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>Poll: Shrill Tax Raiser vs Loopy Uncle Ron Paul
>This is a pretty interesting poll from Rasmussen showing that Hillary vs Any Republican is basically a roughly 48-40 split. That holds true even when the poll is between her and the loopy Ron Paul, which shows that 1) her support is very solid at that number; but 2) that there is a large anti-Hillary base that would choose even Ron Paul. Interestingly, among voters who have heard of Paul, Hillary gets 48%. Among those lucky voters that have never heard of Paul, Hillary gets 48%.
She really is a polarising figure, which is why I give her no hope in a general election.
A recent Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey featuring a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Ron Paul highlights one of the perils that comes from overanalyzing poll results between candidates with different levels of name recognition.
In that survey, Clinton held a fairly modest 48% to 38% lead. But, a careful look at the results tells us a lot about the public's opinion of Hillary Clinton and virtually nothing about their opinion of Ron Paul.
Why? First, because just about everyone in the United States has an opinion of Hillary Clinton. She has been a major player on the national and international stage for 15 years. Half the country has a favorable opinion of her and half holds the opposite view, but all have an opinion. Our most recent survey results show that nearly 60% of voters have a strongly held opinion about the New York Senator and former First Lady.
As for Ron Paul, 42% don't know enough about him to have an opinion one way or the other. He's one of 435 Congressman whose life is way below the radar screen for most Americans. Still, his presence in the GOP Presidential Debates has raised his profile a bit–26% now offer a favorable opinion and 32% say the opposite. But, only 16% have a strongly held opinion about Paul (7% Very Favorable, 9% Very Unfavorable).
A look at the crosstabs demonstrates that it is attitudes towards Clinton that are driving the numbers in this polling match-up. Among all voters, Clinton attracts 48% support. Among the voters who have never heard of Ron Paul or don't know enough to have an opinion, guess what. Clinton attracts the exact same total–48% of the vote. So whether or not people have heard of Ron Paul as the challenger, support for Clinton doesn't change.
Among the 51% who have heard of Ron Paul but don't have a Very Favorable opinion of him, Clinton attracts 49% of the vote.
The only noticeable difference to be found is among that very small slice of the electorate that has a Very Favorable opinion of Paul. Seven percent (7%) of the nation's voters fit this description and they prefer the Texas Congressman over the Democratic frontrunner by a 70% to 27% margin.
So, outside of a small group of avid Ron Paul fans, support for Senator Clinton is unchanged whether or not the survey respondent has ever heard of Ron Paul.
Looking at other recent match-ups confirms the sense that what we're seeing is primarily a reflection of attitudes about the Democratic frontrunner. In the latest Rasmussen Reports polling, Clinton gets 47% against Fred Thompson, 48% against Mitt Romney, 48% against Mike Huckabee, 44% against Rudy Giuliani, and 44% against John McCain.
If you average the last three polls for Senator Clinton against each of these top five Republican hopefuls, Clinton's support averages out at 48%. Using this three-poll average, Clinton attracts between 46% and 49% support no matter which Republican candidate is named in the survey.
A separate survey shows that nearly half the nation's voters will definitely vote against Hillary Clinton if she is on the ballot in 2008. But, five of the top seven candidates for the White House also have more than 40% of the nation committed to voting against them at this time.
Clinton is the clear and dominant frontrunner in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. There is no clear frontrunner for the GOP nomination. Ron Paul has yet to top the 4% level of support in the daily Presidential Tracking Poll.
That last line is a cracker. The 9/11 nutjob, anti-war, isolationist loons that spam every Internet poll in which Paul is a candidate must have to take an even bigger dose of Prozac each night than normal in order to cope with the stress of reality.
>Rudd's climate change lies
>While regularly pillioring the government for its failure to act on climate change in 11 years, which I have pointed out previously is simply a lie, Labor leader Kevin Rudd has now done a complete backflip by stating that a Rudd government wouldn't agree to a carbon scheme that didn't include developing nations post-2012.
This position has never been Labor Party policy. Their policy all along has been that they will ratify Kyoto and accept whatever is decided by the world body for Australia.
They even embraced Al Gore messianic vision and proudly display a video from the world's most boring man on their climate change website and when he was here last month Gore publicly backed the ALP's position.
Kevin Rudd has consistently made statements similar to what he said last month:
"Within a little more than a year we will have a new president in the US and I predict we will have one committed to also solving the climate crisis."
Mr Rudd criticised the federal government for not ratifying the Kyoto Protocol 11 years ago and said failing to act would have a greater economic impact on Australia than on acting.
"The question farmers are asking me is: what are the long-term impacts of climate change on the ability of Australian agriculture to sustain itself?" he said.
Does Kevin Rudd believe that the world is facing a "climate crisis" if he is not going to ratify a post-2012 Kyoto agreement if developing nations don't come on board. Surely, if it's a crisis then he can't have a bet both ways?
Does Kevin Rudd now believe that not acting on climate change will have a much greater economic impact than ratifying the expensive non-solution known as Kyoto? It has been clear all along that unilateral action by Australia, in absence of the developing nations, would be far more damaging to the Australian economy than what the government has proposed.
Is the symbolism of Kyoto now dead for Labor?
Thanks to Rudd's untenable position, exposed in all its glory yesterday by Peter Garrett, it certainly appears to be.
Rudd has been telling lies on the issue of climate change since he took over as Labor leader.
Those lies are now coming home to roost.
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>Professor Bob Carter demolishes the current state of climate science
>Robert M. "Bob" Carter is a research professor in the Marine Geophysical Laboratory at James Cook University, Australia. He is a geologist and marine geologist with special interests in stratigraphy and, more recently, climate change.
Like everyone associated with the anti-AGW position Bob Carter has brought the wrath of the Climate Machine down upon him due to the stridency of his views.
He's not a climate scientist, they say.
Neither is Tim Flannery. Or Al Gore. Or Leonardo Di Caprio…!
Carter is, though, a member of the one group of scientists that have a proper understanding of what has been happening over the last millions of years – geologists.
In this recent lecture Carter brings his audience up to date with the state of climate science and completely demolishes to proposition that we're in some sort of 'unprecedented' warming phase. The graphs he puts up showing rate of change in temperature will shock people who think that the rate of rise in the 20th century (or late 20th century) is abnormal.
Readers know how harsh I am on the drivel that passes for science and its proponents, who I put on a par with Lysenko and Hwang. In spite of the vicious ad hominem attacks on Carter, the Climate Faithful are yet to lay a glove on the accuracy of the body of his arguments.
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>More incompetent than Hans Blix? Meet Mohamad ElBaradei.
>The incompetence with which Hans Blix is generally regarded as having carried out his duties as head of the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency was expected to take some topping.
Unfortunately, his successor Mohamad ElBaradei has given a whole new definition to the term 'incompetence' and in the same way that Middle East journalist Robert Fisk's name has become a verb – to 'fisk' – it would be appropriate if the same happened with ElBaradei to describe situations in which people or authorities, duly tasked with being in charge of a process or outcome, fail singularly in that task due to gross professional incompetence.
For example:
"Why hasn't the United Nations resolved the issues in Darfur?"
"Oh, they're too busy ElBaradeing."
(Note that Google returns zero results for 'elbaradeing'…it's unusual to make up any term and not find it already thought of previously).
From Pakistan to North Korea to India and to Iraq the IAEA has been shown to be profoundly ineffective as those countries went about developing nuclear weapons capabilities, some successfully and some not, right under the noses of the watchdog.
The IAEA is the agency that is meant to be aware of the development of nuclear technologies around the world.
In spite of all of the evidence that Iran is building nuclear weapons (read Kenneth Timmerman's book – Countdown To Crisis, amongst others) including the fact that the centrifuges they've installed are only used for the production of weapons grade material, ElBaradei defends Iran, says they're not trying to build nuclear weapons and berates the United States for overstating the case.
CHIEF UN atomic watchdog Mohamed ElBaradei said overnight he had no evidence Iran was building nuclear weapons and accused US leaders of adding "fuel to the fire" with recent bellicose rhetoric.
"I have not received any information that there is a concrete active nuclear weapons program going on right now," the director of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) told CNN.
Last month the IAEA was caught with its pants down by Israel's destruction of a nuclear development facility in Syria. The Syrian's were so outraged (at getting caught) that they said almost nothing, expressing very minor outrage at what was an act of war by Israel. Whatever was bombed was clearly so secret that the Syrians wasted no time covering it up, as the before and after pictures below show:
What was ElBaradei's response? He's from the UN so, of course, it's blame Israel time.
The head of the U.N. nuclear watchdog criticized Israel on Sunday for attacking a suspicious Syrian site last month, saying the "bomb first and then ask questions later" undermined global atomic monitoring work.
In his first public comment on Israel's mysterious bombing run on what some analysts suggested was a nascent Syrian nuclear reactor, Mohamed ElBaradei, the chief of the International Atomic Energy Agency, called on the Israelis and other countries to share information with IAEA.
Israel has spent nearly 60 years sharing information with UN agencies and finding it used against them so it's understandable that they'd take things into their own hands in this circumstance.
