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How To Buy Women's Leather Bags?
Hardly any women would say no to a leather bag. They come with a different appeal because bags that are made out of leather is reflecting a different kind of elegance that isn't found in bags made from other materials. If you like to look elegant and appealing with your dress on, then you ought to have a matching women's leather bag. This leather bag you're carrying can easily create a fashion statement on your behalf. There are various kinds of bags that can be chosen from and the one you chose must be befitting for your outfit. There are lots of articles made from materials that are nearly the same to leather but in reality, it is not genuine leather. The lifespan of these materials are going to be less but external looks of the bag made from such might look attractive with additional gloss. When compared to bags made out of actual leather, you can be sure for them to last twice longer. To know that you're getting genuine leather, be sure that you are only buying from reputable and well known brand. These days, many types of bags are available to be purchased.
They're so useful in carrying necessary items you have. Some bags are also small that they are used intimately for enhancing style. They aren't much intended for carrying things but for accentuating style only. Once again, some other bags have different compartments which help in keeping different items in a more organize way. There are also bags that are big in size and can be very handy for carrying items. Some leather bags are even apt for its formal usage while others are taken to parties due to their funky look.
Smart Ideas: Purses Revisited
Getting women's leather bags have become easier these days now that there's an option for online shopping. There are numerous companies that have websites online and all the designs they have are displayed beautifully. With this in mind, it is easier for customers to decide which leather bags to buy even if they're just at the comfort of their home. The whole process is also convenient and the product will be delivered after a few days directly into your home.
The Ultimate Guide to Clutches
You must explore all the possible options for getting the best variety if you like to buy women's leather bag. It might not last that long if you settle on cheaper models as it will not come in superior quality. Simply buying the right bag is more than enough for elevating your style and self confidence. If you are having a hard time making a choice, consider asking for someone's help.


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Mobile SEO Marketing – Not Just For Big Companies Anymore!
What used to be something that smaller businesses would consider if the budget was there, mobile SEO and mobile marketing in general has really become a business priority.
Google's push for mobile-friendly websites to accommodate an increasingly mobile audience has created a marketing environment where it is critical.
For any [...]

subset: commoncrawl


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Saving, Sharing, and Spending…
It's true; kid savers are more likely to attend college. Mercer Savings Bank gets it, and this year we are making a commitment to open more child savings accounts than ever.
Mercer Savings Bank employees have volunteered and taught several elementary school classes about the importance of saving money. We have taught classes in Celina, Ft. Recovery, and Greenville. Mercer Savings Bank plans on continuing to educate children on the importance of saving, sharing, and spending.
…And Playing!
Independent Community Bankers of America (ICBA) has several financial literacy games for you to choose from. Have fun playing and learning at the same time. Check them out!


text: Dr. Stephen Castell, Chartered Information Systems Practitioner and Member of the Expert Witness Institute, is Chairman of CASTELL Consulting. He is an internationally acknowledged Independent Computer Expert who has been involved in a wide range of computer litigation over many years. CASTELL Consulting, currently in its twenty-fifth year, provides independent professional consultancy and expert services in Computer Systems, Software, Project Management, Strategy, and Contract Disputes, to a wide variety of international clients and companies. As an Expert Witness in computer litigation, Dr. Castell has acted in over 100 major cases including the largest and longest computer software actions to have come to trial in the English High Court. He is the author of the best-selling Computer Bluff (1983), and of The APPEAL Report (1990) on the admissibility of computer evidence in court and the 'legal reliability' of information systems and technologies (with the CCTA).


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YUBA CITY – Northern California authorities are investigating the discovery of a human head and two arms along a river.
Sutter County sheriff's Lt. Butah Uppal says the body parts belong to a male whose identity could be determined through fingerprints.
Uppal says two fishermen reported finding the arms Saturday on Beer Can Beach on the Feather River. Several feet up a hill, authorities found a decomposed head.
The body parts were discovered just a half-mile from the site where a leg in a plastic bag was found in November. Authorities determined the leg had been amputated while the as-yet unidentified person was still alive.
Information from: Appeal-Democrat, http://www.appeal-democrat.com


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First Day Yes Day Best Day Hand Lettered Chalkboard Wedding Gift Decor Bridal Shower Decor
The big day is fast approaching. You've been dreaming and planning for this your whole life and want all the little details to be just perfect! This chalkboard design is a sweet, intimate way to remember the most special days leading up to your wedding day. Your first date. Your engagement day. And of course, your wedding day. This wedding sign allows the option of adding your *new* monogram. What better way to remember all the most wonderful days of your life - thus far? Product Details...
Source : https://www.etsy.com/listing/643240782/first-day-y
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Despite Apple not really showing us what iOS 7 on the larger screened iDevices will look like -- just the iPhone and iPod touch -- it seems the iOS 7 emulator has a load of secrets to unveil. Here's what an iPad with iOS 7 will probably look like.
Apparently it's all still very much a work in progress, hence why the iOS 7 developer beta for the iPad isn't available yet, but thanks to some curious devs, you can try it yourself if you've got Xcode 5 up and running.
According to 9to5Mac, simply copy the folder:
Applications/iPhone Simulator.app/Contents/Resources/Devices/iPad (Retina).deviceinfo
Then fire up the iOS Simulator and select \"iPad (Retina)\" as your device of choice.
Anyway, for those who don't have a Mac, Xcode, or simply can't be bothered, here's a little collection of screenshots courtesy of apfelpage.de. [apfelpage.de via 9to5Mac]


