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Reinforcement Learning for Trading

We propose to train trading systems by optimizing financial objective functions via reinforcement learning. The performance functions that we consider are profit or wealth, the Sharpe ratio and our recently proposed differential Sharpe ratio for online learning. In Moody & Wu (1997), we presented empirical results that demonstrate the advantages of reinforcement learning relative to supervised learning. Here we extend our previous work to compare Q-Learning to our Recurrent Reinforcement Learning (RRL) algorithm. We provide new simulation results that demonstrate the presence of predictability in the monthly S&P 500 Stock Index for the 25 year period 1970 through 1994, as well as a sensitivity analysis that provides economic insight into the trader's structure.