text:
I'm still a little bit confused by New England weather. I mean, I lived here a few years ago when I went to The College (how's that for subtle?), so I was ready for a long Winter. I was even prepared for the little peek of early Spring followed by a couple more snow storms. But I keep trying to figure out Summer, and I want to compare it to places that I am familiar with. I thought perhaps summer might be a little bit like LA's "June Gloom". Or San Francisco where the fog rolls out every morning. But I think it's just unique with its own, er, charm. I've decided that it's just predictably unpredictable.
All I know is that when I pulled together a last-minute potluck picnic last weekend to celebrate my friend Marina's coming to town and fully anticipated that it would be held on my living room floor, I awoke last Saturday morning after a week of drizzle to a gorgeous sunshiny day. I even cleaned up my place anticipating a toddler's grabby hands (or at least took care of the things that reached about waist-level for me).
So my friends and I were blessed with a beautiful day, an outdoor picnic, a bounty of food, and of course a fun afternoon with each other (and I got a relatively mess-free home…at least up to toddler-eye-view).
Here's the menu, and like I did for my last dinner party, I'll try to fill out the recipes as I go along.
the prettiest Challah I've ever made thanks to a new braiding technique
Guacamole (below)
Corn Edamame Salad (below)
Mayo-free Egg Salad (below)
Quinoa-Mango Salad with Lime-Cumin Vinaigrette (made with Spinach)
Pomegranate Chicken Kabobs (below)
Simple Chocolate Cake
Contributions from friends (feel free to send recipes or include in comments): Green Salad, Wine, Fruit Salad, Halva
Here are the salads that I made.
1) Guacamole
I normally add tomatoes to my guac, but I didn't have any this week. However, I did have a jalepeno so this one came out nice and spicy.
Mash together flesh of 2 avocados, 1/2 finely diced jalapeno = ~1t (seeds removed – and don't attempt to put on your contact lenses after dicing like I did!), 1T grated onion (optional), 2-3 generous pinches salt, and 2-3 T lime juice. You can also add some cayenne pepper or cumin.
2) Corn Edamame Salad with Pink Salt
This is a very easy salad that I threw together with things I had in my fridge, freezer, and pantry, adjusting and tasting as I went along. This made about 4-5 C salad and there was about 1/2 C remaining for me to take a picture of the next day (but my pic came out blurry).
Roast 3 ears of corn in oven as directed a few weeks ago. Cut kernels off of cob.
Cook 1 bag (10 oz) frozen shelled edamame — I microwaved in a bowl with 3T water and a pinch of salt for 1-2 minutes. Drain water.
Mix corn with cooked drained edamame and add some quartered baby tomatoes (15-20).
Dress with rice vinegar (2-3T), toasted sesame oil (2T) and a pinch of salt. Serve with Hawaiian pink sea salt. I bought this pink sea salt at Target (I can't seem to find it on their website any more) and its ingredients are sea salt and Hawaiian Alaea. A quick online search revealed that alaea refers to a harvested Hawaiian reddish clay that contains iron oxide; alaea salt is traditionally used in ceremonies to cleanse, purify and bless tools and canoes and imparts security on the item being blessed, and in healing rituals for medicinal purposes.
3) The Baking Architect's Egg Salad with Mushrooms
Ellie, aka, The Baking Architect, serves this no-mayo egg salad before many of her lunches. She forwarded me this recipe guide in the middle of a busy Friday to help me prepare for my picnic when I realized I had no mayo and was already boiling my eggs. I have put in my own measurements, but you can obviously adapt for whatever sized crowd you have.
Boil 8 eggs. The fail-proof method I learned for perfect boiled eggs is as follows: Prick a hole in the end of each egg with a clean pin. Place eggs in pot and cover with cold water. Bring water to a boil and then reduce heat to simmer for 10 minutes. Drain out hot water and refill with cold water to stop cooking. Shake eggs around in pot to crack eggs. Shells will come off easily when cool, and yolks will be creamy.
Sautée sliced mushrooms (I sliced about 10 cremini mushrooms) with 1 diced onion and a pinch of salt and some garlic powder — or minced fresh garlic (1-2 t) — in plenty of olive oil (3T).
Allow eggs to cool and then dice the eggs in two directions on an egg slicer. Add the mushroom-onion sautée and mix well. Serve cold or at room temperature.
And now for the chicken:
4) Pomegranate Chicken Kabobs
Since this was a last-minute picnic, I tried to avoid doing a major shopping trip and used as much food as I had in my kitchen as possible. I remembered that I had a fair amount of dressing left over from that salad with beets and ruby red grapefruit that I made for my dinner party the prior week and figured it might make a good chicken marinade. It did and this chicken would also be great thrown atop the salad if you decided to make the two dishes together. This is a really easy dish to make on a grill, grill pan, or my old stand-by, the George Foreman.
Make pomegranate marinade (see original post for more detail): Whisk together 1/3 – 1/2 C pomegranate juice, ~1T sugar, 6T orange-flavored olive oil, and salt, and taste. Adjust seasoning as necessary.
Cut 4-6 boneless skinless chicken breasts into bite-sized chunks. Soak in marinade in fridge for at least 2 hours.
Thread onto bamboo skewers (I put 4 chunks per skewer and made a dozen skewers, putting a beet on the end of each) and grill a few minutes on each side until fully cooked.
I let the kabobs cool a bit before packing them up in an rinsed out salad container for easy transport the next day (I was still hoping for nice weather, and my wish was granted).
These kabobs were a favorite of Mo's — Jamie and Brad's toddler — as he wandered around the mini Japanese zen park down the street from my place, navigating the huge "upside-down wok" and fake grass (that we were happy to discover does not seem to retain rain water from previous nights). They were also a hit with Lola, Dani's puppy, who kept sniffing at our licked-clean skewers after gobbling up the one chunk that slipped through Mo's fingers.


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Luxury Gold Foil pocket fold suite Matching Evening Invitation with Gold Foil Monogram + Die Cut Custom Envelope
Beautiful and delicate Invitation with gold foil Monogram on Back and backing card with Foil Edge and Matching Die Cut Envelopes.
- Full assembly as shown in the photographs,
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If you are going away before/after/during for production then this needs to be made clear before the approval.
All our invitations are handmade. Due to the intricate nature of the designs and our keen attention to detail, turnaround time is typically 2-3 weeks (all reflective on when wording, approval, and final payment is received). Please Note that 10 full working days is not including delivery time. So, please consider the Proofing stage, the production timeline + the delivery times before placing the order.
Only once your order is complete can we provide you with a tracking number. Please note that depending on which delivery service you purchase it will take the following days to be sent to the UK
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Minimum order quantities apply - please check product description
Spare Cards & Re-Ordering : We always recommend ordering a slightly larger amount of invitations than needed to allow for any errors when handwriting the invitations or for guests you may have overlooked.Cartalia will be happy to print extra invitations for you if you run short, however we do have a minimum of 30, so it is better to ensure that enough invitations are ordered at the outset, as prices may increase after the initial order.
Please find below pricing of some of our extras:
Design Services & Bespoke Orders and Hard Proof :
|Hard Proof
|Completed, printed card proof (non-refundable - £25
|Bespoke work
|£200 - Bespoke designs costs in addition stationery costs
|Semi-bespoke order
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Printing options to add or print bespoke with your own design with us :
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|additional £0.30 per side
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|£0.85 per insert
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|Blind De-bossing ( no colour )
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Personalisation for Guests Names and Envelope Adressing :
|Guest name personalisation on inserts & place cards
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|Envelope RSVP - return adress - ✉
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Custom Envelopes :
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*If you have any further questions or have something in mind, that is not listed above please get in touch and we would be more then happy to provide you with a quote and answer any further quarries.

