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On some “disadvantages” of the population approach

In a seminal article on population pharmacokinetic modeling, researchers demonstrated how means and variances of pharmacokinetic parameters for a patient population could be inferred from sparse data collected under conditions of routine patient care. But they also identified 4 potential concerns about their methodology: unobserved confounding variables may bias the inferences; conditions under which data are collected may lead to inaccuracies of reporting or recording; correlations among important predictor variables may reduce statistical efficiency; and costs cannot be controlled by principles of study design. Experiences are reviewed that related to those potential disadvantages. A method is presented for diagnosing the possible presence of confounding. A model is constructed and applied that captures the influences of data inaccuracies. An example of selecting from among correlated covariates is summarized. Finally, a methodology for optimal study design is reviewed and applied to an example.