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The Day after Trump: American Strategy for a New International Order

Foreign policy elites have reached a near-consensus that the liberal international order led by the United States since World War II is fraying; unsustainable by inertia alone, its only hope of success is shrewd American statecraft. Confronted by global power shifts, regional challengers, rapid technological innovation, and the return of great-power rivalry, the task of revitalizing a 70-year old set of norms, laws, alliances, and international institutions would have challenged whichever candidate moved into the White House on January 20, 2017. With Donald Trump’s ascendance to the presidency on a platform of unpredictability, the future of international politics, and the role of American leadership therein, entered a state of flux. Trump, less as an architect than as an avatar, represents a serious challenge to the bipartisan consensus that has long underpinned the U.S.-led order. Long-term socioeconomic shifts in the United States have heightened the attraction of populist appeals like Trump’s. Regardless of whether Trump supporters voted for or despite his foreign policy positions, the “America First” vision, with its defiant nationalism and ruthless transactionalism, is a decidedly radical departure from the strategic mainstream. Indeed, it explicitly repudiates the core tenets of liberal internationalism and implicitly rejects the United States’ position atop the liberal international order. The first year of the Trump administration revealed a team too riddled with chaos to execute any grand-strategic vision, whether one advanced by the