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About this item
From one of Vanity Fair's rising stars comes a brilliant, star-studded portrait of the glamorous and brazen Hollywood artist, muse, and writer Eve Babitz.
Los Angeles in the 1960s and 70s was the pop cultural capital of the world - a movie factory, a music factory, a dream factory. Eve Babitz was the ultimate factory girl, a pure product of LA.
The goddaughter of Igor Stravinsky and a graduate of Hollywood High, Babitz posed in 1963, at age twenty, playing chess with the French artist Marcel Duchamp. She was naked; he was not. The photograph, cheesecake with a Dadaist twist, made her an instant icon of art and sex. Babitz spent the rest of the decade rocking and rolling on the Sunset Strip, honing her notoriety. There were the album covers she designed: for Buffalo Springfield and the Byrds, to name but a few. There were the men she seduced: Jim Morrison, Ed Ruscha, Harrison Ford, to name but a very few. She was a sun-kissed Edie Sedgwick.
Then, at nearly thirty, her It girl days numbered, Babitz was discovered - as a writer - by Joan Didion. She would go on to produce seven books, usually billed as novels or short story collections, always autobiographies and confessionals. Her prose achieves that American ideal: art that stays loose, maintains its cool, and is so sheerly enjoyable as to be mistaken for simple entertainment. And yet, during her career, Babitz was under-known and under-read. She's since experienced a breakthrough, and is now, twenty years after her last published work, on the cusp of literary stardom, and recognition as a - as the - essential LA writer.
For Babitz, life was slow days, fast company until a freak fire in the 90s turned her into a recluse, living in West Hollywood, where Lili Anolik tracked her down in 2012. Anolik's elegant and provocative new book is equal parts biography and detective story. It is also on dangerously intimate terms with its subject: artist, writer, muse, and one-woman zeitgeist, Eve Babitz.


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WASHINGTON COUNTY HISTORICAL SOCIETY (Washington County, Utah)
CERTIFICATE OF COMMENDATION (March, 2008)
to Greg & Mae Abbott
for restoring and maintaining the Arthur Cottam home
The Cottam-Abbott Home Celebrates a Century
Twelve-year-old Greg Abbott grew up in California but could hardly wait to come to St. George in the summers to be with his grandparents, Arthur and Mae Cottam, in their historic home at 508 East 300 South. Greg loved the huge Mulberry trees and the garden with vegetables and grapes. He had fun up in the attic of the home where he could see the tops of the adobe walls, three bricks thick. It was a boy's paradise; he could be a pioneer right there in his grandparents' home, one his grandfather had built and where his mother, Mary, had grown up.
That was the 1950s. Three decades later, in 1981, after his grandfather died at age 97, Greg purchased the home from the family estate. He set about restoring and preserving the cherished family abode. He studied documents to verify how the structure came to be. He knew that Arthur Cottam had built it and that his father, Thomas Cottam (the builder of several civic buildings like the Temple and the old Dixie College), had helped him. They actually made the bricks and hauled the lumber from Mount Trumbull on the Arizona Strip. Arthur undertook the project after marrying his bride, Mae Pritchard. He finished it in 1908 when he was 23 years old.
At that time the home occupied one quarter of the block. There was a grist mill next to the home and a barn next to that on 500 East. Behind the home, the mill and the barn was a garden with vegetables, a vineyard and some Mulberry trees. By the time Greg purchased the home, the two lots to the south had been sold, but there was still a large yard and big trees.
Through the restoration, the interior of the home has been kept very close to the original. That was Greg Abbott's concept - to keep the original intact. He knew that father and son Cottam were great builders. Even though Greg is an accomplished artist and could easily design changes, he revered the high quality of the work of Arthur and Thomas Cottam. The woodwork and the windows have been retained. The main floor has the entry vestibule, living room, dining room, kitchen, a small den and the master bedroom, much as they were originally. The woodwork is handsome and original. Even the sliding parlor doors are still in use. On the second floor Greg kept the gables that run north and south and then opened the attic to add gables to the east and west. There were two bedrooms at first but now there is an additional TV/family room and a second bath.
The garden of the home has been transformed from vegetables to flowers and L. K. Abbott devotes a good part of each day to its tender care. The Abbotts have installed a swimming pool and two Koi ponds. As people drive by the well-known residence, they see the huge Mulberry trees whose branches reach well out into the middle of the street. During the Christmas holidays each year, the Abbotts decorate the house and the trees with thousands of white lights, which entice the whole community. Some call it the "magic house." Twenty years ago Greg Abbott and his father L. K. Abbott built a new home adjacent to the Cottam home. It serves as a comfortable residence for Greg's parents, L. K. and Mary. The upper floor is sometimes used as an art studio and often becomes a party room for family and neighbors.
The Washington County Historical Society is pleased to present the Abbotts a certificate of commendation for their outstanding achievement of restoring and maintaining the Arthur Cottam home. It has been in their family for 100 years and is in as good condition as its original builders created. The trees and garden too are a great achievement, with some of the trees being original to the building's construction. This kind of creative historical work by residents of Washington County brings honor and appreciation to our heritage.


text: Speaker Line-Up for 2006 Tucson Freedom of Expression March and Trans Awareness Community Fair Trans Awareness Community Fair, Freedom of Expression March, Schedule A chronological line-up of all the speakers on Saturday, November 18th, 2006 between the Freedom of Expression March and the Trans Awareness Community Fair. These events were part of the 2006 Tucson Transgender Awareness Week. Includes both the time that the speakers were projected to start and how long it should take for them to get through their presentation. Southern Arizona Gender Alliance November 18th, 2006. 6 bvfcdx All other documents connected to the Freedom of Expression March and Transgender Awareness Community Fair List English 2006 Transgender Awareness Week Schedule of Events (Advert) Transgender Awareness Week, Southern Arizona Gender Alliance, Advertisement This advertisement contains a complete schedule of the 2006 Tucson Transgender Awareness Week, along with descriptions, timing, and location of events. The formatting is based around a calendar, where each event is included on its according day and in descending order according to the time of the event. On the upper right there are portraits of featured presenters (Dean Spade, Loren Cameron, Donna Rose, and Sage Hopson). On the bottom there are icons of the many groups that SAGA partnered with for the week's events, as well as contact information for Jessica Pettitt, coordinator of the University of Arizona's Center for Social Justice Learning Center. Notable things regarding the document: -Most of the events take place on the University of Arizona's campus. -The events used Wingspan's branding, as it was the parent organization of SAGA until 2014, where Wingspan dissolved into the Southern Arizona AIDS Foundation and SAGA struck out on its own. The events were still planned and run primarily by SAGA members/leaders. Southern Arizona Gender Alliance November 13th-20th, 2006 Wingspan; University of Arizona's Student Involvement and Leadership. All sources regarding the 2006 Transgender Awareness Week, included in Folder 1 of the Southern Arizona Gender Alliance 20th Anniversary Collection, ORG2019-001. Calendar/Broadside English Advertisement; Calendar