But Israel's attack is not the main issue. The elephant in the IAEA's padded cell is that it was completely unaware of Syria's nuclear facility up until Israel's action.
One of the under-reported benefits of toppling Saddam Hussein is that Libya voluntarily ceased its own nuclear program. Did the IAEA know about Tripoli's dabbling in the odd bit of atom splitting? Of course not.
The IAEA didn't even know about Iran's program until it was well under way. Given that both China and Russia had been helping build the thing and they're members of the UN's Security Council it shows not only how clueless the IAEA is but also what a joke the Security Council has become given its charter of maintaining international peace and security. Letting a regime that thinks the twelfth Imam's return is just around the corner, and the decisive conflict with the Jewish state is nigh, have nuclear weapons seems to be at least a tad at odds with the charter and just a little bit unwise.
What other rogue states are there in the process of quietly developing nuclear weapons? Is the nutjob that runs Venezuela heading down that path? Who knows? If anyone does then ElBaradei and his cronies will be the last to, that's for sure.
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>Common sense email from person with common sense
>Reader Kevin sent an email pointing out that whatever the green agenda du jour is the answer is always the same – more government power tending towards socialism.
With all due respect, if the worst outcome of the global warming panic is that the politicisation of science means scientists will have to work harder to bring credibility to their research – that will be the least of our worries.
Please refer to an increasing trend of argument amongst educated and academic sources that liberal democracy is unsuited to deal with the demands of global warming and social response, and that other systems of governance should be handed power to deal with this !
This is not a good direction to start bringing into common currency of debate.
The key elements of response are seen as enforced reductions in energy use, rationing and restraint on consumption and a cessation of economic growth, even contraction of activity. Self evidently no one in their right mind will vote for this, so the argument becomes installation of a command regime to enforce change.
The latest spin being the UN report which the media suggest states that the human population already exceeds the biological carrying capacity of the planet. And as we can't expand the planet's biosphere – would you like to guess where this thrust about restoring 'balance' is going to wind up ?
We do not have to look far into the history of authoritarian regimes of the late 20th / early 21st century to imagine yourself, Jack, under this sort of regime huddled at home with restricted transport options, either too cold or too hot due to energy constraints, likewise limited communications access ( mandated to cut energy demand ), clutching your food and water ration books, and hoping that next knock on the door is not the Greenstapo informing you that your number has fallen out of the barrel and that you are the next unfortunate conscript in the Involuntary Rapid Population Abatement Project ( aka The Great Culling, as it will possibly come to be known ).
I suspect at that point both you and I will have some other thoughts in mind about the individuals that will have brought us to that point.
I like the point about liberal democracies supposedly being unable to cope with the 'planetary emergency' – to use Al Gore's spin – which can only be dealt with by a command and control economy.
It's also complete drivel that we're already exceeding the load-bearing capacity of the planet, as the green alarmists keep telling us. I reckon we could double, or triple, in population and nobody would notice much of a difference. But that's another story.
Thanks, Kevin. That was a well thought out email.
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>Sunday night Aussie rock
>You Am I is an Australian alternative rock band, fronted by vocalist/guitarist and main songwriter Tim Rogers. They were the first Australian band to have three albums successively debut at #1 on the ARIA Charts, and are renowned for their live performances. The band's name was derived from late-night existential philosophising sessions, mainly under the influence of alcohol. You Am I had toured the United States beginning in the mid-'90s, including playing with Soundgarden on the Lollapalooza festival, Redd Kross, The Strokes, and Smoking Popes. (Soundgarden first came across them at the 1994 Big Day Out festival.) Despite little success overseas, the band became well known throughout Australia for Rogers' Pete Townshend-esque guitar windmills and for its upbeat "ponce and thuggery" take on rock and roll. Further success came with the albums Hi Fi Way and Hourly, Daily, with both picking up ARIA Awards. Hourly, Daily was the first album released on the Shock label to go to number one in the ARIA charts upon launch. These albums were marked by retro-inspired '60s bop and folky 12 string melodies, a departure from the band's earlier hard rock/ grunge sound.
I can certainly attest to the power of You Am I as a live band. I think that Tim Rogers must also hold the record for swearing more than any other rock 'n' roll front man, which takes some doing.
Friends Like You
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>Climate Change officially becomes a Religion
>There's been quite a bit to talk about on the world's most boring subject – global warming – lately.
As regular readers know, I am a harsh critic of climate models. None of them have ever been accurate even when hindcasting; that is, start the model in 1920 and see if it's accurate in 1950.
Now we have a series of articles reporting on research from Gerard Roe and Marcia Baker of the University of Washington in Seattle who say that not only are models not accurate but that they never will be.
Is this good news for Climate Blasphemers like myself? Well, yes and no, as we shall see.
From New Scientist:
Climate change models, no matter how powerful, can never give a precise prediction of how greenhouse gases will warm the Earth, according to a new study.
The result will provide ammunition to those who argue not enough is known about global warming to warrant taking action.
…It now appears that the estimates will never get much better. The reason lies with feedbacks in the climate system. For example, as the temperature increases, less snow will be present at the poles. Less snow means less sunlight reflected back into space, which means more warming.
…What is more, they found that better computer models or observational data will not do much to reduce that uncertainty. A better estimate of sensitivity is the holy grail of climate research, but it is time to "call off the quest", according to a commentary published alongside the paper.
Summary from Science magazine:
Uncertainties in projections of future climate change have not lessened substantially in past decades. Both models and observations yield broad probability distributions for long-term increases in global mean temperature expected from the doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide, with small but finite probabilities of very large increases. We show that the shape of these probability distributions is an inevitable and general consequence of the nature of the climate system, and we derive a simple analytic form for the shape that fits recent published distributions very well. We show that the breadth of the distribution and, in particular, the probability of large temperature increases are relatively insensitive to decreases in uncertainties associated with the underlying climate processes.
From Nature magazine:
Climate models might be improving but they will never be able to tell us exactly what to expect. That's the conclusion of experts from the University of Washington, Seattle, who have set out to prove that predicting the exact level of climate change is by its very nature an uncertain science.
Over the past 30 years, climate models have not appreciably narrowed down the precise relationship between greenhouse gases and the planet's temperature — despite huge advances in computing power, climate observations and the number of scientists studying the problem, say Gerard Roe and Marcia Baker. The researchers now argue that this is because the uncertainty simply cannot be reduced.
That really is pretty unequivocal. The models are not accurate and cannot be relied upon, which is what I've been saying all along. Anyone with even a modicum of ability in mathematics and statistics would say the same thing.
So is the argument won? Not so fast.
The Nature article continues:
They and other climatologists are now calling on policy-makers to make decisive policies on avoiding dangerous climate change, even if we don't have perfect models. This means focusing on keeping the planet's temperature below a certain point (and being willing and able to adjust emissions targets to achieve that), rather than trying to work out far in advance the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere that will produce that level of warming.
The models are meant to represent the whole of our understanding of the climate system. They are the basis for all predictions of future climate change. If they're wrong then it's clear that we do not understand the climate system. Clearly, if they're going to be as hopelessly inaccurate as they have been hitherto then only a fool would commit trillions of dollars of the world's economic growth based on their forecasts.
Now we have a situation in which the whole basis of the climate change argument has fallen apart – "the science is settled" – so what's the answer?
Throw the models out and continue the plan to restrict the world's growth anyway.
With the evidence – models, surface temperature record, the Hockey Stick, An Inconvenient Truth – crumbling around them they turn to the only thing they can – faith.
Thus, climate science becomes more like a religion – or cult – every day.
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>Why do we fund the drivel that passes as climate science?
>Advanced nations now spend billions upon billions of dollars undertaking research into the supposed bogey called climate change.
New research conducted by Australia's CSIRO claims that CO2 emissions were 35% higher in 2006 than the Kyoto base year of 1990.
When will the Climate Faithful get it into their thick heads that if CO2 is increasing rapidly but temperatures have stabilised over the last nearly 10 years then the causative effect of CO2 on climate has to be called into question – at the very least.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Just days after the Nobel prize was awarded for global warming work, an alarming new study finds that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is increasing faster than expected.
Carbon dioxide emissions were 35 percent higher in 2006 than in 1990, a much faster growth rate than anticipated, researchers led by Josep G. Canadell, of Australia's Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, report in Tuesday's edition of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
Increased industrial use of fossil fuels coupled with a decline in the gas absorbed by the oceans and land were listed as causes of the increase.
"In addition to the growth of global population and wealth, we now know that significant contributions to the growth of atmospheric CO2 arise from the slowdown" of nature's ability to take the chemical out of the air, said Canadell, director of the Global Carbon Project at the research organization.
The changes "characterize a carbon cycle that is generating stronger-than-expected and sooner-than-expected climate forcing," the researchers report.
Kevin Trenberth of the climate analysis section of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. said the "paper raises some very important issues that the public should be aware of: Namely that concentrations of CO2 are increasing at much higher rates than previously expected and this is in spite of the Kyoto Protocol that is designed to hold them down in western countries,"
The Kyoto Protocol isn't working? Could that be because Europe (which has ratified Kyoto and implemented carbon trading) is increasing CO2 faster than it is meant to and, amusingly, faster than the US (which hasn't ratified Kyoto), as well as the fact that the world's largest emitter, China, is pumping huge quantities of CO2 into the atmosphere? But people still want Australia and the US to ratify the thing.