subset: commoncrawl


text:
La Plata County commissioners are considering enacting a moratorium on shale-oil well development at their weekly meeting Tuesday.
It would give them time to review the countys land-use code and make any revisions necessary to ensure the code is sufficient to deal with shale development. It is an important decision.
Specifically, the commissioners are focused on shale oil, but they should include shale gas.
The current low price of natural gas is limiting drilling, so its a prime time for the county to also review gas-related regulations.
Moratoriums on shale development are widespread, from the state of New York to Colorados El Paso and Boulder counties, and numerous towns and cities in our state. While Gov. Frackenlooper and his industry cronies dont like this trend, it is commonly seen as a rational move for several reasons.
The primary rationale for a moratorium presented by county staff is the need to study road use so adequate fees can be assessed for the damage caused by the truck traffic that will accompany shale development. While important, this is not the only reason for a moratorium.
The Mancos Shale in southern La Plata County is closer to the surface than any other shale gas or oil play in the country. When faced with water quality concerns, the industry mantra is that fracking occurs at such great depths that it cannot affect freshwater aquifers thousands of feet above. That barrier is much less comforting when much less thick. The state Oil and Gas Conservation Commission has repeatedly failed to resist industry pressure, and cant be relied upon to properly assess the potential for wells to be affected by shallow shale development. The county must take on this study.
Soon-to-be enacted COGCC rules require testing of water wells one-half mile from the wellhead, but in a shallow, horizontal shale well it is critical that water wells be tested within one-half mile of the full length of the horizontal leg, as well as the wellhead. They will be fracking at unheard-of shallowness, and landowners deserve to know if their water is affected.
The county must also consider water supply. Current rules require only that it come from a legally supplied source. In Southwest Colorado, the use of fresh water for a one-time use that will pollute the water so greatly it must be forever removed from the global hydrologic cycle is a travesty. There must be public discussion of what water may be used.
Preliminary indications from northern New Mexico are that the Mancos Shale has very low pressure, meaning a lot of compressor stations may be needed to build the negative pressure to suck the oil or gas from the ground. Adding in noise and air effects, this is clearly a land-use issue, and within the countys purview.
Typical Mancos Shale wells in northeast Colorado initially require pads up to 10 acres. After 45-60 days, these sites revert to 3 acres. Typically, such use of county land requires full development plans, neighborhood compatibility studies and public notification. Imagine a proposal to build a hotel every square mile: the uproar would be massive, for good reason. Shale development will cause similar, and possibly much greater, effects to nearby residents.
I am sure there are plenty of other legitimate reasons the county should enact a moratorium. Let us hope it does.
email@example.com. Dan Randolph is executive director of the San Juan Citizens Alliance.


text:
Duisburg Hospital
Specialist field: Neurosurgery
Prof. Dr. Martin Scholz
Zu den Rehwiesen 9-11
47055 Duisburg
Tel. + 49 (0) 203 733 2401
Professor Martin Scholz
Senior Consultant in the Department of Neurosurgery, Duisburg Hospital/Wedau Hospitals
The Department of Neurosurgery at Duisburg Hospital, part of the Wedau Hospitals group, has many years of proven experience in treating neurosurgical illnesses, including the severest of cases. This wealth of expertise was established by the department's first Senior Consultant, Professor Bettag, and his successor, Professor Werner Hassler. Professor Martin Scholz has been Senior Consultant since October. A respected specialist in microsurgery and endoscopy, he is building on the tradition laid down by his predecessors.
The department is one of Germany's largest neurosurgical departments, serving patients from Duisburg and the surrounding area, other regions of Germany as well as many Arab countries, Russia and other countries of the former Soviet Union. The latest operating technologies are used in the department, such as a special mouth-controlled surgical microscope that ensures that both of the surgeon's hands are free to perform the operation at all times.
The three operating theatres, fitted with state-of-the-art equipment, are used for microsurgery and endoscopy. As well as common neurosurgical conditions, the department treats a high number of rare illnesses.
Vascular neurosurgery employs modern videoangiography and micro-Doppler sonography to operate on conditions including spinal fistulas, haemangioblastomas, angiomas, complex aneurysms and EC/IC bypasses.
Paediatric neurosurgeons collaborate closely with the paediatrics department to operate in cases such as calvarial deformities and hydrocephalus – including in children under the age of two – using neuroendoscopic procedures and navigated HD technology. Special attention is paid to ensuring that children in particular are exposed to as little radiation as possible during their treatment by using MRI and ultrasound scans and not CT, i.e. without X-rays. Specific neurosurgical diseases that occur in children are encephalocele, spinal lipoma, neurocytoma and many other rare conditions.
Neuro-oncology – neurosurgery for the treatment of cancer – deploys cutting-edge medical technologies such as neuronavigation, intraoperative ultrasound and 5-ALA, a technique in which a fluorescent material is used to indicate the edges of a tumour in the head so that it can be removed more precisely. Special ultrasound technology shows up blood vessels in the head, helping to prevent cerebral infarctions and bleeding. Working with the haematology & oncology department and the radiotherapy unit, the Department of Neurosurgery prepares an individual treatment plan for each patient that draws on the latest research.
In neurosurgery, disorders affecting the area in or behind the eye socket or in the base of the skull present a particular challenge because it is often difficult to access them surgically. Professor Hassler has become renowned worldwide for his publications on surgery in the eye socket. During operations, standard and endoscopic techniques are used as well as a technique in which the affected area of the head is accessed from the opposite side. Spinal neurosurgery at Duisburg Hospital stands out for its combination of advanced microsurgery and interdisciplinary collaboration.
For example, treatment of a slipped disc in the cervical spine involves drilling a hole into the vertebral body from the side as far as the origin of the nerve so that the trapped nerve root can be released. Highly complex operations such as this are performed by an interdisciplinary team of specialists working in the disciplines of neuroradiology, general surgery, thoracic surgery, vascular surgery and traumatology.
Duisburg Hospital is an academic teaching hospital and forms part of the University of Duisburg-Essen. It is situated amid woodland in the beautiful southern suburbs of Duisburg. Despite its focus on high-tech medicine, Duisburg Hospital gives high priority to patient-oriented care in which all the necessary steps are clearly explained to patients and in which their fears and concerns are discussed.
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Prescription drug deaths: Two stories
updated 5:03 PM EST, Thu November 15, 2012
- Emily Jackson died at 18 after drinking, then taking a prescription pain pill
- Steve Rummler battled pain for years before become addicted to painkillers
- After kicking the addiction, Rummler relapsed and died in 2011
- Experts say a better dialogue among doctors, patients and pharmacies is needed
Don't miss Dr. Sanjay Gupta's "Deadly Dose" documentary at 8 p.m. ET Sunday.(CNN) -- Pete Jackson attended his brother-in-law's funeral along with his daughter, Emily, six years ago. He never dreamed it would be the last day of his daughter's life.
"It's so tragic, just not something you would never, ever expect," said Pete Jackson.
Instead of going home to the Chicago suburb of Arlington Heights after the funeral, Emily Jackson, 18, spent the night with her cousins.
That night, she made a deadly decision. She took an Oxycontin -- a single prescription pill -- that her cousin offered to her while drinking. She went to sleep that night and never woke up. She died of respiratory depression -- she simply stopped breathing.
Accidental prescription overdose: 2 victims
The Oxycontin that Emily took belonged to her uncle, who had died of cancer.
While taking one pill and dying is rare, dying accidentally after using painkillers inappropriately is common.
According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, one person dies from a drug overdose every 19 minutes. About 37,000 Americans died after accidentally overdosing on legal or illegal drugs in 2009, according to the CDC; about half of those deaths involved prescription painkillers.
Those numbers are significant enough to make prescription drugs the leading cause of accidental death in this county. It's a statistic that has led some experts to call prescription drug abuse an epidemic.
"If you asked any guy on the street what the leading cause of accidental death is, they would guess gunshot or car accident," said Tom McLellan, co-founder of the Treatment Research Institute, a nonprofit organization advocating for improvements in substance abuse policies. "They would never imagine it's pharmaceutical opioids (painkillers)."
John Castellani -- the president and CEO of Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, which represents and lobbies on behalf of drug manufacturers -- said America's problem with prescription drugs is unacceptable. But he insisted the drugs are safe when used as recommended.
"The problem we're dealing with with prescription drug abuse is having to balance those patients (who abuse prescription drugs) and those millions of patients that benefit from these medicines because they have a need that they and their physicians have recognized," Castellani said.
Emily Jackson was on the road to recovery after a 2002 diagnosis of thyroid cancer and undergoing three surgeries to fight it.
She and her cousin had done "a bit of drinking" the night she died, Pete Jackson said. But he is sure that had she not taken the Oxycontin, she would still be alive today.
"I've never tried to make it sound like Emily is innocent," Jackson said. "What I want people to understand about Emily's tragedy is how easily this can happen, how dangerous these drugs are."
'You play Russian roulette'
The prescription painkiller Emily Jackson took is a respiratory depressant that slows breathing. That in combination with the alcohol, another respiratory depressant, overwhelmed her brain, which stopped giving her heart and lungs the signal to keep functioning.
"In many ways, you play Russian roulette," said Kathleen Meyers, a senior researcher for the Treatment Research Institute, who added that adolescents and young adults are particularly at risk because they feel invincible. "You have no idea the (respiratory) consequences of any one group of substances, and then you put all that together and the risks go up exponentially."
It's not just an issue among teenagers. In fact, rates of accidental overdose among teens, while still a major public health problem, are actually going down. This problem spans many demographics.
In fact, males in their 40s and 50s who start off with a prescription for back pain and die from an accidental overdose several years later are dying in significant numbers.
"Could you imagine, a worker that popped their back, and we started to put them on (pain) medication and three years later they were dead?" Dr. Alex Cahana, the chief of pain medicine at the University of Washington, told CNN. "That's devastating."
The devastation began for Steve Rummler when he got a prescription for nerve pain radiating through his leg and back. It started when he was 28. For the next nine years, the Minneapolis man endured the pain.
It was not until 2005, when Rummler was 37, that a doctor prescribed hydrocodone to address his pain, along with clonazepam, a benzodiazepine and anti-anxiety medication, to relieve his injury-related anxiety.
Family members said it was the first time in nearly a decade Rummler felt relief from the life-altering pain he endured.
But that relief was short-lived. In a journal entry, Rummler said of the drugs, "At first they were a lifeline. Now they are a noose around my neck."
It is a common sentiment, and a common scenario, according to Meyers, who says Rummler's case is far too common -- a person genuinely needs opioids but becomes addicted to the relief they provide.
"The person that is on them for legitimate reasons and the kid who experiments with them seem very different, but the outcome is the same," said Meyers. "And they are very difficult to get off of. I think we probably need to do a better job of pain management in this country."
By 2009, Rummler had sunk into dependence and, eventually, into addiction. At the advice of his family, he enrolled in two addiction treatment programs and seemingly had a handle on his addiction.
But in July of 2011, just 45 days after completing the final stage of his rehabilitation, Rummler relapsed and died at 43.
Rummler still had outstanding prescriptions for hydrocodone and clonazepam at the time of his death, and empty prescription bottles were in his house when the police arrived. His official cause of death was mixed drug toxicity caused by opiates and benzodiazepines. A medical investigator said there was no way to tell what Rummler ingested immediately before his death.
Like Emily Jackson, Rummler stopped breathing in his sleep.
Experts: Better communication needed
Accidental prescription drug overdoses is "the only epidemic that I know that has been recognized by the DEA, FDA, CDC and the White House Office of Drug Control," McLellan said.
Meyers and McLellan believe the key to combating accidental deaths related to prescription drugs is creating a better dialogue among doctors, patients and pharmacies.
"When someone is given prednisone, a steroid commonly used to treat inflammatory diseases, they are given very specific instructions," said Meyers. "They are very direct about what will happen if the patient misuses it. You don't see that with pain medication.
"Maybe if we did a better job with how we communicate the effects of prescription medications when you don't take them the way they are prescribed or if you mix other substances with them, maybe we wouldn't have the number of people who are in crisis," she added.
After co-founding the Treatment Research Institute, McLellan worked as the deputy director of the White House Office of National Drug Control Policy for the Obama administration. One of his main tasks was combating the epidemic of prescription drug abuse.
McLellan says he believes everyone throughout the supply chain of opioids needs to take greater responsibility.
This means pharmaceutical companies would carefully monitor and control the supply they produce, he said. Doctors would be more rigorous with patient screening -- including, possibly, urinalysis exams before issuing or extending a prescription.
Patients would be more careful about the storing and disposal of their medications along with how they take them. And, most importantly, pharmacies would keep a watchful eye on all of the substances each of their customers takes, he said.
"You don't want to stop the use of opioids, because that would be stupid, but you need better management," he said. "Information exchange is the main thing; pharmacies have to know what everyone is getting prescribed."
Meanwhile, people such as Pete Jackson are left to deal with the aftermath of prescription drug abuse.
After his daughter's death, Jackson began researching what he could do to prevent a similar tragedy from striking another household. In 2007, Jackson joined forces with other bereaved families to create Advocates for the Reform of Prescription Opioids, a group dedicated to advancing the dialogue around prescription drugs and the legislation concerning them.
"It's just so frustrating when you're operating in an arena where there's always a presumption of guilt," Jackson said. "This isn't about (Emily) being guilty or what kind of person she was. It happens that she was the most wonderful person I've ever known. It's really about how we can address this problem."
For more information on prescription drug abuse, visit MedicineAbuseProject.org