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When victimization rummage engine optimization, you privation to perfect everything from titles, content, folio descriptions, heading tags, bolding, and underlining keywords. There are internet experts all all over that are more than willing to support you get going. As nightlong as you are wishing for and willing to learn within will be empire out there to oblige you.
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(Ed: These comments about Westconnex Traffic Modelling are relevant to the Westconnex M4 EIS traffic chapter that is already published on the People's EIS.Traffic modelling can be daunting but we hope that this contribution, along with other contributions on traffic, can help you prepare your own submission.)
By Anthony McCosker*
Traffic Modelling Flaws
Chapter 8 Traffic and transport and the associated appendix (Appendix G) are based on traffic modelling based on a three-stage system (see Appendix G, pp. 4-2 to 4-15):
(1) traffic demand management;
(2) rebase future year traffic demand; and
(3) operational traffic modelling.
This summary examines the limitations of relying solely on traffic modelling findings, before assessing the assumptions made by WestConnex traffic modelling, examining a parallel report completed by SGS and concluding with a brief case of other traffic modelling for similar projects.
Limitations of traffic modelling
Traffic Modelling has many limitations and therefore it is dangerous to rely solely on its findings.
In attempting to model the future, traffic modelling makes a number of assumptions to produce what can sometimes seem like absolute and certain figures. In contrast, the number of assumptions, simplifications and estimations used in the modelling means that the figures produced are just one possible outcome of many.
So to rely solely on these findings can lead to misguided conclusions or outcomes, adding unnecessary risk to a project (Evans, Burke, & Dodson, 2007). This can be seen in recent Australian examples such as AECOM facing litigation over the traffic modelling of the CLEM7 tunnel in Brisbane, litigation over the traffic modelling for the Lane Cove Tunnel, and the Cross City Tunnel struggling to reach 20,000 cars per day after modelling suggested that 90,000 cars a day would use it (see http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/the-forecast-was-not-good–or-even-accurate-20120929-26rzb.html).
Indeed a reliance on traffic modelling as a justification for projects (as commonly happens in Australia) has seen '…investments in Melbourne's urban road network [result] in more time being used by Melbourne's motorists rather than less time' (Odgers, n.d., pp. 14-15), finding that from 2000-1 to 2006-7 overall speeds per hour on Melbourne freeways stayed generally the same, at around 78km/hour. Thus it is important to consider that 'Transport models are useful planning tools, but travel demand forecasting is not a precise science, and there are numerous outside factors which are difficult to predict or quantify' SGS (2015). Professor Michiel Bliemer and Dr Matthew Beck (both from the University of Sydney's Institute of Transport and Logistics) (Bliemer & Beck, 2015) state that models do not factor in future trends, preferences or behaviour (even trends that are known to be happening, such as 'millennials' driving less).
Some limitations of traffic modelling
Traffic modelling overlooks future trends
Because 'a linear relationship is assumed between population, concentrations of land use and long-term transport demand' (Evans et al., 2007, p. 6), traffic modelling fails to consider future trends including (but not limited to):
- Changes in fuel prices and shortage (or perceived shortage) of fuel ('Most technical assessments of transport systems are naïve to the issue of petroleum risk' (Evans et al., 2007)):
Changes in government policy (including transport and planning policy)
The effect that emerging transport trends including decentralised and disruptive transport provision (such as Uber), car share (eg GoGet) and autonomous vehicles will have on car use
Changes in generational travel preferences (such as 'Millennials' preferring technological connections over private vehicle connections; 'Boomers' driving less as this cohort ages)
Changes in sociocultural trends (such as preference for particular destination types or avoidance of areas due to issues such as crime)
Traffic modelling inadequately address effects of 'induced traffic'
Traffic models also struggle to accurately address induced traffic, which 'weakens their capacity to inform policy makers about the broader economic value and environmental impact of major transport projects' (Evans et al., 2007, p. 6). Induced traffic can include:
- Mode change (such as switching from public transport to car use due to reduced travel time upon immediate opening of the road, known as the Downs-Thompson Paradox—see for example http://io9.com/how-the-downs-thomson-paradox-will-ruin-your-commute-1152573927)
- New trip
- Change of route
- Shift of times at which people travel
- As travel times are initially shortened by increased road capacity, people have more time in their travel budget (generally around one hour—see the Marchetti Constant for more on this) so may choose to make longer trips
- Changes in land use due to changes in accessibility to transport modes
- Reduced public transport services further increasing automobility of a city
'The biggest force still driving the Auto City to build large freeways and accommodate the automobile rather than providing other options is the standard "black box" transportation/land use model…These are based on how a new or widened road will save time, reduce fuel, and lower emissions and road accidents…these benefits are illusory due primarily to "induced traffic."' (Newman & Kenworthy, 1999)
Traffic modelling oversimplifies trip types
Travel is 'grossly simplified' with minimal trip types considered (Evans et al., 2007, p. 4), for instance 'trip-chaining' (combining a number of destinations in one journey, such as dropping children at school before going to work, then picking the child up and going shopping) is ignored in modelling due to its complexity
Traffic modelling oversimplifies or limits considerations that lead people to choose trip or mode types
Residential density, land use mix and non-motorised accessibility all influence travel behaviour but are rarely accounted for (list adapted from Evans et al., 2007):
- 'Australian metropolitan strategies…generally seek to reduce land use separation and distance, to promote walking, cycling, and public transport, and to reduce the use of the private motor vehicles. The use of models is unable to assess land use/transport interactions in order to determine and prioritise transport project investments within these strategies is therefore questionable.
Trip zones considered are generally large, limiting consideration of walking or cycling
Modal assignment is limited and overlooks many qualitative considerations of public transport services (such as youth preference to engage technology while travelling)
Limited consideration of non-motorised trips and other travel options (such as carpooling)
There is a focus on interchange and waiting times over quality of nodes or destinations (which affects the modes of transport people will take)
Traffic modelling focusses predominantly on travel times at the expense of other considerations
Models give limited consideration to effects such as pollution, noise or carbon emissions, while route/traffic assignment (Evans et al., 2007) assigns traffic flows to an equilibrium where no traveller can switch routes and reduce their costs which is not how the 'real world' works; capacities are generally over-simplified (for example heavy vehicle movements and highway geometry are often overlooked).
Traffic modelling is generally 'expert'-led and 'technocentric', with little community input or justification of assumptions and inputs
Due to their technical nature,'knowledge of how the models work and their capacities, and in turn their biases and inadequacies, is often restricted to a small number of professional experts' (Evans et al., 2007, p. 2). This can give traffic modelling reports the impression of 'objectivity' and 'universality', whereas the policy context and the political surroundings certainly play a role in the assumptions and inputs into such models, and when this is added to 'the inherent inadequacies of transport modelling, this technical complexity may be seen to create a form of institutional risk for transport planning assessment' (Evans et al., 2007, p. 2).
Traffic modelling generally favours one mode—the car (Evans et al., 2007)
M4 East traffic modelling—what are the assumptions?
'Do nothing' baseline is assumed
A 'Do nothing' approach is used as the baseline for any time-saving benefits of the M4 East and wider WestConnex project, however a more viable comparison might have been an incremental improvement of multiple modes of transport infrastructure (including for cars, buses, trains, light rail, walking and cycling) using the funding amounts for the M4 East and wides WestConnex project ($15.4 billion). This could present an opportunity for increased viability of the traffic modelling, as previous suggestions by independent experts (see http://www.reportageonline.com/2014/06/westconnex-motorway-not-actually-going-to-help-sydneys-traffic-congestion/) for sustainable public transport as an alternative have been 'overruled by WestConnex', and the speed of a city's roads are directly related to the speed of its public transport (known as the 'Mogridge Conjecture').