Alan Robock, associate director of the Center for Environmental Prediction at Rutgers University, added: "What is really shocking is the reduction of the oceanic CO2 sink," meaning the ability of the ocean to absorb carbon dioxide, removing it from the atmosphere.
The researchers blamed that reduction on changes in wind circulation, but Robock said he also thinks rising ocean temperatures reduce the ability to take in the gas.
"…he also thinks…"? These guys are meant to know. The functioning of the earth's carbon sink needs to be fully understood in order for climate models to be accurate.
"Think that a warm Coke has less fizz than a cold Coke," he said.
As distinct from the global warming argument, which has no fizz at all.
Neither Robock nor Trenberth was part of Canadell's research team.
Carbon dioxide is the leading "greenhouse gas," so named because their accumulation in the atmosphere can help trap heat from the sun, causing potentially dangerous warming of the planet.
While most atmospheric scientists accept the idea, finding ways to reduce greenhouse gas emissions has been a political problem because of potential effects on the economy. Earlier this month, the Nobel Peace Prize was awarded to the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and former Vice President Al Gore for their work in calling attention to global warming.
"It turns out that global warming critics were right when they said that global climate models did not do a good job at predicting climate change," Robock commented.
Whoa! Did I just read that correctly? I'm right? That's gotta hurt the unscientific, realclimate.org influenced AGW proponents that leave contrarian comments on my blog at regular intervals.
"But what has been wrong recently is that the climate is changing even faster than the models said. In fact, Arctic sea ice is melting much faster than any models predicted, and sea level is rising much faster than IPCC previously predicted."
I've been saying that the models have been a crock for umpteen years. Does the fact that the models have under-predicted the supposed effects of global warming mean that their forecasts are even more reliable because they're lower than reality?
According to the new study, carbon released from burning fossil fuel and making cement rose from 7.0 billion metric tons per year in 2000 to 8.4 billion metric tons in 2006. A metric tons is 2,205 pounds.
The growth rate increased from 1.3 percent per year in 1990-1999 to 3.3 percent per year in 2000-2006, the researchers added.
Trenberth noted that carbon dioxide is not the whole story — methane emissions have declined, so total greenhouse gases are not increasing as much as carbon dioxide alone. Also, he added, other pollution plays a role by cooling.
If CO2 is not the whole story then why is Kyoto the whole answer? The dishonesty of the Climate Faithful is astonishing. He then chucks in the old pollution chestnut, which is how modellers dealt with the cooling from 1940-75, a time at which CO2 rose consistently meaning the planet should have warmed. No doubt, modellers will now go and stick in some more fudged pollution to account for the current difference.
There are changes from year to year in the fraction of the atmosphere made up of carbon dioxide and the question is whether this increase is transient or will be sustained, he said.
Models work on the basis that CO2 sustains itself in the atmosphere for about 100 years. If the science is settled then how can this be a question?
"The theory suggests increases in (the atmospheric fraction), as is claimed here, but the evidence is not strong," Trenberth said.
The paper looks at a rather short time to measure a trend, Robock added, "but the results they get certainly look reasonable, and much of the paper is looking at much longer trends."
The research was supported by Australian, European and other international agencies.
As I said, why do we fund so lavishly such drivel?
>But apparently we're reaching a critical climate 'tipping point'
>To the politically driven activists who keep blathering on about the end of the world due to mankind pumping a miniscule amount of greenhouse gas into the atmosphere we've reached a 'tipping point' in our climate system and if we don't institute massively restrictive energy policies right now then we're all doomed.
How do they know we've reached a tipping point? From their climate models, of course. You know them; they're the ones that have never predicted past climate remotely accurately, have not predicted future climate on a 5 or 10 year scale but, apparently, are accepted as providing accurate forecasts for 100 years into the future.
The following shows the temperature record from Canadian Arctic ice core data.
Current temperature trends show that over the past 50 years Nunavut has experienced both strong warming and cooling. The warming trend occurs primarily in the west, where as the east has undergone a cooling trend. Of course, we never hear about the bits that have cooled.
So what is the variability over the last 60 years?
If you believe that man made CO2 emissions have created a 'climate crisis' and pushed us to a 'tipping point' then, to be blunt, you're profoundly ignorant of:
- the failure of climate scientists to follow the Scientific Method;
- the failure of those climate scientists whose work is relied upon the most to make available to the public their data – even when it's publicly funded research;
- the demolition of the validity of the iconic Hockey Stick, which has seen even the IPCC derogate its position in its recent Fourth Assessment Report; and
- the failure of climate models to hindcast or forecast with any accuracy. The back-fitting that goes on is unbelievable. If we relied on financial models that followed the same method then it'd take about a month to bankrupt the planet.
The main problem with all the of alarmist climate hysteria is the damage it will do to the public's confidence in science.
>Global Warming Delusions
>Daniel Botkin is president of the Center for the Study of the Environment and professor emeritus in the Department of Ecology, Evolution, and Marine Biology at the University of California, Santa Barbara, and author of "Discordant Harmonies: A New Ecology for the Twenty-First Century".
Botkin discounts the whole global warming hysteria so one presumes that he must be funded by Big Oil. If he's not then maybe it's because he believes in facts and the scientific method. The unscientific, opinion-as-truth loons at realclimate.org have been frothing at the mouth about this one.
Global warming doesn't matter except to the extent that it will affect life–ours and that of all living things on Earth. And contrary to the latest news, the evidence that global warming will have serious effects on life is thin. Most evidence suggests the contrary.
Case in point: This year's United Nations report on climate change and other documents say that 20% to 30% of plant and animal species will be threatened with extinction in this century due to global warming–a truly terrifying thought. Yet, during the past 2.5 million years, a period that scientists now know experienced climatic changes as rapid and as warm as modern climatological models suggest will happen to us, almost none of the millions of species on Earth went extinct. The exceptions were about 20 species of large mammals (the famous megafauna of the last ice age–saber-tooth tigers, hairy mammoths and the like), which went extinct about 10,000 to 5,000 years ago at the end of the last ice age, and many dominant trees and shrubs of northwestern Europe. But elsewhere, including North America, few plant species went extinct, and few mammals.
We're also warned that tropical diseases are going to spread, and that we can expect malaria and encephalitis epidemics. But scientific papers by Prof. Sarah Randolph of Oxford University show that temperature changes do not correlate well with changes in the distribution or frequency of these diseases; warming has not broadened their distribution and is highly unlikely to do so in the future, global warming or not.
The key point here is that living things respond to many factors in addition to temperature and rainfall. In most cases, however, climate-modeling-based forecasts look primarily at temperature alone, or temperature and precipitation only. You might ask, "Isn't this enough to forecast changes in the distribution of species?" Ask a mockingbird. The New York Times recently published an answer to a query about why mockingbirds were becoming common in Manhattan. The expert answer was: food–an exotic plant species that mockingbirds like to eat had spread to New York City. It was this, not temperature or rainfall, the expert said, that caused the change in mockingbird geography.
You might think I must be one of those know-nothing naysayers who believes global warming is a liberal plot. On the contrary, I am a biologist and ecologist who has worked on global warming, and been concerned about its effects, since 1968. I've developed the computer model of forest growth that has been used widely to forecast possible effects of global warming on life–I've used the model for that purpose myself, and to forecast likely effects on specific endangered species.
I'm not a naysayer. I'm a scientist who believes in the scientific method and in what facts tell us. I have worked for 40 years to try to improve our environment and improve human life as well. I believe we can do this only from a basis in reality, and that is not what I see happening now. Instead, like fashions that took hold in the past and are eloquently analyzed in the classic 19th century book "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds," the popular imagination today appears to have been captured by beliefs that have little scientific basis.
Some colleagues who share some of my doubts argue that the only way to get our society to change is to frighten people with the possibility of a catastrophe, and that therefore it is all right and even necessary for scientists to exaggerate. They tell me that my belief in open and honest assessment is naïve. "Wolves deceive their prey, don't they?" one said to me recently. Therefore, biologically, he said, we are justified in exaggerating to get society to change.
The climate modelers who developed the computer programs that are being used to forecast climate change used to readily admit that the models were crude and not very realistic, but were the best that could be done with available computers and programming methods. They said our options were to either believe those crude models or believe the opinions of experienced, data-focused scientists. Having done a great deal of computer modeling myself, I appreciated their acknowledgment of the limits of their methods. But I hear no such statements today. Oddly, the forecasts of computer models have become our new reality, while facts such as the few extinctions of the past 2.5 million years are pushed aside, as if they were not our reality.
A recent article in the well-respected journal American Scientist explained why the glacier on Mt. Kilimanjaro could not be melting from global warming. Simply from an intellectual point of view it was fascinating–especially the author's Sherlock Holmes approach to figuring out what was causing the glacier to melt. That it couldn't be global warming directly (i.e., the result of air around the glacier warming) was made clear by the fact that the air temperature at the altitude of the glacier is below freezing. This means that only direct radiant heat from sunlight could be warming and melting the glacier. The author also studied the shape of the glacier and deduced that its melting pattern was consistent with radiant heat but not air temperature. Although acknowledged by many scientists, the paper is scorned by the true believers in global warming.
