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US-Thai military and trade links could cool


 Subject
 US-Thailand relations.
 
 
 Significance
 The US Pacific Command's participation in the successful international collaboration to rescue 13 people from a cave in Thailand on July 10 was viewed on both sides as an affirmation of the US-Thailand alliance, and as a further boost to a new momentum in the broader bilateral relationship following a sharp slowdown after Thailand’s 2014 military coup. Improvement in relations is due partly to the reluctance of President Donald Trump's administration to emphasise democracy and human rights in foreign policy and more specifically to Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-o-cha’s visit to the White House last October.
 
 
 Impacts
 Warmer ties will not necessarily translate to increased US investment in Thailand.
 Thailand will need to look further afield for private investment in its Eastern Economic Corridor.
 If a China-US trade war occurs, Bangkok would try to avoid choosing sides but could ultimately pick Washington.
 The Trump administration’s push to reduce the US trade deficit with Thailand could cause frictions absent a quick deal.
 Thailand’s new constitution gives the military a lasting political role; US-Thai military links could therefore later help ties.
