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Transformation or Bust
By John Mauldin
Aug 02, 2014
China continues to be front and center on my list of concerns, even more so than the latest Federal Reserve press release or fluctuation in the Dow (although you should pay attention). I believe China is the single biggest risk to world economic equilibrium, even larger than Japan or Europe. This week my young associate Worth Wray provides us with a keenly insightful essay on what is currently happening in China. I will admit to not having written about China very much in the past five years, primarily because, prior to Worth's coming to work with me I really had no secure understanding of what was happening there. I know some readers may be surprised, but I really don't like to write about things I have no understanding of. Worth has helped me focus. (It helps that he studied Mandarin and lived in China for a while, and is obsessed with China.)
Worth has been working directly with me for over one year now. I have had the privilege of working with a number of impressive (lately mostly younger) people over the years, but Worth brings something extra to the table. He is one of the best young macroeconomic minds I have been with in years. He constantly challenges me to step up my game. And so without further ado, let me give you Worth's thinking regarding our latest discussions on China.
Transformation or Bust, China Version
The People's Republic of China is running up against its debt capacity; and its consumption-repressing, credit-fueled, investment-heavy growth model is nearly exhausted. History suggests that China's "miracle" could dissipate into a long period of painfully slow growth or terminate abruptly with a banking crisis and sudden collapse. That said, China's modern economic transformation has defied historical precedents for decades. However unlikely, China could surprise us again. Miracles will happen in the Age of Transformation.
What happens next depends largely on the economic wisdom and political resolve of China's reformers, who must find a way to gradually deleverage overextended regional governments and investment-intensive sectors while simultaneously rebalancing the national economy toward a more sustainable consumption-driven, service-intensive model. The trouble is, their efforts may prove too little too late to slowly let the air out of a massive debt bubble. Even rapid productivity growth from "new economy" sectors may not be enough to overcome the debt equation.
At first blush, China's ruling elite do not appear to be in denial about the severity of the debt problem, the urgent need for structural reforms, or the opposition from vested interests within the Communist Party; but the jury is still out on whether President Xi Jinping and his allies will maintain the political capital necessary to complete, or even continue, the task. With little margin for error, he will either lead the Middle Kingdom through the greatest transformation in world history... or he will preside over one of the most spectacular busts on record.
Before we dive into recent data and explore the transformation taking place across the People's Republic, let's step back and think intentionally about the conditions that often set "rich" developed economies apart from their "poor" developing peers.
I am going to quote extensively in the next two sections from a recent blog post by Peking University Professor Michael Pettis. Pettis provides a CRITICAL foundation for understanding the transformation taking place and the reforms required to keep it going, so please bear with me. We will have plenty of time to delve into the recent data in the second half of the letter. Unless otherwise noted, all quotes are excerpted from his brilliant post, "The Four Stages of Chinese Growth."
Becoming a Developed Economy
Becoming a truly developed country depends on far more than just accumulating an abundant capital stock or a highly capable workforce. Durable growth and sustainable development depend on "social capital" – or institutional structures including property rights, the legal code and the justice system, the financial system, corporate governance, political culture and practice, tax structures, etc. – which establish and/or maintain the right incentives for economic resources to be used efficiently, creatively, and ultimately, productively.
Pettis explains: "In a country with highly developed social capital, incentive structures are aligned and frictional costs reduced in such a way that agents are rewarded for innovation and productive activity. The higher the level of social capital, the more likely they are to act individually and creatively to exploit current economic conditions and infrastructure to generate productive growth." Extending his argument, John and I would contend that high levels of social capital effectively incubate innovation and entrepreneurship so that, with disciplined savings and investment over time, the right incentives produce lasting wealth and ever-higher levels of development.
I think MIT Professor Robert Solow would agree with us on this front. Solow's work on the US economy – which has become a textbook economics lesson – explains that innovation has accounted for more than 80% of the long-term growth in US per capita income, with capital investments accounting for only 20% of per capita income growth. In other words, the United States and the rest of the post-industrial, developed world owe their epic rise in living standards to the underlying "social capital" that properly incentivized innovation, entrepreneurship, and thus technological transformation over the last two centuries.
The lesson here is powerful. It is not enough just to mobilize resources and direct investments to the "right" sectors as China's central planners have been doing for the last few decades. Once the basic building blocks of economic development are at hand, they still need to be used creatively, effectively, and productively.
Pettis elaborates, "In developed countries … abundant social capital encourages residents and businesses to use available conditions and infrastructure in the most productive ways possible. Undeveloped countries, on the other hand, are poor because they do not have the often-intangible qualities that allow citizens spontaneously, and without planning, to exploit their economic and infrastructure resources most efficiently and productively."
Emphasizing the importance of incentive-aligning institutions, developing economies must not only strive to create (1) policies aimed at providing and improving the basic building blocks of production like adequate infrastructure, abundant capital stocks, and healthy, educated workforces but also (2) policies and institutions capable of streamlining the commercial incentives for using those resources as productively as possible with as little waste as possible.
Like the USSR in the Cold War era, the People's Republic has been wildly successful in mobilizing resources; but failing to use those resources efficiently may be its downfall.
[As an aside, I would encourage anyone and everyone interested in these ideas to read this 1994 Foreign Affairs article by Paul Krugman. It's one of those papers that has stuck with me since college and has dramatically informed my thinking about consumption-repressing, resource-marshaling, investment-driven growth miracles.]
Today China enjoys access to an abundance of raw materials, a plentiful supply of human capital, a large and growing capital stock, and extensive infrastructure assets; but after decades of policies meant to build up the supply of those basic economic building blocks, the institutions and incentive structures underlying its socialist market economy are deeply and inherently skewed in favor of vested interests at various levels of government.
And this is precisely why Xi Jinping's widespread crackdown on corruption is SO important. Transforming China into a more developed, consumption-driven, service-intensive economy requires that China achieve, according to Pettis, "a dismantling of the distortions and frictions that create rent for the elite, thus undermining the ability of the elite to capture a disproportionate share of the benefits of growth."
Overcoming vested interests and reforming China's underlying institutional structures to properly incentivize innovation is absolutely possible, but it demands strong and unwavering leadership. As we will see in the next section, Xi will have to channel his inner Deng Xiaoping to guide the People's Republic through its next great transformation.
The Four Eras of Chinese Growth & Development
In contrast to popular development narratives, Dr. Pettis thinks of China's modern growth and development in four stages. Let's see what he has to say…
1. The First Liberalizing Period, late 1970s to early 1990s
In the late 1970s and early 1980s Beijing forced through a series of liberalizing reforms that I would characterize as aimed at building social capital. By eliminating laws that severely constrained the ability of Chinese to behave productively, these reforms unleashed an explosion of economic activity that generated tremendous wealth creation. It became legal, for example, for Chinese to produce and sell as individuals, not just through the relevant and usually badly managed state-controlled collectives or organizations. A limited number of farmers were allowed to keep anything they produced above some quota, and agricultural yields doubled almost immediately. If a man believed there was a shortage of bricks in his town, he could create a company to manufacture bricks, and China's hopeless jumble of soaring brick inventories in one part of the province matched by severe brick shortages nearly everywhere else was replaced with a system in which the more efficiently you made and delivered bricks, the richer both you and the country became.
But the implementation of the reforms was not easy. It undermined a very powerful party structure (not to mention the managers of the old state-controlled brick manufacturer) that had been built up over the previous three decades around the ability of its members to constrain and direct economic activity, and so these reforms met with powerful elite resistance. It was only, I would argue, because of the credibility, prestige, and power that Deng Xiaoping and the men around him had, and the loyalty they had built within the PLA, that Beijing was able to overcome elite resistance and successfully implement the reforms. Even in the 1990s, Deng struggled with elite opposition and my understanding is that his famous 1992 Southern Tour was arranged mainly to outflank and defeat provincial opposition to continued economic liberalization.
2. The Gershenkron Period, early 1990s to early 2000s
As Chinese productive activity swelled it soon began, however, to run into infrastructure and capacity constraints. This began the second phase of China's astonishing growth, one characterized by the marshaling of domestic resources to fund an investment boom aimed at creating infrastructure and capacity. Like the many previous examples of investment-driven growth miracles, China embarked on a program to resolve the major constraints identified by Alexander Gershenkron in the 1950s and 1960s as constraining backward economies: a) insufficient savings to fund domestic investment needs, which had to be resolved by policies that constrained consumption growth by constraining household income growth, and b) the widespread failure of the private sector to engage in productive investment, perhaps because of legal uncertainties and their inability to capture many of the externalities associated with these investments, which could be resolved by having the state identify needed investment and controlling and allocating the savings that were generated by resolving the savings constraint.
Because China's infrastructure was far below its ability to absorb and exploit infrastructure efficiently and productively (its social capital exceeded its physical capital, in other words), it was relatively easy for the central authorities to identify productive investment projects, and as they poured money into these projects, the result was another surge in wealth creation from the early 1990s to the early 2000s. Although all Chinese benefitted from this wealth creation, the new elite benefitted disproportionately, in large part because of the constraints imposed on the growth of household income aimed at generating higher savings. Of course over time these new elites became politically entrenched. This elite today is famously referred to (in China) as the "vested interests".
3. Investment Overshooting, early 2000s to 2014?
But China was still an undeveloped economy with "backward" (in Gershenkron's sense) social, legal, financial and economic institutions that sharply constrained its citizens from achieving the levels of productivity that characterize developed countries. Its social capital was still very low, in some cases perhaps even as a partial consequence of policies that had led to the earlier rapid investment-led growth by allowing elites to control access to cheap capital, land, and subsidies. As investment surged, China's physical capital converged with its social capital (i.e. its infrastructure more or less converged to its ability to exploit this infrastructure productively), after which additional physical capital was no longer capable, or much less so, of creating real wealth.
Instead, continued rapid increases in investment directed by the controlling elites (especially at the local and municipal levels) created the illusion of rapid growth. Because this growth was backed by even faster growth in debt, however, it was ultimately unsustainable. This period began around the beginning of the last decade, I would argue, and it is the period in which we currently find ourselves.
4. The Second Liberalizing Period, could begin in 2014?
What China needs now is another set of liberalizing reforms that cause a surge in social capital such that Chinese individuals and businesses have incentives to change their behavior in ways that generate greater productive activity from the same set of assets. These must include changing the legal structure, predictably enforcing business law, changing the way capital is priced and allocated, and other factors that determined the incentives, so that Chinese are more heavily rewarded for activity that increases productivity and penalized, or at least less heavily rewarded, for rent seeking.
But because this means almost by definition undermining the very policies that allow elite rent capturing (preferential access to cheap credit, most importantly), it was always likely to be strongly resisted until debt levels got high enough to create a sense of urgency. This resistance to reform over the past 7-10 years was the origin of the "vested interests" debate.
Most of the reforms proposed during the Third Plenum and championed by President Xi Jinping and Premier Li Keqiang are liberalizing reforms aimed implicitly and even sometimes very explicitly at increasing social capital. In nearly every case – land reform, hukou reform [note: household registration system or the removal of the distinction between rural and urban citizens and thus the freer movement of labor], environmental repair, interest rate liberalization, governance reform in the process of allocating capital, market pricing and elimination of subsidies, privatization, etc. – these reforms effectively transfer wealth from the state and the elites to the household sector and to small and medium enterprises. By doing so, they eliminate frictions that constrain productive behavior, but of course this comes at the cost of elite rent-seeking behavior.
Drawing on this four-stage development framework, Pettis' research reveals an insight that many economists and China watchers are simply missing. China's current overcapacity and over-indebtedness is not just the unfortunate consequence of hurried post-crisis stimulus, but an inherent by-product of its command-and-control growth model.
After decades of marshalling resources, educating its workforce, and building out a modern infrastructure, China has amassed the building blocks for economic development. China's central planners successfully overcame the country's capacity constraints during the so-called Gershenkron Period, but the problem today is overcapacity and widespread misallocation. More investment in bloated "old economy" sectors like low-value-added manufacturing or construction may support employment and keep the economy growing at or above its headline growth target for a while longer; but as John and I explored in our last China letter (Can Central Planners Revive China's Economic Miracle?) – the investment boom cannot go on forever.
It's time for central planners to take another step back in order for China to take a giant step forward.
Mini-Stimulus & Third Plenum Progress Report
Among the various reforms set forth in last November's Communist Party Third Plenum, ranging from financial liberalization to a crackdown on corruption and pollution, the most challenging is the gradual deleveraging of the Chinese economy while simultaneously rebalancing the national accounts toward a more sustainable consumption and service-heavy mix.
As John and I have argued for several months, these kinds of liberalizing reforms will not be easy and may require a far greater slowdown than anyone in Beijing publicly admits – but they are China's only hope of avoiding either a hard landing or a long, frustrating period of depressed growth. Debt has a cost, and that cost must be paid in one form or another.
Although Xi and China's State Council members seem to understand this dynamic, they are not following through with timely reforms. After a period of weakness in the first half of the year, the State Council announced what could be best described as a mini-stimulus in early April, which in the following months has turned into a full-blown stimulus package.
Rather than encouraging the national economy to rebalance toward domestic consumption or allowing previously misallocated capital to seek out more productive uses in "new economy" sectors like services and technology, China's State Council is responding to slowing economic growth with more of the same: (1) government spending on railway expansion and shantytown renovations (which may or may not be productive) to replace decelerating private sector demand, (2) "targeted" interest rate cuts to encourage additional credit growth (which will almost certainly be unproductive), (3) last-minute bailouts to prevent corporate defaults (which they told the world to expect a lot more of in 2014), and (4) tax breaks for small and medium-sized enterprises (which remain seriously disadvantaged relative to larger public or state-owned firms).
Since the State Council's announcement in early April and Premier Li Keqiang's subsequent guarantee that 2014 economic growth would top 7.5%, the so-called "mini-stimulus" has led to another surge in lending activity,
slightly better real GDP growth (7.5% YOY in Q2 compared to 7.4% YOY in Q1 – according to the highly questionable National Bureau of Statistics),
and the strongest manufacturing PMI print in eight months (51.7 in July, compared to 51.0 in June, 50.8 in May, and 50.4 in April).
And, of course, Chinese stocks are SURGING on improving "old economy" indicators like industrial activity.
John and I believe this kind of stimulus-fueled "improvement" – although it is boosting China's economy and lifting Chinese markets in the short term – is a very bearish sign that Beijing is afraid of the short-term pain associated with its admittedly urgent reform agenda. This kind of about-face may reveal one of two things: (1) the reformers' resolve is fading, or (2) the economic reality in China is more unstable than we outsiders realize.
A Few Final Thoughts
[John here] As he did the last time he wrote on China, Worth actually ended up writing enough content for two letters. We'll see Part Two next week.
As I've been saying for some time, we think China looms as the single biggest risk to the world economy, if only because no one yet fully recognizes the substantial and I think principal risk that derives from the innumerable global interconnections – with almost everything of a financial nature – that the world's second-largest economy has forged over the last two decades. I say that fully cognizant of the risks that both Japan and Europe create for the world, risks Jonathan Tepper and I explored at some length in our book Code Red. Next week Worth and I will pin down realities we all need to recognize regarding the global risks posed by the ongoing political machinations within China. Stay tuned.
Your sometimes wishing things would slow down analyst,
John Mauldin
martes, agosto 05, 2014
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Estimados amigos,
Les doy cordialmente la bienvenida a este Blog informativo con artículos, análisis y comentarios de publicaciones especializadas y especialmente seleccionadas, principalmente sobre temas económicos, financieros y políticos de actualidad, que esperamos y deseamos, sean de su máximo interés, utilidad y conveniencia.
Pensamos que solo comprendiendo cabalmente el presente, es que podemos proyectarnos acertadamente hacia el futuro.
Gonzalo Raffo de Lavalle
Las convicciones son mas peligrosos enemigos de la verdad que las mentiras.
Friedrich Nietzsche
Quien conoce su ignorancia revela la mas profunda sabiduría. Quien ignora su ignorancia vive en la mas profunda ilusión.
Lao Tse
"There are decades when nothing happens and there are weeks when decades happen."
Vladimir Ilyich Lenin
You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.
Warren Buffett
No soy alguien que sabe, sino alguien que busca.
Only Gold is money. Everything else is debt.
J.P. Morgan
Las grandes almas tienen voluntades; las débiles tan solo deseos.
Proverbio Chino
Quien no lo ha dado todo no ha dado nada.
Helenio Herrera
History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce.
Karl Marx
If you know the other and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.
Sun Tzu
We are travelers on a cosmic journey, stardust, swirling and dancing in the eddies and whirlpools of infinity. Life is eternal. We have stopped for a moment to encounter each other, to meet, to love, to share.This is a precious moment. It is a little parenthesis in eternity.
Paulo Coelho
Les doy cordialmente la bienvenida a este Blog informativo con artículos, análisis y comentarios de publicaciones especializadas y especialmente seleccionadas, principalmente sobre temas económicos, financieros y políticos de actualidad, que esperamos y deseamos, sean de su máximo interés, utilidad y conveniencia.
Pensamos que solo comprendiendo cabalmente el presente, es que podemos proyectarnos acertadamente hacia el futuro.
Gonzalo Raffo de Lavalle
Las convicciones son mas peligrosos enemigos de la verdad que las mentiras.
Friedrich Nietzsche
Quien conoce su ignorancia revela la mas profunda sabiduría. Quien ignora su ignorancia vive en la mas profunda ilusión.
Lao Tse
"There are decades when nothing happens and there are weeks when decades happen."
Vladimir Ilyich Lenin
You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out.
Warren Buffett
No soy alguien que sabe, sino alguien que busca.
Only Gold is money. Everything else is debt.
J.P. Morgan
Las grandes almas tienen voluntades; las débiles tan solo deseos.
Proverbio Chino
Quien no lo ha dado todo no ha dado nada.
Helenio Herrera
History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce.
Karl Marx
If you know the other and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles.
Sun Tzu
We are travelers on a cosmic journey, stardust, swirling and dancing in the eddies and whirlpools of infinity. Life is eternal. We have stopped for a moment to encounter each other, to meet, to love, to share.This is a precious moment. It is a little parenthesis in eternity.
Paulo Coelho
Gonzalo Raffo de Lavalle
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Monday, 15 September 2008
Some summer holiday shots from Norway # Part 10.
15 comments:
- ArneA said...
men ikke riktig urbant vil jeg tillegge
- 15 September 2008 at 21:17
- RuneE said...
Her har du virkelig gjort en bra jobb. Nydelig dokumentasjon av Lofoten.
Min personlig kommentar om Nusfjord er at det virker vel mye som et museum - man tar til og med penger for at folk skal komme ned på kaiene, selv om de ikke er så spesielle i forhold til mange andre steder i Lofoten.
- 15 September 2008 at 21:22
- kjpweb said...
Stunning - love these shots!
You gave a great rundown on a beautiful little town!
Cheers, Klaus
- 16 September 2008 at 00:37
- Unknown said...
John : WOW...Your images beautifully describe this fishing village.
- 16 September 2008 at 07:35
- Ivar Østtun said...
Råbra. Føler at jeg er der selv når jeg ser på bildene dine. Kult :-)
- 16 September 2008 at 07:39
- Anonymous said...
a beautiful and peaceful place to pass some wonderful days. well done
- 16 September 2008 at 08:44
- esnorway said...
Er det ikke en plass i nordnorge du ikke har vært da? men fine bilder det må jeg si.
- 16 September 2008 at 11:37
- Anne-Berit said...
Nydelig,nydelig,nydelig.Jeg har noe til deg på bloggen min.Ha en flott dag!
- 16 September 2008 at 15:30
- Louise said...
Lovely photos. A less-populated area of Norway to be certain. These photos remind me of Iceland, but I have only seen a small part of Norway. I love the giant boulder in the middle of the water with birds on it.
- 16 September 2008 at 19:30
- Oswald said...
Hello, I've found your blog by chance. I think this is Super.
I will regularly visit your blog. Please edit your
Blogjust as nice as you always do. It would be nice if you comment my blog. The link:
And if you have time the three Google Adsense advertisements with ID. They express a
small salary from U.S. cents and at least paysome of the bills.! My address can be found on my blog at Impressum. Thank you very much and have a nice day!
- 16 September 2008 at 19:53
- david mcmahon said...
Simply stunning, John!
- 16 September 2008 at 22:04
- Daniel Santos said...
excellent, excellent, excellent.
- 16 September 2008 at 22:17
- Rose said...
I have really enjoyed this visit...so glad that I don't have to rate the pictures. I couldn't choose a favorite if my life depended on.
- 17 September 2008 at 06:01
- Unknown said...
What a stunning place! The photos are gorgeous. I'm so glad I popped into David's to get this link.
- 17 September 2008 at 14:40
- Saz said...
am over from David's....stunning images..I feel like l could just put my hand into the landscape and pick up a building, it feels dimensional....so clear!!
- 17 September 2008 at 18:27