We are told that the melting of the arctic ice will be a disaster. But during the famous medieval warming period–A.D. 750 to 1230 or so–the Vikings found the warmer northern climate to their advantage. Emmanuel Le Roy Ladurie addressed this in his book "Times of Feast, Times of Famine: A History of Climate Since the Year 1000," perhaps the greatest book about climate change before the onset of modern concerns with global warming. He wrote that Erik the Red "took advantage of a sea relatively free of ice to sail due west from Iceland to reach Greenland. . . . Two and a half centuries later, at the height of the climatic and demographic fortunes of the northern settlers, a bishopric of Greenland was founded at Gardar in 1126."
Ladurie pointed out that "it is reasonable to think of the Vikings as unconsciously taking advantage of this [referring to the warming of the Middle Ages] to colonize the most northern and inclement of their conquests, Iceland and Greenland." Good thing that Erik the Red didn't have Al Gore or his climatologists as his advisers.
Should we therefore dismiss global warming? Of course not. But we should make a realistic assessment, as rationally as possible, about its cultural, economic and environmental effects. As Erik the Red might have told you, not everything due to a climatic warming is bad, nor is everything that is bad due to a climatic warming.
We should approach the problem the way we decide whether to buy insurance and take precautions against other catastrophes–wildfires, hurricanes, earthquakes. And as I have written elsewhere, many of the actions we would take to reduce greenhouse-gas production and mitigate global-warming effects are beneficial anyway, most particularly a movement away from fossil fuels to alternative solar and wind energy.
My concern is that we may be moving away from an irrational lack of concern about climate change to an equally irrational panic about it.
Many of my colleagues ask, "What's the problem? Hasn't it been a good thing to raise public concern?" The problem is that in this panic we are going to spend our money unwisely, we will take actions that are counterproductive, and we will fail to do many of those things that will benefit the environment and ourselves.
For example, right now the clearest threat to many species is habitat destruction. Take the orangutans, for instance, one of those charismatic species that people are often fascinated by and concerned about. They are endangered because of deforestation. In our fear of global warming, it would be sad if we fail to find funds to purchase those forests before they are destroyed, and thus let this species go extinct.
At the heart of the matter is how much faith we decide to put in science–even how much faith scientists put in science. Our times have benefited from clear-thinking, science-based rationality. I hope this prevails as we try to deal with our changing climate.


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Cette page regroupe l'ensemble des publications de Futuribles sur cette thématique (Vigie, revue, bibliographie, études, etc.)
Turkey's Importance in the European Union: Would Its Rapid Population Growth Allow It to Dominate European Decision-making?
The question of whether Turkey should eventually be allowed to join the European Union was much in the news in 2005, and worked its way into the debate about the European Constitution even though it was not relevant. Independently of the political debate about the legitimacy of Turkey's admission to the EU, Frédéric Allemand has looked at the possible repercussions of Turkey joining for the way the Union's institutions operate, in view of the country's sheer demographic size and growth.
Relying on a variety of population forecasts (United Nations, Eurostat, etc.) to 2025 for the current EU member states, those already in the queue (Bulgaria, Romania, the Balkan states, etc.) and Turkey, Frédéric Allemand has calculated the voting weight that Turkey would have, based on population, in the Council of Ministers, the European Parliament and various other bodies, in the context of a greatly enlarged European Union and on the assumption that current arrangements for decision-making remain unchanged. He points out that, as the most populous country, Turkey would effectively have the same influence on decision-making as a "big" nation, like the four current "big" members (France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom), who would see their relative weight reduced. But for one thing, this reduction in the relative importance of the current "big" four would just be part of a general trend that has been developing over the last three decades. For another, Turkey's large size need not translate into actual influence on the decision-making process, as experience shows that there is a certain distrust of the big countries which can often lead to their being marginalized.
Chinese Offensives in South Asia
China is much praised for its economic performance and its rapid growth; much less mention is made of its diplomatic activities even though they are very persistent. Alain Lamballe unveils some aspects of Chinese policies in South Asia, showing how China is forging close links with its South Asian neighbours, especially India, but also Pakistan and Burma.
By building infrastructure, financing strategic bases and developing industrial linkages China is increasingly strengthening its position throughout the Asian continent for a combination of economic, political and security reasons. The Chinese strategy, aimed at offsetting the influence of the United States in the region, could in the long run help to reduce some regional tensions (Kashmir, in particular) and upset the international status quo, especially if India joins in. According to Alain Lamballe, the 21st century could then indeed be the century of Asia.
Entreprises, travail - Géopolitique
A Plan for a Federal Europe in 1930 (Futures of Yesteryear)
Intellectuals in the 1920s were much concerned to find new forms of economic, social and political organization capable of meeting the challenges of modern times and of giving practical expression to the pacifist attitudes which were widespread after the First World War. In this context, the idea of a union of the countries of Europe began to emerge: for those in favour, it had the double advantage of preventing any fresh conflict and of strengthening the nations of the Old World vis-à-vis the rising power of the United States and the Soviet Union. Thus the idea of a united Europe was fashionable in the 1920s, and the Revue des Vivants reflected this in 1929 by organizing a competition on the theme of "the United States of Europe", then publishing the best contributions.
Claude du Granrut offers us here a summary that reveals, as well as the visionary character of the writings chosen, how the issues dominating European unification have remained much the same down to the present day. This article is useful in both showing how much progress has been made but also highlighting the questions that still need to be resolved after more than 70 years.
Géopolitique - Société, modes de vie
The French "No" Vote in the Referendum on the European Constitution in May 2005 under the Microscope
A year ago, the debate on the draft European Constitution was in full swing in France ahead of the referendum on 29 May 2005. As we stressed in these pages (n° 307, April 2005), the discussions sometimes strayed a long way from the issues actually raised by the constitutional treaty. At the end of May 2005, the French voted decisively against the Constitution (almost 55% of the votes cast). Was the cause of this rejection genuine disquiet about the text to be voted on or, more generally, grievances about the European Union; or was the referendum simply an opportunity to express other criticisms which had more to do with the political, economic and social situation in France?
To answer this question, Eddy Fougier has analysed and compared a range of polls carried out after the referendum in France, but also in the Netherlands, Luxembourg and Spain (the three other members of the EU that held a referendum about the Constitution). He presents the results of this exercise here, and finds four main categories of reasons for the French "No": punishment of the government in power, anger about unemployment and social insecurity, rejection of economic ultraliberalism, and opposition to EU enlargement (both already achieved and planned) - these last two aspects combining with a certain degree of apprehension about globalization on the part of many in France.
Les grandes orientations de la politique asiatique de la fédération de Russie
Le président Boris Eltsine avait le regard essentiellement tourné vers l'Occident. Son successeur, Vladimir Poutine, a remplacé la faucille et le marteau par l'Aigle tsariste à deux têtes - qui regarde et domine l'Est et l'Ouest - et rééquilibré la diplomatie de son pays en l'engageant résolument vers l'Asie.
Political Impasse in Chechnya
The Chechen war has now been going on for more than ten years and more often than not gives rise to oversimplications. The Kremlin announced the end of the war and the start of a phase of "normalisation"; the Western powers prefer to ignore a conflict that is all the more embarrassing for them because the Russian government presents its actions as maintaining order and thus helping to combat terrorism. On the ground, those demanding independence from Russia have no democratic representation and the most resolute dissidents are linked to Islamic fundamentalist groups. For their part, the non-governmental organizations criticize the rigging of the elections and Russian exactions, but what they say is stifled in Russia by official propaganda and the strength of nationalist sentiment, and at international level by the desire not to upset the Russian government. Most of those involved are therefore ready to believe in the "return to normality" in Chechnya.
In this article Laurent Vinatier analyses the forms this "normalisation" takes, above all in the light of the last parliamentary elections in November 2005. He argues that the "normality" is just a façade and "hides the reality of violent antagonism between two rival powers, each one based on an undeniable legitimacy, though a declining one". Chechnya today is stuck in a political impasse and the scenarios presented by Laurent Vinatier for resolving the conflict or in which it deteriorates all require intervention by external forces.
Justifiable War? And Justifiable Torture? Comments on the Atlantic Divide
With the end of the Cold War, many hoped that there would gradually be less cause to resort to war; 15 years later, this has clearly not happened. Violence persists in various forms: civil wars, ethnic cleansing, genocide, terrorism, etc. What should the response be, especially on the part of a democratic country? Can violence be used against violence and, if so, according to what "rules"? Are there circumstances when intervention is more permissible than others?
These are some of the issues discussed here by Jean-Jacques Salomon, in reviewing a multi-author study edited by Pierre Hassner and Gilles Andréani (Justifier la guerre? De l'humanitaire au contre-terrorisme [Justifiable War? From Humanitarian Aid to Counter-terrorism]. Paris: Presses de Sciences Po, 2005), as well as several other books about ethical questions in international relations. In this debate, the sharp contrast between the European and American attitudes obviously take centre-stage, along with the problem of the United States' readiness to act unilaterally, combined with its refusal to submit to international law with regard to waging war and respecting prisoners' rights.
