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A Water Trading Model Based on the Construction of Water Bank with Considering Multiple Uncertain Information

On the context of population growth and industrialization development, water demands of China present an increasing tendency, which results in conflicts between human activities and water resources. Particular in an arid region, the water deficit has attracted policymakers’ attentions, which requires a more effective water resources allocation method to satisfy the harmony between human being and natural resources. Thus, a “quasi-market” approach (mixed market approach or government method) is developed for water allocation in an arid region; meanwhile, water bank would be introduced to improve water trading. An interval stochastic-fuzzy programming (ISFP) is introduced to tackle uncertainty by probability distribution and interval number; meanwhile it can hedge the risk by the simulation process of water trading. Based on analysis of feature of arid region, a sustainable water resources strategy and mode can be provided to coordinate the human activity and resources utilization.