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US Dollar, Commodities and the Great Deflation Round 2Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015 Jul 16, 2015 - 07:37 AM GMT
In this report I would like to show you some charts that could be telling us that the second shoe maybe getting close to dropping in the on going deflation scenario that really started to take hold last year at this time. If you recall the US dollar broke out of a massive base and with most commodities following lower. Commodities have been consolidating for most of 2015 chopping out some decent sideways trading ranges. In order to really get this second leg going to the downside, for commodities, the US dollar is the key component that needs to breakout topside.
The first chart tonight will be of the US dollar which topped out in March of this year creating a double top reversal pattern. After nearly reaching the price objective in May the dollar had a good bounce only to come back down to the previous low around the 93 area in the middle of June which I could make a case for a double bottom. The low on the right side of the potential double botttom has been carving out an inverse H&S bottom with today's price action touching the possible neckline. Needless to say this is a critically important point right here and now for the US dollar.
Below is another longer term daily chart for the US dollar that shows the big impulse move up that started in July of last year that we followed right from the beginning. Note the smaller red consolidation patterns that made up that strong impulse move up. Also note how much bigger the blue expanding falling wedge is compared to any of the smaller red consolidation patterns. This tells us that the potential blue expanding falling wedge will most likely be a halfway pattern that will separate the first impulse move up from the second impulse move up that maybe is just now getting started. This is the pattern I've been showing you on the UUP chart. We'll know in the next day or two if the breakout and backtest to the top blue rail of the expanding falling wedge is valid. So far so good.
This next chart is a very long term monthly look that shows the two fractal bases that are uncanny in their appearance to each other. You can see the massive rally that the US dollar had once all the pressure was released from the big base #2 last year.
This next monthly chart for the US dollar zeros in on the big base #2 using candlesticks. When you see a string of white candlesticks all in a row, especially on a monthly chart, you know you're in an impulse move up and when you see a string of black candlesticks all in a row you know you're in an impulse move down. If the US dollar can close out the month of July in a strong move we'll see our first white candle which is needed to start an impulse move higher.
Lets look at one last long term chart for the US dollar that shows the massive bullish falling wedge pattern. If you recall I said to look for support on the backtest to the top blue rail as shown by the little brown box. Worst case scenario would be a test of the neckline extension rail just slightly lower at 92 or so. The top blue rail has done it job so far holding support.
Below is a combo chart that has the US dollar on top and gold on the bottom. The US dollar had about a 38% correction off of its most recent high while gold has just kept plugging along forming the two year falling wedge consolidation pattern. One thing that should stand out for you is how gold has made a series of lower lows and lower highs since it's bear market began almost four year ago. Note just the opposite price action on the left side of the chart during the bull market years where gold made a series of higher highs and higher lows.
Next lets look at a few important currencies that may help in giving us some clues about a possible US dollar bottom and move higher. The XAD, Australian dollar, which is a commodities base currency has broken down from a H&S consolidation pattern accompanied with a breakout gap.
The weekly chart for the XAD shows the H&S as a consolidation pattern within the major impulse move down out of the massive H&S topping pattern. The H&S consolidation pattern has been just a pause to refresh before moving lower which it's now doing.
The XEU is the biggest component for the US dollar so it should give us some clues to help us understand what is going on with the US dollar. The daily chart below shows a six point Diamond consolidation pattern that has been forming since the low in March of this year. After a strong backtest that left behind an island reversal pattern it looks like the breakout is starting to gain some traction.
The XJY is another important currency which shows it broke down from a rectangle consolidation pattern several weeks ago with a strong backtest that also left behind an island reversal pattern.
The long term weekly chart for the XJY shows its bear market decline and the little red rectangle consolidation pattern that has formed as just, Another Brick in the Wall.
Lets look at one last currency which will be the XSF. As you can see it has built out a strongly slanted H&S consolidation pattern which broke below the neckline with a breakout gap about two weeks ago. The backtest was completed last Friday with today's move making a new low for this move down from the right shoulder high.
By looking at the different currencies we can see that they have been consolidating since the March low of this year and have broken out from those consolidation patterns within the last two weeks or so with a backtest in most cases. Keep in mind these consolidation patterns formed after a very strong decline which is what you want to see in a strong impulse moves down that can be made up of several small consolidation patterns. After you see the third small consolidation pattern form in an strong impulse move you know you're getting close to the end.
During the last impulse move down the commodities also matched the currencies in weakness almost tic for tic. Lets look at a few different commodities and see if they're showing a similar setup to some of the currencies we just looked at above.
Below is a daily chart for the CRB index which is showing us a five point triangle reversal pattern after a very small rally off of the initial February low. The breakout was accompanied by a big breakout gap but the backtest failed to reach the bottom rail of the black triangle reversal pattern. It's a reversal pattern pattern because it formed within the uptrend. Had the CRB broken out above the top black rail it would have been a four point consolidation pattern. Reversal patterns have an odd number of reversal point and consolidation patterns have an even number of reversal points.
This long term daily chart for the CRB index shows its first impulse leg down when it broke out of the huge triangle reversal pattern. It has been consolidating in the blue expanding triangle which shows a lot of volatility.
The GNX is another commodities index that is showing some very nice Chartology. The two blue patterns are making a much bigger black bear flag that had a nice clean breakout and backtest.
The very long term daily chart shows the first impulse leg down that had a blue bearish falling wedge that showed up about the halfway point. Now the GNX has been building out a much larger blue bear flag that is more normal looking to most chartists as it slopes up against the trend unlike the bearish falling wedge that slopes down in the same direction of the trend.
The GYX is an industrial metals index that broke down from a H&S consolidation pattern back in the middle of June.
The GSC is another commodities index that has been building out an expanding rising wedge pattern since the first of the year.
Lets finish up by looking at the most important commodity on the planet, oil. When oil initial found support at the 42 area this past spring it looked like it was setting up for a very strong rebound. It formed a nice double bottom which then morphed into what looked line a very symmetrical H&S bottom as shown by the brown rectangles. The breakout failed to gain any momentum to the upside and began to trade sideways which still wasn't the end of the world yet. The end of the world came when the sideways trading range turned out to be a five point rectangle reversal pattern which broke to the downside with a huge breakout gap. For the last two weeks or so it has been trading in a very tight trading range as shown by the red rectangle.
The monthly chart shows the string of black candlesticks that accompanied the first impulse leg down. If we can get a black candlestick for the month of July it will be the second one in a row which would mark a good start for the next possible impulse move down.
This last chart for tonight shows you the double bottom that formed back in 2008 – 2009 which led to a big rally. Note how the backtest held back then, red circle. If we compare our recent double bottom to the 2008 double bottom they look similar at first glance. There is a big difference tho and that is the current double bottom gapped back below the double bottom hump with a big gap. It still maybe a little early to say yet but our current double bottom looks more like a failed double bottom at this time.
The bottom line is that I'm seeing some of the same setups that marked the beginning of the last major impulse move down that started last year about this time. Most of all the currencies are breaking down from five month consolidation patterns while the commodities are breaking down from slightly bigger consolidation patterns along with the precious metals stocks. If this is true we're on the cusp of an other deflationary move down of similar magnitude of the one from last year. Stay tuned as things are really starting to get interesting. All the best…Rambus
All the best
Gary (for Rambus Chartology)
FREE TRIAL - http://rambus1.com/?page_id=10
© 2015 Copyright Rambus- All Rights Reserved
Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.
© 2005-2019 http://www.MarketOracle.co.uk - The Market Oracle is a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.


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Change Currency
Who needs a Superhero??
These buttons are little boys are dressed up to be their heroes.
Each packet of buttons contains the following:
1x Boy 'batman' wearing yellow shirt, black cape and black mask (approx 2cm x 3.2cm)
1x Boy 'superman' wear a red suit with blue 'S' in the middle. He is also wearing a blue cape and eye mask (approx 2.5cm x 3cm)
1x Boy wearing green flash suit and a blue cape. He has his own orange eye mask and shoes (approx 2cm x 3cm)
1x Word 'Pow' in yellow (approx 2.3cm x 1.5cm)
1x Word 'Boom' in red (approx 2.5cm x 1cm)
These buttons are made of plastic and have shanks on the back.
Brand: Dress It Up - Jessie James Be My Super Hero
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I remember my high school art teacher Monsieur Marchand. He taught us the color wheel, two and three point perspective and composition. Color is key to any kind of visual communication. The true paint artist can create every color of the rainbow by using and mixing only red, yellow and blue. Then white and black are added for hue and intensity.
The graphic designer does the same only digitally. Some kind of art training is needed to be a proficient graphic communicator.
For photographers, since you aren't working with paint it would about recognizing chance color opportunities, or in a studio, planning to create a scheme or color composition.
This photo is an example of "analogous color" where the colors are closely related on the color wheel.
MAMA supports the creative minds of the planet earth. If you come across somebody doing anything interesting and out of the ordinary, or just something that makes you smile, we'd like to know about it.
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Posted October 07, 2008
Does the high resolution mod support 16:9 aspect ratio resolutions?
It seems that you're using an outdated browser. Some things may not work as they should (or don't work at all).
We suggest you upgrade newer and better browser like: Chrome, Firefox, Internet Explorer or Opera


