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Mozambique-Tanzania border insecurity likely to worsen


 Significance
 The attacks successfully targeted the Tanzanian armed forces, as well as civilians. The incidents have prompted the announcement of enhanced collaboration on security between the countries’ police forces. 
 
 
 Impacts
 A security-led response in Tanzania will heighten political tensions in the country, particularly in its southern regions. 
 Conflict resolution mechanisms in the wider region will suffer as Tanzania becomes increasingly isolationist.
 Delays to Total's gas project in Mozambique would weaken the current dominant FRELIMO faction, and its ability to address the insurgency. 