An auto-dependent study area is assumed
The study area—defined as the Local Government Areas in the project—is assumed in the report to be auto-dependent and reliant predominantly on cars for transport. However Newman and Kenworthy (2015) outline the fact that a suitable aspirational target for total trips taken by car might be 75% in an 'automobile fabric' area. Table 5.7 (Appendix G, p. 5-8) however shows that the average weekday travel for all local government areas within the project area is 57%, far lower than both the Greater Metropolitan Area of Sydney (67%) and the threshold for Newman and Kenworthy's 'automobile fabric'. It is a figure that is closer to a 'transit fabric' of 50% overall car use (see also Figure 5.4 from Appendix G, below). Along with the fact that 90% of western Sydney commuters to the CBD travel every day by public transport (SGS, 2015), this brings into question the modelling assumptions that cars are the preferred form of transport and that they will remain so to the modelling horizon (2031).
(Appendix G (p. 5-8) itself states: 'Findings from the HTS [household travel surveys] shows that on average, 57 per cent of trips on a typical weekday in the project area are car based compared to 69 per cent in the Sydney GMA. The lower proportion of residents who are dependent on car travel can be partly attributed to good public transport options in the project area and also to the proximity of activities with a high proportion of travel utilising the walk mode share in comparison to LGAs with a more dispersed land use.')
Current trends such as 'peak car' are ignored; outdated status quo is assumed
As outlined above, traffic models struggle to deal with future trends and patterns. However even current trends such as peak car (Newman & Kenworthy, 2015), which began in 2004 and is the decrease in the growth in overall car use, are ignored in the modelling. Ignoring trends towards peak car and shifts away from automobile dependence, as well as societal changes (such as an ageing population in Sydney and reduced reliance on cars by younger generations) and potential future technological developments (such as car share systems and autonomous vehicles), adds risk to the modelling assumptions and significantly reduces their reliability.
A certain level (2-7%) of induced traffic is assumed
'At the extremes of the project a slight increase in volumes is shown on Parramatta Road, Concord Road and City West Link. This is indicative of the induced traffic demand attracted to the corridor as a result of the project…To the west, Concord Road and Parramatta Road continue to show an increase in expected daily volumes reflecting the induced demand resulting from the attraction to drivers of the WestConnex scheme.' (Appendix G, p. 8-2)
'Induced travel demand increases 2031 future year traffic volumes using WestConnex between two per cent and seven per cent, with the specific value varying across different sections of the project.' (Appendix G, p. 4-6)
Yet the uncertainty regarding the actual amount of induced traffic and its effects on project aims (such as 'Relieve road congestion' and 'Create opportunities for urban revitalisation…along Parramatta Road'), its impact on the local study area and its implications in the context of Greater Metropolitan Sydney area are not addressed.
The effect of induced traffic demand on public transport usage is not acknowledged
Despite claims that improved public transport (such as bus) travel times will improve patronage (Chapter 8, p. 32), the effects of induced traffic (such as switches away from public transport to cars) on alternative modes are ignored. Concerns regarding increasing the demand for automobile use when the majority of developed cities around the world and most strategic directions and plans for Sydney point towards reducing automobile demand are also overlooked.
SGS traffic modelling report is ignored
A traffic modelling report conducted by SGS Economics and Planning (SGS, 2015) relating to the entire WestConnex project produces numerous counterpoints to the modelling conducted for the M4 East project and given in the EIS. This report is ignored throughout the M4 East report, despite the opportunity to strengthen both models by comparing and contrasting outcomes, and identifying differences in assumptions that led to any disparities (some select findings from the report are outlined below).
Brief findings from the SGS traffic modelling report
As a counterpoint to the modelling used for the EIS, this section will briefly outline the main points made by the SGS report that was conducted into the wider WestConnex project (available at http://www.sydney.org.au/sgs-economics-and-planning-westconnex-transport-modelling-summary-report/).
At best the disparity in the two projections proves the difficulty in accurately predicting future transport movements across a complex network in a city such as Sydney and confirms the above points warning against sole reliance on traffic modelling for project justification. At worst they present a bleak view of the effectiveness the WestConnex project will have, and bring the validity of the modelling used and thus the justification for the entire project into question. Briefly, the SGS report found that:
'Sydney traffic congestion will worsen with or without WestConnex, with the project only making a minor difference to Sydney's overall traffic in the future…The net effect [of the entire WestConnex project] is similar to the status quo.' (SGS, 2015, p. 1) (see below)
(see http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/parramatta-road-traffic-will-increase-under-westconnex-study-shows-20150427-1mueqm.html)
'The [SGS] modelling confirms that WestConnex will not improve access to the Sydney CBD…the CBD is already congested and has little available parking.' (SGS, 2015, p. 4)
'Traffic flows on Parramatta Road will increase by up to 22 per cent (between Homebush Bay Drive and Concord Road) as vehicles avoid paying the toll on the M4 and M4 eastern extension. This finding is consistent with the WestConnex Delivery Authority's own assessment presented in the M4 Widening Environmental Impact Statement and with the traffic flow impacts observed when the M4 toll was removed in 2010. As a result of WestConnex, Parramatta Road will take more traffic in the future, not less.' (SGS, 2015, p. 15)
'Traffic growth on Parramatta Road will clearly jeopardise the government's planned urban renewal and population growth along this corridor.' (SGS, 2015, p. 4)
Issues with modelling of other comparable projects
In recent years, traffic modelling of other similar projects has been called into question on a number of occasions, and serves as a warning against relying solely on traffic modelling as justification for road projects into the future. For instance:
- The Cross City Tunnel (Sydney) became insolvent in 2006 as a result of significant traffic modelling discrepancies—90,000 cars/day were predicted through the model, though just over 20,000 cars/day actually used the tunnel (see http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/the-forecast-was-not-good–or-even-accurate-20120929-26rzb.html)
The two companies responsible for the Lane Cove Tunnel (Sydney) traffic modelling were subject to litigation after the tunnel became bankrupt directly following its 2009 completion due to actual use less than half that projected in the modelling (see http://www.smh.com.au/nsw/trial-to-start-on-144-million-lane-cove-tunnel-debacle-20140809-102c6d.html)
AECOM (who conducted the M4-East traffic modelling) faced litigation over the modelling of the Clem7 tolled tunnel in Brisbane. Central to the claim was the fact that AECOM provided traffic models showing 100,000+ cars/day usage by 2011, despite having 18 months earlier estimated usage would be 57,000 cars/day. Actual traffic usage numbers in 2011 were under 24,000 cars/day (see http://www.smh.com.au/business/backers-sue-on-tollroad-forecast-use-20110414-1dfxd.html).
Bliemer, M., & Beck, M. (2015). Myth: Roads are the solution to congestion. Paper presented at the Festival of Urbanism, Sydney.
Evans, R., Burke, M., & Dodson, J. (2007). Clothing the Emperor?: Transport modelling and decision-making in Australian cities. Paper presented at the State of Australian Cities National Conference, Adelaide.
Newman, P., & Kenworthy, J. (1999). Sustainability and cities: Overcoming automobile dependence. Washington, D.C.: Island Press.
Newman, P., & Kenworthy, J. (2015). The end of automobile dependence: How cities are moving beyond car-based planning. Washington, DC, USA: Island Press.
Odgers, J. (n.d.). Have all the travel time savings on Melbourne's road network been achieved? GAMUT Discussion Paper. Melbourne: RMIT.
SGS. (2015). WestConnex transport modelling: Summary report. Sydney: Commissioned by City of Sydney.
- Anthony McCosker is doing his doctorate at the Curtin University Sustainability Policy (CUSP) Institute