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Knittique is now in its second year of producing exclusive, limited-edition hand-painted yarns for Colormusing, and this beautifully soft, merino and silk yarn with lots of subtly sparkly silver bits, is one of the unusual yarn types we specialize in!
The Roseberry Sequence is a SET OF 3 skeins that forms a stunning color progression ranging from deep rose pink to fuchsia to ripest plum. Each luxurious skein is hand-painted with multiple shades, creating a unique depth of color that reveals itself fully as you work with it. Gorgeous!
Yarn & color notes: Colors may look different on your device; contact us before ordering if you have questions about the colors. Also, the tiny silver bits are more noticeable in person than in the photos.
Color: HP0137-S Roseberry Sequence
Yarn name: Sparkly DK
Fiber: 75% merino wool/20% silk, 5% stellina (the soft sparkly bits)
Suggested needles: U.S. #5-7
Like this color palette? Get the palette, with color specifications and editable layers, to use in your own projects!
Skein weight: 100 g/3.5 oz.
Yards/skein: 180
Total yards per set: 540!
Gauge: U.S. #6 needle: 19 sts/25 rows = 4"
PLEASE NOTE: All yarns will be wound into center-pull balls before shipping, so they'll arrive ready-to-use! If you'd rather your yarn was left in skein form (as shown here), you must let us know when you place your order. Thank you!
Care: Hand-wash the goodies you make with this luxury yarn, in cool-to-lukewarm water with a gentle detergent. Do not agitate items; just let them soak. Squeeze soap out and rinse carefully in cool water; gently squeeze excess water out, then lay flat to dry.
Available for custom orders.
PROJECT IDEAS: Since this lovely silk has a matte finish rather than shiny, it will work well for casual warm-weather accessories; I can see this yarn in a beautiful little capelet, for example, or perhaps a pair of socks for your friends who can't wear wool? You can also use this yarn to make a fabulous scarf (1 skein should be enough, depending on your stitch, scarf width, etc.), or use 2 skeins to create a stunning shawl or wrap. There's also a FREE pattern for a lace scarf at Knittique.com!


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That depends. I just read a book that had a sex scene that took up one entire chapter, and I got to wondering if it was really necessary to the plot. Did the story really need that chapter? The scene was between two characters, a male and a female, who had already been introduced to the reader as lovers. Before the sex scene, they'd never been shown having sex in any overt way, but because of their well-characterized relationship, the reader almost certainly got the idea they were lovers. My conclusion for that book in particular was that, no, the sex scene wasn't really necessary. In fact, when I began reading that chapter, I wondered almost immediately why it had been put in. It seemed so out of place. I assume it was there largely for the titillation factor. Possibly to hold the reader's interest in the crucial middle section of the book when the reader might falter in his/her desire to continue reading. He/she might put the book down and have a ham sandwich. But that brings up the real question I want to examine here: are sex scenes ever really required in a book?
There are a few reasons a sex scene might reasonably be present in a novel. (I'm not talking about porn novels here.) Sex scenes are always going to be suspect because of the titillation factor. Many readers might look at them as simply erotic nonsense, unrelated to the plot of the book. And why have a sex scene if you can just tell the reader that two characters are lovers, or show them being lovers in other ways? But I think there are two situations where a real sex scene might be acceptable. To wit:
1. To introduce two characters as lovers when that fact was not evident from the context preceding the scene. This might be difficult to pull off, though. Again, why not just tell the reader the two are lovers? In some cases, the old adage, "Show, don't tell," could come into play. "Telling" the reader could be literarily unacceptable. An intimate love scene might just be the best way to show the love between two characters.
2. To demonstrate the conception of a child. And even introduce that child as another character in the book.
I have to admit that in the three science fiction novels I've written, two had sex scenes. In one, the second reason above was the prime motivation for including the sex scene. The birth of the new character becomes a vitally important factor in the plot. (You'll have to read the book to find out exactly how.) In the other, the sex scene wasn't as graphic as it was in the first, but it did show the developing relationship between the two characters, who hadn't had any sexual relations up to that point.
I may be treading on thin ice here with this post, because many people may consider sex scenes totally and completely unnecessary. But sex scenes, like anything else in the book, can work if used sparingly and properly. Everything in a novel, and this includes sex scenes, must do one of several things: advance the plot, show us something about the characters we didn't previously know, or provide a little background in the form of backstory. A sex scene, tastefully done, can be a part of that. Everything else is fluff, and probably should be removed.
What do you think? Are there other reasons sex scenes might be acceptable in a novel?


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Daily Movie Quiz – Tortured Geniuses
The silver screen loves to tell the real-life stories of the tortured and troubled. Which stories about female artists ended with a suicide? What were Leonardo DiCaprio's last words in The Aviator ? What condition does Russell Crowe suffer from in A Beautiful Mind ? Check your mental movie health with our tortured geniuses quiz. Take Quiz »


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Welcome to the Steam Shower Parts and Spares website......
Here you will find numerous replacement parts and spares for many styles of steam shower cabins, shower enclosures, and whirlpool bath steam showers. These are of the type that was and still are, made in China and sold in the UK over the past 5 to 7 years. Model names and product codes, as well as the styles and designs of these showers, can vary, but many of the integral parts are the same and originate from just a handful of manufacturers in the Far East.
Steam Shower Parts also stock a wide range of Shower door rollers and wheels for many popular makes and models, including brands sold in large UK d.i.y stores such as B&Q, Homebase, and Wickes.
Please see further down this page for more details of models and codes, or click an image below to view individual product Categories, or to View All. Thank you for visiting!
- Which Part?
- Suppliers
- Model Names
- Model Codes
Unfortunately, we are unable to advise whether a particular replacement part will fit or be suitable for, an individual shower make or model. The shower parts displayed, are only for the types of showers as described above – you can view a cross section of these on this website here – as mentioned, these shower cabins are often sold by other suppliers, under different names and model codes.
It is therefore recommended you closely compare your shower and required parts, to these models and to the parts images throughout this website to determine the item required. Please Note: Our spares and parts are for Online Ordering only…we are unable to take Telephone Orders.
Below is a list of Suppliers of steam and shower cabins in the UK, that many of our parts are compatible with:- Aqualusso, Insignia, Aquaplus, Bathtek, Browne's Health, Insignia, Smart Price Warehouse, JT Spas, Burnley Plumbing Supplies, Steam & Shower, Bath Depot, Eden Steam Showers, Red Sauna, Cascada, Vidalux, Trading Depot, Heat & Plumb, Prestige Bathrooms, Victorian Plumbing, Di Vapour, Indigo Showers, Superior Showers, Better Bathrooms and various others. If your Supplier is not listed above, as mentioned on the previous Tab, please have a look at the steam showers and shower cabins here and compare.
The following product names may also be relevant to your model: Crystal, Davenport, Clearwater, Orlando, Baywood, Pembrook, Pinebrook, Waterbury, Sanford, Portland, Avondale, Bahama, Grenada, Bermuda, Aruba, Anguilla, Cuba, Saba, Lucia, Bonaire, Belize, Puerto, Andorra, Aegean, Hawaii, La Romana, Malibu, Tropicana, Florida, Burlington, Marbella, Torrario, Princeton, Barona, Kingsley, Deltri, Kiswia, Cleopatra, Paron, Munderin, Trinity, Sutherland, Gartho, Fentro, Monaco, Geneva, Caspian, Cannes, Saint-Tropez, Persian, Richmond, Boston, Washington, New York, Bianco, Pluo, Insignia and Cascata, Alto 01, Alto 02, Alto 03, Alto 04, Alto w1, Alto W2, Alto W3, Alto ST, Alto 90, Alto 95, Alto 80, Alto 12,
As a further cross reference, product codes and original packing codes may be as follows: 8004, 622, 9002, 9003, 8008, 8002, 9013, 9011, 09002 8283, H88-842, H88-843, H88-844, H88-845,H88-846, 1003, 9040, 9008, 9010, 9009, 9007, 9017, 9014, 9015, 9001, 9004, B001, 9021, 8007 BH01, BH02, BH03, BH04, BH05, BH06, BH07, BH08, BH09, BH98, BH62, BH16, BH92, BH93, BH42, BH43, BH44, BH45, BH46, SP01, SP02, SP03, SP04, SP05, SP06, SP07, SP08, SP09, SP98, SP62, SP16, SP92, SP93, SP42, SP43, SP44, SP45, SP46, MK117, MK220, TR001, TR019, TR016, TR002, TR002Y-1, C007, GT9015, GT9002, GT8002, GT8004,GT9008, GT9016, GT9017, GT9001, GT9005, GT855, GT8058, GT8059, GT1057, GT1058, GT8720, GT8721, GT8722, GT8727, GT8728, Alto 01, Alto 02, Alto 03, Alto 04, Alto w1, Alto W2, Alto W3, Alto ST, Alto 90, Alto 95, Alto 80, Alto 12,


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Emergency Brownstone Repair
Given our profession it is quite normal for there to be some need to address emergencies. We had never had a brownstone emergency, however. Before the winter arrived in Philadelphia we got a call that a good chunk of brownstone was going to fall to the pavement. Making it safe was easy, bringing the highly decayed sections of this Brownstone structure back to solid beauty was not. Brownstone is such a beautiful part of our city, but it's use has always been somewhat problematic. Care must be taken with material selections as the natural stone needs to breathe, while most repair materials attempt to seal. We typically find the most heavily damaged brownstone to be under earlier repairs, where the rock has turned to sand. Ornamentation is a additional challenge, but one Jenny is particularly suited to given her background as a sculptor.


