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Mapping forest areas threatened by fires and windthrows (on the example of the Ural territory)


The authors discuss the methods and results of mapping the forest susceptibility to wildfires and windthrows on the example of the Ural region. We used the previously published database of fire-and wind-related forest damages in the Ural region for 2000–2016 as input data. The method of mapping is based on the analysis of the relationships of fire- and wind-damaged area with forest species composition, landscape and climatic variables, and with some indicators of anthropogenic development of the territory. The predominant forest species make the main factor determining the exposure to wildfires and windthrows. So, the calculations were performed separately for forests with various predominant species. As a result, the maps of forest susceptibility to wildfires and windthrows were created for the entire territory of the Ural, Perm region and separately for the Krasnovishersk district of the mentioned region. The obtained estimates can be used both in forestry planning and improving the monitoring of wildfires and windthrows.