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Spin-offs are a tough gig, but with The Originals the CW has an undeniable success on their hands. Building on the mythology established in The Vampire Diaries, creator Julie Plec followed original vampires Klaus (Joseph Morgan), Elijah (Daniel Gillies), and Rebekah (Claire Holt) to New Orleans where they forged new alliances, battled old foes, and of course, had it out with each other on the regular.
In anticipation of the second season, the cast and crew were on hand at Comic-Con 2014, but before their panel I sat down for a roundtable interview with executive producer/showrunner Julie Plec. She talked about some new characters heating things up in season two, if we can ever expect to see Caroline, what is going to be the biggest threat to the original family, Klaus's biological father, and more. Check out what she had to say about The Originals season 2 after the jump.
Question: So do you just never sleep?
JULIE PLEC: No, I do sleep and it's so funny because that's what people say. They're like, "I don't know how you do it. You must get no sleep." I actually do get the right amount of sleep every night. That's my rule. But if I'm writing until six in the morning I sleep until two in the afternoon and it's the only thing that keeps me healthy and sane. Last night, for example, I got six hours of sleep and it's now three o'clock and I'm ready to fall over. It's an unconventional way of approaching business, because most people think you get up early in the morning and you go to bed at night. I will just work around the clock and then when I go to bed I go to bed for eight hours and then I just keep going until I have to go to bed again. But I never get sick. It's awesome.
I'm really interested in some of the new characters you're going to introduce – Daniel Sharman's characters and we know that Josh is going to be getting a love interest.
PLEC: Possibly, yes.
What can you say about those guys?
PLEC: Daniel Sharman I can talk about. He's playing this new character Caleb, who basically exists to be a little bit of a chaos bringer and his really terrific and handsome way, enters Davina's life and immediately makes an impact. He's a fun character to watch. He's kind of up to no good, but he's one of those boys that you don't care because his level of charm is fantastic. I'm excited about him. We've only shot him very limited stuff so far, but we've got big story plans coming up in the next few. Aden hasn't been cast yet, but he's meant to make his first appearance in episode four, not as a Josh love interest, but yes as gay character and a werewolf to boot. So we'll see what cooks up there.
What is going to be more of a danger to the Originals, an outside villain or their own family?
PLEC: Well, it's both, but I would say the problem is that they know how to deal with the outside villain. What they are having a harder time dealing with are the levels of just base wrongness of their own family and that throws them all off their game individually.
We know there's no official plans to get Caroline on the show yet, but are you guys going to be planting any seeds in the narrative that indicate her presence?
PLEC: Yeah, we've talked about – there's a conversation Klaus is going to be having with someone who has been keeping observations on his past and who will probably mention the connection that Klaus had with a particular woman in his past and reference Caroline. Obviously that was a big moment, a big relationship for him and continues to linger in his heart and his brain. He's got eternal plans I think he declared. Yes, we haven't erased her from the narrative at all. We're biding our time until there's an opportunity to bring them together or not bring them together depending on where the story goes.
I'm from New Zealand so I have to ask, what has Daniel Gilles brought to the show?
PLEC: Oh God, Daniel Gilles is just – he's so creative with his choices because he won't just say the words and just lay them out there for you, he will paint them, he'll embellish them, he'll add layers, he'll decorate and scrape and design. He's a real artist. He's really gifted with his craft, so being able to have him play Elijah has just been- I mean the reason the show exists is Daniel's gift and Joe's gift as actors. I'm super grateful for both of them.
When it comes down to Klaus's biological dad, do you think we're ever going to have him introduced?
PLEC: I don't know the answer to that, but I do know that the story about his biological father will be told. As Klaus is kind of realizing old, past pains in his old family and his old history, we'll learn the story of how Esther met and fell in love with the biological father and how heartbreaking it was that Michael's fury led to his demise. So it will bring up a lot for Klaus and it will give Klaus some thinking to do.
So is Hope officially gone for some time to come?
PLEC: Hope is officially not able to be in the city of New Orleans and frankly not able to be with any of the Mikaelson's. The fact that Rebekah is able to take her away and kind of disappear is about the best we're going to get for keeping her safe. This season we will be dealing with the continued threat to her existence and a continued concern on the part of our Original family and Haley to make sure she remains safe and a lot of things are going to come up that put that into jeopardy. We will probably get to see her, the baby, but it certainly won't be in New Orleans.
And Rebekah?
PLEC: And…possibly Rebekah, yes.
We've seen the magical artifacts left, will that be anything going forward?
PLEC: Yes, we're going to reintroduce those early on and we're actually going to realize that there are characters on the show that know a thing or two about them that we wouldn't have expected.
It was such an amazing season finale. I literally cried.
PLEC: I cried too [laughs]. I did. I was like, "This is the saddest thing I've ever seen."