text:
Hey, These Guys are Pretty Good!
Wednesday evening, as Mark Trumbo's broken bat fly ball arced into the glove of Yankee left fielder Dewayne Wise for the game's final out, I experienced a brief flush of disappointment. But a rush of pride followed so quickly on disappointment's heels and so powerfully, that I stood up in my living and gave the Angels a standing ovation of one. No, this is not my usual reaction to an Angels loss, far from it. But after that streak? A thrillingly fun eight game winning streak that was revitalizing to players and fans alike? I could do no less.
When I've worried and complained about the Angels this season, it's primarily been about the team's lack of fight – their missing swagger and the propensity of all too many players to seem as though they had given up the minute the Angels fell behind. Well, 8 wins and 40 runs on 75 hits with plenty of successful comeback moments later and that sense of defeat is gone. Everyone is fighting hard to win and the team has well deserved swagger to spare. In short, these are the Angels we have been waiting for all season. Judging from the grins and playful, loose expressions on the field, these are the Angels the players have been trying to be all season too. Now if that doesn't deserve a standing O, then I don't know what does.
So now the streak has come to end, as all great streaks eventually must, and I am still filled with a sense of possibility for this team. I mean, seriously – from last place to second place while cutting a significant swath through the number of games by which we trail Texas all with one streak? If the Angels keep playing like this, anything is possible, though I would still advocate a play for and enjoy each game as it comes philosophy. Hey, 'we gotta play it one game at a time' is cliché for a reason. 😉
After the Angels last series against Texas, I wrote "Look, it's baseball. Shit happens. Aces have bad starts. Good hitters slump. Position players who usually play great D occasionally throw away the ball or flub a catch. What makes a team great is not its ability to prevent these things from happening – you can keep them to a minimum for sure, but over the course of 162 games, they're going to happen – but how the team reacts and deals with them when they do happen." And I still absolutely believe this to be true. But while the conclusion I drew a few weeks ago was one of disappointment and questions, today I can't help but smile and feel that the Angels are meeting this criteria.
In the month of May we lost Jered Weaver, Chris Iannetta, LaTroy Hawkins, Vernon Wells and Ryan Langerhans to the DL and Torii Hunter to family issues back home (which is having your priorities straight in my book). Losing your ace, your primary catcher, one of your more reliable bullpen arms and the majority of the outfield would have been enough reason for any team to crumple. Instead, these Angels rose to the occasion, bringing us to our feet like we've been dying to do all season. How the team continues to play with these missing teammates is going to be another test. The starting rotation in particular has some big shoes to fill with Weaver on the DL – literally as well as figuratively, he is 6' 7". 😉 But unlike I might have felt in early April, I feel strongly that these guys are up to the challenge. And, honestly, the way the team handled the loss on Wednesday spoke volumes more to me even than the way they handled their wins through the streak.
Ervin Santana started out shaky and then went from shaky to downright bad in the 3rd, giving up 5 runs. Again, bad starts happen even to great pitchers. It's all in how the team responds, and this team responded by fighting their heart out. Some clutch hits here, a Trumbomb there, a couple of heads up defensive plays over there and suddenly the Angels have tied it up, are very much back in the game and Santana has sufficiently remastered his control to give the team 1-2-3 innings in the 4th and the 5th before retiring. Yes, we wound up losing that one, but when a team shows that much fight and spirit to the end in a near win, there are going to be a lot more actual wins in their future.
And now we find ourselves face to face with Texas for another series, this time at the Big A. I don't know about you, but I am so excited I'm having a hard time working today – but I'm pushing to get stuff done anyway. I have tickets for Saturday's game and am likely to cave on my self-imposed one game per home stand rule and nab tickets for Sunday's game as well given even the slightest push. This series is not do or die yet, but the Angels certainly have an opportunity to make a statement here. I have no idea what the outcome will be but, as long as these Angels are the team that takes the field, we are all truly looking forward to three great games!


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John Bogle says investors shouldn't sweat the small stuff. Forget fiscal cliffs, the legendary money manager and indexing pioneer tells The Breakout on Friday, we've got bigger fish to fry—like "war, global pandemic and nuclear proliferation."
In an interview seemed destined to make viewers insomniacs, Bogle, founder of Vanguard, tells the website that, "I think the fiscal cliff, while important, is highly likely to be managed. It's really all going to get worked out sooner or later anyway, so I am pretty confident that that is not the source of our big risk."
The site notes that it's a statement that's both comforting and leading, "in that it reduces one of the great concerns troubling investors in the short term."
But it also prompts the question: if that doesn't worry Bogle, what does?
"What I worry about are the known risks that we don't pay much attention to," he says, citing the aforementioned dangers as war, global pandemic and nuclear proliferation.
"As for investors who may be wondering if this is the right time to jump back into stocks, with the Dow and S&P 500 approaching all-time highs, Bogle characteristically urges people to stick with their long-term strategies via his unwavering preference for passively managed index funds," The Breakout notes. "Almost as a consolation, he says markets would be much riskier right now if they weren't 'reasonably valued' but believes, in general, that 'it's always a time for a little caution.'"
A little cautious? Understated advice for such dire warnings. Bogle then invokes the message he's always preached.
"When asked to characterize his feelings about the oft-cited 'risk-on, risk-off' tone of the markets, Bogle simply says it's ''kind of silly' to try to make money that way, adding that he's never known anyone who had the capacity to do it successfully for any great period of time," the website reports.
He concludes by quoting his friend Warren Buffett.
"When the dumb money realizes how dumb it is and buys an index fund, it becomes smarter than the smartest money."


