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The Signature of a Correlation between Cosmic-Ray Sources above 1019 eV and Large-Scale Structure

We analyze the anisotropy signature expected if the high-energy (>1019 eV) cosmic-ray (CR) sources are extragalactic and trace the distribution of luminous matter on large scales. We investigate the dependence of the anisotropy on both the relative bias between the CR sources and the galaxy distribution and on the (unknown) intrinsic CR source density. We find that the expected anisotropy associated with the large-scale structure (LSS) should be detected once the number of CR events observed above 1019 eV is increased by a factor of ~10. This would require ~30 observation-years with existing experiments, but less than 1 year with the proposed ~5000 km2 Auger detectors. We find that the recently reported concentration of the Haverah Park CR events toward the supergalactic plane is not consistent with the known LSS. If real, the Haverah Park result suggests that the CR sources are much more concentrated toward the supergalactic plane than the known LSS. Our results are not sensitive to the number density of CR sources. We show that once the number of detected events is increased by a factor of ~10, the number density would be strongly constrained by considering the probability of having repeating sources.