The New Global Puzzle. What World for the EU in 2025 ?
Ce rapport est le fruit de l'ambitieux travail de l'Institut d'études de sécurité (IES), agence autonome de l'Union européenne chargée d'alimenter l'Europe en réflexions géostratégiques. Le sous-titre un peu étrange est cependant éclairant sur le contenu : « quel monde pour l'Europe en 2025 », et pas l'inverse : ce rapport vise à éclairer le contexte stratégique, l'environnement dans lequel baignera l'Union européenne à l'horizon 2025, pas à s'interroger sur les futurs ...
(578 more words)
Géopolitique - Territoires, réseaux
Security and Migrations in the Mediterranean : Playing with fire
Géopolitique - Ressources naturelles, énergie, environnement
Land Use Scenarios for Europe
À quoi ressemblera l'Europe de 2050 ? C'est à cette question que tente de répondre l'Agence européenne de l'environnement à travers son étude Prelude (PRospective Environmental Analysis of Land Use Development in Europe). En prenant comme point de départ une description des paysages européens (Union européenne, Norvège et Suisse) actuels, l'AEE imagine différents scénarios d'évolution des paysages. Prelude utilise le mode narratif pour décrire des scénarios en se basant sur un certain nombre d'indicateurs ...
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Megatrends Europe
Adjiedj Bakas est consultant, directeur de la société néerlandaise Dexter Communicative BV. En se défendant d'être futurologue, il déclare vouloir utiliser les méthodes de prospective pour décrire comment la vie en Europe risque de changer radicalement dans les prochaines décennies, dans un contexte international marqué par deux grandes tendances : le nouvel ordre économique (avec le déclin américain) et l'opposition entre l'Islam et l'Occident (qui fait l'objet de quatre scénarios). L'auteur décrit donc sept tendances ...
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The Defence Industry Sector - What Future ?
Cette série de trois rapports disponibles en ligne s'intéresse à l'avenir de l'industrie de défense au niveau européen. Le premier texte définit le secteur européen de l'industrie de défense, sa taille, sa structure et son volume d'emploi et ses grandes caractéristiques, le deuxième étudie plus en détail les tendances et facteurs de changement essentiels, enfin le troisième soulève un certain nombre d'enjeux et de défis pour le futur. Sans offrir d'innovation réelle dans ...
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Géopolitique - Territoires, réseaux
Si on inversait les pôles ? … quand notre Europe se réveillera
Géopolitique - Ressources naturelles, énergie, environnement
Greenhouse Gas Emission Trends and Projections 2006
L'Agence Européenne de l'environnement constate que l'augmentation des émissions de CO2 dans l'Union européenne (UE) en 2003 et 2004, tirées essentiellement par l'accroissement des émissions du transport et de l'industrie, place l'UE-15 à un niveau d'émissions de 0,9 % inférieur à celui de 1990, soit seulement un dixième du chemin à accomplir pour atteindre l'engagement de - 8 % à l'horizon 2008-2012. Mais ses projections sont optimistes : si la poursuite des politiques ...
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Chapitre Géopolitique
Ce chapitre est extrait du Rapport Vigie 2016 de Futuribles International, qui propose un panorama structuré des connaissances et des incertitudes des experts que l'association a mobilisés pour explorer les évolutions des 15 à 35 prochaines années sur 11 thématiques.

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Richboro PA Real Estate & Homes for Sale
9 Properties Found
The median home value in Richboro, PA is $518,875.
This is
higher than
the county median home value of $300,000.
The national median home value is $231,815.
The average price of homes sold in Richboro, PA is $518,875.
Approximately 90% of Richboro homes are owned,
compared to 7% rented, while
3% are vacant.
Richboro real estate listings include condos, townhomes, and single family homes for sale.
Commercial properties are also available.
If you like to see a property, contact Richboro real estate agent to arrange a tour today!
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94 Cynthia Drive Richboro, PA 18954
Courtesy: RE/MAX Elite
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Beautiful home ~ wonderful location ~ Spring Valley Farms in Richboro. Situated close to both Tyler State Park & Churchville Park in the Award-Winning Council Rock Schools. Home is simply lovely & has been maintained impeccably. Gorgeous new hardwood flooring throughout the entire main level! Enjoy the excellent cub appeal of this home & all the lovely cared for properties around it. With 4 spacious bedrooms & 2.5 bathrooms, +/- 1600 square footage of living space includes a welcoming foyer w large coat closet which opens to the bright living room ~ flows into the formal dining room ~ wraps around into the updated lovely kitchen & finally is open to the lovely family room featuring fireplace & door to access to the cover patio & yard space. Lets not forget the spacious & cool finished basement, the really large bedrooms w great closets & the 2 car garage!
Courtesy: Palmer Mack Real Estate Servic
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Desirable home in this sought after adult community of Legacy Oaks in Richboro, PA is sure to be your final stop! The bright and open floor plan, modern vaulted ceilings, neutral decor, makes this home move-in ready. Hardwood flooring and the finished loft with additional full bath, together with the den adorned with a wall of windows and built in entertainment center offers loads of space for entertaining guests or quiet places to retreat. You will enjoy the quaint fenced in patio just off of the kitchen for additional serenity. The large 2 car garage with in home entry is a plus. Richboro, PA offers an abundance of shopping, dining and all of the conveniences and are within walking distance. Also Bucks County, Northampton Township offers popular amenities such as 5 Ponds Golf Course, The NAC health and Fitness and outdoor water club, shopping at Peddler's Village, Historic Newtown Borough and New Hope Borough , Doylestown Borough, recreation facilities such as Tyler State Park, Peace Valley Park and a host of others. Don't miss this one!
78 Lenape Road Richboro, PA 18954
Courtesy: Farley & Ferry Realty Inc
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Welcome to Northampton Chase, a luxury community, built by Toll Brothers. This immaculate, stunning move-in ready home has many fine details throughout. As you make your way up the walkway to the front door, you will discover a brand new portico. Upon entering a grand foyer, an elegant staircase will welcome you and your guests. Moving throughout the home you will enter a large study/office or an exquisite living room and formal dining area. Continuing on the first floor you will enter into the gourmet eat-in kitchen that has been designed with Shaker white cabinets and granite counter-tops with a gas cook-top center island. The kitchen has an expanded dining area that has an outside facing french door providing additional sunlight. The extended kitchen area also overlooks a sizable family room with cathedral ceilings lit by recessed lighting and a gorgeous gas fireplace. Stepping outside in the evenings from the kitchen there is a newly built over-sized deck, great for entertaining with family and friends. Completing the main floor is a powder room directly off the foyer. In addition a laundry room is downstairs with a built in sink that leads to the 2-car garage. Headed up to the second floor you will see the breathtaking views of the grand foyer off the second floor. The hallway will take you to any of the 4 bedrooms and 2 baths. Entering through the double doors you will come into the grand master bedroom. This master bedroom provides a large walk-in closet and the master bath that has been newly renovated. The freestanding soaker tub brings blissful spa-like comfort at home while overlooking the expansive backyard. The master bath also features a generous sized spa inspired shower with two shower heads and a glass enclosure. In the finished basement there is a space that is perfectly suited to be used as a gentlemen's retreat, media room, or game room. In addition there is an enclosed storage room with built-in shelves. This home is built on a premium lot with a beautiful backyard, professional landscaped and comes with a custom built shed which has a new roof that sits on a cemented pad. The home has a new roof less than a year old with a transferable warranty. Driveway has just been seal coated. Home is within walking distance, less than two miles, from Tyler State Park which provides boating, swimming, hiking, biking, bird watching , art center and many other things to do.. Plenty of local shopping and restaurants in the town of Richboro and the surrounding areas.
Courtesy: BHHS Fox & Roach-Yardley
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For those of you who enjoy the outdoor living as well as the history this home could be it! Remodeled home, with kitchen and breakfast area, a parlour, a spacious gathering room, a maintenance free deck, in-ground pool, detached single car garage (could be a pool house or art studio, you name it), u shaped driveway, detached 2 car garage with additional space down the private drive, classic views of Tyler State Park. Begin to explore Tyler Park straight from the back of the house. Make this home your own little oasis yet still within a stone's throw to all modern day conveniences. When Richard L. Thomas was appointed first postmaster, May 26, 1830, the name was changed to Richborough, subsequently shortened to Richboro, and so named it is claimed from the postmaster, popularly known as "Rich" Thomas. Source: Place Names in Bucks County, George MacReynolds, 1942, Bucks County Historical Society. This Richboro Home was built in 1914 and is now rejuvenated to today's conveniences.
Courtesy: Homestarr Realty
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Spacious Cape home with old world charm. This home is on a almost half a acre lot with flowers and trees in the back to add to your privacy. This home boast 4 bedrooms and is located in very desirable Council Rock school district . Some recent upgrades are HVAC (2017), 2 hot water heaters 2017 and 2018. One is Natural Gas and the other is electric .This home is actually walking distance to Richboro.