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(All photos & videos that show sex, blowjobs, cumshots, masturbation or penetration must be posted in one of the forums labeled "Hardcore". Do not post hardcore material in any of the other forums.
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7. Our main focus is amateur content, however we now offer pro and pro/am content forums!
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8a. Do not post any Stickam, Omegle or other webcam site videos unless you are absolutely sure they are adults on cam.
8b. It's your responsibilty when posting webcam videos to ensure that all persons in the video are 18 or older. If you're not positive don't post it.
8c. Absolutely no Jailbait or School Girl posts allowed. Again, all people in photos/videos MUST be 18 years old. If you aren't sure then do not post it.
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Last edited by StudXM; 09-26-2017 at 12:30 PM.
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text: Just Added to TFOB Friday: Raekwon & Ghostface Killah, DJ Jazzy Jeff, and more! on May 9, 2019 #TFOB2019Bandshell StageBeerfestBeerliciousBlack MoonBoot Camp ClikCLUB TFOBEntertainmentFeature 1General AdmissionGhostface KillahGroup PackagesHip HopHoptimizedMichie MeeMusicMusic 2019Public EnemyRaekwonSmif-N-WessunTFOBTFOB FridayTFOB2019Ticket TypesToronto's Festival Of BeerUncategorized share 10.4K We told you we weren't finished! Toronto's Festival of Beer, presented by The Beer Store is proud to announce Raekwon & Ghostface Killah; DJ Jazzy Jeff; Smif-N-Wessun, Black read more


