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human
CMV: Trump will most likely not be impeached

Because I might get flamed, I want to clarify that I am not a Trump supporter. I'm only interested in facts behind the call for impeachment and the events leading up to it. That being said, I think that there is not enough evidence to actually go through with an impeachment, and the Republican majority Senate will likely not vote him out anyways. 

From what I've been hearing so far on the impeachment markup, it seems like the basis of Trump's impeachment is treason or abuse of power based on his alleged collusion with Russia and call for interference based on a meeting/phone call with Ukrainian president Zelensky. 

There has been a lot of speculation about both events with some obvious information being withheld or blocked. For example, AG Barr released a summary letter about the Mueller Report before it was formally released with redacted information. This **could've** been a ploy to redirect public perception, but as we've come to find out, the report concluded that there was not enough to convict Trump on any collusion. Following that up has been a lot of public and Democratic speculation about what actually went down as we do have solid evidence showing Russian interference against the 2016 Democratic campaign with the timing of Clinton's email release being a significant factor. But if you have any trust in the thoroughness of Mueller's investigation, then it'd be logical to assume he really didn't find enough evidence.

As for the Zelensky call, there's again a lot of speculation. Even the "transcript" that was released by the Whitehouse is just a memorandum, or in other words a retelling of the phone call transpired between them. A lot of Democrats in the markup tend to reference this transcript as hard proof of a quid pro quo between both presidents to investigate Hunter Biden's role on a Ukrainian energy board and the Crowdstrike servers (which purportedly don't exist in Ukraine according to the recent whistleblower) in exchange for continued US funding of Ukrainian defense against Russia. Having looked through the transcript myself and listening to the markups, it seems difficult to establish a firm quid pro quo arrangement based entirely on that conversation. 

Republicans claim that Trump withheld funding that has been continuously given to Ukraine every year he's been in office in lieu of determining the motives of the new Ukrainian president, while Democrats claim that Trump felt threatened by a president who runs an anti-corruption platform and that Trump was not allowed to withhold Congressionally approved funding (which isn't entirely true as the Executive branch can and has overrode funding in the past). However, Trump did eventually release the funding for this year.

Going off the "transcript" again, I don't think you could determine a definitive deal entirely based on the language used in it. Trump wants a "favor" for "us" and the "country," suggesting a lack of personal motive for his own campaign. Additionally, Zelensky has also claimed he did not feel pressure from Trump to accept funding in return for political favors via investigating Hunter Biden.

So overall, there is a lot of spin in both directions based on media coverage. I can't say that I am 100% informed so that's why I'm posting here, and I am open to changing my mind if anyone has any strong evidence to support a stronger leaning toward impeachment that just allegations from the House.

Edit: Everyone has made a legitimate point that I failed to clarify in my post. I should have said Trump will most likely not be *removed. Sorry about that and thanks for pointing it out.
gpt
So are you arguing that Trump won't be impeached at all? Remember, to be impeached, you need a simple majority in the House. In this instance that would be 218 members. More than 218 democrats have already expressed support for impeachment. So even if not a single Republican votes for it, Trump could still very well be impeached solely with Democratic votes. 

Whether he gets removed after a Senate trial is another matter.