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The soulful coffee campaign began as a university assignment. Its aim is to create awareness of ethical and sustainable coffee practices amongst university students.
I feel that only through discerning the production of coffee, can we begin to imagine lifting farmers and workers out of poverty in developing nations. With resources, such as the FairTrade label, it is hard to not ignore the realities. This website will aim to build the bridge from the growers and workers to the drinkers and students who need their morning coffee.


text: ron minnich wrote: > I've gotten curious: does erasing erased pages count as a 'write > cycle' against that page? It probably counts as an erase cycle. Writing runs a large current through cells, storing some charge in what is essentially an insulated conductor. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hot_carrier_injection Erasing also runs a large current through cells, but in reverse, to empty out the stored charge. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_tunneling (good graphics here) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fowler-Nordheim_tunneling I haven't found if a flash cell fails because of the repeated exposure to high currents when writing or erasing, or because of the charge transfer that occurs when a cell changes value. Even if re-erasing an erased cell can be assumed to not be as harmful as erasing a programmed cell, it will still have an impact on the lifetime of the cell. Maybe it is negligeable though. If the important wear is in fact not high currents, but rather charge moving into or out of the store, as supported by the likening of that process with an ionization radiation effect, then re-erasing will not have much of an impact on the lifetime because no charge has to move around in the cell. Tom - do you know? //Peter


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Many would consider Mark Instict and Virus Syndicate's music to be addictive, and others 'toxic', or even venomous! That's the theme behind the song, and they wanted us, and Redeye Knight Productions, to portray that in their new music video filmed in Manchester.
Urban dubstep music video production
We met up with RKP, the Virus Syndicate boys and a few extras one rainy morning back in 2012 on the streets of Ancoats, Manchester, with a DSLR camera, a GoPro, a Steadycam and some umbrellas, ready for action to begin the filming for the new 'Venom' music video production. Everything ran smoothly and the finished result looked really stylish.
In the planning of the music video we decided we were going to go for a Sin City 'Yellow Bastard' look and asked the boys to wear clothes that had some bright blue in them, so that we could change it to a bright yellow later.
Why not just wear yellow to begin with you ask? Well, that would have just made things that little more difficult. You see, in the post-production we were going to remove colours individually until we were left with one colour that we could then change to a completely different colour. It's not so obvious but skin tones have yellow in them too, so if we'd have used yellow we'd have colour from the skin that we'd have to compete with too. Skin doesn't have any blue tones in it so it was the obvious choice for us to keep things as simple as possible in the post-production.
In the movies they use both blue screens and green screens, why not use green? Well, similar to the skin tones we predicted we'd have to contend with, we didn't want to contend with the surrounding scenery in the outdoor shots like trees and grass either. But one thing that we did take into account was the blue sky. Luckily it was quite a dull and grey day anyway but we didn't anticipate was that the leather jacket being worn reflected some blue from the sky which made the post-production process a little bit longer as it required more editing than we'd hoped to get rid of the unneeded blue parts.
Later in the day we moved indoors to a local studio to set up the lab. In these scenes we had the boys producing the venom with a few girls helping with the manufacturing and distribution of the product. The lighting conditions were a bit poor which affected the quality of the final product, but when it came to the styling, and giving it that Sin City look with some glitchy time-remapping effects, veryone agreed that we'd done a great job and sounded really happy with the result.
"Scott is a f**king lord… end of!"
Nika D, MC, Virus Syndicate


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Amazon have released version 1.9 of the Lumberyard game engine. Lumberyard is a fork of Crytek's CryEngine, used in such titles as Crysis, Ryse, MechWarrior Online and the massive Star Citizen, which has now switched to using Lumberyard. It's available for developers free of cost with the only caveat being use of Amazon's online services.
The 1.9 release brings new functionality including:
You can read more details in the release notes available here.
GameDev News


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Growers will vote on the SunRice ASX proposal on September 20
A PLAN to list one of Leeton's biggest employers, SunRice, on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) has been deemed as "the way of the future".
Ricegrowers' Association of Australia (RGA) president Jeremy Morton has thrown his support behind the plan, which will soon be put to members to vote on.
The stakeholder organisation believes the ASX proposal will allow SunRice to raise the capital required to implement its five-year growth strategy, which will aim to deliver a more competitive price for rice growers, ensuring it remains a viable option within farming systems and securing a successful future for the industry in the Riverina.
"As you know, irrigation farming within the Riverina has been impacted by a number of external pressures over the last two decades," Mr Morton said.
"Like all businesses, our future sustainability and success is subject to our ability to adapt to the opportunities and challenges we face.
"We do not believe what is being proposed changes the fundamental purpose of SunRice.
"Rather, we feel this proposal enhances SunRice's ability to achieve its overarching purpose of receiving, processing and marketing rice, in order to achieve long-term improvement in both the returns for growers and the profitability of the company."
In June, the SunRice board announced plans to move the listing of its B class shares from the National Stock Exchange (NSX) to the ASX to improve access to external capital and support the company's growth strategy.
If approved by shareholders, the ASX listing will remove current B class share ownership restrictions and the 5 per cent shareholding cap.
This will allow anyone to invest in SunRice B class shares, up to a new maximum 10 per cent shareholding cap.
The ASX proposal will be taken to a shareholder vote at the time of the SunRice annual general meeting on September 20.
The Rice Marketing Board has also said it has found no reason to expect the plan would adversely impact on the current vesting arrangements.
While you're with us, you can now receive updates straight to your inbox every Friday at 6am from The Irrigator. To make sure you're up to date with all news in Leeton sign up here.
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In just a little over a month fans will finally be able to hit the theaters for the release of the highly anticipated DC smash Justice League.
With each day that passes more and more info seems to find its way to the internet teasing the masses with what they can expect to see when the big day finally arrives.
Most recently a new featurette was released and takes its viewers on a whirlwind sneak peak.


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Present Progressive Lesson Plan Using Authentic Material
This TESOL lesson plan uses a newspaper article to discuss current events and teach the Present Progressive
-Learn to create professional lesson plans with a TESOL certification course by OnTESOL!-
Level: Low Intermediate and above
Lesson Aims:
– To review the use and structure of the Present Continuous / Progressive Tense through reading comprehension using authentic material.
– To review the different functions of the Present Continuous / Progressive Tense: describing an action happening at the moment of speaking vs. describing current ongoing events and processes.
– To review vocabulary connected to the ocean, the beach and sea-creatures.
– To provide practice of the structure and function of the Present Continuous / Progressive Tense
Free TESOL Training: Replacing the Textbook with Authentic Material
Free TESOL Training: How to Write a Grammar Lesson Plan


