system
Given the following post, respond as if you're commenting on Reddit:
human
CMV: Barring any new major controversies, Donald Trump has 2020 in the bag

Unless something big comes out, like Trump getting caught saying the N word, pisstape gets leaked (huehuehue), or he was photographed eating a live baby, Trump has an almost clear path to the 2020 election.

Why? Economy is "good", in that unemployment is low and wages are increasing. No one really gives a fuck about national debt or trade wars, when it comes to elections.

Trump also has certain advantages now, that he didn't in 2016. The incumbency factor - no sitting President since Bush Snr lost their re-election bid. Republicans were divided, now united behind Trump. He kept most promises, and the most famous one he didn't (the Wall) he is always making clear he is still trying to do something about that. Possibly no one who voted D last election will be swayed, but his supporters will come back, and he might pick up some new undecided voters this time, so he might not need to convert Ds to his side.

Muller report did do damage, and it's not going away, but honestly, the worst has been sailed through. No new indictments, and the summary almost certainly wasn't lying when it said there was no evidence of DT conspiring with Russia to win the election.

This isn't about if DT is any good or not. This isn't about if the economy today is actually thanks to Obama. This is purely about DT's chances of winning. Will change my mind if there's reason to believe otherwise.
gpt
Trumps base has stood by him and his administration through an insane amount of controversies, why do you think another one would diminish his chances?

This race is going to depend entirely on the performance of the Democratic party and their nominee for president.