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Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cell Gene Expression Profiles Predict Poor Outcome in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis

Genome-scale transcriptomic profiling of peripheral blood mononuclear cells from patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis reveals that decreased expression of CD28, ICOS, LCK, and ITK predicts mortality. Gene Signature Predicts Mortality Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a fatal disease that progresses at different rates. Although no therapies exist, giving patients a more accurate prognosis is highly desirable. To this end, Herazo-Maya and colleagues searched the genomes of cells circulating in the blood of IPF patients and found that four genes may be indicators of poor outcome. Patients were recruited into discovery or replication cohorts from two different medical centers in the United States and followed until death or completion of the study. In both groups, genetic material was isolated from the patients’ peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) and analyzed for increased or decreased expression. These gene expression profiles were then correlated with transplant-free survival (TFS). In the discovery cohort, Herazo-Maya et al. found that underexpression of the genes CD28, ICOS, LCK, and ITK was associated with decreased TFS. These findings were confirmed in the replication cohort. This “genomic model” incorporating the four genes was combined with the clinical outputs age, gender, and forced vital capacity to create an even stronger predictor of poor outcome. The authors suggest that the decreased expression of these genes might be linked to lower percentages of CD4+CD28+ T cells in the PBMC population, which could contribute to a mechanistic understanding of why some IPF patients progress differently than others. The findings of this study have the potential to affect the care of patients with IPF as well as the understanding of disease mechanism. However, the combined genomic and clinical predictor will need to be validated in additional independent cohorts before translation. We aimed to identify peripheral blood mononuclear cell (PBMC) gene expression profiles predictive of poor outcomes in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) by performing microarray experiments of PBMCs in discovery and replication cohorts of IPF patients. Microarray analyses identified 52 genes associated with transplant-free survival (TFS) in the discovery cohort. Clustering the microarray samples of the replication cohort using the 52-gene outcome-predictive signature distinguished two patient groups with significant differences in TFS. We studied the pathways associated with TFS in each independent microarray cohort and identified decreased expression of “The costimulatory signal during T cell activation” Biocarta pathway and, in particular, the genes CD28, ICOS, LCK, and ITK, results confirmed by quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR). A proportional hazards model, including the qRT-PCR expression of CD28, ICOS, LCK, and ITK along with patient’s age, gender, and percent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC%), demonstrated an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 78.5% at 2.4 months for death and lung transplant prediction in the replication cohort. To evaluate the potential cellular source of CD28, ICOS, LCK, and ITK expression, we analyzed and found significant correlation of these genes with the PBMC percentage of CD4+CD28+ T cells in the replication cohort. Our results suggest that CD28, ICOS, LCK, and ITK are potential outcome biomarkers in IPF and should be further evaluated for patient prioritization for lung transplantation and stratification in drug studies.