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TRADE VECTORS OF THE UKRAINIAN ECONOMY IN THE CONDITIONS OF THE RUSSIAN-UKRAINIAN WAR (2014–2022)

By launching a full-scale war against Ukraine, Russia has put an end to trade disputes – there can be no question of any business between the countries. Even faster than the rest of Europe, Ukraine will have to learn to live without Russian oil and coal, as well as find new markets for its products, as Russia has until recently remained one of Ukraine's largest trading partners. The occupation of Crimea and the war in Donbass, which began eight years ago, certainly reduced trade between the two countries, but did not stop it altogether. The first position of imports from Russia was energy. To get rid of dependence on Russian energy, Ukraine partially replaced coal from Russia with American, but this was not possible completely and therefore remained dependent on Russian imports. The second position in imports from Russia are petroleum products – mainly diesel fuel and liquefied natural gas. Ukraine is constantly importing gasoline, fuel, fuel oil – including for the army – and this is our weakness, which shows a critical dependence on fuel imports. After the liberation of Ukraine from the invaders, it is necessary to restore and start refineries in Ukraine, increase its production, and then create reserves of petroleum products and oil to get rid of import dependence in this area. The article describes the volume and dynamics of Ukraine's trade with Russia from the occupation of Crimea and Donbass until now. The positive and negative trends of this trade have been studied. The impact of sanctions on changes in bilateral trade between countries is analyzed. A factor-by-factor analysis of key products that created dependence on trade with the aggressor country was made. An assessment of alternative ways of import substitutability against the background of the complete cessation of trade between Ukraine and Russia. Trade between the two countries in a broader context is considered, comparing their trade turnover with the volume of Ukraine's trade with EU countries. New opportunities for the development of trade and the country's economy in connection with European integration processes have been highlighted.