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It's like I can see her the lips of her pussy swell when I did that. I simply maintained drawing on her glossy damp nipple areas, seeing her fidget in pain.
The individuals particularly liked it when I place myself in the tale. 'Envision you have actually obtained me on a lonesome coastline at sundown. Or 'You're the technician, come to examine on the cleaning maker.
The cash was genuine excellent. Certainly, it was actual great. Like, I was the only specialist driving a Lexus.
Not hard, simply great, strong call. I begin relocating my thumb as well as first finger over it in actual little activities, like I was jacking it off, like it was a dick. She had kind of a cigarette smoker's voice, you understand, kind of gravelly.
At regarding the half an hour mark, I drew the sheet to her mid-thigh and also murmured in her ear, allow me recognize if you obtain cool. She had this large smile on her face as well as claimed, 'Okay, I'm great' and also shook on the table a little. Expectancy, I presume.
Well, my heart simply around did a flip in my throat, however I really did not reveal it. I recognized I would certainly never ever seen her at the old company. I obtain her established up, and also after I place the perfumed mask on her face, I examine her bathrobe pocket.
I placed them in the pocket of my smock.
After a number of months, this woman came in for a solution. She had to do with fifty, a little hefty yet or else healthy. Well, on her kind it claims 'unique celebration.'
Each week one or 2 even more would certainly come in. And also I have to have been doing an excellent work. Really couple of just came in as soon as.
I would certainly come back to those later on. 'Pussy' is alright for me to claim? On the following pass down, I made certain to touch the exterior of her busts, down to her pussy once more, as well as on the following pass, I really lubed up her nipple areas and also drew on them.
If I could not bring them off with my hand, I would certainly murmur in their ear as well as ask if they had any kind of dreams. If they did, I would certainly build tales that I would certainly murmur in their ears while I played with them. This one woman, a girl you may identify from the culture web page, desired to listen to regarding 2 gay guys obtaining it on.
I assumed she would certainly damage my finger the method she relocated her hips around. Seriously, it was like something out of the rodeo. Someplace in all that she came.
I understood what I suched as, what obtained me off, so I simply took it from there. I would certainly reasoned every little thing to the factor where it was simply, 'this individual desires to unwind, and also I can do that for them.
Oh, like, did I do anything else? Was it just handjobs, is that what you're asking?
Simply draw down my trousers and also underwears as well as jump on. And also I can constantly obtain them to come that means.
I would certainly need to state it was mainly hand-love, as I such as to call it. I made a decision early that I really did not such as the preference or structure of massage oil. Pretty unpleasant.


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Bring Me the Horizon - 2004-2013
Bring Me the Horizon - 2004-2013
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The Dow has been on a tear, but don't relax. There's still a lot to worry about.
That was the theme of Tiger 21's 2013 annual conference. Members of the elite club of ultrawealthy investors gathered to discuss investment strategies, opportunities and other wealth-related issues.
They heard from an illustrious array of financial experts. Bears outnumbered bulls. Hot-button issues sparked discussion: artificially low interest rates, the potential for inflation, unsustainable government debt and potentially disruptive situations around the world.
"There are a host of issues and considerations members focus on when shaping their portfolios," Tiger 21's founder, Michael Sonnenfeldt, said in a statement. "Becoming much more deliberate about understanding and analyzing them is often the hidden key to preserving wealth over the long haul."
Following are comments made by presenters during the meeting, according to Tiger 21.
George Friedman, founder of the global intelligence firm Stratfor, said that from a macro perspective, the world periodically undergoes a spasm—usually a war or some other change in control in a major country—and if you're prepared for the spasm, you can live through it.
He pointed to global hot spots where disruptions were a possibility: China, where the government is more interested in maintaining employment than growing the economy; Europe, where economic problems are forcing an untenable divide in the EU; and the U.S., where middle-class families increasingly cannot afford to live middle-class lives.
Kyle Bass, founder of Hayman Capital Management, saw problems ahead because of inflation, and suggested that investors needed to protect themselves from it.
"As equity prices keep going higher, it's easy to lose sight of what's important in my opinion. If you are so focused on nominal pricing and equities and the monetary base is growing as fast as it is, you have to really focus on the insidious nature of what inflation is and how real returns might be negative in both equities and bonds. You're losing purchasing power.
"To protect yourself you need to own productive assets such as apartment complexes or an oil well or a global business that sells things in various different currencies. And if you really want to protect yourself, you put long-term fixed-rate debt on these businesses—just don't put too much debt on these businesses." Glenn Hutchins, co-founder of Silver Lake and a global technology investor, stressed the need to think about the global macro environment when allocating capital. "If you get the macro picture wrong, you can make the best micro decision and still get killed," he said.
Hutchins laid out what he saw as a recipe for inflation: slow growth, persistently high unemployment, muted consumption and low interest rates for a long time.
Yet, for all the issues facing investors, he was optimistic that America had the means to reinvent itself and restore international economic pre-eminence.
Pierre Lagrange, co-founder of GLG Partners, expounded on the attraction of Europe for equity investments: "It's a bubble that we have to ride because it's going to last for quite a period of time. The economy is so weak and the restructuring is so slow and social pressure is so high that the central banks are going to be forced to continue to put a lot of liquidity at work—so you have all the ingredients of a bubble."
Lagrange said northern Europe was where the opportunities lay. Moreover, "European companies have to go out of their way to find other things to do because they don't have domestic demand. They have to get out of Europe—which we love because then investing in European companies provides exposure to emerging markets." He explained that investing in emerging markets through European companies was more palatable legally, in regard to governance, disclosure and working with company managers. Marc Lasry, co-founder of Avenue Capital Group, was bullish on opportunities presented by global volatility. As a distressed investor, he has defined a strategy to take advantage of the long-term recessionary environment in Europe.
"There are issues in Europe that will work themselves out over time," he said. "This provides opportunities over the next five years."
He said he favored investments in northern European countries where the legal structure provides various safeguards. "These are countries where the rule of law dominates," he said.
Lasry also saw upside in the U.S., with about a 2% growth forecast. "The dominant economy is still the U.S.," he said. "How goes the U.S., so goes the rest of the world economies."
Eric Sprott, founder of Sprott Asset Management, was bearish on the economy. He lamented the financing of the U.S. government deficit and the inflationary pressure that will eventually need to be reckoned with. If the current course of the U.S. continues, he said, "I can safely say that Social Security will not be paid, Medicare will not be paid and government civil-service pension plans will not be paid."
Sprott saw value in commodity investing. "Gold bugs see the logic of what is going on and know how to react to it." He reported that between 70% and 80% of his personal assets were in precious metals. He said this would position him well if countries kept printing money because gold and silver prices would continue to increase. He said he was a big believer in owning the physical gold or silver.
Barry Sternlicht, chief executive of Starwood Capital Group, was also concerned about inflation and other tail risks in the world. "I am weary of being levered long to everything —my PE funds, my venture guys, my own real estate portfolio. I'm nervous about the complacency in the world today. Really nervous."
On investments in light of the tail risks, Sternlicht said he was looking for safety in yield. "I'm trying to figure out how to build a portfolio with inflation protection," he said, "because the natural outcome of all this has got to be inflation at some point. And if there is no inflation, I'm still OK. I'm not underwriting the inflation, but I want to be able to participate in it."
Sternlicht said the current economic conditions made this the perfect time for real estate investments. He pointed to three green lights for real estate investments:
- Positive leverage—when the yield on the property is greater than the cost of debt
- Protected by inflation—replacement costs go up with the cost of construction, so you buy below replacement cost
- No new supply—construction of office buildings is at the lowest point in the last 50 years, and two years ago, multifamily construction was the lowest since 1960.
Sam Zell, founder of Equity International, said of himself: "I am a professional opportunist… The name of the game is about measuring risk and reward. We need to make sure that we get paid for the risk we take."
On the effect of world events on his outlook and the potential for a recession: "Most of my life has been spent dealing with assets in various states of distress. Currently, I am not terribly optimistic, which is totally contrary to my personality, considering what I view as the headwinds—whether they are Israel, the euro, [what was] the fiscal cliff or North Korea. It seems to me that prices should be materially lower. But stocks are up—is business that good? I don't see it. Rather I see a 50–50 chance of a recession this year."