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Thandie Newton & Ol Parker Welcome Third Child — Baby Boy
Thandie Newton and husband of fifteen years, Ol Parker have finally welcomed their third child. Little Booker Jombe joins big sisters Nico and Ripley in the Newton-Parker family.
Actress Thandie Newton and her producer husband Ol Parker welcomed a bouncing baby boy. The actress went into labor on Monday, March 3 and became a third-time mom to little Booker Jombe. Booker joins big sisters Nico, 8, and 13-year-old Ripley Parker.
Thandie Newton & Husband Ol Parker Welcome A Baby Boy
Congratulations are in order for Thandie and Ol. The pair have just become third-time-parents to a brand new baby boy. The London born actress went into labor on Monday, March 3 and went on to give birth to her third child, officially named Booker Jombe.
"Our baby boy is finally here! Booker Jombe Parker. Born joyously at home yesterday," Thandie shared on Twitter.
[hl_ndn videoid="25391651″]
Thandie subtly announced her pregnancy back in September of last year at the premiere of Half of a Yellow Sun at the Toronto International Film Festival. The actress wore a a black and white form-fitting Stella McCartney dress that made her then tiny bump barely visible.
[hl_ndn videoid="24929250″]
Thandie Newton Talks About Plans She Has For Her Daughters
Though the For Colored Girls actress loves the glitz and glam of being an actress, she expressed that her first two children Ripley and Nico are certainly not girly girls and she has no plans on forcing them to be glam queens. "Moms shouldn't force their girls to be too girlie," Thandie told Hollywoodlife.com in an interview."Respect your children. Treat them like the person you most admire on earth."
So sweet! We are sure baby Booker is welcomed with nothing but love!
Tell us HollyMoms, are you excited to hear about Thandie & Ol's new baby?
— By Stephanie Sengwe


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Here is my design board standing up on its wheels before I put the flannel on:
And here it is after I had covered it with white flannel, which I bought from Cotton Patch. I pinned it with copious drawing pins into the wooden frame on the reverse. I stuck a piece of fabric on it to test its stickability! It is some which I painted in 2005 when I was working my way through The Artist's Way. I must do something with it sometime – the story of my life! I seem to paint and dye much more fabric than I ever have time to stitch…..
Talking of fabric, here are some of the results of my printing with the blocks I made in the last post:
This was the block with the string wrapped round it.
For this one, I used the large rectangular print block and painted it with three colours. The gold is metallic powder mixed with Ormoline fabric medium and the other two colours are Jacquard Pearlex powders.
I did this by rolling a brayer in the paint (when I say paint, I mean the powders mixed with Ormoline) and then rolling the brayer over the print block so that it picked up the image, and then I rolled it on the fabric.
I did this one just by rolling the brayer in the paint and then rolling it on to the fabric – the paint formed the organic, swirly shapes.
I will probably overprint these with something else later to add more depth.
It was St David's Day on Thursday so I bought these daffodils to brighten up the kitchen table:


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Sharepoint 2010 Designer Released!
SharePoint Designer 2010 is the tool of choice for the rapid development of SharePoint applications. Using SharePoint Designer, advanced users and developers alike can rapidly create SharePoint solutions in response to business needs.
Advanced users can compose no-code solutions that encompass a variety of common scenarios, from collaborative sites and web publishing to Line-Of-Business data integration, business intelligence solutions, and human workflows, leveraging the building blocks available in SharePoint in an easy to use environment.
Download the free install today: 32 bit, 64 bit.
Build composite SharePoint applications by configuring or designing components such as lists, data sources, content types, views, forms, workflows, and external content types, all without having to write any code.
With SharePoint Designer 2010, advanced users and developers can respond more rapidly to business needs with its redesigned user interface, easy connectivity to external systems, improved views and forms, and enhanced workflow design capabilities.
In addition, developers can use SharePoint Designer 2010 to get a quick start on SharePoint development projects.
Technorati Tags: SharePoint 2010 Designer


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How to Retrieve a Book on a Kindle
When you purchase content from the Kindle Store it is linked to your Amazon.com account, rather than a specific device. Your library of e-books is stored in your online Kindle library, and any library content not present on your Kindle is displayed in the device's "Archived Items" section. This content can then be retrieved at any time, as long as your Kindle is connected to the Internet. The archive can be useful for retrieving deleted e-books, but also for showing other users on the same Amazon.com account what is available to download from the library.
Turn your Kindle on and press the "Home" button to display the device's current list of content.
Scroll through the list of e-books, documents and collections using the 5-way controller and page-turn buttons, and select "Archived Items."
Select the e-book or personal document you want to retrieve from your Amazon.com library using the 5-way controller. The content is retrieved and downloaded to your Kindle.
- There is no cost attached to retrieving Kindle content from your Amazon.com library.
- You can delete and retrieve e-books and documents as many times as you like.
- The content in the "Archived Items" section isn't stored on your Kindle, so it does not take up any room in the device's storage space.
- Archiving can be switched off by visiting the "Personal Document Settings" section of the "Manage Your Kindle" page in your Amazon.com account. Archiving is switched on by default.
Photo Credits
- Hemera Technologies/AbleStock.com/Getty Images


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With director M. Night Shyamalan's upcoming sci-fi film After Earth opening May 31st, Sony Pictures has provided us with three clips and over three minutes of behind-the-scenes footage from the making of the film. The film stars Will Smith and Jaden Smith as a father and son who crash land on a post-apocalyptic Earth, and it's up to the son to fight for survival when the father is seriously injured. While we've previously posted some of the clips, you can now watch them all in one place. In addition, the behind-the-scenes footage is great if you'd like to see what it was like on set. After Earth also stars Sophie Okonedo and Zoe Kravitz.
Hit the jump to watch the clips and look for exclusive video interviews with Will and Jaden Smith the week of release.
Behind-the-Scenes Footage:


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You know I love Instagram. I'm pretty sure it's my favorite social media platform. But I sometimes I forget to post life's moments.
So, here are more fun moments from the past couple of months. (heart emoji)
My friend Alison and I went to the West Bottoms in Kansas City to do a little shopping and visit Laura who was selling her amazing paper goods. It was a rainy day but such a fun area.
My Christmas tree collection is coming right along. I picked up a few more on clearance to display next year.
My best bud, Grant, and I had a blast making crazy faces on Christmas. He's coming to visit this weekend and I can not wait.
How cute are my nieces watching Frozen!?! They were so excited they couldn't sit down. Watching them sing and dance along to every song was the sweetest.
When you can't drink alcohol at work you have a Mimosa Cupcake instead. Amazing yellow cake with orange champagne butter cream frosting. Cupcake A La Mode: Best cupcakes in Kansas City.
I went to my first Kansas Jayhawks game and had so much fun. Growing up a Nebraska Cornhusker it was really cool to see another school's traditions and team pride.
When I got home from the game I realized Jake was wearing his Missouri Tigers shirt. Unintentional house divided moment? Don't worry, we both still bleed Husker red. ;)
Wednesday, January 14, 2015
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Well, we knew the Air Force's primary aim in involving themselves in the C-27J Spartan airlifter program was to deny the Army any fixed wing intra-theater air. And they've succeeded.
But of course, that's only after they'd signed a $2bn or so contract for the airplanes. And since they've been bought, they're being delivered. But since the Air Force won't operate them, they're putting brand spanking new airframes into storage at Davis-Monthan.
The Pentagon is sending $50 million cargo planes straight from the assembly line to mothballs because it has no use for them, yet it still hasn't stopped ordering the aircraft, according to a report.
A dozen nearly new Italian-built C-27J Spartans have been shipped to an Air Force facility in Arizona dubbed "the boneyard," and five more currently under construction are likely headed for the same fate, according to an investigation by the Dayton Daily News. The Air Force has spent $567 million on 21 of the planes since 2007, according to purchasing officials at Dayton's Wright-Patterson Air Force Base. Of those, 16 have been delivered – with almost all sent directly to Davis-Monthan Air Force Base in Tucson, where some 4,400 aircraft and 13 aerospace vehicles, with a total value of more than $35 billion, sit unused.
The C-27J has the unique capability of taking off and landing on crude runways, Ethan Rosenkranz, national security analyst at the Project on Government Oversight, told the newspaper. But with sequestration dictating Pentagon cuts, the planes were deemed a luxury it couldn't afford.
At this point, it's too far gone for the Army to find the troop strength and aviator numbers to field the force. And the Air Force almost certainly can't sell them to private users or foreign governments, because the manufacturer, Alenia Aermacchi, has stated publicly they will boycott spares and support to anyone who buys these airframes. They don't want the potential markets to buy used what they could be building new.
So most likely, other, non-DoD departments of the government will end up with them. Already there's word the Coast Guard and the Forest Service will end up with some, and I heard today one in State Department markings has been spotted.
But the Army still doesn't have the airlift it needed, and still needs, when it first selected the Spartan almost a decade ago.


