republican Karen Handel, a former secretary of state and candidate for governor and senate, to a runoff. Both national parties poured resources into the race, and Democrats were disappointed that the special election produced a respectable showing but no Democratic gain. But in 2018, Handel had to run for re-election without the national focus of a special election – in last week's midterms, Handel was but one of hundreds of House candidates that Republican interests had to support.
This time around, Handel lost to first-time candidate Lucy McBath, an African-American gun control advocate. This is not your father's Georgia. McBath's won by just 1 percent, but she won.
Texas's 32nd District, in the Dallas suburbs, is represented by 11-term incumbent Republican Pete Sessions, an especially partisan Republican known for acerbic statements of hard-right political positions. The 32nd was one of two Texas districts flipped by Democrats last week – in this case, by first-time candidate Colin Allred, an African-American lawyer and former professional football player who campaigned on health care, education and voting rights. Allred won by more than 6 percent of the vote. It only ices the cake for Democrats that Sessions ranks in the House Republican leadership, serving as chair of the Rules Committee. (The other Texas seat Democrats flipped was the 7th District, in the Houston suburbs, where first-time candidate Lizzie Fletcher beat long-time incumbent John Culberson.)
Fifteen-term Republican Dana Rohrabacher, perhaps best known recently as a Vladimir Putin apologist, lost to first-time candidate and Republican-turned-Democrat Harley Rouda in California's 48th District. The district is in Orange County, a one-time bastion of suburban conservatism that has been drifting toward Democrats in recent years.
First-time candidate Xochitl Small flipped the open seat in New Mexico's 2nd District, leaving the state with an all-Democratic House delegation. New Mexico has been thought of as a swing state, but in January it will have a Democratic governor, two Democratic U.S. senators, Democratic majorities in both houses of its legislature, and an all-Democratic U.S. House delegation. With Democrats' takeover of the New York Senate and both houses of the New Hampshire legislature, all four of our "New" states – New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico and New York – will have Democrats running both houses of their legislatures, filling both of their U.S. Senate seats, and, except New Hampshire, serving as their governors.
Democrats also flipped two seats in Iowa, and came very close to ousting the only remaining Republican in the Iowa House delegation: Steve King, the man who conjured 130-pound Mexican marijuana smugglers with "calves the size of cantaloupes." Incumbent Republican Governor Kim Reynolds kept her seat by just 3 percent of the vote; Republican Senator Joni Ernst, who is up in 2020, needs to start looking over her shoulder.
People think of New York State as a long-standing Democratic bastion, but that's not the historical reality. New York after all was the home of Republican powerhouses like Thomas Dewey, Jacob Javits and Nelson Rockefeller.
New York has had Republican governors for 40 out of the last 76 years. During that time we've had more than 68 years' worth of Republican representation in our two United States Senate seats. Although the state last voted for a Republican presidential candidate in 1984, Republican candidates won 13 out of 25 presidential votes during the 20th century in New York State.
The New York State Assembly has been in Democratic hands since the post-Watergate Democratic wave election of 1974. But the New York State Senate has been controlled by Republicans almost continuously since 1939. When re-districting is done every ten years, each house lets the other draw its own districts, allowing Assembly Democrats to gerrymander their districts to protect their majority and Senate Republicans to gerrymander their districts to protect their majority.
Still, as the national Republican Party has moved to the right, New Yorkers have increasingly favored Democrats, and maintaining a Republican Senate majority has gotten harder and harder. Several times beginning with the 2008 elections, New York voters have sent Democratic majorities to the Senate, only to see rebel Democratic senators enter into coalition agreements with Republicans to defeat their own party's majorities.
This year, two remarkable things happened that will put an end to all of that. In September, six of the rebel Democrats lost primary challenges to progressive Democrats. Then this week, Democrats won a convincing majority in the Senate: at least 37 out of 63 seats, with five races still undecided.