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Although you may feel like the relationship is going well your partner might be stuck in the past. Being stuck in the past makes your partner's mind wander to any place but here and it will slowly deteriorate his love to you. So what is the root of this problem? Who is it that he is looking for in the past?
A baby mama is a term for a woman that have a child with a man outside of marriage. You may think that it is a one time mistake with her but there is a big chance that your guy is falling for her. Do not let her ruin your relationship and do not be blindsided. Here are the sneaky signs that your boyfriend is not over his baby mama:
- They are parenting a lot together
Even though they co-parent because they lead different lives, the sign that your guy is still stuck on her is that they parent this child together for an excessive amount of time. They spend a whole day or even a whole week together. You can't even have a day with him!
- He really tries to cater to her needs
It looks like he really tries to make her happy by buying her gift or hanging out with her. Although he assure you that he already cut the ties with her, now he might be showing the Signs He is Player. He is actually falling in love with her each time you let him be with her.
- He is on her side
When you complain about her behavior or even bad mouth her for a little bit, he gets protective of her. Especially when you and his baby mama is fighting, he takes her side. This is when you know that he is more in love with her.
- He does not want you to be around her
Because he really loves his baby mama, he wants to protect her by not putting her up with her enemy, his current girlfriend. He knows that it will not be pretty if you two are together so he tries his best to make you not meet her at any cost.
- They spend a lot of trips out of town together
His excuse might be that he wants his child to be with a full family, but a trip outside of town just with her seems to odd. You need to raise your suspicion when he says this because he might show the Signs Of A Cheater Guy
- He is in contact with her a lot
Exes should stay in the past and let the present time be. But it seems that he is in constant contact with his past which is his baby mama. His baby mama is exhibiting the Signs That Your Ex Girlfriend Misses You
- He talks with her more in a conversation together
Even though you are clearly in the room, he talks with her more and does not try to let you in the conversation. Clearly, staying in this relationship will show the Signs of An Unhealthy Relationship with Boyfriend
- He gets physical with her
He shyly grabs her hand or hug her close even though you are watching. If he do this when you are around, he doesn't even care if you get hurt. The point is that he is really stuck on her.
- He listens to her more
When she tells him to do something, he do it straight away. Meanwhile when you ask him to do something, he complains and make it seem like a big favor to ask.
- He wants privacy with her
Your boyfriend tells you to go away just to talk with her. What is it that needs to be talked about that needs this much privacy? It might be something way more personal and deep.
- He makes her his priority
Every time she ask for his help, even if it is in the middle of the night, he will come running. He will look so panicked when she is in the slightest trouble. This is because she has become his priority in his life.
More ways to know that your boyfriend is not over his baby mama
- He is more stiff with you – it looks like he is more relaxed and care free when he is with his baby mama
- He talks about how amazing she is – sounds like you are invisible and the person he should be in a relationship with is her
- He is still a big part of her family – he still goes to meet her family and he does not think that it is awkward.
- He still keep his things – there are many things that belongs to her that he can never seem to let go
- He compares you to her – what you do is never enough and she is always perfect in his mind
- She is her bestfriend – you are not even his friend and he is slowly showing the (signs a guy is breaking up with you
What to do if he is not over his baby mama
- Talk to him – ask him the real question if he is really over his past or not. Demand him to tell you the truth. Also, ask him about what makes the current relationship he have with you not satisfying.
- Listen – do not get all defensive and get into a fight. It will make the problem worse. Listen to the problem and make peace with the fact that it is over.
- Move on – no use in falling in love with someone that is not ready to love you. So what you need to do is find (ways move on) so that you can be happier.
The signs that your boyfriend is not over his baby mama is usually hidden. But now you know and you can do something about it!


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Tim Tebow and Focus on the Family January 26, 2010Posted by A. Robinson in Life.
Tags: Angry, soap box
6 comments
So, yeah. Abortion. Recently Tim Tebow, golden boy of the University of Florida'a offense, has agreed to be in a Focus on the Family commercial that will air during the Super Bowl. Surprisingly, I first read the story on the E! News website (way to go, entertainment news!). To make things easy, I'll recap the issue: Tim Tebow and his mother, Pam, are going to talk about how Pam refused to abort him despite medical advice. Women's groups are pissed, and lobbying CBS to pull the ad.
Alright, so I might have already commented on abortion on this blog, but I'm going to do it again. I have to say, I find the statements by the Women's groups really, really disturbing. It's this comment that's upsetting:
Citing the history of violence against doctors who perform abortions and the recent murder of Dr. George Tiller in Kansas, the letter continued pointedly: "We sincerely hope you do not want CBS associated with this brand of un-American hate."
Now, I can understand this kind of anger if CBS is not allowing Pro-Choice groups to run advertisements during the Super Bowl. I agree with equal representation; if CBS is trying to block pro-choice commercials…well, then, that's a serious problem. However, from the articles I've read, this doesn't seem to be the case. Instead, women's rights groups are hissing about a "hate filled" agenda. Also, it's important to note that no one knows what this commercial says, except that CBS has released statements that the 30 second piece never uses the word "abortion," though one assumes it talks about "choosing life" and "keeping babies."
It's the continued, sustained violent rhetoric that I have such problem with. Not everyone who is pro-life is also a crazy, violent, murderous nutjob. In the same way, pro-choicers are not all passive, peace-loving, non-agressive folk (you should you-tube pro-choice violence. There's a video of a pro-choice woman taking out a peaceful pro-life protestor). The fact that organizations on both sides of the picket-line keep using incredibly divisive, incredibly charged language is dangerous, in my opinion.
Additionally, I hate it when people who are pro-choice act like the idea of keeping a baby is a terrible option. In one of the articles, a women's group basically gives CBS the big wagging finger of shame for aligning itself with a pro-life political stance (though, if CBS believes in all the commercials it airs, it also thinks Axe body spray is basically female supermodel attractant). It seems to me that Focus on the Family–which, I'll go ahead and say it, is mostly a nutball organization–is presenting another choice to women across the country. They're not saying don't abort, but they are saying that there's a choice for life. I think that real feminists would put a certain amount of value on the power of knowledge. There was once a time when women didn't have the option for abortion at all; there was also a time when a women didn't have the right to choose whether she kept or aborted her fetus. In a world where women are still wrestling for equality with men, we should be focusing on educating our daughters, not polarizing them. What a sad world it is when someone who gets unintentionally pregnant thinks she has to abort or has to keep the baby to term because that's what she's been taught.
The real loser here is the Super Bowl, really. When the station cuts to break, I want to watch ads with dancing frogs, or people falling down, not get inundated with the same political mumbo-jumbo that I see every day. Come on, CBS! Do us all a favor and keep politics separate from football.
I'm Lovin': Fake Facebooking January 22, 2010Posted by A. Robinson in Life.
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I know this is such a silly trend, but these made me laugh. I'm posting a few I found on failbooking.com, but Slate regularly runs these too.
Happy New Year! January 7, 2010Posted by A. Robinson in Life.
1 comment so far
Wow, a new decade, huh? I guess it's time to get back into the swing of things…like blog posting. Because, you know, what could be more important than that? Really.
Anyway, I thought I'd start off by sharing this news story from the New York Times about H & M destroying clothing. I have to say, I find this disgusting. I sort of understand their theory–they don't want crazy college students waiting until they dump their clothing to pick up $100 shirts for free. But why dump the clothes in the first place?
This is particularly upsetting given the weather around here recently. By tomorrow, the lows are supposed to be close to -10; Northwest Arkansas is scrambling to set up warming centers for the homeless and elderly. Many times clothing can make the difference between freezing to death and living through the night. H&M cutting up winter coats? Good lord, there are plenty of organizations that would take the coats and then make sure that they were given to the poor. It's obvious that they couldn't move the product anyway–their company is already eating that loss. Geez, how hard would it be to give the clothes to a non-profit? It would be so easy.
For shame, H & M.


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TT Service Centre was established by husband and wife duo Francois and Bianca Ellis. The company opened its doors in February 2015 with Francois being the brainchild and driving force behind the company's achievements and success. Mr Ellis has vast experience in the motoring industry for many years. After qualifying and working in the field for a number of years, he then decided to start a firm of his own. The name has special meaning to owners and to the company as a whole. The name was inspired by Francois and Bianca's two children Tristan and Tiffany, with the double 'T' in TT Service Centre representing the T's in the names of their children.
TT Service Centre is based in the Western Cape with it's offices located in Goodwood and Parow in the Northern Suburbs South Africa. At TT Service Centre, we strive to bring you excellent service and solutions for all your car problems. We have a team of highly skilled and professional mechanics and technicians. We specialize in both major and minor services and we always ensure that we carry out every job as safely as possible.
We care about our client's wellbeing on the road and thus work hard to ensure that after every service the car is safer than it was before it came to us.
Quality Guaranteed and Customer Satisfaction
We love nothing more than to keep our clients happy – for this reason, we endeavour to always deliver outstanding workmanship of the highest quality. We will look after your car as if it were our own so you can have the peace of mind to know that your trusted motor vehicle is left in the sound and capable hands of our trained mechanics.
Make and Car Models
Here at TT Service Centre we know that no car is the same and so we make it our duty to ensure that our members of staff remain at the top of their game within this thriving industry. We train and equipped every staff member with the latest features pertaining to newer model cars, thus we are able to maintain and service all car types.
The following are just some of the names in the motoring industry that we service and see at our service centres:
We bring you convenience in the fact that we are able to take care of your car no matter what make you may have. We are specialized at servicing everything from Italian and German cars to French and Korean cars.
We also offer a wide variety of spares and parts suited to the make of the vehicle booked for service.
- Audi
- Toyota
- Opel
- Mazda
- Renault
- Citroën
- Mercedes
- Kia
- Hyundai
- Honda
- Ford
Our Service Rates
Here at TT Service Centre we understand that a car can sometimes be unpredictable and can sometimes let us down when we least expect – but with a good service plan and affordable service rates, you can't go wrong. We thus strive to always be the market leader when it comes to workmanship and affordability.
We make use of trusted Original Equipment Manufacturing (OEM) brands such as Ferodo, Gates, ATE, Bosch, LUK, Monroe, SFK, GUD and more.
Goals and Mission
- We endeavour to always deliver services and products for our clients
- We strive to keep our customers happy by delivering an exceptional outcome
- Our team is professional and operate responsibly offering friendly service at all times
- No job is too big or too small for us to take on
- Our clients are important to us and we strive to maintain long-term business relationships with them
Quick Turnaround Time
We know how important your car is and some of us rely on our vehicles as a total means of transportation. We understand that when a car gets booked in for a service, the owner needs to have it back as soon as possible and so we believe in delivering not only quality but a quick turnaround time for all our clients.
Contact us for a free quote and for more information on our services and products.
Bianca Ellis manages our branch in Goodwood and Francois Ellis manages the branch in Parow so no matter which branch you visit, you can rest assure that you're in good hands.