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The transportation system in Hamilton County is known as HARIDES (for Hamilton Rides).This system is managed by Mike Parrish, who is the Operations Supervisor. HARIDES has a total of five vehicles and three full-time drivers and two fill in part-time drivers.
This is a demand response system. The people of Webster City call Fort Dodge to schedule their rides.The vehicles are all ADA-accessible and have on-board cameras.
The fare schedule is $2.50 each way for an adult and $2.00 for a Student/Senior.


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Recorded Live At Lochem Festival, The Netherlands
An interesting recording, where we can hear Nod break into an impromptu version of T. Rex's "Hot Love", before it segues into "Gudbuy T' Jane"!
2. When I'm Dancing I Ain't Fighting
3. Take Me Bak 'Ome
4. Everyday
5. Something Else (Medley)
6. We'll Bring The House Down
7. Hot Love - Gudbye T' Jane
8. Get Down And Get With It
9. Mama Weer All Crazee Now
10. Born To Be Wild
The Download Link is here: Download.
My thanks to Chris 'The Historian' Selby for his relentless research. It is said, in certain circles, that Walsall Archives have a seat reserved specifically for him and that Wolverhampton archives consult him when searching the Express & Star.


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No, this is not a duplicate post of this one from last fall. It is, however, an illustration of how outside forces can derail certain aspects of the renovation schedule. Above you see a completed installation of the fab Newfound Metals portlights, for which I was grinding larger holes late last September. I had actually dry-fitted them as ye olde post describes, but I ran into a run of work, had to pull the other boat out of the water, had to secure permission for further time on land, made a fairly critical bit of ligament in my left arm n0n-functional trying to hand-lower big batteries off the boat (note to self: Warm up muscles first, then purchase small crane.)
Then we had an appalling winter and an appalling spring. Despite arm protests, minus the problematic waving, I managed to do a little work aboard, and replaced the plastic sheeting over the gaping portlight holes four times, and the tarp I keep over the pilothouse roof until I can find a replacement for the Atkins and Hoyle gasket that doesn't cost fifty bucks, a total of three times.
The good news is that not much else leaks. At the moment. We've had so much rain this year that if it did, the bilges would be awash. Awash, they are not.
I was able to prime the holes in April, but I only got time, sunshine and heat enough to mix up the Endura two-part epoxy paint I use for touch-ups this week. It was also an opportunity to paint over some scraps and dings, and, I suppose, a glimpse into the future, when I expect a weekly "hour of touch-ups" will be on the activities board of international travel.
The butyl pun, of course, refers to butyl tape, a humble and venerable synthetic rubber compound with the consistancy of bubble gum, a tendency to self-adhere, and a great ability to keep water out. Having found, while doing various repairs, gobs of "still alive"...as in still flexible and damp-feeling...butyl used as bedding and sealing material on the nearly 40 year old Valiente, I grew to appreciate butyl's qualities, which are somewhat passe in this age of more modern and glamorous polymers, compounds and sealants.
|The real thing, as sold by the redoubtable "Maine Sail".
Nonetheless, I've decided in concordance with other boat fixers (a secretive and possibly inebriated clan of misanthropes for the most part) that butyl would be the way to keep the sea out of the pilothouse portlights, assuming, of course, that the negligent crew had remembered to dog down the lids when the wind piped up.
|Who left the dogs up?
I wrapped narrow, snot-like strings of butyl on the trim rings (the outside SS rings through which the body of the portlight passes), going inside and outside the 1/2 inch little stubs into which the mounting bolts went. Then I pressed slowly and firmly on the rings until they stuck to the recently dried epoxy paint. You can see a little bit of extruded grey stuff above, which I will trim with a little Exacto knife...apparently a Canadian term, so for my southern readers, think "artist's boxcutter", I suppose. I used Sikaflex 291 on the bolts, using a "twirl around the middle of the bolt shaft" techniques I've found keeps the threads dry and yet allows removal if needed.
I created a second gasket around the sort of flange that pokes out of the boat a bit. Then I spent about a hour gradually tightening with my largest socket wrench the rather unusual 6 mm bolts I had to travel by bike to Etobicoke to obtain. The whole assembly, crudely cut "spacer" rings and all, is now practically welded together, and if leaks appear, they should be immediately obvious, as restoring insulation and panelling and wood trim that will bury that crudely cut ring is one of the last jobs I'll tackle pre-departure.
|Prevailing winds come in here.
Note the little chain thingie at the top of the photo. That's the little clip that holds the portlight open as needed. I drilled a couple of boltholes in the aluminum roof "underflange" to mount them, but that area will also one day be restored to a more shippy, woody look and they'll probably go into a piece of glued wood at that point. Today's point is that tomorrow's rain will not enter the pilothouse, and the next time I'm there, southerly or northerly breezes will suck the heat out better than previously, previously being 1/2 inch clear circles of Lucite, bolted with 30 little bolts.
A last word on butyl: The aforementioned aluminum roof is, of course, through bolted to the inward top flange of the sides of the steel pilothouse. I have already repainted that flange, but will likely create nylon bushings and will apply goo of the galvanically isolating kind to keep the SS bolts from reacting with the aluminum roof, through which I have run and will run again considerable numbers of volts and amps for the various pilothouse gadgets, sensors and lights. In addition, I will use thin strips of both bedded HDPE plastic and a special sort of butyl used in roof sealing called EPDM rubber in order not only to electrically isolate the metals, but to keep the sea out effectively if we take a wave. I have found evidence that the bead of 5200, while personally challenging to my sabre-saw blade budget, was not entirely good at keeping out the water, which is not my idea of proper to a voyaging vessel.