Democratic primary voters having purged Democratic defectors, and general election voters having purged Republicans, further Democratic defections are highly unlikely. Come January, the New York State Senate will be run by a stable Democratic majority for the first time in 80 years. With a Democratic governor, lieutenant governor, comptroller and attorney general, and Democratic majorities in both houses of the state legislature, New York state government will finally reflect the partisan loyalties of its electorate.
New York legislators serve for two-year terms, so the Democratic Senate majority has to go back to the voters again in 2020, still running in Republican-gerrymandered districts. My personal recommendation, for what it's worth, is that Democrats use their new bicameral majorities to initiate the process of amending New York's constitution to provide for neutral, non-partisan redistricting after each federal census. It takes majority votes in two successive legislatures, then a referendum, to amend the state constitution. So even if Democrats approve a proposed amendment next year, it's the legislators elected in 2020 who get to decide whether to put the proposal before the voters.
The popularity of non-partisan redistricting is on the rise. This week, voters in at least three states approved non-partisan redistricting proposals: in Colorado, 71.1 percent voted for the proposal; in Missouri, 62.0 percent; and in Michigan, 61.2 percent. Utah's vote remains too close to call, with those in favor leading those opposed by 50.3 to 49.7 percent, with 80 percent of precincts reporting.
Given the popularity of non-partisan redistricting, even if Republicans re-take the New York Senate in 2020, they would be under substantial pressure to allow voters their say. Theoretically, at least, New York could have non-partisan redistricting in place in time for the next redistricting, before the 2022 election.
I prefer non-partisan redistricting because I think it's better for democracy, enhancing public confidence in the fairness of elections. But in this case, because New York State has become so heavily Democratic in recent years, electoral fairness also favors Democrats: neutral district lines would likely reduce the size of our majority in the Assembly, but will surely gain us control of the Senate.
The 2018 Senate elections were always going to be difficult for Democrats. I estimated that Doug Jones's remarkable win in Alabama's special election last December roughly doubled Democrats' chances of re-taking the Senate next month, from maybe 10 to 20 percent. Democratic Senate candidates as a group had a pretty good summer, boosting the party's chances briefly to as high as one in three, but fell back again in September. This morning's projection by FiveThirtyEight.com puts Democrats' odds at 21.3 percent.
I've observed that the 2018 gubernatorial map is as bad for Republicans as the Senatorial map is for Democrats. Twenty-seven of 36 seats up this year are held by Republicans; of 17 open seats (where the incumbent isn't running or can't run for re-election), 13 are held by Republicans and four by Democrats.
Over the summer it looked like Republicans might credibly contest two Democrat-held seats, in Oregon and Rhode Island. But both states have reverted to their underlying Democratic partisanship, and Republicans' best chances to flip a Democratic seat is actually now Connecticut, where 538 gives the Republican gubernatorial nominee a 17.6 percent chance of victory.
On the other hand, 538 favors Democrats in seven Republican-held states: Michigan (95.7 percent chance of winning), Illinois (91.1 percent), Maine (90.6 percent), New Mexico (86.9 percent), Iowa (85.0 percent), Florida (77.4 percent), and Wisconsin (62.7 percent). Republicans are favored by very small margins to win three other Republican-held states: Ohio (56.7 percent), Georgia (56.3 percent), and Nevada (54.1 percent).
Two things stand out about this. First is the potential magnitude of Democratic gains in statehouses around the country – a Democratic pick-up of as much as ten seats is plausible. Second is the concentration of Democratic pick-ups in the Midwest.
Barack Obama carried seven Midwestern states in 2008: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin. He carried six of them – all but Indiana – again in 2012. Donald Trump lives in the White House because he won five of those states: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio and Wisconsin.
Six of those seven Midwestern states are run by Republican governors (all but Minnesota), and five of those six (all but Indiana) are up for election this year. Democrats are favored to win four of those five – and the fifth, Ohio, is well within range. Winning all six would require retaining or re-taking three open seats (Michigan, Minnesota and Ohio) and unseating three Republican incumbents (Illinois, Iowa and Wisconsin).
Meanwhile, all six Democrat-held Senate seats up for election this year in these seven states are now reasonably secure, even Senator Joe Donnelly of Indiana, whose odds of re-election are now almost six-to-one.