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Proun 2 (Construction)
El Lissitzky (Eleazar Lissitzky), Russian, 1890 - 1941
Made in Russia, Asia
Oil, paper, and metal on panelDimensions:
23 7/16 x 15 11/16 inches (59.5 x 39.8 cm) Framed: 24 1/4 × 16 3/8 × 1 3/4 inches (61.6 × 41.6 × 4.4 cm)Curatorial Department:
European Painting
1952-61-72Credit Line:
A. E. Gallatin Collection, 1952
Made in Russia, Asia
Oil, paper, and metal on panelDimensions:
23 7/16 x 15 11/16 inches (59.5 x 39.8 cm) Framed: 24 1/4 × 16 3/8 × 1 3/4 inches (61.6 × 41.6 × 4.4 cm)Curatorial Department:
European Painting
* Gallery 280, Modern and Contemporary Art, second floorAccession Number:
1952-61-72Credit Line:
A. E. Gallatin Collection, 1952
Social Tagsabstract [x] el lissitzky [x] entartete kunst [x] proun [x] russian art 1920s [x] russian constructivism [x]
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Produced between 1919 and 1923, Lissitzky's series of works called Prouns were counterparts to the universal space theorized by his friend Theo van Doesburg. A Russian acronym that stands for "Project for the Establishment of the New," a Proun expresses the idea that society could be revolutionized through the transformation of perception. The abstract composition of floating shapes evokes a futuristic city seen in aerial perspective, but here, the laws of gravity, orientation, and relative size that govern our understanding of space have been suspended.
Explore the Collections
ProvenanceStädtisches Museum Halle, Germany, purchased 1929 [1]; Hanover Provinzialmuseum/Landesmuseum, Germany, on loan from Städtisches Museum Halle, 1929(?)-1937 [2]; German government, confiscated by the National Socialist authorities (Reichsministerium für Volksaufklärung und Propaganda), Berlin, July 8, 1937-January 27, 1939 [3]; sold on commission to Karl Buchholz, Buchholz Gallery, Berlin, 1939; transferred to Curt Valentin, Buchholz Gallery, New York, 1939 [4]; sold to A. E. Gallatin, New York, 1939 [5]; bequest to PMA, 1952. 1. See Andreas Hüneke, Die faschistische Aktion "Entartete Kunst" 1937 in Halle (Staatliche Galerie Moritzburg Halle, 1987), p. 38, no. 42; and Peter Nisbet, ed., El Lissitzky 1890-1941, exh. cat., 1987, Proun inventory no. 14, p. 160. The acquisition is also noted and illustrated in Museum der Gegenwart 1 (1930/1931), p. 13. The painting was one in a total of 46 oil paintings, drawings, and watercolors by Lissitzky purchased by the Halle museum in that year (see Im Kampf um die moderne Kunst: Das Schicksal einer Sammlung in der 1.Hälfte des 20. Jahrhunderts, exh. cat., Staatliche Galerie Moritzburg, [1985], p. 48 and p. 52). 2. Alexander Dorner, the director of the Hanover Provinzialmuseum until his forced resignation by the Nazis in 1936, recollected that Mondrian's "Composition in Blue" (1952-61-87) and Lissitzky's "Proun 2C," both later purchased by Gallatin, hung in the famous Abstract Gallery (Abstraktes Kabinett) of the Hanover museum designed 1927-28 by Lissitzky (Cauman, The Living Museum, 1958, p. 55, repr. p. 62 and p. 63, respectively, both horizontally). The information that the painting was on loan to, rather than owned by, the Hanover museum is supplied by a 1958 Art News article in which the author, Ella Winter, quotes a letter from Dorner's widow stating that 'the Lissitzkys you refer to hung in the Abstract Gallery; it [the gallery] was destroyed by the Nazis while my husband was opening the first Munich exhibition in London. When he returned he found that unique and beautiful room dismantled and himself accused of promoting "degenerate" art. The Lissitzky on loan was sold . . . and is now in the Philadelphia Museum' [ellipsis is the author's] (see "Lissitzky: A Revolutionary Out of Favor," April 1958, p. 63). In addition, this painting is not listed in the 1930 catalog of works owned by the Hanover Provinzialmuseum (Katalog der Kunstsammlungen im Provinzialmuseum zu Hannover, Bd. 1, 1930). 3. Assigned the EK (Entartete Kunst) inventory no. 14283 ("Entartete Kunst" typescript inventory, c. 1941/1942, Victoria and Albert Museum National Art Library, Fischer Collection; see also Beschlagnahmeinventar "Entartete Kunst", "Degenerate Art" Research Center, FU Berlin, http://emuseum.campus.fu-berlin.de/eMuseumPlus?service=ExternalInterface&module=collection&objectId=118954&viewType=detailView) (copy of inventory entry in curatorial file). This number is stamped on a sticker on the back of the painting. It is clear from the letter quoted in the Art News article cited above that the Nazis confiscated the painting from the Hanover museum. It is not certain where the painting was stored after confiscation; Mondrian's "Composition with Blue" (PMA 1952-61-87), also confiscated from Hanover, was stored at the Schloss Niederschönhausen, the Nazi sales repository for "Entartete Kunst" confiscated from museums. 4. Four prominent German dealers were appointed to market the inventory of confiscated works, including Karl Buchholz. According to the EK register, this painting was assigned to Buchholz, owner of the Buchholz Gallery in Berlin. Buchholz was the mentor and pre-war partner of Curt Valentin (1902-1954) who named the New York gallery he opened in 1937 in Buchholz' honor. Between 1934 and 1937 Valentin ran his own gallery in Buchholz' dealership in Berlin (Nicholas, Rape of Europa, p. 3, 24; Yeide, AAM Guide to Provenance Research, p. 239, 290). Valentin, a German citizen, left Germany in 1937 to go into exile. However, he maintained contact with Buchholz, frequently travelling to Germany, where he acquired works from the Schloss Niederschönhausen and the Lucerne 1939 auction. According to Nicholas he "was able to obtain from this source [Germany] much of the inventory which established him as a major New York dealer" (Nicholas, p. 24). Hüneke, underscoring the connection between Buchholz and Valentin, refers to the latter's New York gallery as "a ready-made platform from which Buchholz could sell to America" (see "Missing Masterpieces," in Degenerate Art, p. 129). 5. Receipt from the Buchholz Gallery/Curt Valentin to Gallatin dated August 24, 1939, for purchase of both the Lissitzky and Mondrian's "Composition with Blue" (stamped "Paid" August 31, 1939).
* Works in the collection are moved off view for many different reasons. Although gallery locations on the website are updated regularly, there is no guarantee that this object will be on display on the day of your visit.


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Babelsberg Film Park is located within the state-of-the-art Babelsberg media city in Potsdam, the state capital of the Brandenburg region. The park is especially popular among families with children, and boasts so many attractions that you can easily spend the whole day here.
Nothing is quite as it seems in the world of cinema! Visitors to Babelsberg Film Park get to glimpse behind the scenes and discover the tricks and meticulous attention to detail that go into making a film. How do stunts work? What does the work of a make-up artist involve? How is the Sandman brought to life on screen? At the film park you can get up close and see for yourself. Set design, camera techniques and animation: every stage of production is on show here, turning wide-eyed viewers into all-knowing insiders. You can even join the team by presenting the weather forecast or having a moment in the spotlight as a stand-in – the pros will show you how it's done. There's plenty to keep little ones entertained too: with the gingerbread house from Hansel and Gretel, the jungle playground, Radio Teddy's glass-walled studio and boat trips in Panama - Janosch's Dreamland, children (and grown-ups) are spoilt for choice. If you have never been to Babelsberg Film Park before, a guided studio tour comes highly recommended. It's a great way to discover the media city in its entirety.
Every aspect of the silver screen is there for you to see at Babelsberg Film Park, including film sets, props, costumes and technical equipment from past and present. In the workshop of dreams, carpenters, painters, plasterers, costume designers and make-up artists give you an exclusive insight into their work and reveal how they create the perfect illusion. The spectacular stunt shows never fail to impress with crashing cars, flying motorbikes and flame-filled stunts. For more thrills and spills, there's the world's first interactive XD cinema at the Dome of Babelsberg and the 4D action cinema. The Prince Valiant restaurant hosts a year-round programme of themed dinner shows and events for a memorable culinary experience. Babelsberg Film Park, with its unique blend of entertainment, education and film & TV action, is a place you'll want to visit time and time again.
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The Employee Benefit Research Institute's 2013 Retirement Confidence Survey recently found that 82% of workers participate in an employer-sponsored retirement plan, and an additional 8% have money in a plan they don't contribute to. With so many people covered by 401(k)s, it's clear that the impact of changes to their tax treatment could be substantial.
Protecting the tax incentives built into 401(k) plans is one of the biggest goals for The American Society of Pension Professionals and Actuaries (ASPPA). Unfortunately, tax changes that affect business owners could dissuade some employers from offering plans.
Brian Graff, executive director for ASPPA, spoke with AdvisorOne at the ASPPA 401(k) Summit on March 5 about the potential impact of changing those incentives. He referred to the Brookings Institution's proposal that capped retirement savings deductions at 28%. Because business owners who offer their employers 401(k) plans are already taxed on contributions made to the plan and would be taxed again when they take a distribution, the proposal effectively calls for a double tax on retirement savings, he said. "No one likes taxes to begin with," he said, so why would anyone want to pay twice?
Such a move could lead to declining savings rates among workers. Graff pointed out that investors are 14 times more likely to save if they have a plan through their employers than if they have to get an IRA on their own
Even so, since they allow investors to build tax-deferred income until distribution, IRAs are still valuable tools for retirement savings. "If you're already maxed out [in your annual 401(k) contribution], it's a great way to do supplemental savings," Graff said.
Graff reminded us that Roth IRAs can't be claimed as a deduction like traditional IRAs. He added that although the Roth conversion is not a "popular item" due to the subsequent increase in tax rates, the charitable rollover was extended in the American Taxpayer Relief Act of 2012 for rollovers made before Feb. 1. "It's a way to make a contribution and avoid limits on items that apply in 2013," Graff added.
Annuities' tax-deferred growth is one of the biggest draws for investors. A report released in March by the Insured Retirement Institute found almost three-quarters of boomers consider tax deferral an important factor in picking any retirement product, and about 20% said it was their primary reason for owning an annuity specifically.
"One of the things annuities do is allow savings to grow faster," Cathy Weatherford, president and CEO of the Insured Retirement Institute, told AdvisorOne on Friday. They're especially helpful for investors who have contributed the maximum to their 401(k) allowed by the IRS ($17,000 in 2012 and $17,500 for 2013), she added, "you can add additional savings in a tax-deferred way." Weatherford pointed out that annuities are useful for people who don't have access to other retirement plans. "Four in 10 workers don't have access to a defined contribution retirement plan through their employer," she said. "Using an annuity can help them get further down the road."
Defined benefit plans have "gone the way of the dinosaur," she said. Now employees have to take responsibility for their own retirements, and they're using tax deferral as a way to "shore up" their savings. For employees who take assets out of their employer's plan when they retire, "an annuity can be helpful in driving lifetime income" in a way that's similar to what they would have gotten from a defined benefit plan.
"Our research has shown that Americans value tax deferral for retirement so they can save and build their nest egg without paying taxes on it while they're still working," she said. "Advisors have to remain vigilant, especially at a time when their clients are becoming more responsible for their retirement.
"It's not that the federal government never gets that money. It'll be taxed at distribution. It's just a delayed entry into federal coffers."
For more tax stories and advice, check out AdvisorOne's 20 Days of Tax Planning Advice for 2013 home page.


