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Risk Factors for Hepatocellular Carcinoma After Splenectomy in Liver Cirrhotic Patients.

BACKGROUND
Splenectomy is sometimes indicated for portal hypertension caused by cirrhosis, which is a risk for hepatic carcinogenesis. This study aimed to identify risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after splenectomy.


METHODS
This retrospective study included 65 patients who underwent splenectomy for portal hypertension between 2009 and 2017. Cox regression analyses were performed to identify factors related to HCC development after splenectomy. The predictive index for HCC development was constructed from the results of multivariate analysis, and 3 risk-dependent groups were defined. Discrimination among the groups was estimated using Kaplan-Meier curves and the log-rank test.


RESULTS
Post-splenectomy, 36.9% of patients developed HCC. In the univariate analysis, the etiology of cirrhosis (hepatitis C virus antibody, P = .005, and hepatitis B surface antigen, P = .008, referring to non-B and non-C patients, respectively), presence of HCC history (P < .001), and preoperative hemoglobin level (P = .007) were related to HCC development, and the presence of HCC history (P = .002) and preoperative hemoglobin level (P = .022) were independent risk factors. The predictive index classified three groups at risk; the hazards in each group were significantly different (low vs middle risk, P = .035, and middle vs high risk, P = .011).


DISCUSSION
The etiology of cirrhosis, presence of HCC history, and hemoglobin level were associated with HCC development after splenectomy. The predictive model may aid in HCC surveillance after splenectomy for patients with portal hypertension.