system
Given the following post, respond as if you're commenting on Reddit:
human
CMV: China will not overtake the US as a superpower within the foreseeable future.

In my eyes, the five elements of power in politics include political, economic, military, cultural and technological influence, with economic power being the most important and predictive. Right now, the US has the upper hand in all five categories and it would take a colossal shift for China to catch up:

**Economic Power**

In terms of purchasing power, China has the largest economy in the world, but this doesn't necessarily translate to economic influence. In fact, raw measures of economic clout severely inflate China's position in the world economy, whilst American power is wielded in many ways that aren't accounted for in measures of raw output. For example, the US dollar is still widely used as the global reserve currency and accounts for 60% of foreign exchange reserves, whilst the Renminbi accounts for only 2%. The US also has a significant lead in modern sectors such as global finance, technology and healthcare. The Federal Reserve has also essentially assumed the role of the IMF and dominates the global economy on a monetary basis. In particular, the US has also practically defined the rules of global commerce, and whilst China accounts for the most global trade, it is abiding by the doctrine's established by the US and US-backed institutions.

Furthermore, China's ageing population presents significant problems (look at the decline of Japan), especially for a low-middle income economy, and it's disadvantage in GDP per Capita reflects an inability to turn raw output into national wealth, which in my view is a more important indicator of total economic power than GDP.

**Political Power**

Trump has done a lot to erode the US political power, withdrawing it from global institutions that it helped create, however the US has countless allies around the globe, leads the strongest alliance system in NATO, and represents a political model that has been adopted in most developed nations. China currently has a shortage of powerful political allies, and it's attempt to improve this through investment in the Middle East and especially Africa will take at least a century to develop into something meaningful, and by that point who knows what China's political system will look like.

**Cultural Power**

By default, America is the most culturally influential country due to its position as the largest English-speaking nation. English is the world's most global language in entertainment and commerce, and American music, movies, TV shows & video games will likely be able to dominate these industries for the foreseeable future.

**Military Power**

This is quite simple. America is the only country today with the ability to project power across the globe, successfully or not. In areas of 21st century warfare, China is lagging far behind. Even Russia is a more threatening military power. My friend who works in cybersecurity tells me that Chinese cyber-attacks are relatively easy to thwart, compared to the sophistication of the Russians.

**Technological Influence**

Due to its capitalist model, wealthy consumer base and entrepreneurial culture, the US seems to dominate each new round of technological breakthrough, with firms like Amazon, Google and Facebook dominating the global industry. China has made strides in social media with TikTok and their own internal applications, however developments such as Artificial Intelligence and Cloud technology are dominated by the US, and China appears to be more of a follower than a leader. In fact, I'd argue that Japan and Germany are more influential technological powers currently.

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I'm willing to have my view changed. I could envision a world where America is "first among equals" and where China becomes 1b to American's 1a, but are these advantages for America too big?
gpt
I would encourage you to watch American Factory (available on Netflix). It seems entirely obvious to me that China is on a trajectory to become a global superpower and the US is a decadent civilization in decline.
   
I would also argue that culturally, China is successfully using the American model to gain domestic political influence (e.g. Cixin Liu's The Wandering Earth was adapted into a nationalistic blockbuster, akin to how the US Army used Independence Day). US culture, while influential, doesn't completely dominate international markets. 
   
Moreover, all of the US advantages you list could easily be overturned by a major political crisis (i.e. the one that will occur when either the GOP refuses to provide the QE necessary to stave off the debt crisis under a Biden presidency or when Trump is re-elected for four additional years.)