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human
CMV: Republicans will not repeal Obamacare

So the repeal process has started in earnest. My view on this is that the GOP has spent 8 years turning Obamacare into an Emmanuel Goldberg-esque talisman, the key to everything they hate. The question remains whether or not they can repeal it. I don't think they can, and I think this is the reason why.

The best theory I've heard on this is that one of the reasons they can't is that GOP Congressman don't actually know either what's in Obamacare or what the replacement plans do. They've spent so many years hating this bill and imbibing the fury against it, most back benchers in the GOP Congress are no more knowledgeable about what the bill does than anyone else. They don't even understand what it is they want to repeal. All they know is certain portions of it they hate.
Problem is you can't just repeal those portions. But they have also been told that there are these great GOP Replacement Plans that will do even better! Of course, these plans don't exist. But again - how many GOPers in Congress know that?

This is the same thing that happened in 2005 in social security. Lots of GOPers in Congress swallowed the idea that SS needed to be reformed. They just assumed that their genius colleagues had plans which reformed SS in a way that would keep all the good stuff and get rid of the bad stuff. Of course, no one had any plan like that, because the GOP is both intellectually lazy and intellectually dishonest. And so when SS reform got underway, all these Congressfolks finally had to pick something to vote for, and they couldn't. Because no option existed. And so reform died.

Most likely scenario? The GOP reforms some minor parts of Obamacare, stuff Obama himself would have likely been willing to deal on had the GOP just been willing to talk, they will claim victory and change the name.

I would also note that I don't think "Repeal and Delay" will happen, because I actually don't think Trump will sign it. He has no reason to do to so, as he doesn't hate Obamacare in his bones, and he's going to get advice from guys like Bannon saying there's no political upside in him doing it.

Republicans don't want to repeal Obamacare. They just want to be able to say they did.
gpt
People like Paul Ryan are vehemently, ideologically opposed to Obamacare in principle.  They would absolutely repeal it out of a true belief that it's making the world a better, less socialist place, and they'd worry about reelection later.