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|Finance Application
2006 Maserati GranSport LE for sale in Cockeysville MD from EuroStar Auto Gallery
|Vehicle Description
|ONE OWNER~CLEAN CARFAX~400 H/P & 330Ft lbs of Torque~Skyhook Suspension~Red Brake Calipers~Carbon Fiber Door Moldings~CD Changer~G-Sport Seat w/Heat & Memory Driver at~Park Distance Control~19"Light Alloy Wheels~6 Speed "Cambiocorsa" Transmission w/ Computer Control"D"Clutch~ASR Traction Control System~MSP Stability Control System~Original MSRP $110,352.00
|Options and Features
|Contact Information
|Please Contact Jim Doyle
EuroStar Auto Gallery
Web : eurostarautos.com
Email : email@example.com
100 Cockeysville Road Suite 200
Cockeysville, MD 21030
|RE : 2006 Maserati GranSport LE
Questions? - Contact Us!
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text: Huffington Post blogger Alparslan Akkus said he was sued for $100,000 over a story he wrote about the banking sector [Fredrik Drevon/Al Jazeera] Istanbul, Turkey - Perched on a velvet chair inside Istanbul's luxurious 1970s-era Marmara hotel, overlooking Taksim Square and Gezi Park, Zeynep Oral lamented the state of Turkey's media landscape. "These are the worst times for press freedom in Turkey," the veteran journalist and president of human rights group Pen Turkey told Al Jazeera. "At least during the military rule you knew what you could say and not say. They gave you a list with forbidden topics. Today you know nothing," Oral added. "Any given story can be dangerous for one journalist and safe for another. There's no standard. It's a labyrinth." While Turkey has enjoyed press freedom "from time to time", Oral said, the situation now is worse than ever: "During the military regimes, I was questioned by the press prosecutor. I've lived through three different military coups. Press freedom was never under such danger as it is now." RELATED: Noose tightens on Turkish press freedoms According to the International Federation of Journalists, a total of 21 journalists or media workers - including reporters, columnists, photographers and technical staff - are currently behind bars in Turkey because of their work or political opinions. "We consider that even a single imprisoned journalist is already too much," Anthony Bellanger, the federation's deputy general secretary, told Al Jazeera. Jailing journalists is just one of the government's strategies to suppress free speech. Emre Kizilkaya, vice president of the International Press Institute's Turkish National Committee In 2013, Reporters Without Borders (RSF) described Turkey as "the world's biggest prison for journalists", with an unprecedented 42 journalists and four media workers in jail at the time. By 2015, however, Turkey had climbed from number 154 to 149 on RSF's World Press Freedom Index, "above all due to the conditional release in 2014 of around 40 journalists who nonetheless continue to face prosecution and may be detained again at any time". "Jailing journalists is just one of the government's strategies to suppress free speech," Emre Kizilkaya, vice president of the International Press Institute's Turkish National Committee and managing editor at the English-language Hurriyet Daily News, told Al Jazeera. "Defamation suits and encouraging character assassinations on social media, are tools that sometimes serve the government's interests even more efficiently." Last year, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan launched a lawsuit against cartoonist Musa Kart for caricaturing him. Kart was ultimately acquitted. The president also called the Economist's Turkey correspondent, Amberin Zaman, a "shameless militant woman disguised under the name of a journalist" during an election rally last year - a comment that sparked international outrage. Turkey's Ministry of Justice did not respond to Al Jazeera's request for comment on the issue of press freedom in the country. Meanwhile, Ibrahim Altay, ombudsman at the newspaper Sabah, warned that political activists may falsely claim to be journalists. "Some NGOs claim that more than 10 Turkish journalists are in prison, but the government sources always deny that, and argue that they are in fact activists who have been jailed for crimes such as violence or fraud. In Turkey, it's difficult to draw a line between activism and journalism [and] it's almost impossible to find independent journalists or media," Altay told Al Jazeera. "We have pro- and anti-government media, and everybody takes a side." OPINION: Turkey's coming police state Understanding Turkey's constantly changing media landscape is tricky, since newspapers and TV stations are typically owned by enigmatic holding companies whose multi-sector business interests often require a submissive attitude towards the government. Even the Dogan Media Group, which owns newspapers deemed to be anti-government, allowed its news channel CNN Türk to broadcast a documentary about penguins during a brutal police crackdown on Gezi Park protesters two years ago. "The government's pressure on TV stations is more direct and intense than on newspapers. For Erdogan, it's all about winning or losing votes. He knows that 80 percent of Turks watch TV every day," a senior editor at Dogan Media told Al Jazeera on condition of anonymity. As Turkey's climate for public debate deteriorates, foreign journalists who cover taboo subjects also risk being harassed by Turkish police. In a bizarre episode last year, CNN's Ivan Watson was forcefully escorted away by police while reporting live from Taksim Square at the first anniversary of the Gezi Park protests after police suggested his press accreditation, issued by the Turkish prime ministry, could have been "counterfeited". YouTube and Twitter were also banned for two months in Turkey last year in the wake of a corruption scandal that implicated the families of Erdogan and several ministers. The move was perceived as a serious blow to press freedom in Turkey. Ready-made news stories fed to editors by media bosses, denouncing individual journalists, denial of accreditation and fines are typical strategies to silence Turkish journalists. Alparslan Akkus, Huffington Post blogger And this past January, Dutch freelance journalist Frederike Geerdink, who lives in southeastern Turkey and has written extensively on the Kurdish issue, was detained by Turkish security forces on charges of spreading "terrorist propaganda". She faces up to five years in prison if found guilty. The same day she was arrested, according to a report by the Reuters news agency, Erdogan declared: "Nowhere in Europe or in other countries is there media as free as the press in Turkey." RELATED: Turkey: 'World's biggest prison' for media In ankle-deep snow in Arnavutkoy, seven kilometres up the European side of the Bosphoros, Huffington Post blogger Alparslan Akkus said there are other methods the state uses to silence reporters. "Ready-made news stories fed to editors by media bosses, denouncing individual journalists, denial of accreditation and fines are typical strategies to silence Turkish journalists," Akkus said. "A fine is more effective than prison. If you're jailed you become a public figure, but if you're fined who cares?" Akkus said he had been personally targeted in this manner, noting that the Banks Association of Turkey, a professional organisation with the status of a public institution, filed a 250,000 lira ($100,000) lawsuit against him for a 2014 news story he wrote about a draft law that would make bank managers "exempt from penalties over illegal loans". The story was published in the newspaper Bugun. Ahmet Abakay, who chairs the Progressive Journalists Association, told Al Jazeera that during AKP rule, more than 2,500 lawsuits have been filed against Turkish journalists, which means some have been sued multiple times. Al Jazeera could not independently verify this figure. "These lawsuits are not only threats to the journalists who are sued, but [are] a tool to intimidate all Turkish journalists," Abakay said. Oral, who writes a regular column for Cumhurriyet, said despite the tense atmosphere, she will continue to cross red lines in her work. "In military times, I learned how to write between the lines. Now, because there is no logic to what you may or may not write, I don't care at all," she said. "Maybe because I've reached this age, I'm not afraid. Of course I get upset when I receive threatening emails, but I'm not afraid." SOURCE: Al Jazeera Media Human Rights Middle East Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdogan


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The Gupta dynasty and its successors had declined by the end of the 6th century and several changes took place in the Deccan and Southern India. By the time the Vakatakas had collapsed the early Kaluchuris dynasty established itself around 520 A.D and flourished till 600 A.D. The Kaluchuris are noted for Pasupata Saivism, a religious movement in the Deccan and South Asia. They excavated the Jogeswari caves,Mandapeshwara,Elephanta and the Dhumar Lena at Ellora. They were overtaken by the Western Chalukyas of Karnataka. The Kadambas of Banavasi ruled in South Karnataka and were also overtaken by the Western Chalukyas, who were Dravidian and ruled from Badami (ancient Vatapi) and called Badami Chalukyas. Their ruler Pulakesin I fortified the area of Badami in 543 A.D. Pulakesin II was its most notable ruler. He defeated Harsha on the banks of the Narmada. He expanded the kingdom to the northern limits of the Pallava kingdom. However in 642 A.D Pallava king Narasimhavarman occupied Badami for some time. Pulakesin died fighting. However the Chalukyas regained power under Vikramaditya I. Later Vijayaditya (696-733) ruled for 37 years and built many temples. Vikramaditya II ruled 733 – 744 A.D and was victorious over Pallava king Nandivarman II. He was a kind ruler, made temples at Kanchipuram too. Thus this early Chalukyan dynasty ruled most of the Deccan for 200 years; from mid 6th century to mid 8th century. They were overthrown by the Rashtrakutas.This dynasty is remembered for it rock-cutting sculpture and later structural temples. The rock cut tradition is found at Aihole and Badami in Karnataka.
Chalukyan art of ancient India reaches a classical zenith at the group of monuments at Aihole in the present state of Karnataka in southern India. An amazing example of rock cut temple architecture built by the Chalukyas datable to 550 A.D. is the Ravana Pahadi. These Chalukyas were ware called the Early Western Chalukyas by historians. The Deccan became an interface between the upper north and south below in the Indian peninsula. The Ravan Pahadi cave has a simple facade with two dwarapalas and dwarves. The cave has a central mantapa (hall) with shrines by its sides. At the back end is a linga within a sanctuary. The mantapa is at a lower level than the shrines and sanctuary. The cave walls and ceiling including the corners of the main mandapa or hall have superb sculptures. A multi armed representation of Lord Shiva as Nataraja along with the saptamatrikas . Legend has it that the saptamtrikas were created during his battle with Andhakasura. The figures are slim and their garments have striations which are incised on stone. The cave has a figure of Durga as Mahisasuramardini depicting her with her with one left hand and folded leg crushing the bull. She holds her weapons including the trident or trisula which is very prominent.
Ravana Pahadi cave,6th century,Aihole,Karnataka.
By Manjunath Doddamani Gajendragad at English Wikipedia – Transferred from en.wikipedia to Commons., CC0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=55299150
Mantapa , Ravana Pahadi cave temple,6th century, Aihoḷe,Karnataka.
By Dineshkannambadi – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=19877895
Linga,Ravana Pahadi ,6th century,Aihole, Karnataka.
By Nagraj – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=21380047
Nataraja, Ravana Pahadi cave temple, 6th century,Aihole,Karnataka.
By Dineshkannambadi – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=19877893
Mahisasuramardini, Ravana pahadi Cave temple, 6th century,Aihole, Karnataka.
By Dineshkannambadi – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=19877894
Durga temple at Aihole has an apsidal and oblong plan and is part of a fort or durg, hence its name Durga. It was built during the late 7th and early 8th centuries by the Early Western Chalukyas. There is a circumbulatory passage around the temple having pillars,some with sculptures.. There is an entrance area, a mandapa or hall and an inner shrine. The inner shrine has a narrow circumambulatory path. The temple has a small porch approached by two staircases. The inner wall of the temple has many sculptures.; Durga as Mahisasuramardini having eight arms. A shikhara is present on the temple's east-side over the shrine. The temple might have been dedicated to Lord Vishnu as many of his avatars are carved on the temple like Varaha and Narasimha.
Durga temple, 6th century,Aihole,Karnataka.
CC0, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?curid=37733925
Lord Vishnu,Durga temple, Aihole,Karnataka.
By Ismoon (talk) 21:12, 5 June 2013 (UTC) – Own work, GFDL, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=26505253
Durga, 6th century,Aihole, Karnataka.
By Naveenkumarsnayak – Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=51445322
Durga temple,6th century,Karnataka.
By Nithin bolar k – Own work, CC BY-SA 3.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=27944703
Celestial couple,ceiling, Durga Temple,6th century, Aihole,Karnataka.
By G41rn8 – Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?curid=40069651
References :
- The art of ancient India/Huntington,Susan,New York : Weatherhill,1985.
- wikipedia.org
Posted by
Soma Ghosh


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ADHD and tactile processing
There is much observational and anecdotal evidence for problems with tactile sensory processing in children with ADHD. However, there have previously been virtually no attempts to rigorously quantify differences in tactile sensitivity, habituation, and discrimination between ADHD and non-ADHD children. In this podcast, Editor-in-Chief Bill Yates (University of Pittsburgh) talks with Dr. Nicolaas Puts (Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine; Kennedy Krieger Institute) and Dr. Stewart Mostofsky (Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine; Kennedy Krieger Institute) about a new study which employed recent innovations in neuroimaging to examine whether children with ADHD showed impaired performance on tactile tasks related to GABAergic inhibitory control. Listen to learn about links between ADHD and neural inhibition, the methods used to test tactile performance, and the specific findings of altered tactile processing in children with ADHD.
Altered tactile sensitivity in children with attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder
Nicolaas A. J. Puts, Ashley D. Harris, Mark Mikkelsen, Mark Tommerdahl, Richard A. E. Edden, and Stewart H. Mostofsky
Journal of Neurophysiology, published online November 30, 2017. DOI: 10.1152/jn.00087.2017.