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Bring frost-free freshness into your kitchen
You no longer have to empty out the fridge or freezer during a routine defrosting, because there is no more routine defrosting. Samsung's True No Frost feature ensures even cooling to eliminate frost and icy build-ups. Now you can keep all your perishables fresh and nutritious, and have more time for other chores or fun activities. What's more, by maintaining an even temperature, True No Frost puts less demands on energy needs, which increases the durability of the cooling system.
Take advantage of storing more food
New RR6000 allows you to reserve enough amounts of foods and ingredients without juggle with your food items. Freezer and fridge combined capacity is total of 627-liter that gives you plenty of room to spare for your food and beverages of all sizes. Take advantage of storing more fresh food than any other 1 door fridge and freezer.
A fresher way to store fruits and vegetables
While some fruits may be mistaken for vegetables, and vice versa, the Moisture Control Big Box understands that the two food groups have different moisture needs. Set the optimal humidity level for your peas or pears – and keep fresh longer – simply by opening or closing the control bar. The box is also spacious enough to hold everything from honeydew melons to large zucchini.
For smooth and safe access
Fully pull-out drawers with sturdy sliding rails ensure smooth freezer-drawer operation. You don't need to digging through an icy cold freezer to reach foods at the bottom anymore.
For taller and bigger items
The new RR6000 fridge's Foldable shelf adds extra flexiblity to your storage. It can be easily folded up to fit in any sized items, including larger bottles and tall or bulky containers. So you can enjoy more convenient way to organise and store your food.
A brighter way to save energy
The stylish Tower LED lighting bathes the interior with light that beautifully presents all your groceries. Items are easier to find, so you'll spend less time with the door open looking for an elusive snack hidden in the far corners of your fridge and freezer. The space-saving design of the lighting opens up more room for food. It also emits no heat and uses less energy than conventional bulbs, both of which help to lower your energy bill.
Even cooling everywhere
All-Around Cooling ensures that every item on every shelf and in every box remains evenly chilled. Strategically placed vents circulate cool air everywhere inside the fridge and the freezer to maintain an even and constant temperature that helps foods stay fresh loner. Meanwhile, the built-in Deodorizer eliminates strong odors such as last night's spicy chili.
As flexible as it is stylish
One innovation that sets apart the new RR6000 1 door Refrigerator and 1 door Freezer from conventional side-by-side units is the ability to place the refrigerator on either side of the stand alone freezer. Both feature reversible doors that can be adjusted to open to the left or to the right. This customisability helps ensure that your fridge and freezer doors don't swing out into an entranceway or knock up against cabinets.
Digital Inverter Technology
Thanks to Digital Inverter Technology, Samsung appliances are designed SMARTER, so it uses less energy, minimises noise and reduces wear and tear for longer-lasting performance.
2 Big Box
Two convenient Big Boxes offer effortless organisation and greater capacities than bins found in typical fridges. Store bulky items such as a turkey in one, and fill the other with smaller items like apples, pears and melons. Simply pull the Big Boxes out to stock – and access – your groceries.
Movable Deli Bin
Moving left and right as you want and keeps dairy food, chocolate in this box between shelf
Twist Ice Maker
Whether you're throwing a large party or enjoying a glass of lemonade on a hot day, when you need ice, simply turn to the Twist Ice Maker. Twist either of the two dials clockwise to dispense ice cubes into the brightly lit ice cube bin, which pulls out for easy access.


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COMPASS approached us looking to simplify their website, with the hopes to create an experience that was easy for users to find what they needed quickly. Over time and continuous edits, their previous site had become confusing and pages were getting buried and lost.
Cassel Bear's team jumped right into talking through the user experience, making sure to discuss all audiences that could be visiting COMPASS and created clear goals to push the project forward. This paired with research of other rape crisis organizations helped us to create a comforting visual design that allows people to get help quickly when visiting the site.
To help take the website design to the next level, Cassel Bear planned and created new photography assets for the project. The previous site was lacking images because COMPASS did not want to alienate any of the diverse groups of people that could be coming to them for help. To achieve this without having to use stock photos, we focused on the emotions rather than the people. Our designers also processed the images to give them a soothing, warm glow. This helped to visually convey the comforting work that the staff at COMPASS do for people in the community.
Let's Get Started
Whether you're looking for someone to handle all of your marketing efforts or partner with you on your next project, get in touch. Let's find out if we are a fit.


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sonic youth 100%
Uploaded by get-s. - See the latest featured music videos.
they were great. kim looked dope and i think she was wearing marc jacobs? thurston moore is still crazy hot, that is just truesnfacts.
kansas city was a great daytime city, but the nightlife was just ok? we met some great folks and i have a bunch of posts coming on TV about it.


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Should you require a reliable emergency Surrey plumber, or gas-heating engineer, we offer a same day service, so please contact us for Plumbing, Heating, Boiler Repairs, Boiler installation and replacement, Energy Efficiency and Power Flushing. We take pride in our work, with all plumbing jobs carried out professionally and promptly. We always treat your property with respect and leave it, in a clean and tidy condition on completion of work.
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Blu-ray Review: 'Planes, Trains And Automobiles'
It's been 30 years since the theatrical debut of Planes, Trains and Automobiles, which means of course Planes, Trains and Automobiles is being re-released on Blu-ray. I debated whether to agree to review this re-release because, you know, does anyone actually care, but then I remembered one important detail: Planes, Trains and Automobiles is one of the best comedies of all time, so why not use this Blu-ray review as an excuse to watch it for the 20th time.
Oddly, but thankfully, the Blu-ray/DVD/Digital HD combo packaging doesn't try to pass this re-release off as a 30th Anniversary Edition. That's probably well and good considering that there is literally nothing new on this Blu-ray for people who like special features.
The special features include:
- Getting There is Half the Fun: The Story of Planes, Trains and Automobiles – a recording of a banter-filled press conference with John Hughes, Steve Martin and John Candy.
- John Hughes: Life Moves Pretty Fast – a two-part feature that, combined, weighs in at a healthy 27 minutes and provides interesting insight into Mr. Hughes, his approach to filmmaking, characters and story, and impact on the celebrities around him. Worth checking out.
- Deleted scene, about airplane food
- A Tribute to John Candy – a three-minute montage about the funnyman
- John Hughes for Adults – a four-minute feature
All of those were included in the previous Blu-ray release of the movie in 2012.
So, if you already own the movie, there is literally no reason to reinvest in this newer version, but if Planes, Trains and Automobiles is not a part of your collection (first, what in God's name is wrong with you?) or you need a digital copy, fork over $25 and get this situation resolved right away.