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This is the fourth in a series of blogs on what advisors don't know, but should, about variable annuities.
Previous installments in the series have covered the mechanics of how Guaranteed Lifetime Withdrawal Benefits (GLWB) and work inside of variable annuities. In continuing our discussion, this installment will talk about VAs and how current market conditions impact their benefits.
On paper, VA contracts look like a win-win situation, but the last five years have created a lot of problems for both variable annuity holders and providers. With that in mind there are two areas that need to be taken into consideration.
When VA Accounts Fall Lower Than Their Guaranteed Value
First, there is the situation of many current variable annuity policyholders who find themselves with account values that are much lower than the guaranteed value of their policies. Second, there is the issue of changes in both fees and benefits for those looking to buy a VA as underwriters look to pare back their risk exposure.
Many policies, particularly those sold before 2008, now have an actual account value that is far lower than the guaranteed value. The problem with this situation is that the only way for an investor to access the higher guaranteed level is to begin taking income. While taking income based on the high-water mark is not a problem, having those payments ever keep up with inflation over their retirement years is. As explained earlier in the series, for these investors to ever achieve an increase in the payments they receive, their account values have to grow by huge, and in today's markets, highly unrealistic amounts. Higher withdrawals based on the high-water mark are going to exhaust these accounts much faster, which, as recently pointed out by Moshe Milevsky, might in fact be a good thing.
To illustrate how this works, let us use an example with a GLWB that has an actual value of $100,000 and a high water mark of $125,000. If returns are 8% a year, and fees 3%, then the policyholder gets constant nominal income of $6,250, which is equal to 5% of the high-water mark.
As the graph above demonstrates, the account value of $100,000 (the investor's money) drops even faster given the higher withdrawal amount that occurs when the account value and high-water mark start at the same level.
Under the circumstances where there is a large gap between the values, the hurdle for getting inflation-adjusted income is even higher. Assuming a constant inflation rate of 2.5%, the investor's account will need to return at least 14% a year for the income to catch up to inflation by the end of the 10th year. There is no mystery to this. It is simply the result of the basic mechanics of the GLWB. To get an increase in income payments you must set a new high-water mark. In our example, for this to happen the $100,000 actual value must rise to higher than $125,000 net of fees and net of the $6,250 withdrawal each year. In today's markets, it is hard for anyone to imagine a portfolio having 10 consecutive years of 14%-plus returns.
For a GLIB a large gap between the guaranteed amount and the actual account value causes a slightly different problem. As noted in the last post, the annuity factor used to convert the high-water mark to an income annuity is offset a number of years from the current market annuity quote. The table below shows some calculations using current market quotes for a male purchasing a single premium immediate annuity.
If the investor has an actual account value of $100,000 and the annuity factor adjustment is 10 years (a 65-year-old converting the GLIB gets the annuity factor of a 55-year-old) the table below shows the high-water mark where the investor is just about break even between converting the high-water mark at a discount versus taking the actual account value and buying a market annuity. If the high-water mark is higher than this, then converting is a better deal. If the gap is smaller, then abandoning the guaranteed level is a better deal.
Current Portfolio Value
Current High Water Mark
GLIB Age adjusted
Annuity Payout—Market
Annuity Payout GLIB (with 10-year setback)
Professor Moshe Milevsky at York University in Toronto recently wrote an article for AdvisorOne's sister publication, Research magazine, in which he posits that "if you own a GLB that is too good to last, then you should actually turn on the income as soon as possible." The math of it gets a little too complicated to go into right here, but Milevsky makes a compelling case.
How Things Have Changed
The second area that advisors should be aware of is that the characteristics of products currently available in the marketplace have changed.
As a result of increased hedging costs and higher capital requirements, VA providers have dramatically readjusted their offerings. The VA policies currently being sold have much lower income guarantees or much higher prices, and sometimes both. For example, some underwriters have raised the total price of their VA GLWB policies to over 400 basis points. Others have dropped the guarantee level to 4%. In at least one case, major brokers have removed some of these products from their approved list. As always it is incumbent upon the advisor to know just what it is they are buying on behalf of their clients.
In our next and final column on this subject, we will be looking at how VAs can fit into an investor's portfolio under current market conditions, especially considering the impact of these lower payouts and higher fees.


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Speaking at the debut Junxure Advisor Conference on Monday, noted securities attorney (and Investment Advisor columnist) Tom Giachetti warned the 180 attendees that since Bernie Madoff and the Dodd-Frank Act, "the SEC has gotten better on asking smart questions" in its exams of RIAs.
The questions asked of advisors and the areas of concern to the examiners is "much different than in 2008, 2009, even 2011," he said, suggesting that RIA firms that have not updated their internal recordkeeping and documents could be in for a very nasty surprise when the examiners come to call.
The attendees at the first Junxure users conference included RIAs, dually registered advisors and independent broker-dealer reps, and they crowded into the main auditorium at the Hilton Anatole in Dallas to be alternately lectured and cajoled by Giachetti (right). Junxure co-founder and CEO Greg Friedman introduced Giachetti by saying that while he has been traveling with Giachetti on a multi-city compliance roadshow this year, and that he is Friedman's own securities attorney at his Private Ocean wealth management firm, Friedman always learns something new when Giachetti speaks, even if what he hears can be scary.
There have been three main areas of concern for the SEC post-Madoff and DFA, Giachetti reported: custody, due diligence, and privacy/confidentiality. However, the SEC now has added a fourth area: business continuity plans (BCPs) and disaster recovery (it's not just the Feds who are worried about BCP, as Giachetti wrote in his August column for Investment Advisor, the states are concerned as well.)
Giachetti doesn't suffer fools gladly, especially those in the compliance consulting business: "some are good, some are terrible," he said. Beyond whether he thinks his firm, Stark & Stark, is the ne plus ultra of compliance (which he does), Giachetti's main point was that advisors' documents not only be up-to-date, but that they match their actual practice.
For example, Giachetti said that your firm's business continuity plan "can't be dated four or five years ago; old ones won't cut it anymore." With BCPs as well as your policies and procedures manual, you have to "show the government you look at your documents every year."
The biggest problem with "canned" compliance packages is not only that they may not reflect current regulatory concerns, he said, but that they don't match either what an advisory firm is required to do, or what the firm actually does. One other thing on compliance consultants: if they hand you a policies and procedures manual in PDF format, "fire them," because to take control of your practice's compliance, you must have the ability to edit and customize the manual to match your firm's specific activities.
Here's one example of where canned documents are "terrible." As he does during all his speeches (at least those that this writer has attended over the years), Giachetti first asked the Junxure audience how many were RIAs. He then asked those attendees how many had a money laundering policy. When several hands stayed up, he delivered his customary zinger: "You don't need a money laundering policy! Get rid of it."
On the question of due diligence, Giachetti said "you can't count on your custodian's own due diligence" to satisfy examiners; "if you hire your own managers, you have to have written" proof that you conducted due diligence on those managers. For larger firms with multiple offices, Giachetti said the SEC has adopted the "FINRA model on branches." Too many advisors are also running afoul of the SEC by failing to file Form 13F, the quarterly report of equity holdings by RIAs who have discretionary authority over $100 million or more of exchange-listed equity securities (Giachetti goes into more detail on who should file 13F in his September column.)
He warned that in the current atmosphere, SEC examiners are "looking to set examples for the advisor community, so make sure your policies jibe with your ADV and your disclosure statements; take control of your documents." Further, if you have a "two-, three- or four- year-old policies and procedures manual," you won't be able to demonstrate to the examiners that "you have a 'culture of compliance.'"
Giachetti warned against inflating your assets under management, which some RIA firms do in order to be SEC-regulated rather than by the states (which he said is not always a desirable goal to begin with). "If you say you have a bazillion dollars under advisement, you'll get an enforcement action," he predicted, since "there is no such thing as 'assets under advisement' for the SEC, only 'assets under management.'"
Admitting that he's not exactly an early adopter of technology, nevertheless Giachetti said that when it comes to compliance for advisors, "social media scares me to hell," in large measure because "you're creating a track record for yourself." Ever thinking of possible litigation and what can be brought up in discovery, the attorney said that "clients keep that stuff; it can pop up when you get sued."
His other recommendations on social media: Don't communicate with clients using Facebook or LinkedIn, "no LinkedIn endorsements — goose egg!" and that if you must have a Facebook page, don't put on that page anything more "than you have on your web site."
As for email, he suggested that advisors "use it as a tool for you," i.e., for the advisor's convenience, not for your clients. "Sometimes your clients will be trying to trap you in an email," he warned, and said that when a client raises a complex or potentially troublesome issue in an email, respond instead by saying "I'll give you a call." Among the new questions on the SEC exam, he reported, is one relating to whether the advisor pays a referral fee to a third party. "If you do pay a fee, the SEC and state rules are about the same. In most states, solicitors have to be registered." Since "the states are bankrupt," this is one area where they believe they can raise some money, since the states "need the fines."
In addition, "you need a whistleblower statement," in your policies and procedures manual, saying "there are two questions on the exam about whistleblowers." There are also two questions on the exam relating to outside business activities.
Finally, he warned the attendees about saying, or writing on any client documents, that the firm "provides comprehensive financial planning," since that is such a murky term. "Marketing people are scary," Giachetti said, "they use adjectives."
His final warning: "if you say something you can't prove" when it comes to the services you offer clients, "don't say it." No fan of investment policy statements or risk assessment questionnaires, Giachetti did say that "the most important information you should get from a client" when it comes to your investing is "Are there any restrictions?"
Check out Making Sense of Form 13F by Tom Giachetti on ThinkAdvisor.