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Tuesday, May 26, 2009
Flight of the Conchords: still New Zealand's 4th most popular folk parody duo despite obstacles
Despite faulty fire alarms, bad mics and clogged toilets, Flight of the Conchords' Bret McKenzie and Jemaine Clement left Berkeley in stitches last night.
The Community Berkeley Theater was a bizarre choice for a show like this, considering the duo sold out Davies Hall last year and seemed a tad ill-equipped to handle so many people twice in one night. I wonder how the Berkeley High kids deal. In a voiceover starting the show, Jemaine informed the audience that we were not there for a school assembly, just in case anyone was wondering.
Due to a malfunctioning auditorium fire alarm, the 6pm crowd was still wrapped around the building at 6pm. Warm up act and Bay Area local Arj Barker, who plays Dave on the HBO series, had some quality moments in his act. One punchline was definitely ruined by a shotty mic. Maybe we were spared a rotten joke... we might never find out.
Read More of my examiner.com review and watch videos...
And by the way, that was my friend Lauren's camera that Jemaine stuffed in his pants at the 9pm show.
Posted by Jamie: at 5/26/2009
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6 guests wear the same dress to Australian wedding
No one wants to turn up to an event and find someone else wearing the exact same dress. But what if you spend forever getting dolled up only to find that not one, not two, but five other people have stolen your look?
That was the unfortunate (and frankly quite hilarious) reality for six guests at a recent Sydney wedding.
Apparently they had all thought this $160 black lace dress from Forever New was the perfect frock for the occasion. Clearly, they were right.
Seeing the hilarity of it all, the six ladies lined up for a photo with the bride, which was later shared on the Forever New Facebook page by one of the guests, Debbie Speranza.
"You really should start a bridal registry so that your customers can enquire whether anyone else has purchased one of your dresses for the same event, no we are NOT the bridesmaids just the guests," she wrote. "Think I deserve a gift voucher for all this advertisement."
The post has already attracted over 45,000 likes and 10,000 comments in just two days.
Read more from Yahoo Style + Beauty:
Ariel Winter goes on a #rant: 'Screw having to always look appropriate'
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For a few months now, we have know that Micah is badly in need of glasses. When your child is thrilled at new hymnals that have more of the songs your sing at Church, you know he really needs to see better. A few weeks ago, his eye appointment finally came and sure enough, he needed glasses. The whole experience was one that reminded me much of a our faith.
After they deduced that he does indeed need glasses, he had to try on different glasses. What he didn't realize was that these glasses just had nonprescription lenses in them. After initial excitement of being able to see, he tried on a few pair of glasses only to be disappointed that they didn't 'work' or help him. Leah quickly assured him they weren't supposed to help him see, and he was relieved.
Then came the waiting game. He picked out some frames and then waited a few days to get them. When we got the call that they were there, he went and got them right away. The moment he put them on, he looked up and around with a look of simple awe at what he could now see. He didn't even know what he couldn't see.
A couple of days later, I ran an errand and had him come with me and told him to wear his glasses so he could see the details around him. As we were pulling out of the driveway, he said, "When you, Mom, or Hannah talked about how something was 'beautiful', I just couldn't see it. But now I can see what you were talking about. It IS beautiful!"
I told him that was a great illustration for how we see everything before and after salvation. You can tell someone about the great things God does, show them examples of God moving, take them to the Word, but without the Holy Spirit changing their vision, they simply can't see it.
That week, a woman at our church at shared a testimony of one of the times she knew she was saved. She said before she was saved, she read through the book of John, and was utterly confused. She didn't get it. After 'getting it' and getting saved, she went back to read that same book. But she couldn't find it. She found a book named "The Gospel of John", but it wasn't anything like she had first read. She went to I, II, and III John, and those weren't it either.
It turned out that her new vision gave her new understanding. Where there used to be confusion and discouragement, there was now understanding and encouragement. Where there was ignorance, there is now knowledge.
Psalm 34 instructs us to 'taste and see that the Lord is good!' David isn't telling people, give God a spin. He is instructing for people to come and experience and know the goodness of God, and that is only possible through repentance and faith. No one can truly taste and see that the Lord is good without being redeemed, gaining spiritual eyes.
So, let me ask you, can you see?