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10 Things You Should Know About the Armenian Genocide
10 Facts You Must Know About the Armenian Genocide.
The Armenian Genocide occurred during World War I, from 1915 to 1922 in the Ottoman Empire. Although the present Turkish government denies that the massacres constituted a "genocide", scholars and historians maintain that the systematic slaughtering of 1.5 million Armenians by the Young Turks and their militant organization can irrevocably be considered one of the world's first holocausts.Much like the Holocaust in Nazi Germany during World War II, the origins of this genocide stemmed from religious bias and the desire to "cleanse" and "exterminate" a specific population.As these subjects are of a very sensitive nature, it is prudent to note that the intentions of the following list is in no way meant to insult religious views or affiliation. That being said, the anecdote of bringing awareness to past events in order to avoid "history repeating itself" could not be more prominent in the dissemination of information regarding the late Ottoman's Empire atrocities inflicted on an entire people. The utilization of religious bias as a vehicle for hate and violence was evident in the Armenian Genocide and the massacres preceding the genocide.
Today, Armenians and family members of Armenians who were subject to the atrocities continue to suffer due to the history of their ancestors and lack of acknowledgement from the Turkish government. Armenian citizens, advocates and those whose ancestors were subject to the genocide note that denial of genocide (the eighth stage of genocide) perpetuates the pain and injustice felt by the Armenian culture as a whole.
10. The Turkish Government Denies the Genocide
Turkey's Government Denies the truth of the Armenian Genocide.
Today, the Turkish government still denies that the massacre of approximately 1.5 million Armenians constituted it as a "genocide".This is in spite of the fact that a litany of scholarly articles and proclamations from revered historians have posed evidence that the events leading up to the mass killings—along with the manner in which Armenians were assassinated—irrevocably makes this point in history one of the first holocausts.
According to History, the Turkish deny the genocide by saying, "The Armenians were an enemy force…and their slaughter was a necessary war measure."
The "war" being referenced is World War I, and the events preceding the Armenian genocide—which were paramount in the holocaust's fruition—predate WWI by over 20 years.
One notable Turkish politician, Dogu Perincek, came under fire for his denials of Armenian Genocide while visiting Switzerland in 2008.According to The Telegraph, a Swiss court fined Perjncek after he called the genocide "an international lie." He appealed this charge in 2013 and it was determined by the European Court of Human Rights that the Swiss court's charges had "violated [Perjncek's] right to freedom of expression."
Currently, Amal Clooney (yes, the new Mrs. George Clooney) has joined a legal team that will be representing Armenia in a challenge of that appeal. According to The Telegraph, Clooney will be joined by her head of chambers, Geoffrey Robertson, QC, who is also the author of the Oct. 2014 book, "An Inconvenient Genocide: Who Now Remembers the Armenians?"
Publishers from Random House have stated that the book, "…proves beyond reasonable doubt that the horrific events of 1915 constituted the crime against humanity that is now known as genocide."
The irony in Perjnek's outrage over the charges made against him are evident; Perjnek is an advocate of Turkey's current laws which condemn citizens from speaking about the Armenian Genocide.
9. In Turkey, Discussion of the Armenian Genocide is Illegal
It is illegal in Turkey to discuss the Armenian Genocide.
In Turkey, discussion of the Armenian genocide is considered an offense punishable by imprisonment. In 2010, Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan actually threatened 100,000 Armenians with deportation in response to an Armenian Genocide Remembrance Bill presented to the House of Commons.
Foreign Affairs Correspondent, Damien McElroy, detailed the events in an article. Erdogan made this statement—later referred to as "blackmail" by Armenian MP, Hrayr Karapetyan—following the issuance of the bill:
"There are currently 170,000 Armenians living in our country. Only 70,000 of them are Turkish citizens, but we are tolerating the remaining 100,000…If necessary, I may have to tell these 100,000 to go back to their country because they are not my citizens. I don't have to keep them in my country."
"The statement once again proves that there is an Armenian genocide threat in present Turkey, thus world community should pressurize Ankara to recognise [the] genocide," was Karapetyan's response to Erdogan's subtle threats.
8. America Has Been Hesitant to Label the Events as a Genocide
Uncle Sam says I don't want to touch this thing with a ten foot pole.
Although American government and media have labeled the slaughtering of 1.5 million Armenians as "atrocities" or "massacres," the word "genocide" has seldom made its way into U.S. vernacular when describing the events that occurred from 1915 to 1923. It was not until 2004 that the words "Armenian Genocide" appeared in the New York Times. Peter Balakian, a professor of humanities at Colgate University, and Samantha Power, a lecturer at Harvard's Kennedy School of Government, composed a letter to the Times' editor which was subsequently published.
In the letter, Balakian and Power chastise the Times' and other media outlets for their failure to label the atrocities that occurred during 1915 as a genocide.
"The extermination of the Armenians is recognized as genocide by the consensus of scholars of genocide and Holocaust worldwide. The failure to acknowledge this trivializes a human rights crime of enormous magnitude," reads one passage of the letter. "It is ironic as well, because in 1915 The New York Times published 145 articles about the Armenian genocide and regularly used the words 'systematic,' 'government planned' and 'race extermination.'"
Currently, recognition of the 1915 events as a genocide by America is being considered by the U.S. House of Representatives. The resolution proposed is coined "Armenian Genocide resolution" for short but its official title is "H. Res 106 or the Affirmation of the United States Record on the Armenian Genocide Resolution."
7. Religion's Role in the Armenian Genocide
Islam played a terrible role in the Armenian Genocide
The religious origins of the Armenian Genocide date back to the 15th century when Armenia's rule was absorbed by the Ottoman Empire.Leaders of the Ottoman Empire were primarily Muslim. Christian Armenians were considered minorities by the Ottoman Empire and though they were "allowed to maintain some autonomy," they were largely treated as second-class citizens; i.e., Armenians were denied the right to vote, paid higher taxes than Muslims, and were denied a plethora of other legal and economic rights. Resentment and bias was prevalent in the leaders of The Ottoman Empire, as unfair treatment toward the Armenians elevated into violence toward the Christian minorities.
In the early 1900's, The Ottoman Empire was dismantled and taken over by the Young Turks. The Young Turks initially framed themselves as leaders who would guide the country and its citizens to a place that was more democratic and constitutionally sound.Armenians were initially overjoyed at this prospect, but later learned that the Young Turks' revamping would include extermination as a means to "Turkify" the new state.
The rule of the Young Turks would be the catalyst in what is now known to be one of the world's first genocides.
Religion's role in this genocide was prominent, as Christianity was perpetually viewed as a justification for the holocaust carried out by militant followers of the Young Turks. Similarly, the extermination of Jewish citizens was considered a justification to Nazi Germany during World War II.
6. Lead-up to the Armenian Genocide: "Box on an Ear" Comment
The Young Turk's Box on an Ear. Understatement of all time.
The "box on an ear" comment was one that could be considered a grim foreshadowing of the Armenian Genocide. According to History, Turkish dictator Sultan Abdul Hamid II made this sinister threat to a reporter in 1890:
"I will soon settle those Armenians," he said. "I will give them a box on an ear which will make them…relinquish their revolutionary ambitions."
Before the Armenian Genocide in 1915, these threats were realized during a massacre of thousands of Armenians between 1894 and 1896. According to the United Human Rights Council, the pleas from Christian Armenians for reform led to "…over 100,000 inhabitants of Armenian villages [being] slaughtered during widespread pogroms conducted by Sultan's special regiments."
The Ottoman Empire's ruler was overthrown by a group called the Young Turks. Armenians hoped this new regime would lead to a fair and just society for their people. Unfortunately, the group became expeditors of the Armenian genocide during World War I.
5. The Young Turks
Turkish Soldier Terrorizing young Armenians
In 1908, a group of "reformers"calling themselves "The Young Turks" overthrew Sultan Hamid and gained leadership in Turkey. The aim of the Young Turks initially seemed to be one which would lead the country to a place of equality and justice, and the Armenians hoped for peace amongst their people in light of the changes.
However, it quickly became evident that the Young Turks' goal was to "Turkify" the country and eliminate the Armenians. The Young Turks were the catalyzers of the Armenian Genocide which occurred during WWI and was responsible for the slaughter of nearly two million Armenians.
Many wonder why the crimes of the Young Turks are not viewed as prominently as the crimes of the Nazi party during the Holocaust.Scholars and historians note that part of the reason for this could be the lack of accountability that was taken on by the Young Turks for their crimes. After the Ottoman Empire surrendered in 1918, the leaders of the Young Turks fled to Germany, where they were promised to be exempt from any type of persecution for their atrocities.
From this point forward, the Turkish government—alongside several allies of Turkey—has denied that a genocide ever took place. In 1922, the Armenian Genocide came to an end, leaving only 388,000 Armenians remaining in the Ottoman Empire.
4. Why Were the Events Considered a Genocide?
The Armenian Genocide. When was the term Genocide coined?
The term "genocide" refers to the systematic mass killing of a specific group of people. The name "genocide" was not coined until 1944 when Polish-Jewish lawyer, Raphael Lemkin, used the term during trials to describe the crimes committed by the top Nazi leaders. Lemon created the word by combining the Greek word for "group" or "tribe" (geno-) and the Latin word for "killing" (cide).
In a 1949 CBS interview, Lemkin stated that his inspiration for the the term came from the fact that systematic killings of specific groups of people had "happened so many times in the past," as with the Armenians.
3. Similarities between the Armenian Genocide and the Holocaust
Many Similarities between the Holocaust and Armenian Genocide
There are several pieces of evidence which are indicative of the fact the the Armenian Genocide was an inspiration to Adolf Hitler before he led the Nazi party in the attempted extermination of an entire people. This point has been the subject of many heated debates, particularly in reference to an alleged quote Hitler made regarding the Armenians.
It was declared by many genocide scholars that a week before the invasion of Poland on September 1, 1939, Hitler asked, "Who speaks today of the extermination of Armenians?"
According to a 2013 Midwestern Quarterly article by Hannibal Travis, it is indeed possible that—as many have argued—the quote from Hitler did not actually happen or was embellished in some way by historians. Irregardless, Travis notes that the several parallels between the Armenian Genocide and the Holocaust are transparent.
Both utilized the concept of ethnic "cleaning" or "cleansing".According to Travis, "While the Young Turks implemented a 'clean sweep of internal enemies—the indigenous Christians,' according to the then-German ambassador in Constantinople…Hitler himself used 'cleaning' or 'cleansing' as a euphemism for extermination".
Travis goes on to note that even if Hitler's infamous quote about the Armenians never actually transpired, the inspiration he and the Nazi party gained from the various facets of the Armenian Genocide are undeniable.
2. What Happened During the Armenian Genocide?
The Armenian Genocide officially began April 24, 1915. During this time, the Young Turks had recruited a deadly organization of individuals that were sent to persecute the Armenians. The makeup of this group included murderers and ex-convicts, among others.According to History, one of the officers instructed called the atrocities about to occur, "…the liquidation of the Christian elements."
The genocide played out in the following ways:
Armenians were forcibly removed from their homes and sent on "death marches" which involved treks through the Mesopotamian desert without food or water. Marchers were often stripped naked and forced to walk until dropping dead. Those that stopped for reprieve or respite were shot
Drowning of Armenians in rivers
Forcing Armenians off of cliffs
Crucification and burning
The only Armenians spared were those subject to conversion and/or abuse. Some children of genocide casualties were kidnapped and forced to convert to Islam; these children were to be raised in the home of a Turkish family. Some Armenian women were raped and forced to serve as slaves in Turkish "harems."
1. Commemoration of the Armenian Genocide
The 100th Anniversary of the Armenian Genocide will take place April 23-24 in 2015. This is the Armenia Genocide Memorial in Yerevan, Armenia
Asaf Eliason / Shutterstock.com
The 100th anniversary of the brutal holocaust that took place in 1915 is approaching, and international efforts to commemorate the victims and their families are being made. According to ARMENPRESS, the first official event commemorating the 100th anniversary will be held at Florida Atlantic University in southern Florida. The event will include Boston's Sayat Nova Dance Company as a VIP guest in Boca Raton. ARMENPRESS states that the company's mission is to "…preserve Armenian culture and foster its dissemination."
On the west coast, Los Angeles councilman Paul Kerkorian will be accepting art submissions for an art contest commemorating the 100th anniversary of the Armenian genocide. according to West Side Today, Kerkorian stated that the contest "…is a way to honor the history of the genocide and to highlight the promise of our future."He continued, "I hope artists and students who care about human rights will participate and help commemorate the Armenian people's resilience."
Abroad, the Armenian National Committee (ANC) of Australia has officially launched its #OnThisDay campaign, which will focus on honoring those affected by the Armenian Genocide. According to Asbarez, "ANC Australia has compiled an extensive catalogue of these newspaper clippings from Australian archives, including from the Australian, the Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, The Argus and other notable publications of the day, and will be releasing them on a daily basis via ANC Australia's Facebook page."
ANC Australia's Executive Director, Vache Kahramanian, noted that the information being released will include a litany of articles detailing the "horrors" of the Armenian Genocide along with reports on Australia's humanitarian efforts during that time.
According to Today's Zaman, Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan "…sent invitations to the leaders of 102 states whose soldiers fought in World War I, inviting them to attend an event commemorating the anniversary that is scheduled to take place on April 23-24," the same time that the Armenians will gather to commemorate the 100th anniversary of the genocide experienced from the Ottoman Empire. The invitation was met with offense by Armenian citizens who viewed it as "ill-natured," "a joke," and a "political maneuver" on Erdogan's part.