Democratic strength in the Midwest is important for a variety of reasons, one being the leverage that governors elected this year will have over redistricting following the 2020 census. Another is that, without holding its Midwestern seats, Democrats have no chance of re-taking the Senate this year. But perhaps most important of all, a Democrats return to strength across the Midwest in 2018 bodes very badly for Trump's re-election prospects in 2020.
* * *
One other point about the gubernatorial elections. In all of American history, we've elected just two African-American governors: Douglas Wilder of Virginia and Deval Patrick of Massachusetts. It is possible, although not probable, that we will double that number two weeks from now: Andrew Gillum is favored to win in Florida, and Stacey Abrams is just slightly disfavored in Georgia. Abrams would be the first African-American woman to serve as governor in American history. Abrams and Gillum would be the first Democrats to win election in their respective states since 1998 and 1994.


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Our curated batch of the latest gear, cars, and other worthy possessions you'll definitely want to keep an eye on. We mix it up with style, tools, and other goods for the journey – or just cool stuff for your humble abode.
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13 Major Debuts from the 2018 LA Auto Show
Another big year at the LA Auto Show with some major world debuts. We cover the big ones including upcoming new vehicles you can actually buy come 2019.
Rivian's R1T All-Electric Pickup Is Adventure-Ready Flossing Capabilities You Wouldn't Expect
Finally, Rivian reveals the R1T all-electric pickup following a decade operating in stealth mode. 0-60 in 3-second & 5,000 kg towing capacity, this truck is no joke.
Special Edition Blacked-Out Version of the 911 Soundbar
Level up your man cave with the special edition 911 Soundbar. Limited to 911 units, this 200-watt blacked-out version brings the 500-hp GT3 to your personal space and your wife will love you.
Norton Drops a Pair of Gorgeous 2019 Neo-Naked Modern Scramblers
Norton Motorcycles debuted two stunning 2019 modern scramblers harkening back to iconic bike builder's past. 2019 Ranger & Nomad are on sale now.
World's First Fully-Electric Cafe Racer Backed by Jaguar Debuts in Milan
Electric motorcycles are gaining ground and Jaguar wants in on the action with the Arc Vector: the most efficient & safest electric motorcycle in the world.
New Audi R8 Dials Up Power and Speed for 2019
The 2019 R8 gets updates in all the right places with a more powerful V10, improved handling & supension, and tweaked exterior styling that's more taute.
Paying Homage: Triumph Debuts 1950s-Inspired Scrambler XC & XE For 2019
Drawing inspiration from the original 1950's Scrambler, Triump removes the covers off the 2019 Scrambler 1200 XC and Scrambler 1200 XE.
2019 GT Carbon Series: Ford's Lightweight Supercar for Daily Drivers?
Ford's GT supercar sheds some serious weight. The new 2019 GT Carbon Series drops close to 40 pounds while keeping air conditioning & SYNC3. Nice.
Unsung Hero: 2019 Ford Edge ST Camera Car Hits Hollywood
Pursuit Systems and Ford team up to build the latest camera car with the 355-hp 2019 Edge ST to capture high-speed Hollywood chase scenes like a champ.
This $250k Hummer SUV is an Off-Road H1 Done Right
If you're looking for a fuel-efficient, family vehicle now's your chance to bounce. This 500-hp Hummer SUV is the ultimate American off-roader by Mil-Spec.


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Block 1 Cuerno Verde Rd, Walsenburg, CO 81089 (MLS# 172691) is a Lots/Land property with a lot size of 0.32 acres. Block 1 Cuerno Verde Rd is currently listed for $18,000 and was received on April 11, 2018. Want to learn more about Block 1 Cuerno Verde Rd? Do you have questions about finding other Lots/Land real estate for sale in Walsenburg? You can browse all Walsenburg real estate or contact a Coldwell Banker agent to request more information.