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What is going on with gold? While it is normal for opinion to be divided on the merits of an investment—that's why there are buyers and sellers—sharply contrasting trends seem to be giving gold investors whiplash.
The price of gold Wednesday is hovering over $1,600 an ounce, having fallen more than 1% on the day. Investors may be reacting to a Goldman Sachs report released Monday that declared the 12-year run the commodity has enjoyed to be finally over.
The influential investment firm cut its 3-month forecast steeply to $1,615 an ounce from $1,825, and its 12-month price target to $1,550 from $1,800, Bloomberg reports.
Yet gold futures had a banner day Tuesday, soaring nearly 2%, their biggest gain of the new year—a day after Goldman issued its report. Did investors not believe the behemoth bank but are having second thoughts today?
Recent mixed signals may account for the zigzagging. Gold tends to rise on bad economic news, and fall on positive news.
The Goldman report was all about a strengthening of the economy and also placed particular emphasis on the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee's meeting last month, which were made public last week.
Several committee members advocated a slowing of Federal Reserve asset purchases. The Fed, as part of its third round of quantitative easing, is buying bonds at a rate of $85 billion a month.
Wrote the Goldman report's authors, analysts Damien Courvalin and Jeffrey Currie:
"Our economists believe that the downside risks to their forecasts have diminished while the uncertainty about the size of QE3 is high. We believe that a shift has occurred over the past few months with conviction in holding gold waning quickly."
Yet, despite this warning, and the report's noting that large investors like George Soros have cut their gold ETF holdings, Fed chairman Ben Bernanke did not play along.
In testimony before a Senate panel Tuesday (and again before a House committee Wednesday), Bernanke offered a full-throated defense of monetary easing, buoying equity and gold prices Tuesday (though just equity prices on Wednesday.)
As one investment executive told Reuters, "It doesn't matter what the Fed minutes tell you, he [Bernanke] is going to keep refilling the punch bowl until we get unemployment down below 6%."
So, on the one hand, Goldman Sachs issued a bearish report declaring "the turn in the gold cycle has likely already started." That report cited rising consumer confidence, a recovery of the long-battered real estate market and other upbeat economic trends.
On the other hand, the Fed chairman reaffirmed his commitment to monetary stimulus to support a still-weak economy while elections in Italy brought to power an anti-austerity coalition, signaling the possibility of renewed economic crisis in Europe, both of which are bullish for gold.
While Goldman's viewpoint went beyond short-term market movements, boldly declaring an end to the secular run-up in the precious metal, for every seller there is always a buyer. On the same day Goldman issued its report, U.S. Global Investors' Frank Holmes wrote in his weekly commentary about Macquarie Research's finding that the correlation between the Fed's balance sheet and the price of gold is quite high, at 0.93.
"The firm found that for every $300 billion expansion in the balance sheet of the U.S. government, there was a $100 an ounce increase in the price of gold," Holmes writes. "When you factor in the Fed's current bond purchases totaling $85 billion per month for the next nine months, the central bank will be adding $765 billion in new assets…By this measure alone, gold would rise approximately 16% over the next several months."


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North Carolina General Statutes 143.215.1 and Administrative Code 15A NCAC 02H.0109 require the Division to provide public notice of permitting actions through local newspapers. The NPDES unit uses this webspace to announce publications in newspapers on a biweekly schedule.
Public comments are due 30 days from the date these notices were published in the newspapers. Actual date of publication may vary by newspaper. The date of notice shown below represents the date the unit requested publication.
Please click on the event date for full details. Columns can be sorted by category by clicking the header.
Date: 2012-07-01


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Precaution for Supplemental Restraint System (SRS) "AIR BAG" and
The Supplemental Restraint System such as "AIR BAG" and "SEAT BELT
PRE-TENSIONER", used along
with a front seat belt, helps to reduce the risk or severity of injury to the driver and front passenger for certain
types of collision. This system includes seat belt switch inputs and dual stage front air bag modules. The SRS
system uses the seat belt switches to determine the front air bag deployment, and may only deploy one front
air bag, depending on the severity of a collision and whether the front occupants are belted or unbelted.
Information necessary to service the system safely is included in the SR and SB section of this Service Manual.
Precaution for SRS "AIR BAG" and "SEAT BELT PRE-TENSIONER" Service
Occupant Classification System Precaution
Replace occupant classification system control unit and passenger front seat cushion as an assembly.
Rear seat
Exploded View - Fixed Seatback Headrest Headrest holder (free) Headrest holder (locked) Bumper Seatback assembly Seatback trim Seatback pad Seat cushion trim Seat cushion pad Seat cushion wire cover Seat cushion lock Seat cushion assembly Exploded View - 60:40 ...
U1227 AV control unit
DTC Logic Diagnosis Procedure 1.CHECK PLAYBACK OF A DISK (DVD) U1228 AV CONTROL UNIT DTC Logic DTC DETECTION LOGIC U1229 AV CONTROL UNIT DTC Logic DTC DETECTION LOGIC U122A AV CONTROL UNIT DTC Logic Diagnosis Procedure 1.PERFORM THE SELF-DIAGNOSIS When U122A is detected, wri ...
RGB area (YS) signal circuit
Description Transmits the display area of RGB image displayed by AV control unit with RGB area (YS) signal to display unit. Diagnosis Procedure 1.CHECK CONTINUITY RGB AREA (YS) SIGNAL CIRCUIT Turn ignition switch OFF. Disconnect display unit connector M141 and AV control unit con ...


