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Reserve Setting and Steady-State Security Assessment Using Wind Power Uncertainty Forecast: A Case Study

This paper reports results and an evaluation methodology from two new decision-aid tools that were demonstrated at a Transmission System Operator (REN, Portugal) during several months in the framework of the E.U. project Anemos.plus. The first tool is a probabilistic method intended to support the definition of the operating reserve requirements. The second is a fuzzy power flow tool that identifies possible congestion situations and voltage violations in the transmission network. Both tools use as input probabilistic wind power predictions.