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Senior Companions are volunteers 55 and over who provide assistance and friendship to seniors who have difficulty with daily living tasks, such as shopping or paying bills. The program aims to keep seniors independent longer, and provide respite to family caregivers.
Make Independence a Reality
Senior Companions serve 15 to 40 hours per week helping an average of two to four adult clients live independently in their own homes. Volunteers receive pre-service orientation, training from the organization where they serve, supplemental insurance while on duty, and may qualify to earn a tax-free hourly stipend.
And remember: When you volunteer, you're not just helping others—you're helping yourself. Volunteering leads to new discoveries and new friends. Plus, studies show that volunteering helps you live longer and promotes a positive outlook on life.
Become a Senior Companion Volunteer


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One-line Brief
Police uniform has built-in armor and communication systems.
Inspiration from Nature
The body armor of armadillo (Dasypodidae) is flexible and tough at the same time.
Problem Statement
Wearing and moving around in a police uniform seems too much hustle, even visually. Much advancement has been made in its separate functions such as body armor and suit fabric etc. but all seem to go in vain when the final outcome is uncomfortable to watch let alone wear. Present gear is like carrying a Nokia phone, Microsoft laptop, and an iWatch. A new design paradigm needs to be created for police uniforms which frees its wearer from carrying multiple tools and whistles. The top priority of the uniform should be an integrated bullet armor.
Nature Review
There is no scarcity of body armors in the natural world. We need an example that is flexible besides being robust. An armadillo (Dasypodidae) exhibits a complete economy of form by becoming a ball of plated armor. And its shingle-like plates are not separate from the skin which makes it a perfect inspiration for smart, fully-integrated suit-armor.
Technology Review
This area of research has grown enormously over time. Integrated exoskeletal systems range from fantasy world (comics, movies, and games) to real-world (sports and military). The following projects (particularly Nano-Suit and Dragon Skin) provide technical guidance for the design of this nature gadget.
Nature Gadget
A lightweight armor suit is designed for police. Instead of continuous bullet-proof sheathing- like one used in the existing fabrics- it has a discrete particle system (1, 5). Particles can slide over and along with each other (6-9) like thin layers of fluid running in streams. These streams exhibit communication (11) and thermal regulation capabilities (14, 15) which frees the police from carrying any communication devices (2). The suit draws energy from movement and oscillation of the particles (4) which move with the body.
Citation Montage
The following are some useful resources from the design process of this nature gadget.
Row1Column1: A Closeup of Armadillo
Row1Column2: Armadillo Skin
Row1Column3: Armadillo Defenses
Row1Column4: Armadillo Armour
Row2Column1: Ghost Lightweight Body Armour
Row2Column2: Knox Venture Shirt Protector
Row2Column3: Lightweight Body Armour by Forcefield
Row2Column4: IXS Cleaver Jacket Chest Protector
Row3Column1: Iron Man Suit Concept by Marvel
Row3Column2: A List of Crysis Game Suits
Row3Column3: Body Armour Details
Row3Column4: Dragon Skin
Row4Column1: Developments in BulletProof Materials Using Nanotechnology
Row4Column2: Composite Material Fabrication of Sails
Row4Column3: Bullet Proof Structure Patent
Row4Column4: Nano-suit Concept Crysis
Created by Umair Zia


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Multimedia content
- Images (3)
- DHL Express Sub Saharan Africa Human Resources Representatives receiving their Top Employer 2017 certification. DHL Express received Top Employer 201 certification in 12 African countries. They were also certified as a Top Employer for Africa 2017
- Sonia Calou, HR Generalist for DHL Express SSA Indian Oceans, receiving the Top Employer Africa 2017 certification on behalf of DHL Express Sub Saharan Africa
- Hennie Heymans, CEO of DHL Express Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)
- Links (2)
- All (5)
DHL Express recognized as Top Employer in Africa for the third consecutive year
The company was certified as a Top Employer in twelve markets, including Angola, Botswana, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Nigeria, South Africa and Uganda
We're committed to having a team of high performers who operate in a high performance culture and in a region that promotes and drives diversity of leadership
DHL Express (www.DPDHL.com), the world's leading international express services provider, has been certified as a Top Employer in Africa by the Top Employers Institute at the prestigious Top Employer 2017 ceremony on Thursday 13 October at the Sandton Convention Centre.
The company was certified as a Top Employer in twelve markets, including Angola, Botswana, Ethiopia, Gambia, Ghana, Kenya, Madagascar, Mauritius, Mozambique, Nigeria, South Africa and Uganda. Hennie Heymans, CEO of DHL Express Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), says, "We are extremely proud of this achievement. This is testament to how much we value our employees and reaffirms that DHL Express is a rewarding place to work at."
"Having motivated people is the first pillar of our global internal Focus strategy and being an Employer of Choice is one of our three bottom lines. This demonstrates how seriously we take employee engagement and development at a global level and on the ground in SSA. We're committed to having a team of high performers who operate in a high performance culture and in a region that promotes and drives diversity of leadership."
"I believe that DHL Express has something very unique. You don't often find a company that can maintain the same culture across the world. The fact that you can walk into any one of our offices around the world and feel that same drive towards customer centricity from the minute you walk in the door is truly amazing. Our Focus pillars lay the foundation for this success and the abundance of employee engagement and recognition programs are perfectly positioned to support this."
"These initiatives and programs include our Certified International Specialist (CIS) program, which is a cultural change program that all our employees across SSA have gone through. An extension of CIS is our Certified International Manager (CIM) program, which focuses primarily on ensuring that our leaders are equipped with the knowledge and skills to meet the demands of today's complex working environment and promote effective and quality leadership among managers."
"We also run an annual Employee Opinion Survey which is 100 percent anonymous. This gives us great insight into areas that require improvement, as well as reaffirms areas that we are doing well in. Much like how we rely on customer feedback to improve our customer service quality, direct feedback from employees is imperative to our success. From an employee recognition point of view, we run Employee Appreciation Weeks and functional focus weeks which celebrate and recognize our employees' achievements in each country. In addition, we present quarterly and annual awards to our star performers, based on employee nominations," adds Heymans.
To be certified as a Top Employer in Africa, a company needs to operate in four or more countries and have exceptional employee conditions. The Top Employers Institute conducts comprehensive and independent research by getting employees in the relevant companies to complete a HR best practice survey.
The survey assesses the company's HR strategy, policy implementation, practices and employee offerings, to reveal whether the company provides exceptional employee conditions, develops talent on all levels and demonstrates leadership through optimizing the development of its employees and employee practices.
Each completed survey is reviewed by the Top Employer Institute and subsequently audited by a third party. Only organizations that qualify from the selection process receive the Top Employers title and Certification Seal but all participants receive a comprehensive Feedback Report.
"We are delighted to have been certified as a Top Employer in Africa for the third consecutive year and strive to ensure that we continue to achieve this prestigious certification every year," concludes Heymans.
Distributed by APO Group on behalf of Deutsche Post DHL.
Media Contact:
Megan Collinicos
Head of Marketing, Sub-Saharan Africa
DHL Express
Tel +27 21 409 3613 Mobile +27 76 411 8570
About DHL:
DHL – The logistics company for the world
DHL (www.DPDHL.com) is the leading global brand in the logistics industry. Our DHL family of divisions offer an unrivalled portfolio of logistics services ranging from national and international parcel delivery, e-commerce shipping and fulfillment solutions, international express, road, air and ocean transport to industrial supply chain management. With about 340,000 employees in more than 220 countries and territories worldwide, DHL connects people and businesses securely and reliably, enabling global trade flows. With specialized solutions for growth markets and industries including technology, life sciences and healthcare, energy, automotive and retail, a proven commitment to corporate responsibility and an unrivalled presence in developing markets, DHL is decisively positioned as "The logistics company for the world".
DHL is part of Deutsche Post DHL Group. The Group generated revenues of more than 59 billion euros in 2015.
For more information: www.DPDHL.com
Stock images available: www.DPDHL.com/en/media_relations/media_library.html


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Hallo! I'm James Victor Manalo. I am just a teenager who seeks to learn more about life, without minding the various restrictions given to me by different externalities. I'm in search of myself right now and I have gladly chosen blogging as a way to record whatever it is that I will explore as I move forward. I am currently taking up Bachelor of Science major in Applied Economics in one of the prestigious universities here in the Philippines.
I am into fashion, entertainment, and a little bit of sports (badminton, tennis, volleyball and basketball in particular). I'm insomniac. I voluntarily try to utilize every minute that I have by doing different things. I hate to be idle, and I find sleeping a little bit overrated. As much as possible, I try to eat whatever it is that I crave for, though my physique do not resemble my overeating habit, which is by the way a good thing.
I plan on taking a Master's Degree in Business Administration and not pursue a Master's Degree in Economics. It's a personal choice. I just want to learn more things aside from Economics. I also plan to study Computer Science or maybe something that is arts-related like theater.
So that would be all for now. I would try to update this once changes occur.
I'm now a cancer patient. I have Stage 2b Bone Cancer (Osteosarcoma) and I was just diagnosed last March 2009, though I started feeling the symptoms last December.


