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Early Warning Index System for Natural Disasters Emergency Logistics Risks

Lots of risks existed in the process of Emergency Logistics especially when natural disasters happened. Evaluation research on Emergency Logistics Risks (ELR) is the basis of effective early warning and responding to risks, so it's of great theoretical and practical significance to establish an early warning index system for ELR. Firstly, some foundation research about ELR was carried out, including definition, characteristics, classification and controllability of ELR. An early warning index system for ELR was established. This system was a multi-level index system, and mainly evaluated by the decision-making risk, dispatching and commanding risk, organizing and coordinating risk, executing and controlling risk, resources supporting risk and their sub index. The establishment principles and significance of the index system were discussed. Then, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation and Delphi method were used to confirm the index weight and value. Finally, a case analysis on ELR of Yushu earthquake was conducted to demonstrate the early warning index system and to evaluate the actual risk level.