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Spatiotemporal Distribution of Automobile Users: Estimation Method and Applications to Disaster Mitigation Planning

When discussing human casualties from a severe earthquake with regard to urban disaster mitigation planning, it is important to clarify the characteristics of the spatiotemporal distribution of people. In this paper, we construct a model that estimates the spatiotemporal distribution of automobile users using data from the Person Trip Survey and the Road Traffic Census. We use this model to estimate the spatiotemporal distribution of automobile users in Tokyo and demonstrate several ways to apply this data to urban disaster mitigation planning.