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July 18, 2018 is the day that my life changed forever. That was the day that my daughter was born. Today, for her one month birthday (no, we did not celebrate it or throw a party), I want to honor her with the story of my labor and delivery. I shared a short version of this on Facebook but now, ready or not, here it is…complete with pictures!
My due date was Sunday July 15th. I really hoped that she would arrive on that day so she could share a birthday with my great grandfather. I had a doctor appointment on Thursday July 12th. When she checked to see how dilated I was, she told me that I was 1 centimeter. I was bummed because the week before I was sitting at Continue reading


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May 2015
Leading local and international companies will display their prowess at the 24th edition of the Saudi Building and Interiors Exhibition (sbie) to be held this month (May 11 to 14) in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.
It will be held at the Jeddah Centre for Forums and Events under the auspices of Prince Mishael bin Majed bin Abdulaziz, governor of Jeddah.
The event will witness the participation of top Saudi companies showcasing a vast array of products and services alongside a strong international contingent of companies from Bangladesh, Bahrain, China, Egypt, France, India, Italy, Lebanon, Malaysia, Morocco, Taiwan and Turkey.
"Saudi Building and Interiors Exhibition is the longest established exhibition providing the international and local business community an opportunity to participate in the extensive building and construction projects both in the public and private sector," said Zahoor Siddique, vice-president, Al Harithy Company for Exhibitions, the event's organiser.
"Serving the two inter-related sectors of building and interiors, the show has further expanded its scope to include school and hospital construction taking into consideration the increasing requirements related to these sectors."