Courtesy: RE/MAX 440 - Doylestown
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**Excited to share that this home is going to be on "Sell This House" episode 1010, airing on September 14th & 19th on A&E - Check out the MAJOR UPDATES have been done by the designers of this show!! Looking for a 1st floor Master Bedroom? Or Multi Generational Layout? This lovely Richboro Expanded Cape Cod has all this and more to offer! You enter to a lovely Living Room or Dining room option that features lots of light and brand new carpets. To the left is a HUGE Family room layout with Brick Wood Burning Fireplace and lots of light that leads to the rear yard and deck area. Furth back from the living room is a Totally renovated Kitchen with New Hickory Soft Close Cabinets, All new Stainless Steel appliances including Smooth top 6 burner Self Cleaning Stove, Granite Countertops, Tile Backsplash, Double Sink with GD, new flooring and a nice sized breakfast dining area. To the right of the kitchen is the Master Bedroom area that features a full bath with newer vanity, flooring and tub/shower, as well as a large bedroom with newer carpet as well. The Enclosed Sunroom in the rear is just an awesome added living space!! It offers an additional table space and entertainment area, as well as a full set of windows overlooking the AWESOME Koi Pond with a Triple Waterfall that is full of some Very friendly FISH! The room also features 3 skylights to help brighten the entire 1st floor and easy access to the basement area as well as the rear yard. The 2nd floor features 2 enormous bedrooms both with double closets and an open area that could be divided into a 3rd bedroom or could be left as a 2nd floor gaming room for family to enjoy. A Huge full bathroom with newer vanity and shower also add to the usefulness of the living space on this level. This space was expanded with the rear dormers a few years ago to add to the increased living space of the home. The Koi Pond measures 20 x 10 x 4 ft deep, it is designed to keep the fish alive and healthy all year long and the triple waterfall adds lots to the aesthetics of this beautiful back yard! The double wide driveway offers lots of parking as well. All of this is located in the heart of Northampton Twp and Award Winning Council Rock School district. You won't be disappointed in touring this lovely home!
18 Yale Drive Richboro, PA 18954
Courtesy: Keller Williams Real Estate-Langhorne
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Back on the market! Don't miss it this time! Welcome to your summer oasis. Magnificent corner property featuring an in-ground pool with built-in spa. Huge yard and deck that's perfect for entertaining. Northampton Chase is a gorgeous neighborhood right down the street from downtown Richboro where you'll find shopping, dining, entertainment, etc. Once inside of 18 Yale Dr, you'll immediately want to call this place Home! The 2-story foyer provides plenty of light and leads you into a sun-drenched formal living room with vaulted ceilings and recessed lighting. Large formal dining room overlooks the living room. The kitchen is flooded with natural light and provides; an island with seating and gas-top cooking, double sink, loads of cabinet and counter space, wall oven, stainless steel refrigerator and dishwasher, ceramic tile floor, pantry and breakfast area with skylights. The kitchen overlooks the family room with dark wood trim & crown molding, gas fireplace & dimmable recessed lighting. There is an office (currently used as a play room) on the first floor as well. Washer & Dryer were moved to the basement and the side entrance has now become a mini reception style area ideal for hanging coats, shoes, etc. Power room is right off of this area so it's ideal for coming in from the pool. Hardwood floor throughout most of the main level as well. Upstairs you'll find a luxurious master suite featuring walk-in closets, decorative pillars, recessed lighting, master bath with double vanity, jacuzzi tub and stand-up shower. 3 other nice bedrooms and another full bath with double vanity complete the upstairs. There are also pull down steps to a floored attic with plenty of storage. The large basement is partially finished and is currently used mostly for storage and laundry. It could be ideal to finish off and provide additional living space for a home gym, rec room, hobby area, etc. Side-entry 2-car attached garage with driveway big enough for six cars. A great opportunity is waiting for you here. Mortgage rates are very low and the time is now! Make you appointment today and in the meantime check out the 3D Tour and Video provided.
10 Florence Drive Richboro, PA 18954
Courtesy: RE/MAX 440 - Doylestown
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This first time offered beautifully appointed corner property in much sought after Holland Ridge offers lush professional landscaping on the largest private lot with over 2 acres with possible sub-division potential. This Richboro colonial features 5 bedrooms, 3 full baths, and 2 half baths with one of each on the main level. Enter into an impressive and welcoming two story foyer, then continue into large living room and imagine your own Baby Grand Piano on your way to the custom Bar/Lounge area that is great for entertaining as it offers a 2-sided gas fireplace (shared with living room), custom built cherry wood bar, French doors from living room, dining room, and rear expanded deck, that spands across the rear of home and overlooks a serene and peaceful double lot with variety of mature trees. The spacious kitchen is accessed via center hall foyer and from rear deck through french doors, breakfast area is adjoined by kitchen with island, ample closet & counter space and coffee station, double sink, D/W and disposal; a large pantry closet rounds out the kitchen with enough space for a farm table in the future. Step down to an awesome 2 story family room with fireplace, hearth and astounding tall custom wood built ins to vaulted ceiling, An additional rear staircase from family room that leads to Master Suite, and 3 other bedrooms; Upstairs hall bridge looks over family room and dining room, there is also a hall bath. The carpeted stairs lead to finished basement, 2 nd office , gym, theatre and game room. There is ample space and the possibilities are endless as the current owners have enjoyed home theatre, table tennis, and large pool table as well as separate office and powder room. This is a special original owner home for your future enjoyment.The guest master suite is off foyer on first floor; entry to 2 car side garage is adjacent to powder room and laundry area.Link to the virtual tour: https://my.matterport.com/show/?m=czJd8ByZuHN
20 Carol Lane Richboro, PA 18954
Courtesy: Keller Williams Real Estate - Newtown
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Welcome home to 20 Carol Lane. This custom built, split/ multi-level is situated on a gorgeous corner lot with beautiful landscaping and an in ground Pool, in the Council Rock School District. It is a must-see! Upon arrival, park in this over-sized driveway, or utilize the large frontage to park on the quiet street. Enter thru the main large double-door entrance with an oversized foyer on the right, or take a few steps forward in the cozy living room, with its own exit/entrance by the back of the house. 1/2 bath-room is located in between front door and living room. Living room includes a natural wood furnace that helps heat the house in the cold months, new hardwood floors throughout the house, large windows for natural light. Directly attached is the custom kitchen with recessed lighting, beautiful backsplash, granite countertops, electric stove, and custom ceiling, sparing no detail left behind. Adjoined to the kitchen is the large dining room with hard-wood floors, oversized windows, and beautiful lighting. This gives the potential for an open floor concept. The lower level leads to a private living quarters, with a one bedroom and full jacuzzi/shower bathroom, and its own entrance/ exit from the house. Also leading down the large hallway is the washer/dryer room. Connected is the large 2 car garage, one was converted to the washer/dryer room. Upstairs master bedroom has its own private jacuzzi/ shower/ bathroom. The other 3 large bedrooms upstairs, also share their own jacuzzi/shower bathroom. A total of 4 large bed-rooms upstairs and 2 full bath-rooms. Home has an over-sized finished basement with a closed off storage room for optimal storage space! Schedule your private showing today!