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There either is or is not, that's the way things are. The colour of the day. The way it felt to be a child. The saltwater on your sunburnt legs. Sometimes the water is yellow, sometimes it's red. But what colour it may be in memory, depends on the day. I'm not going to tell you the story the way it happened. I'm going to tell it the way I remember it.
The Lizzie Bennet Diaries is an innovative, original episodic video and social media series produced for the web. Adapting Pride and Prejudice to the modern era, Lizzie Bennet tells the classic Jane Austen tale from the point of view of an Elizabeth "Lizzie" Bennet who grew up in a world of cell phones, video cameras, and social media. The series was created by popular YouTube personality Hank Green and Streamy Award winning web video writer Bernie Su.
The holiday season is bringing more than cheer for actress Jessica Capshaw. The Grey's Anatomy star announced on Monday that she and her husband, Honest Company co-founder Christopher Gavigan, are expecting their fourth child. "The holidays have certainly arrived … All of our lives are being added to by the lights, the music and cheer!!" she captioned a photo of her family at a Christmas tree farm on Instagram. "This year our family has reason to further broaden our smile … baby number four is on the way!! I am a lucky, lucky girl…"
The quickest way to tell whether an actor is serious about his or her career is to look at their "headshot".Is it a professional photo? Or is it a snapshot taken on prom night? If you're using a snapshot, it's like showing up to race the Indy 500 in a VW Beetle. Nobody is going to take you seriously. I'm sorry, people… you can send me as much angry e-mail as you want about this, but it's true! Don't tell me you're destined to be a major Hollywood star but you cannot scrape together the cash to get professional headshots.
The Grinch from Dr. Seuss' How the Grinch Stole Christmas! The Musical stole the spotlight at the Empire State Building's 86th Floor Observatory December 14, 2012, to promote the musical's limited holiday engagement. Discover the magic of Dr. Seuss' classic holiday tale as it comes to life on stage. Featuring the hit songs "You're A Mean One, Mr. Grinch" and "Welcome Christmas," The Grinch discovers there's more to Christmas then he bargained for in this heart-warming holiday classic.
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We hosted a fantastic youth dance workshop last weekend led by @akadancetheatre. Thank you to everyone that took part, it was a brilliantly creative day! #youthdance #danceinbath #dancetheatre #creative pic.twitter.com/Gi6lDtU1Ck
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) February 14, 2018
FUNDING: Small seeds to help you and your ideas grow – https://t.co/xXI9vexjuk
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) January 31, 2018
Fri 9th Feb – EVOLVE on Screen. Watch the latest Screendance created by new & talented dance film makers from the South West. A free event
@BathSpaUni @bathspalive @bathspadance . 12pm. #graduates #dance #screendance
Put Sat 10th Feb in your diary as
@akadancetheatre are returning to Bath for a w/shop. For 13-19 year old dancers passionate about contemporary dance & physical theatre. La Scala Studios, Bath. 10-4pm. £7. Email firstname.lastname@example.com to book. #contemporarydance #youthdance
Maternity Cover for Creative Producer at Bath Dance
A 6-9 month freelance contract for maternity cover of the Creative Producer at Bath Dance, supporting dance development in the Bath & North East Somerset area. Bath Dance has recently been successful in receiving ACE funding for the next two … (more...)
Evolve Graduate Platform 2018 is open! This year we are looking for new live work and screen dance. If you have been involved in the past and know people who would benefit from the scheme then please share: Call for graduate dance artists: … (more...)
Thank you to all who applied for the Bath Dance Administration Role, we had such a high volume of candidates and very strong applications, making our job very hard! Looking forward to meeting the 4 selected interviewees next week! 😊
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) December 1, 2017
Bath Dance are Hiring!
Arts Administrator Needed A 12-month freelance contract for an Arts Administrator at Bath Dance, supporting dance development in the Bath & North East Somerset area. The post will support the Creative Producer to deliver Bath … (more...)
