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Risk Assessment of Fracturing Induced Earthquake in the Qiabuqia Geothermal Field, China

In order to reduce the harm of induced earthquakes in the process of geothermal energy development, it is necessary to analyze and evaluate the induced earthquake risk of a geothermal site in advance. Based on the tectonic evolution and seismogenic history around the Qiabuqia geothermal field, the focal mechanism of the earthquake was determined, and then the magnitude and direction of in-situ stress were inversed with the survey data. At the depth of more than 5 km, the maximum principal stress is distributed along NE 37°, and the maximum principal stress reaches 82 MPa at the depth of 3500 m. The induced earthquakes are evaluated by using artificial neural network (ANN) combined with in-situ stress, focal mechanism, and tectonic conditions. The predicted earthquake maximum magnitude is close to magnitude 3.