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3 Labour politics in London The "Woolwich Pioneer" comes to utter the voice of the Labour Movement of Woolwich. To fulfill its end it must not be the utterance of a single editor, or of a group of journalists, earning their living by expressing their own thoughts or exploiting their own personality. It must be the voice of all in Woolwich who work, all who hope, all who care for the ideals which have given birth to labour movement after movement in the past and the Labour Representation movement of to-day. (Woolwich Pioneer, 1904)1 Socialist Woolwich This is
sharp re-focusing of Elizabeth's political beliefs towards adult suffrage, events within the wider movement provided the context in which the changes occurred. She was, however, still a member of the entirely anti-party-political WSPU Executive, and she wrote encouraging messages to members through the columns of Votes for Women while Emmeline Pankhurst (following a trial for conspiracy in May 1912) paced her prison cell listening to the cries of her followers as they endured forcible feeding.120 It was the events of 13 July, however, when suffragette Helen Craggs was
Populists claim that they, and they alone, represent the people. Jan-Werner Müller, What is populism? 1 While the Russian and Islamist threats to the West confronted Western nations with a diverse set of problems, storms were brewing on several home fronts as well. A surge in what has been called "populism" gave new life to a variety of right-wing political parties or candidates playing on otherwise legitimate popular fears and concerns, advocating simplistic, sloganeering political approaches that challenge the assumptions of established Western
home but also often stayed there, philanthropy was worldwide and universal in its reach. The political implications of this were profound. All humans, by virtue of being human, had rights. Philanthropy's task was to ensure that people were able to exercise those rights, even if they were prisoners or slaves. In an age that prided itself on being 'enlightened and humane', 1 philanthropy pointed the way to a better future – and Britain, with a statue to John Howard in St Paul's Cathedral, could claim philanthropy as a component of its national identity. The French
Introduction The anciens combattants and their associations We vowed to each other not to be political and we practiced the only true politics. We made up our minds to do this from the moment it was clear that France no longer had an elite, the republic no longer had leaders, the people had lost faith, society [had lost] its conscience and the patrie was losing its soul … We wanted to operate in France as a moral magistracy outside and above party quarrels … Whether the problems were moral, political, social or economic, we searched for and found solutions, the
, including politically influential executive, legislative and administrative positions in the provinces and even at the centre, were reserved for Indians, often to the exclusion of Anglo-Indian career civil servants. Although Britain retained control of fiscal, military and foreign policy matters, by the late 1930s elected Indian officials governed at the provincial level and Indians
-conscription movement, an increasingly popular broad 205 I nfluenza as a political tool 205 alignment of nationalists from many organisations. Edward Shortt became chief secretary and Sir John French became lord lieutenant. The new executive rounded up prominent anti-conscription campaigners under alleged suspicion of collusion with Germany: it was perhaps no coincidence that DORR 14B permitted the detention of individuals with 'hostile origin or association'.23 Initially, sixty-nine people were arrested on the night of 17 May 1918, and more were arrested in the following
5 Enfranchisement – the prisoner as citizen Introduction This chapter examines the experience of enfranchisement based on interviews with 50 prisoners. Their narratives are used rather than the raw statistical data, usually associated with opinion polls and electoral surveys, which was analysed in the last chapter. It begins with an examination of topics such as prisoners and the vote, motivation behind political participation and the government decision on enfranchisement. The experience of postal voting, the facilities available, the election campaign (or lack
Communal Council. He also became a member of the Executive Committee of the Board of Deputies during Selig Brodetsky's presidency and chairman of the Political Committee of the Zionist Federation. Norman Jacobs, 'Manchester', in Cyril Domb (ed.), Memories of Kopul Rosen (London 1970), p. 63. MWLBB Lodge Minutes 4 December 1933. He also made himself exceptionally vulnerable. After the war he was to find his name and Laski's, as the only two Manchester Jews on the Black List of British Jews prepared by the Gestapo. A copy of the list, as published by the Manchester
James Stuart, 25 May 1944, Butler to Henry Brooke, 8 September 1944. 72 BUL, Neville Chamberlain papers, NC 4/4/1, 'Report of speech by Mr Neville Chamberlain at meeting of National Union executive committee', 27 June 1940. 73 LRO, Derby papers, 920DER(17)/16/4, Manchester Supplement to the 'Onlooker', June 1941. 74 Bod. L., CPA, CCO 4/2/162, memorandum, 'Political survey', enclosed with Topping to James Stuart, 24 November 1941; CPA ARE 10/1/3, Wessex Area executive committee, 26 November 1941. 75 Ibid., CPA, ARE 10/1/3, Wessex Area annual meeting, 27 May


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AsBAA is a member led organisation. Each year, we invite members to the annual general meeting (AGM) whereby AsBAA reports back on the progress of the previous year and shares plans for the year ahead.
We look forward to seeing our members at the AsBAA AGM2020.
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提供: Channel 8 发布: 28/06/2019 声道: Chinese
Watch how officers from the Ang Mo Kio Police Division meticulously combed through hours of CCTV footages, mounted expansive ground work and skilfully connected the evidence to establish the identity of the suspects. Both suspects were eventually arrested by the police within three weeks from the reported crime. In this episode, we will share tips on how to safeguard yourself during the Great Singapore Sales.
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T news tv online Sweeden
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Oenochoé in black glazed ceramic enhanced with white and orange paint.
The decorated handle on each side by a small head of Aphrodite.
Preservation: Intact and very beautiful.
Period: Great Greece, Apulia, Gnathia style, circa 330-300 BC
Height: 20.5 cm.
Origin: Ex Belgian collection, Mr and Mrs. Cassiers formed between
1970 and 1980 and then by descent into the family.
Guaranteed authentic and from the period
No export permit is required for the shipment of goods between the EU member countries. The seller guarantees that he/she has acquired this lot legally and is in possession of the necessary permits. The seller will inform the buyer of the above details, should the acquisition of permits and shipping take more than a few days.
- Cultuur
- Oud-Grieks, Hellenistisch
- Materiaal
- Keramiek
- Aantal objecten
- 1
- Object
- Zeer mooie Oenochoe intact
- Eeuw / Periode
- Milieu du 4ème siècle avant J-C.
- Staat
- Goede staat, zie foto


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The Livingston Future 5 were announced on Tuesday at the Livingston Young Professionals Annual Meeting.
Marissa Hofstetter was selected as the LYP member of the year for her contributions to the program's activities over the past year. Also on the agenda was Kacie Stewart, co-owner of Stewart Family Medicine & After Hours.
Stewart opened by saying that when an opportunity presents itself, you should always say "yes", even if it is uncomfortable.
After hesitantly accepting an opportunity to become involved with the Chamber, she soon learned that each opportunity led to yet another. With each "yes" she grew personally and professionally. The decision became easier each time, and eventually she began creating her own opportunities and asking to get involved.
Stewart closed with the secret to success – "I don't think there is a secret to success. Success starts with very simple things and comes down to showing up."
During the event, leadership of Livingston Young Professionals transitioned from outgoing chair, Ross Kinchen to the 2020-21 Chair, Kelsie Moak.
Kinchen presented Moak with a pair of bedazzled sneakers, something that has now become somewhat of a tradition, symbolizing the "big shoes" she will fill as the LYP Chair.
Winners of the Livingston Future 5 include Lindsay Barleycorn of Our Lady of the Lake Regional Medical Center, Chad Foster of Gator Millworks, Inc., Ross Kinchen of The Kinchen Group, Brooke Labarre of Covington & Associates Real Estate, and Jonathan Taylor of the Livingston Parish Convention and Visitors Bureau.
"Livingston Future 5 winners are judged on a rounded background in areas of professional accomplishments and advancement, community involvement and volunteerism that makes our communities better," said April Wehrs, Chamber CEO. "Their understanding and involvement in all areas of their personal, professional and community lives is what makes our communities better and advances our parish to the next level to not only keep up with other areas, but to excel beyond. We don't just want to follow the standard of excellence here, we want to set it. Recognizing those who can help achieve that are substantial programs of the Chamber."


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The number of coronavirus (COVID-19) cases crossed the 5,100 mark as 117 new patients were reported after testing 376 collected samples on Tuesday at the two COVID-19 Laboratories in Rangpur division, BSS reports.
"The total number of COVID-19 cases now stands at 5,105 in all eight districts of the division," focal person of COVID-19 and assistant director (Health) for Rangpur division ZA Siddiqui told BSS Wednesday.
The district-wise break up of the total 5,105 patients stands at 1,515 in Rangpur, 222 in Panchagarh, 596 in Nilphamari, 284 in Lalmonirhat, 357 in Kurigram, 294 in Thakurgaon, 1,274 in Dinajpur and 563 Gaibandha of the division.
Talking to BSS, divisional director (Health) Amin Ahmed Khan said, the number of recovered patients rose to 3,358 with the healing of 67 more people on Sunday in the division.
The 3,358 recovered COVID-19 patients include 1,077 of Rangpur, 144 of Panchagarh, 468 of Nilphamari, 187 of Lalmonirhat, 195 of Kurigram, 216 of Thakurgaon, 766 of Dinajpur and 305 of Gaibandha districts.
"Presently, the rate of recovery of the coronavirus infected patients stands around 65.78 per cent in Rangpur division," Khan said. As two more deaths, with one each from Gaibandha and Lalmonirhat, reported on Tuesday, the total number of fatalities to 86 with the casualty rate of around 1.68 per cent in the division.
The 86 deceased people include 26 of Rangpur, 24 of Dinajpur, 12 of Gaibandha, nine of Nilphamari, five of Kurigram, four in Panchagarh and three each of Thakurgaon and Lalmonirhat districts of the division.
Among the total 5,105 COVID-19 patients, 181 are undergoing treatments at isolation units of different hospitals after release of 3,358 recovered patients and 86 deaths while 1,480 remaining in home isolations in the division.


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You've got the gear, and when the fishing trip of a lifetime comes together, you want to have your quiver at the ready. We designed our medium Bounty Hunter Reel Case for safe traveling and convenient storage, so you can arrive at your destination with all of your options on the table. Our medium reel case is customizable to fit four to six reels. There's also a mesh pocket to organize leaders and line, while the padded interior and sturdy exterior protect your investment from the bumps and bruises of travel.
• Carries 4‐6 reels with padded, configurable dividers
• Compression molded exterior for interior reel protection
• Padded walls & non‐scratch brushed liner fabric
• Interior zippered mesh pocket for leaders & lines


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When you use the IP PrintWay component of Infoprint Server to print the jobs that Infoprint XT generates, you create a second printer definition, in addition to the. The following information applies only to IP PrintWay™ basic mode. IP PrintWay extended mode does not use the same transmission queue as IP PrintWay. Before you use IP PrintWay™ to send print output to remote printers and email destinations, you must create printer definitions. Typically, you create one printer .
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If the Print Printwag subsystem does not process the data set: Printer commands can be used to change fonts or switch between simplex and duplex printing. Sending commands to the printer. Enter the printer subparameter in lowercase.