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As the nation braced for the $85 billion in sequestration cuts to kick in on March 1, Joe Lieber of Washington Analysis laid out the "numerous tools available" to blunt sequestration's impact. He said that, based on the Congressional Budget Office's (CBO) estimates release in early February, sequestration's impact "may be less than many fear."
While the sequestration cuts will "clearly still be economically material in terms of the drag on GDP," Lieber said, he doubts the policy will remain in effect through the end of the fiscal year if, as he suspects, "the unprecedented move leads to chaos within the federal government and a continued outcry from both Democrats and Republicans, who worry about indiscriminate cuts to non-defense and defense accounts."
Furthermore, President Obama's comments urging Congress in early February to replace the sequester with a mix of "unspecified spending cuts and tax increases did little to change our opinion that the policy will go into effect."
Lieber said that regarding defense cuts, Pentagon planning guidance "stresses that near-term cuts would be absorbed primarily by civilian personnel furloughs, hiring freezes, and various administrative support and maintenance activities."
Reductions to key weapons hardware programs, he said, "would be 'back-loaded,' thereby lessening the immediate threat that contractors might otherwise face." Moreover, "in order to further mitigate sequestration's impact on acquisition priorities, this guidance directs the services to 'identify and prioritize any essential reprogramming actions' that might be required to permit budget officers greater flexibility in shifting funds between accounts to protect certain programs."
Lieber also noted that the continuing resolution (CR) that funds the federal government through March 27 provides another potential vehicle to mitigate the sequester, though he doesn't believe Republicans would force a government shutdown. "Congress could give the various agencies authority to reprogram, or transfer, funds from one budget function to another," Lieber said.
For example, Lieber said that Sen. Jim Inhofe, R-Okla., has proposed such an option for the Defense Department. "Lawmakers could also provide some additional funding in the CR for defense or non-defense discretionary spending, or they could decide to do away with the sequester altogether, with offsets or without (though the latter is very unlikely). How destructive the sequestration is will in part determine what Congress does."
Obama urged Congress in early February to delay the looming sequestration cuts by passing a package of both spending cuts and tax hikes, but Obama's plan was said to be DOA in the House.
While both the House and the Senate are "working toward budget proposals that I hope reflect this balanced approach," Obama said, "I know that a full budget may not be finished before March 1, and, unfortunately, that's the date when a series of harmful automatic cuts to job-creating investments and defense spending—also known as the sequester—are scheduled to take effect."
Obama told lawmakers that if they can't act "immediately on a bigger package" by the time the $1.2 trillion in sequester cuts are scheduled to go into effect, they should at least "pass a smaller package of spending cuts and tax reforms that would delay the economically damaging effects of the sequester for a few more months."
A "balanced mix" of spending cuts and tax reform, Obama continued, "is the best way to finish the job of deficit reduction. The overwhelming majority of the American people—Democrats and Republicans, as well as Independents—have the same view."
But House Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio, countered the same day in February that Obama "first proposed the sequester and insisted it become law. Republicans have twice voted to replace these arbitrary cuts with common-sense cuts and reforms that protect our national defense." Republicans, he continued, "believe there is a better way to reduce the deficit, but Americans do not support sacrificing real spending cuts for more tax hikes. The president's sequester should be replaced with spending cuts and reforms that will start us on the path to balancing the budget in 10 years."
Lieber predicted there was a more than 60% chance that sequestration will go into effect on March 1. But how long it continues, he said, is unclear. "The odds of it lasting through the entire fiscal year are no worse than one in three. One of the many factors that will determine the policy's duration is how much political and economic upheaval it creates." Lieber said that "credible estimates" put job losses from a seven-month sequester at up to 1 million, with GDP drag up to 0.7%. "A sequester of this magnitude has never occurred, so the execution and impact of it is unknown," he said.
Republicans, Lieber said, "have clearly decided that sequestration provides them with their best leverage to try to extract a large 10-year deficit reduction bill." Consequently, "the GOP leadership and many, many of their rank-and-file are more than willing to allow the $85 billion in cuts to go into effect if they are not fully offset with alternative, targeted reductions." Politically, Lieber continued, "we do not believe that the House GOP leadership can afford to allow a mix of revenue and spending offsets before March 1, which the Democrats will insist upon."
Despite the looming sequestration deadline, Obama noted that economists and business leaders have stated the economy is "poised for progress in 2013."
However, Obama also said that the nation has "seen the effects that political dysfunction can have on our economic progress," citing how the "drawn-out process for resolving the fiscal cliff hurt consumer confidence."
Political dysfunction, he said, "will cost us jobs and hurt our economy."
Indeed, the Congressional Budget Office released in early February its budget and economic outlook for the next 10 years, which stated that if the current laws that govern federal taxes and spending do not change, the budget deficit will shrink this year to $845 billion, or 5.3% of gross domestic product (GDP), its smallest size since 2008. Deficits will continue to shrink over the next few years, CBO said, falling to 2.4% of GDP by 2015.
However, CBO said that deficits are projected to increase later in the coming decade "because of the pressures of an aging population, rising health care costs, an expansion of federal subsidies for health insurance and growing interest payments on federal debt." As a result, "federal debt held by the public is projected to remain historically high relative to the size of the economy for the next decade."
By 2023, "if current laws remain in place, debt will equal 77% of GDP and be on an upward path," CBO projected.


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With the advent of social media in the past few years, every financial advisor suddenly had to learn about Facebook, Twitter and LinkedIn, and a whole social media consultancy industry arose in its wake.
But when it comes to street cred, those forms of social media are probably more than matched by the collaboratively edited Internet reference, Wikipedia.
Having a Wikipedia page confers authority on its subject, because unlike paid entries for Who's Who guides, Wikipedia is a nonprofit whose community of editors will delete an article if its subject is not genuinely notable, if its sourcing is not verifiable and its point of view is not neutral.
While meeting these standards can be challenging, the market advantage a Wikipedia page might convey is hard to argue with. Google any prominent name and the first entry you'll probably see is a Wikipedia article, if there is one.
Ken Fisher and Ric Edelman have Wikipedia pages, to be sure, but they have large networks of advisors across the country. Yet Harold Evensky and Michael Kitces, whose firms have just two offices, each have a Wikipedia page, though few would question their notability. Could you get a Wikipedia page?
We asked Mike Wood, who makes his living as a paid Wikipedia editor. Wood's Wikipedia consulting is highly controversial. Wikipedia's founder Jimmy Wales banned display advertisements on the site and even changed the website's domain from wikipedia.com to wikipedia.org to avoid any hint of commercialism. Many of the site's editors decry the possibility of non-neutral writing if paid writers get involved.
Wood, for his part, says paid writers who understand the community's rules and values can maintain higher standards, thus improving the site, and argues that the failure to do so risks article deletion, which is only the path to irate clients.
"The No. 1 way to keep an article from getting deleted is to write about a subject that is notable. Period. That is it," Wood told AdvisorOne.
"There are no tips or tricks—whether you agree with paid editing or do not agree with paid editing, the article needs to be properly sourced," he added. "If you try to spam your way on to Wikipedia, you will get deleted and properly so."
The South Bend, Ind.-based consultant has been editing Wikipedia articles for six years—but only in the last year on a paid basis through his consultancy, Legal Morning. Wood's clients have included musicians, athletes, doctors, lawyers, foreign dignitaries, businesspeople, "politicians you've see on Fox or CNN in the last few days"—as well as financial industry clients, including both publicly traded and private companies.
So, can a financial advisor get a Wikipedia page? "Yes and no," Wood responds.
"There are a lot of financial advisors known as experts in the field," he adds. "They're quoted in newspapers, or they're authors."
The key to being considered notable by Wikipedia standards is "significant coverage—more than just one news article, and from reliable sources like Research magazine and the Wall Street Journal, not blogs or forum posts."
"The sources must be independent—if you wrote the article yourself, we couldn't use it to write a page for you," Wood adds.
Advisors who have not yet written a book or become a media source should fortify their scholarly or public relations efforts.
Wood, whose fees to put up a Wikipedia page typically range anywhere from $200 to $1,000, says he accepts assignments from only about 20% of prospects seeking his help.
"The first thing I need to do is find out if they're notable or not," he says. "When I first started this job, I used to take every article that came my way. But it caused too many problems; articles were deleted and I had to give refunds."
Interestingly, Wood says he keeps track of prospects he turns down. He says he commonly sees they hire someone else to post an article for them, and invariably that article gets deleted by Wikipedia's community of editors.
"It's very tough to get an article back on once it gets deleted," Wood says.
Not only does Wood insist on genuine notability, he says that neutrality, too, is non-negotiable.
"[Wikipedia's] logic is that if someone is getting paid for a Wikipedia page, they're going to do what their clients want because they're getting paid to do that," Wood says. "I refuse to do that. I have actually lost some clients because [their proposed content is] self-promotional and has nothing to do with an encyclopedia entry."
Neutrality and openness to unflattering information is vital, Wood says.
"If you put a Wikipedia page up and you have a lot of negative content that can be introduced into the article, if I don't put it there, your competitor will."
So if, for example, a notable person is embroiled in a lawsuit, "I can put [the information] there neutrally. If I don't, three months from now, it can have a whole page on a lawsuit.
In that sense, hiring a Wikipedia consultant for ongoing monitoring of your Wikipedia page is a form of reputation management—not by removing negative content but by confronting it strategically.
Another, perhaps more significant, purpose for which notable companies and individuals hire a Wikipedia editor is brand management.
"If you let someone else start the article for you, it may not represent what you want it to represent," Wood advises. "I've seen that many times. It's very important to claim your brand. You have to get out in front of it."
While many financial advisors might wish to enhance their reputations, many more probably just want to be found, and to be found credible.
"Google loves Wikipedia," Wood says. "When I post an article on Wikipedia, within hours it's on page one of Google."