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Sunday, December 5, 2010
Mary Poppins
DISNEY and CAMERON MACKINTOSH present MARY POPPINS, based on the stories of P.L.Travers and the Walt Disney Film at Her Majesty's Theatre, Melbourne.
The Mary Poppins film was made in 1964.It appeared at the cusp of my entering the bigger world of university, when I became a super sophisticate (Oh, yeah- embarrassing to recall! Forgive me, friends?)
The school holidays of my earlier life were filled with, usually, two movie going experiences: the latest Jerry Lewis film (CINDERFELLA, lives excruciatingly in my memory bank) and the Walt Disney latest: OLD YELLER and THE SLEEPING BEAUTY, two of my fondest memories. Although, any starring Hayley Mills: POLLYANNA, THE PARENT TRAP and a personal favourite THE MOON SPINNERS were also gratifyingly embraced. That Julie Andrews was in THE SOUND OF MUSIC, I saw 16 times at the Mayfair Cinema in Castlereagh Street, and the star of MARY POPPINS, was the only reason that I condescended to see, out of my burgeoning sophistication, this Disney film. I went by myself and never ever told any of my fellow students – my embarrassing secret adventure.
The mix of live action and animation was fairly novel and relatively, a marvel, I remember. I remember judging the songs by the Sherman Brothers as OK Not as good as Rogers and Hammerstein, of course. FEED THE BIRDS, the best; CHIM CHIM CHER-EE, catchy; SUPERCALIFRAGILISTICEXPIIALIDOCIOUS, fun but stupid! Julie Andrews was good, but not as good as she was as Maria in THE SOUND OF MUSIC. Dick Van Dyke just way too over the top and jolly - unbelievable.
So, going to the theatre to see the stage version was going to be a test of my pretended lack of enthusiasm for musical theatre. It cost $132.00. I was determined that I would give it a fair go. J row centre, aisle seat. Good. But it was almost the cost of a ticket to THE MARRIAGE OF FIGARO down in the Melbourne Arts Centre. And that production is (was) great .A considered toss up.
This show has all the Disney efficiency (Director, Richard Eyre) and whizz-bangery (Scenic and Costume Design - the touring production, adapted from the original, Bob Crowley) that you could desire. And , true to it's roots, it is an old fashioned musical with lots of Book (Julian Fellowes), Songs and Music (Original Music and Lyrics by Robert M. Sherman and Robert B. Sherman. New Songs and Additional Music and Lyrics by George Stiles and Anthony Drewe) and best of all, lots and lots of dancing (Choreography by Matthew Bourne).
The cleanliness of the mechanisms of the design and the precision of the dancing, singing and acting delivers a kind of coolness to the presentation. That the character of Mary Poppins (Verity Hunt-Ballard) in this rendition of the P.L. Travers stories leans more to the original conception of a colder and slightly intimidating figure, rather than the strict but 'twinkling' governess of Ms Andrews in the movie, also keeps one at an empathetic distance. (Ms Hunt-Ballard must long to smile - in fact, when she does at last, and I mean almost at last, it is worth the reservation, just). Although I do prefer the Julie Andrews presence of wickedness and sense of fun-(The best thing about the ill fated musical film, STAR, is Ms Andrews sense of play in the great stagings of the musical numbers).
It took me right up to the middle of the second half and the show stopping dancing of the STEP IN TIME interlude to completely surrender and go: "OK, this is good". By the end I thought, "This is well worth the money spent". I was happy and added MARY POPPINS to my pleasant memories of theatre going beside the alternative choice of the night: Opera Australia and Neil Armfield's sublime production of THE MARRIAGE OF FIGARO.
I thought that Matt Lee as Bert was terrific, especially when he was dancing - he does a lot of it- marginally less terrific when he was singing and much less so when he was performing as an actor- not very charming or winning except in a kind of calculated way, too much technique, not enough truthful heart- a kind of out of body experience. Dick van Dyke, then, is a star and from memory, despite his cockney approximation, better. I know comparisons are odious but...$132.00 is $132.00.
On the night I saw it Philip Quast as Mr Banks, did not appear to be fully present and a trifle effortful in everything but his usual good singing qualities, it was a bit throw away in action. Also Marina Prior as Mrs Banks appeared to be distracted and not fully happy in her characterisation or performance.
I missed the clever and subtle work that David Tomlinson delivered in the film to Mr Banks- he had a journey of growth as the neglectful but dutiful Edwardian father that Mr Quast never seemed to fully demarcate. Mr Quast began Mr Banks flustered and became only slightly discombobulated - shirt hanging out of his trousers - before finding his 'Disney' way to warm hearted father figure. The story telling by Mr Quast appears,relatively, shallow in explication.
Similarly, I missed the political spikiness of the Edwardian suffragette that Glynis Johns enthusiased for us in the film. Ms Prior's character is a more harassed and incompetent housewife of the old fashioned image of helpless woman kind - a strand of her hair astrew to iconise her state of flusteredness - a kind of political throwback. Not entirely Ms Prior's fault as the new songs and maybe the changes in the writing may have some basis for the disappointment in the performance. I did miss the song SISTER SUFFRAGETTES, mightily.
On the other hand, the work by Sally-Anne Upton (Mrs Brill) and Christopher Rickerby (Robertson Ay), although of a 'classic' musical theatre genre, were energised and fun -they lifted the 'game' of the performance with limited 'stock' character types, with all of their limited opportunities with real imagined invention.
However, the beautiful energy and brio of Judi Connelli as Miss Andrew, the wicked bully governess, a new character to the story, was best of all. Finely drawn characteristics tumble across her face and body almost word by word. It is so detailed and accurate that Ms Connelli's Miss Andrew deserves, perhaps, a musical all of her own - like the good and bad sisters in WICKED finally were given, escaping from under Dorothy and her friends shadow in THE WIZARD OF OZ. Mr Schwartz take note. Here is musical theatre acting that sets a benchmark of commitment to her paying audience.
The children were terrific. I think they were, at my performance, Zoe Gousmett and especially pleasing, Kade Hughes.
So, a good time eventuates by the end of the show. Coolness evaporates into wonder as Mary exits magically across and over the audience. "AWESOME", some young soul gulped beside me, and at almost two and three quarter hours, good value for money, I guarantee. My secret adolescent adventure relived, but live on stage.
2 comments:
- Richard said...
Kevin, I'm glad I'm not the only one with a secret love of Mary Poppins. I saw this shortly after it opened in London in 2005 and was entirely entranced by the entire production. I went so far as to even exclaim it as being better than the film. It was $120 (5 years ago)well spent. Not only were the performances magic but I thought the whole staging of it was superb - the multi-level set was very clever. I still occasionally privately listen to the soundtrack. I had been hesitant in going to see it again in Australia as I was afraid, as is often the case with touring productions, that it wouldn't have quite the same "whizz-bangery" as the original West End production. However I think next year when it comes to Sydney I'll use the excuse of taking my parents to see it as a means to treating my own secret inner love of this SUPERCALCALIFRAGILISTICEXPIALIDOCIOUS show. And that "AWESOME" moment at the end was exactly what I thought to myself as a couple of joyous tears welled in my eyes.
- December 10, 2010 at 3:27 PM
- Mary Poppins said...
I was happy and added MARY POPPINS to my pleasant memories of theatre going beside the alternative choice of the night: Opera Australia and Neil Armfield's sublime production of THE MARRIAGE OF FIGARO.Great stuff!
- October 9, 2012 at 9:16 PM


