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The 1999 Flood of the Century in Eastern North Carolina: Extraordinary Hydro-Meteorological Event or Human-Induced Catastrophe?

The 1999 "flood of the century" in eastern North Carolina was to date the most costly disaster in the state's history. Arguments put forth that the magnitude of the flood was increased to catastrophic proportions by development in the region's water-sheds are evaluated by examining historical trends in several streamflow variables and the magnitude-frequency characteristics of the storm. Analysis of streamflow data in the Tar, Neuse, and Cape Fear river basins indicates that there have been no significant trends in the region that would signal an anthropogenic effect. Given the extreme nature of the precipitation, therefore, it is unlikely that human activities made this flood more severe than it otherwise would have been.