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I do walking exercise almost everyday when I used to come back home I could not walk from pain on back heel of my right foot...But when I bought these Bionica shoes it was a something unbelievable with comfort of these flip flop the best shoes ever I love them....
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Holy CRAP this footbed is the squishiest, most comfortable thing ever! Every time I slip my feet into these, I'm blown away by how comfortable they are. I told my mom and my aunt about them and they both bought pairs and agree! We all love them so much!
Jane, Charleston SC, 5/28/2019
I now own 5 pairs of Bionica shoes. I broke my ankle and had a knee replacement on my right leg so I was delighted to find shoes that are comfortable, supportive but most importantly they're "super cute." I get compliments on all of them and I'm happy to recommend them to everyone. I'll keep a eye out for my sixth pair as soon as you have another great sale.
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I absolutely love my shoes from Bionica. I now own about 4 pair now. The quality of the shoe is top notch as well as comfort.
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Kapelludden Camping & Stugor/Camping
Camping | Kapelludden - close to everything! Located right by the beach and within walking distance of the summer town of Borgholm.
Our camping pitches offer a wide choice. Most pitches have electric sockets and some also have water, drainage and satellite TV. The campsite has comfortable service buildings, kitchen, kiosk, etc.
When you choose to stay at Kapelludden Camping & Stugor you do not need to choose between closeness to the beach and swimming and shopping and entertainment, here you are close to everything! Located right by the beach and within walking distance of the summer town of Borgholm with shopping and entertainment.
Kapelludden has a private, child-friendly, shallow, beach with a private jetty. There are playgrounds, swimming school and other fun activities for the children. Borgholm's public baths is a good neighbour. You can swim there in all weathers, indoors and out. There is a gym, a 25-m pool, water slide, whirlpool and solarium. In the pool area, there are 2 heated pools, sunbeds and a fully licensed pool bar.
Check in from 3 p.m. - Check out at the latest 12.00 a.m.
Reception open during high season: 8 a.m. to 10 p.m.
Pets are allowed.
Facilities and services
Shower shared Communal cooking area Internet Reception
Children's playground Swimming area Outdoor pool
Eat & Drink on siteRestaurant
Special requirementsPets allowed
Contact information
Phone number46 485560770
Phone number (booking)46 485560770
Contact person email


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Adept is a professionally-built design set for Oxygen Builder. This design set can be adapted for any number of website types, from a stunning portfolio to a powerful small business.
- WordPress
- Oxygen Builder
- Your essential plugins to turn the buttons into sales machines
How Do I Install Design Sets?
It's easy! Once you gain access to the design set Site Key, you simply:
- Log into your WordPress admin
- Go to Oxygen > Settings
- Click the "Library" tab
- Click "Enable 3rd Party Design Sets" (if not already enabled), and click "Update"
- Click the "+ Add Design Set" link
- Paste the design set Site Key, and click "Add Source Site"
- That's it! You can now find this design set in your library.
Do I Need to Sign Up?
If you don't already have an Ukuwi account, you will be asked to register for one during checkout, or you can create one now. After you make a purchase, you will be shown the design set Site Key on the following page. If you need access to it later, you can log in, go to "Orders," click "View" on the item you'd like to see details for, and find the Site Key in the details.


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Hello readers..! Here we come with the latest update on hotel activities from The Media Hotel & Towers!
Associates at The Media Hotel & Towers worked hand in hand to open and organize a café booth in IFFINA 2013 (International Furniture & Craft Fair Indonesia) held recently in JIExpo, Kemayoran Jakarta.
Food & Beverage department through its banquet team teamed up other departments to prepare a booth during the International exhibition. They setup and decorated the booth to become a convenient venue, like a cafe for exhibition visitors to dine. It offered varied types of International and Indonesian meals along with snacks menu and drinks.
It's packed with guests and IFFINA's visitors tend to prefer dining at the café. "I like having lunch here because the food is good and the service is quick. People are welcoming here. No wonder it's always busy all the time," said one of the IFFINA's exhibitors who always had lunch break during the four days event.
It's true! The Media Hotel & Towers is welcoming, personalized and yet memorable!


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FasterCapital has launched its fourth round of funding for 2016
FasterCapital (a virtual incubator based in Dubai, UAE) has launched its fourth round of funding for 2016 which begins on 15th of July, 2016 and ends on 16th of August, 2016. The last round of funding has attracted more than 4000 entrepreneurs from more than 84 countries. More than 100 startups were accepted into the acceleration program.
FasterCapital hopes the message will reach wider audience of dedicated and enthusiastic entrepreneurs who seek both capital and incubation. Each startup goes through three level of assessment: business, financial and technical. The study will be communicated back to the entrepreneurs so that they can take our feedback in the development of their startup. Entrepreneurs will get (for free!) an extra professional opinion about their startup, potential obstacles and ideas for improvement! All accelerated companies will receive services such as mentorship, marketing study, feasibility study, technical consultation, new sales channels and financing.
FasterCapital offers two programs: "Acceleration Program" and Incubation Program". In the "Acceleration program", FasterCapital will provide mentorship, access to capital and extra consulting services (legal, technological and marketing) to Entrepreneurs. What distinguishes FasterCapital is its "Incubation Program" which might appeal to nontechnical entrepreneurs. FasterCapital will become a cofounder (technical cofounder) and co-funder (as one of the first investors) and will provide technical development per equity (up to $500k for each startup). The "Incubation Program" might also appeal to tech entrepreneur who seek some help in covering some of the early investment in the startup.
FasterCapital has more than 100 internal developers with different skillsets who are already working on multiple projects.
Startups can apply to join our Virtual Incubator at: http://www.fastercapital.com/entrepreneurs.html


text: WELCOME! This is the website for the Alaska United Methodist Conference, a Missionary Conference of the United Methodist Church. Here you'll find links to our mission emphases, our churches, ministries, and staff. You'll also find links to "Mission u" resources (for the United Methodist Women's Study) and how to come to Alaska as clergy or part of a work team. At the bottom, you'll find links to documents, forms, and our e-newsletter.


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Last Tuesday, January 27th Western Digital announced that they would be the first company to produce a 2TB hard drive in a single 3.5" unit. Is this really a big deal, you ask? The truth is IT IS for Western Digital and for the rest of us. Western Digital, known for top-selling hard drives such as their Western Digital My Book Series, is typically not a leader in direct jumps in hard drive capacity technologies. Seagate Technologies, on the other hand, is usually the driving force. The last example of this was their Seagate Barracuda 7200.11 1.5 TB hard drive, which was the largest hard disk drive on the market. However, this accomplishment was tainted for Seagate subsequently due to product flaws including a self-bricking malfunction. This means the product appeared to be "normal" until, after some use, the product suddenly stopped being recognized by the user's computer. Seagate states they are currently "working with customers to expedite a remedy. This is unfortunate for Seagate, a top-quality Hard Drive Manufacturer, but a golden-opportunity for Western Digital as they step out from under their #2 position in the hard disk drive manufacturing industry and outshine their competition.
Filed under: hard drives, news | Tagged: 2TB, hard drives, western digital | Leave a comment »


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A stripe tie with slubs for added texture, made from 100% pure silk woven in the UK
Slubbing it with your tie certainly doesn't mean slumming it. Shantung silk, the kind we used for this one, has a fascinatingly irregular thickness, meaning that when it's woven it creates these slubs in the fabric. Think relaxed, but the kind of relaxed you'd feel on a chaise longue.


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Flying Fox Bhutan Tours and Travels.
Flying Fox Bhutan is one of the most experienced travel company in the region. We offer customized tours packages, trek packages, taxi services and hotel booking. We have over the years evolved to be efficient, fast and reliable travel agency operation in Bhutan. We will provide your service and facilities so that your vacations go hassle free and you focus primary on enjoying your vacation. With Flying Fox Bhutan you be ensured of a perfect dream vacation in Bhutan.
We also offer customized tour packages for destination in hills like Darjeeling, Dooars, Sikkim and Nepal. Please feel free to contact us for customized package tour in hilly region.