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Not long ago, telling someone they looked like a million dollars was a compliment. Say it now and they might rush to schedule an emergency medical check-up.
A million dollars is not what it used to be. This is what a friend recently sold a two-bedroom apartment in Manhattan for, which he bought for under $270,000 in 1993. Even a billion dollars is not a big deal anymore. Corporate takeovers of this size, all cash, no longer make the headlines.
Definition of Inflation
One definition of inflation is the loss of the value of money. Surely, you need a lot more of it to be called a fortune. This year, for the first time ever, only individuals with a net worth of over $1 billion made the Forbes list of 400 richest Americans. In 1982, when it was first compiled, you could squeak in with a mere $200 million in today's dollars, while the list was headed by a guy with just $4 billion. Today's richest man, Bill Gates, is worth $56 billion, a 14-fold increase after inflation.
The accelerating loss of the value of money is best seen from the outside. Since 2000, the U.S. dollar has lost 7 percent on the real effective exchange rate. Over the same period, China's foreign currency reserves — mostly dollars — have grown from $150 billion to over $1 trillion.
Another definition of inflation is more money chasing a set quantity of goods and services. This is certainly true of goods and services consumed by the upper middle class. If you send your kids to prestigious schools, drive a luxury car, collect art, dress in expensive boutiques, take vacations abroad, eat out in quality restaurants or have wine with dinner, you have seen your bills rise at double-digit rates, not the benign 3 percent that the government has been reporting.
On the other hand, if you live in the world of Wal-Mart and sub-prime mortgages, you may have seen not just stable prices but outright price declines. Families from the lower-middle class down can now afford more goods and services, and a far greater variety, than only a decade ago. Their buck now goes a lot farther as almost all generic goods have become cheaper.
Consumers in this category still face inflation — for example, gasoline prices more than doubled since 2000, while rents have also increased — but their inflation has certainly remained moderate, matching or even trailing the official CPI.
Class-Based Inflation
Plenty of studies and data sets show that the rich are getting richer and far more numerous than ever, while the poor are running hard to stay in place, with the attendant thinning out of the middle-income brackets. The divergent trend in inflation for different social classes is perhaps the most dramatic sign of this process in socio-economic terms.
That a class-based rate of inflation can be discussed at all is significant. In the earlier postwar decades, a very broad income spectrum of Americans shopped at Sears and Montgomery Ward — even though they tended to buy different things. Today, the Wal-Mart crowd and the boutique crowd no longer mix on the cash register line.
As they acquire greater assets and attain higher incomes, upper-middle-class consumers face runaway inflation. Meanwhile, limited income gains for the lower middle class and the poor have created intense competition for the consumer dollar, feeding a drive toward greater production efficiency and a shift to cheaper production venues. Wal-Mart has staked out the lower rung of the consumer segment by relentlessly pressuring its suppliers to cut prices. This model now dominates mass-market retail.
The official rate of inflation is calculated using the basket of generic goods and services, while higher inflation at the top goes unreported. Low reported consumer price inflation has allowed the Federal Reserve to move cautiously in raising its interest rates, despite strong economic growth since 2003.
Best of all Possible Worlds?
So far, this has underpinned the current success of the U.S. economy. Domestic consumption has been sustained by gently falling prices of generic goods on the one hand and low interest rates on the other. With mortgage rates still low, and creative lending practices exploding, home ownership has been broadened and consumer credit escalated, since much of it is implicitly secured by equity in private homes.
Users of capital, including corporations and wealthier individuals have benefited even more from low interest rates. Generous rewards at the upper end of the income pyramid created the kind of spectacular stimuli that economists say America's dynamic, entrepreneurial economy needs to keep going. Corporate profits have also rocketed, rewarding those individuals whose incomes have been one way or another linked to corporate performance, such as shareholders, senior management, bankers, etc. The Fortune 500 largest companies based on revenues had collective profits of $785 billion last year, up 29 percent on the year before.
The picture looks good at first glance, but not if you consider its implications. One way of looking at low headline inflation is to realize that global productive capacities have been growing faster than consumer demand. The United States continues to pace global demand growth, but even the stunningly resilient American consumer may simply run out of means for funding his buying spree. A recent report showed that a third of U.S. workers earn $11 per hour or less. At the mass market level, we may be witnessing a slowly unfolding overproduction crisis.
At the top, meanwhile, significant asset price bubbles have developed, which could deflate with damaging consequences. Stock prices may be one such example. Unprecedented amounts of cash on corporate balance sheets have fed an M&A frenzy, bidding up company prices and contributing to the stock market rally. The surfeit of cash is seen by investors as a source of future dividend increases and share repurchases, also boosting share prices.
Finally, private equity firms, corporate raiders and hedge funds routinely accumulate multibillion dollar war chests. The kind of profits regularly made by private equity funds through takeover schemes that seem to work time and again and provide easy double-digit returns are a sure sign of a bubble.
Pension Woes
But even if an overproduction crisis does not come to a head in the near future, high-income individuals may not escape scot-free. One reason is that retirement income is habitually calculated using the overall CPI, which is quite low. Yet, in each individual case, the rate of inflation during retirement is likely to vary greatly.
Individuals with substantial assets put aside for retirement are likely to be in the higher-income bracket and are already experiencing higher inflation. If a retired couple moves to Wisconsin to fish and hike, their inflation will be close to, or even below, government figures. But if they maintain an active lifestyle, insist on living in a major metropolitan or suburban area and continue to enjoy various luxuries, their retirement benefits will not go quite as far.
The situation may be compounded by the fact that prices of goods and services typically consumed by retirees are likely to be bid up as more and more baby boomers reach their golden years and crowd the market.
People may not be inclined to commiserate with an upper-middle-class couple who all of a sudden find that their retirement expenses are rising more rapidly than they planned. However, since longevity and income levels are positively correlated, this greatly increases the risk of outliving one's retirement savings — not something you would wish even on your worst class enemy.
Alexei Bayer runs KAFAN FX Information Services, an economic consulting firm in New York; reach him at email@example.com. His monthly "Global Economy" column in Research has received an excellence award from the New York State Society of Certified Public Accountants for the past four years, 2004-2007.


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Giant Redwoods Survived Excessive Logging; But Can They Survive Climate Change? (Video)
Image via video screengrab
The giant redwoods of the California coast survived logging...barely. Only about 5% of the ancient redwoods made it through the logging of the old growth forests. Now, scientists are studying if they will make it through the shifting climate of our planet over the next few decades. A beautiful video by KQED explores the topic -- click through to watch.
QUEST on KQED Public Media.
As the video states, redwoods depend on coastal fog for up to 40% of their water intake, but over the last few decades, fog has declined by as much as 30%. This means a significant source of water for redwoods is disappearing as our climate warms and weather shifts. This, along with other environmental stressors including pollution, is causing serious concern about the future of these mammoth and ancient trees, and importantly, the future generations of these trees that are just getting started.
Save The Redwoods writes, "[T]hroughout the current redwood range, we are experiencing temperature increases, less coastal fog, reductions in snowpack and earlier snowmelt. Climate change will interact with many other stressors that the redwoods had not experienced before the Industrial Revolution... Today, redwoods stand at a critical point. The current and projected interactions of these stressors jeopardize more than 90 years of League conservation work. We must act today to protect redwoods from these threats in the future."
Follow Jaymi on Twitter for more stories like this
More on Redwoods
Less California Fog Could Mean Fewer Redwoods
Ultra Rare Albino Redwoods Are an Everwhite Mystery (Pics)
Exclusive Look at California's Secret Titan Redwood Trees (Slideshow)


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