Creating an IP PrintWay printer definition
The printer's IP address or host name in the printer definition is used. In the printer definition, you specify the printer's address or the recipients' email addresses. A component is an entity in the Printer Inventory. IP PrintWay retains i order even if the transmission of the data sets must be tried again. The name can be 1 – 60 characters.
For information about how to write filter programs, see Writing a filter program. Enclose the entire value in single quotation marks.
Transforms IP PrintWay can transform data from one format to another. You can use the Begin Data Set exit to specify different printer commands for each data set. The following information contains programming-interface information.
Customizing IP PrintWay
Puts the data set in the KEEP state. You must turn this option off, when you use this printer definition with Infoprint XT.
With these coded, jes will truncate blanks x'40' to save spool space. You can also specify a standard greeting in the printer definition.
Creating an IP PrintWay printer definition
In this example, user1 xyz. IP PrintWay sends the email to any cc recipients specified in the printer definition. Customizing PSF for sharing network printers Optional: This parameter might be case-sensitive. In addition, you can use Infoprint Central to delete, hold, and move print jobs that IP PrintWay extended mode is processing. An ascii ' ' character is actually x'40' and is used frequently in Postscript.
For example, if the file name is myfile. IP PrintWay can retransmit an unsuccessful transmission for a specified number of times at a specified interval.
It provides better performance, improved usability, and more function than IP PrintWay basic mode. Encrypting data ensures the confidentiality of the data that you send to the printer. Run IP PrintWay extended mode to obtain better performance, improved usability, and more functions. IP PrintWay extended mode: You see the Processing panel. For options not specified in the printer definition, IP PrintWay uses hardcoded default values.
Infoprint Central cannot display information about idle IP PrintWay printers when a printer definition does not exist for that printer. If none is specified: Validating that data sets can print as requested. If any entries do remain, delete the entries or reallocate the data set before pruntway restart IP PrintWay. If the resubmit for filtering function IP PrintWay basic mode is used, the default value is the fully qualified data set name to enable the resubmitted and original data sets to be correlated.
Otherwise, the default value is the job prlntway. If, for example, you have read-only access to the IP PrintWay transmission-queue data setyou are allowed to list and browse entries but not hold, reset, modify, or delete them.
Writing IP PrintWay exit and filter programs
IP PrintWay always includes userid domainname to identify the sender. IP PrintWay ignores it and instead uses options that are specified in the printer definition. Starting an Infoprint Server ISPF session Listing transmission-queue entries basic mode Browsing a transmission-queue entry basic mode Holding a transmission-queue entry basic mode Resetting a transmission-queue entry basic mode Modifying a transmission-queue entry basic mode Deleting a transmission-queue entry basic mode Querying the status of a print queue basic mode.
For example, IP PrintWay extended mode can reject documents with data formats that the printer does not support or that are too large to print on the selected printer.
It can also verify that the transmission of data is successful pirntway it deletes data sets pritway the JES spool.


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Estimated Mortgage Payment: $1685.98/mo
Date Listed: Fri, Jul 31, 2020
Property Tax: N/A
More to See
Property Description for 228 EASTMOUNT DR
OTP Monday, Aug 10th a NOON. Original owner, superbly updated. WOW! 1180 ft raised bungalow in a great neighbourhood. Main floor shows exceptionally well with newer, ceramic-infused (scratch and pet proof) flooring, 3 BR and 2 full baths. The huge kitchen features new cupboard fronts, countertop, flooring and high end appliances ($4K+ induction-stove included). Appliances were purchased in 2019. Tri-pane windows (2015) and bathroom renos complete the main floor. Basement recroom, 4-pc bathroom and bedroom were built by the original builder (Broadview Homes). Nice sized, low maintenance back yard with large deck for your morning coffee. Shingles done in 2011, HE Furnace and AC around 2014-15. All appliances included, c/vac, window coverings etc. Close to schools, parks, shopping and transportation. This is a sweet home, there will NOT be an open house. By appointment to pre-approved, healthy buyers working with agents only. If you don't have an agent, call me.
Details for 228 EASTMOUNT DR
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Inside of 228 EASTMOUNT DR
Outside of 228 EASTMOUNT DR
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Pacific Radiance establishes new company in Abu Dhabi
Singapore's Pacific Radiance has formed a new limited liability company in the Emirate of Abu Dhabi.
Pacific Radiance said on Tuesday that its joint venture company, Pacific Allianz Holdings Pte. Ltd., formed the new company with its local partner on January 27.
According to Pacific, the new company, named Al Hail Marine Services (AHMS), has an initial capital of AED 150,000 (around $40,840).
Pacific Allianz Holdings and its local joint venture partner respectively hold 49% and 51% equity interest in Al Hail Marine Services.
AHMS will be principally engaged in the business of ship management and operations, provision of onshore and offshore oil and gas fields and facilities services, and marine lines agency.
"The incorporation of AHMS is not expected to have any material impact on the company's net tangible assets and earning per share of the company for the current financial year," Pacific said.
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text: Using sustainable products is the latest trend these days and this one is definitely here to stay. New and extremely innovative sustainable products keep entering the market and eco friendly umbrellas are one such creative sustainable entry on the list. The conventional umbrella has a fixed surface but it is not the case with an eco friendly umbrella.


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Which? magazine 4+
Which? Limited
- #86 in News
- Free
The smart stuff you didn't know you needed to know.
Which? magazine is your insider guide to consumer life, trusted by more than 500,000 subscribers. From inspirational ideas to expert user advice, Which? helps you stay in the know and make smarter choices.
Which? subscribers can read our award-winning investigations, special reports, features and lab test results – plus our back issues – in this enhanced digital edition for iPhone and iPad.
- Monthly magazine plus the latest consumer news
- Search our full digital magazine archive
- Available for your iPhone and iPad
- Mobile-friendly text view
Updated monthly with each issue of the magazine, and in real time with our consumer news feed. Which? brings you all the latest consumer news, investigations and test results from both current and past editions - and our search tool helps you find what you're looking for quickly.
We don't accept any form of advertising, freebies or sponsorship. Which? is not for profit, impartial and completely funded by subscriptions. We plough every extra penny back into making you more informed, more powerful and more fact-savvy, so that you can buy smart.
We test more than 3,500 products every year, from coffee machines to cars and everything in between - but we don't stop there. We also put service providers under the microscope, assessing their quality of service, terms and conditions, and customer satisfaction.
What's New
Version 3.6
Performance improvements and minor bug fixes
Ratings and ReviewsSee All
Much improved from app of 4 yrs ago
Now much quicker to download & scroll pages. Search across Which for an item also now much quicker & more comprehensive.
Would still like to see other Which mags accessible from same app though.
Review of 2013 -
Only allows downloads of most recent 8 months of main magazine to existing subscribers. Download & unpacking is slow. Swiping between pages is very slow - several attempts often needed.
What's needed -
1. Ability to search all magazine back issue content not just currently read issue
2. Recognise all Which mag subscriptions and make these available through one app
3. Speed up download & access time
4. Fix slow swipe response times
5. Links from mag to online exist but update notifications through the app would also help
Hugely frustrating!
The idea behind the iPad edition is an alluring one. The convenience of being able to glance through articles and links to reports should render the paper version almost redundant.
However, the premise is reliant on a well tested and reliable system. This is where the whole house of cards collapses. To take one example, today I was reading the 7 in 7 supplement. The broadband review provides a link to the table of Best Buys. However, pressing the link takes me to a page which asks me, for the umpteenth time, to input my membership and password details. This has happened so often that the idea of a seamless experience is beyond a joke.
Until this is sorted out I shall stick to using the good old fashioned paper edition. Grrrr...
Latest App update is terrible
The app used to work well on my iPhone and iPad. The magazine was a number of articles and each article could be read taking up most of screen and scrolling down through article. The new app is more like a magazine which is navigated page by page but I am not interested in which page I am reading. I want to read an article in its entirety without needing to worry about page I am reading. You can get something like old app by touching a button at bottom right but this has to be done on every page. Also when downloading a magazine it has hung on me. To turn a good app into a poor app is very poor for a consumer organisation.
- Provider
- Which? Limited
- Size
- Category
- News
- Compatibility
Requires iOS 11.0 or later. Compatible with iPhone, iPad and iPod touch.
- Languages
- Age Rating
- 4+
- Copyright
- © 2013 Which? Limited
- Price
- Free
Family Sharing
Up to six family members will be able to use this app with Family Sharing enabled.


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When I got pregnant (and again many times during my pregnancy) I had the realisation that I would actually have to give birth to this baby!Read more
I'm pretty sure I've already forgotten some of what I learned during pregnancy but here's what I do remember… #1 Everyone has a horrific labourRead more
Soon I won't be able to count the number of times I've forgotten my blog on one hand. However, I'm going to give it anotherRead more
Yet again I've neglected my blog. However, what with getting married, moving house and starting a new job I feel that it's probably understandable! It'sRead more
Feeling a need to process my thoughts and experiences creatively, I find myself returning to blogging yet again. I'm hoping to use this as a placeRead more