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With director John Hillcoat's (Lawless) Triple 9 opening this weekend, I recently sat down with Chiwetel Ejiofor for an extended interview. During our wide ranging conversation he talked about working with the all-star cast, memorable moments from filming, collaborating with Hillcoat, filming in Atlanta, which of his previous films people want to talk about when they meet him, Emmanuel Lubezki's amazing work on The Revenant and Children of Men, what it's been like making Doctor Strange and why he wanted to be part of the Marvel universe, and a lot more.
If you haven't seen any of the trailers, Triple 9, scripted by Matt Cook, follows an interconnected web of thieves and corrupt officers who plan to murder a cop in order to draw attention away from the heist they'll be pulling on the other side of town. The film features an all-star cast made up of Paul, Aaron Paul, Casey Affleck, Woody Harrelson, Kate Winslet, Anthony Mackie, Gal Gadot, Teresa Palmer, and Norman Reedus.
Finally, if you missed my video interviews with Anthony Mackie or Aaron Paul for Triple 9, click the links.
Collider: How has your life been since September when I last spoke to you?
CHIWETEL EJIOFOR: It's been good. The last time I spoke to you we were talking about a film that that I actually happen to absolutely love, The Martian, and then I started working on a project that I am really enjoying called Doctor Strange which you may have heard of, and then I am opening this movie that I equally think is terrific. [Laughs] So it's an exciting time.
Also, I spoke to you at Sundance last year for Z for Zachariah which is also a great movie.
EJIOFOR: Oh yeah, I think Craig is an exceptional filmmaker.
I just want to make sure we are pimping that movie out for the people that have not seen it yet.
EJIOFOR: Check out Z for Zachariah! Z for Zachariah is awesome.
It has great leads, great performances, great world…great movie. So I wanted to put that out there. So with this project, Triple 9 — It's a murderer's row of talent in this movie, such huge actors, was that the main thing that drew you in or was it the moment you hear about John Hillcoat?
EJIOFOR: Well it was John, really. I spoke to John about this project years ago — like six, seven years ago initially, and I was like, he is one of my favorite filmmakers and this is one of my favorite genres. Heists are fun! That is a fun time in a movie. And the detail and the auteurship but within the context of a very popular movie that John brings to his films. I kind of saw The Proposition in North London, in Islington, several years ago and was totally struck by how much I wanted to work with the director who made it. You know what I mean? I came out with that movie like, "I want to work with this guy. What's his name? John Hillcoat? That was an awesome movie." So I have always been aware of him and just the real detail he puts into the narrative energy is brilliant. So that was my first thought when John Hillcoat was like, "I would like to send you a script." I thought this was going to be an exciting part.
He manages to get great performances out of everyone in all of his films, what is he like working on set? What did you find working with him, because he does seem to do so good with so many different people?
EJIOFOR: I think his process is an ever evolving depth of narrative and he allows the performances to happen. Which is, in a way, not to say much but does mean a lot in terms of — if you have the experience of working with him and you see the film you're like, every single decision the character's made, that the actor has made about their character, every single detail is in the movie, it is captured. He is an incredibly attentive filmmaker; to performance, to what somebody is doing and enhancing that experience. Which is why both in the script and by casting it the way that he did, all of those characters — there are like eight lead characters in the movie — all of them are so distinctive, because he allows that to happen and he captures that very specifically. I love working with somebody like that.
You filmed in Atlanta, and Norman has been in Atlanta for a long time and I heard you guys went out, shooting pool together all as a group. What is it like to roll out in a city like Atlanta with this murderer's row of talent going to play pool, or going to see a movie or dinner. It has to be one of these where everyone's head is on a swivel.
EJIOFOR: Yeah, it was kind of like that [laughs]. It's a fun gang of people to hang out with and to see a city react in that way to a group of people is fun. Because everybody has a favorite thing, and they're like, "Oh it's you from..Oh Shit! You're the man!" [Laughs] Which is also what I love about the film, is that you get to see people that are your dudes, man.
Absolutely. I might have asked you this last time and if I did I apologize but you definitely won the actors lottery in terms of getting to do what you do right now jumping from genre to genre, project to project. When did it hit you that oh shit I've made it.
EJIOFOR: Well I have always been very fortunate in my working life in terms of the, I say that like I've not been fortunate at all in my private life [laughs]. I have been very fortunate in my life.
Sure you have worked consistently. I mean like high profile projects like The Martian or booking Doctor Strange.
EJIOFOR: I don't ever feel like I've had a moment where I am like, "There it is; perfect and holy in all ways." You know, one is still pushing for the highest achievement you can get artistically, which is the perfect kind of — where all the boxes are ticked and the audience has an experience that is unique and you feel completely satisfied by what you have presented. You know what I mean? You have the total…it's elusive, but that's part of the journey. But I am also aware that I have been incredibly fortunate in my life to work with the people that I have worked with and pursue the projects that I have been able to do. There are so many films that I have done that I really, as a film person, as a film fan, that I like. And that is a nice place to think of a career in.
You're standing in line somewhere, people come up to you, what is it that they usually want to talk about. For me it would be Children of Men.
EJIOFOR: Children of Men is one thing. They want to talk about Chivo – Emmanuel [Lubezki]– and they want to talk about the car scene [laughs]."How did that happen?" Even cinematographers come up to me on other movies and ask me, "Uh, by the way, what did Chivo do in that?" There is actually a YouTube clip now of how we shot that. So, there's that. Around Valentine's Day, this is Valentine's weekend, people want to talk about Love Actually. When I'm in New York, people want to talk about New York movies. It's very specific. People are like "love American Gangster" [Laughs]. I didn't realize it would be quite like that ."Inside Man!" So yeah people kind of have their different faves.
Yeah I could talk about Children of Men all day. Chivo is a god.
EJIOFOR: He's amazing. I mean, The Revenant. I mean what next? I don't know where we go [Laughs].
The thing about Children of Men is he was doing it when technology was at its infancy and now with Revenant he is shooting with these tiny little cameras, he was telling me, and putting cameras in places you never could before.
EJIOFOR: Is that what happened?
Yeah, with technology he has refined his craft.
EJIOFOR: Oh I see, there were shots in The Revenant that I was like, "What? How is that…?"
Yeah because he was literally holding the camera, he was using a smaller camera and putting it literally next to someone's nostril, doing shots that you couldn't do before.
EJIOFOR: Oh I see, yeah, there were a couple of shots in The Revenant that I was like…I just had to sit back and be like, "What were the mechanics of making that shot happen? I don't even understand." I am not the most knowledgeable about these things in the first place, but I know enough to know that I don't know how to do that [laughs].
The action set pieces in The Revenant — I think Mad Max: Fury Road is a work of genius but there is some of the action in Revenant is on par. The arrow sequence, it's just crazy.
EJIOFOR: I did watch a great online interview with somebody and they were like, "I watched The Revenant like four times and I am just trying to work out how they did this scene with Leonardo DiCaprio and the bear, and I have worked it out. Leonardo DiCaprio got mauled by a bear." [Laughs].
I had heard that they weren't going to release any of the behind the scenes footage for that scene because it was such a mystery how they did it. I've seen a few behind the scenes because obviously they are trying to win awards and you gotta sell it to the VFX people, so I've seen how they done it, but it's true it is still amazing. But that's probably more real.
EJIOFOR: [Laughs] Yeah, exactly.
It's crazy. Real quick, what was it about Doctor Strange that pulled you in? What is it about Marvel that made you want to get involved?
EJIOFOR: Well, I guess I have always been a big fan of Marvel films and I was just excited by the way they have been sort of pushing the envelope. I guess when I watched Guardians of The Galaxy I was like, "This is really exceptional, what is happening here." So I met with Kevin [Feige] and basically said, "Listen, I'm excited to get involved so let me know what is going on." And then Doctor Strange was what we started to talk about. Getting into that universe and getting into that kind of concept was so thrilling, and even then having these conversations of what was going to happen with it and what they were going to visually attempt was incredible to me.
That's the thing, and I have had this conversation with others, I think the comic book movie genre is the biggest thing on the planet right now. I mean just look at what Deadpool did, which is crazy, but you look at Winter Soldier and it's a 70s political thriller. You look at Guardians of The Galaxy – the fact that you have a talking raccoon and a tree and it works brilliantly, is crazy. And Feige has talked about how Doctor Strange is going to push into a whole different way or whole other realm, if you will. Is that what drew you in? You know what I mean?
EJIOFOR: I totally know what you mean, and I think all those things were what were exciting to me. I just think that they were, like I say, in a sense pushing the envelope and getting product out there…Not sort of resting on any kind of laurels, thinking what's next. How do we re-engage the audience? How do we up the ante? How do we do that effectively? And also Doctor Strange is a fascinating part of the whole gamut. It's a beautifully weird and brilliant sequence of comics and smart and philosophical in the same way. It has all of those elements, so I thought it was pretty cool.
One of the things that I found that visiting Marvel sets, is that the sets are massive, beautiful, and just gorgeous — these huge practical sets. What was that like for you first day on set in terms of walking into this new world?
EJIOFOR: Well I just thought that the design was extraordinary, and the sort of realization of everything. I hope that that is the experience that the audience has with the film, just sort of recognizing that the attempt is to create something unique and spectacular.
One of the things about Marvel is that they make people sign these multi picture deals. For you, was that intimidating or was that, or was it more like, "I want to be apart of this universe they are doing something special here.
EJIOFOR: Well that question, I can't answer. That may give things away.
I would be shocked if you are gotten rid of in the first movie. It would be surprising to me.
EJIOFOR: We'll have to wait and see.
What are you doing next?
EJIOFOR: That is what we are still shooting. So we are deep into that.
Well at least you are shooting in London.
EJIOFOR: Exactly.
I guess that is one of the positive aspects of that shoot.
EJIOFOR: Yeah, I am really enjoying it. All of that.