@jossarnottdance coming to @bathspalive this November in partnership with @SwindonDance, @BathDance & @BathSpaUni https://t.co/e9rM9RjHYF
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) September 15, 2017
How exciting! @BathDance @TheatreBath @SwindonDance @BDCbethebest @EmileJClarke @EdgeArtsDance https://t.co/zhS6d9eJdg
— Creative Learning (@TRBLearning) August 23, 2017
Dance artists! The next Testing Ground is happening in November @Circomedia See the call out for new work here: https://t.co/kiLxKGIPlI pic.twitter.com/CTduIBjR8E
— Theatre Bristol (@theatrebristol) September 11, 2017
On 21 Oct we bring a special performance to @HerschelMuseum, w extracts from #Lina in different areas in the museum. Sharing at 11am & 2pm pic.twitter.com/ILvN7yuFlB
— Forged Line Dance Co (@ForgedLineDC) September 14, 2017
James Wilton Pe… – https://t.co/YUjgOelTw9
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) September 15, 2017
#Bathindiandancefestival is coming to The @EdgeArtsBath on the 22nd July with a 1 hr workshop for beginners to try Classical Indian dance pic.twitter.com/m3ZEBdgtYE
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) May 24, 2017
@bathdance #lovedancekmf See whats happening on this year's new Love Dance Stage: watch it grow!https://t.co/7Lv1BXyb0N
— Keynsham Music Fest (@keynshamFest) June 6, 2017
£52,479 Arts Council boost for dance in Bath and North East Somerset
Bath Dance are pleased to announce that their recent Grants for Arts bid to the Arts Council- THRIVE, was successful in gaining over £50k towards developing dance in Bath and North East Somerset over a 2 year period, August 2017- August 2019. The … (more...)
Contemporary Dance Performance Opportunity
for 13-18 year olds! https://t.co/ZamBaoi5os pic.twitter.com/JhpIoOyhad
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) May 10, 2017
Yama Dance has been selected to perform at Sadlers Wells – https://t.co/lutfY3tZaZ
— Bath Dance (@BathDance) May 10, 2017


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Tue Mar 13, 2018, 04:24 PM
kairos12 (6,966 posts)
Stable genius, high IQ Putin boot licker
fires SOS by tweet, looks past nerve agent attack on the sovereign territory of our most important ally, shills for a ridiculous border wall policy, sees his body man walked out of the WH and then signs him onto his 2020 campaign, and continues to block the testimony of a porn star who had an affair with while his wife was pregnant.
Both sides do it. President Obama wore a tan suit once. Thanks MSM.
3 replies, 414 views
Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
|3 replies
Stable genius, high IQ Putin boot licker (Original post)
|Mar 2018
|Stuart G
|Mar 2018
|Mar 2018
|Stuart G
|Mar 2018
Response to kairos12 (Original post)
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 04:27 PM
Stuart G (20,589 posts)
1. I got to say this.................about the tan suit,................ sarcasm warning !!!
That .. ".tan suit" was such an insult to the fashion industry..and of course to all who don't like the color tan....
What an awful selection on that day...tan suit.......
Trump makes "awful selections" also.. now...let's not argue...
Couldn't he have selected another prostitute beside "Stormy Danials"
What do you think the wife thinks about ....."Stromy" selection?
Response to Stuart G (Reply #1)
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 04:31 PM
mr_lebowski (4,989 posts)
2. I thought the tan suit looked sharp as HELL, myself ...
F**k the Bozos ...
Just sayin'
Response to mr_lebowski (Reply #2)
Tue Mar 13, 2018, 04:33 PM
Stuart G (20,589 posts)
3. So did I but I ain't in charge.. guess what? I found out who is in charge....
Stormy is in charge.... Here are some pictures of Stormy...from you tube-- 1 minute and 30 secs.


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Food systems are situated at the crossroads between the many issues and contradictions surrounding sustainable development: food and nutritional security, human and ecosystem health, natural resource renewal, climate change, territorial dynamics, political stability, and social justice. An international group of experts, including researchers from CIRAD, is calling for profound changes in food systems in order to meet the sustainable development goals (SDGs) set by the UN in 2015, and the terms of the Paris Agreement on climate. The authors propose a four-pillar strategy.