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HOME > Hospitals > Gangnam Severance Hospital > Specialized Hospitals > Dental Hospital > Departments > Conservative Dentistry > Introduction
Department of Conservative Dentistry focuses on functional and esthetic oral rehabilitation. The primary goal is to preserve and conserve the natural teeth, avoiding tooth extraction and minimizing the loss of healthy tooth structure during treatment of decayed or damaged teeth.
Its clinical practice and research interests are as follows:
Operative dentistry : restoration of the damaged or decayed teeth and treatment of the sensitive teeth.
Esthetic dentistry : corrective treatment for improve the appearance of a person teeth and natural harmony with face
Tooth bleaching : whitening the discolored teeth
Endodontics : (root canal treatment): treatment of the teeth with inflamed or necrotic pulp
Dental traumatology : restoration of the injured teeth to its original state functionally and esthetically
Endodontic microsurgery (apical surgery): removal the inflamed tissue of the teeth surgically in cases of root canal treatment failure or recurrence of symptoms.
Tooth transplantation : transplantation of a tooth, such as a wisdom tooth, to another location with missing tooth in the same mouth.


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A week after Dore Australian went into receivership, Dore UK has followed suit. The following has been placed on the UK website.
It is with great regret that we have to announce that Dore has been put into the hands of advisors. As a result Dore is closing all of the UK centres which deliver the Dore Programme with immediate effect.
We are determined to find a way for every client who is on the program to have their treatment completed. We are presently exploring alternative arrangements to ensure every client is cared for.
We will be updating this page of our website every few days with news regarding alternative arrangements for continued programme delivery so please check frequently.
We still want to help people to identify any learning difficulties they may be struggling with, so we are continuing to make our online symptoms test available. We will provide you with a personal report that outlines any learning difficulty and the likely severity.
There will be a great number of anti-Dore people who will be rejoicing at this event, claiming that it is proof that the science behind Dore was rubbish or that Wynford Dore was some sort of con-artist. Neither of these is true, a fact myself and many others who have completed the treatment successful will testify to.
When the dust settles and the administrator reports, I suspect we will see that the real reason for the companies collapse was over-expansion. A symptom of Wynford Dore's genuine enthusiasm and belief in the treatment. It appears that Dore never established a stable, profitable core business. A major factor in this may be that too many children failed to complete the treatment because the benefits take a long time to appear. A more cautious businessman may of kept the business small until this problem was cracked but not Wynford. I cannot be critical of this. Without him opening up centres across the UK, I would not of been on the treatment and my language, coordination and personal skills would not of improved beyond all recognition.
Having been involved in several failed companies over the years as employee, owner and customer, I appreciate that this is a difficult time for those involved and I wish you all the best. To all the staff who helped me, to those who helped many others and to Wynford Dore: Thank you for everything. You have changed lives in ways you cannot imagine.