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Agreement bans commercial fishing across much of the Arctic, for now
With the Arctic's melting ice cover leaving the ocean ice-free for longer periods of time, new shipping routes are opening up, paving the way for future commercial activities. But under a new agreement, commercial fishing will be banned across a large chunk of the Central Arctic Ocean as a precautionary measure for at least 16 years from when it comes into force.
Tree Conference rallies support to halt deforestation
Taking place at the Merlin Theatre in Frome on Sunday 21 October (10am-5pm), The Tree Conference 2018 will promote the message that it is possible to halt deforestation and indeed increase forest cover worldwide. The event will share practical solutions for preserving and renewing our trees and forests, strengthen support for people working with trees and highlight practical strategies for citizen-led tree planting.
Abundant fish need cool seas and protection
US and Japanese scientists have worked out how to encourage more abundant fish populations, deliver more food for human consumption and make more profits for the world's fishermen and women.
Food security: vertical farming sounds fantastic until you consider its energy use
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Meat-free diets could cut our 'water footprint' in half, say scientists
Three thousand litres of water – that is the amount needed to produce the food each British person eats every day. This is according to a new study into the "water footprint" of diets in Western Europe, conducted by the European Commission and published in Nature Sustainability.
Brighton Viva! Vegan Festival promises a feast of mouth-wateringly delicious food
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"Bringing It Back" Productions(5)
Elvis Impersonator
Memphis, TN
14 miles from Germantown
Recent review: Brian came and performed perfectly for our son's rehearsal dinner. Everyone loved it! He was…
Elvis Tribute entertainment(2)
Elvis Impersonator
Cordova, TN
6 miles from Germantown
Recent review: We had a blast! Elvis, did a great job! Great voice! Delivered what was promised. I would recommend…
Stile of Elvis(2)
Elvis Impersonator
Memphis, TN
14 miles from Germantown
Recent review: William Stiles went above and beyond to make sure our event was successful. I highly recommend…
Elvis- Brad Rouse(0)
Elvis Impersonator
Memphis, TN
14 miles from Germantown
Elvis Tribute Artist
An Extravaganza Tribute to the Stars Show(25)
Elvis Impersonator
Tupelo, MS
84 miles from Germantown
Recent review: Thank you so much Kevin for the outstanding performance Sunday. Our entire family, from 1 yr…
Butch Dicus - The King of Hearts(0)
Elvis Impersonator
Little Rock, AR
142 miles from Germantown
SERIOUS INQUIRIES ONLY PLEASE! Creating the music and the magic of the man the world called the King of Rock…
Blue Suede King(10)
Tribute Artist / Elvis Impersonator
Huntsville, AL
185 miles from Germantown
Recent review: Rich really engaged our crowd. He is amazingly talented! We felt like Elvis was really there!…
Elvis Tribute Artist Jake Slater(0)
Elvis Impersonator
Nashville, TN
186 miles from Germantown
Jake Slater is a National and International award winning Elvis Tribute Artist who has been performing all around…
Glen Russell(0)
Elvis Impersonator
Madison, TN
192 miles from Germantown
Glen Russell performs Elvis' GOSPEL MUSIC * We do not perform in Bars/Clubs etc... where Alcohol and Smoking…
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Elvis Impersonators in Germantown, TN
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Elvis Impersonators in Germantown, TN
Think Elvis has left the building? Think again! Elvis Presley is one of those rock and roll icons that isn't going anywhere. Whether you're planning a party for a die-hard fan or simply want to create some buzz at your next event, an Elvis impersonator is just what you need! GigSalad has Elvis impersonators from every era, so take your pick of white jumpsuit Elvis to leather jacket Elvis, and all of the phases in between! Search for Elvis Impersonators in Germantown, Tennessee above.
Please note that these Elvis Impersonators may also travel to Cordova, Eads, Ellendale, Lakeland, Piperton, Miller, Brunswick, Rossville, Arlington, Byhalia, Horn Lake, Millington, Oakland, Nesbit, Macon, Mount Pleasant, Rosemark, Gallaway, Walls, Victoria, Red Banks, and Hernando.


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