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p53 expression above the basal cell layer in oral mucosa is an early event of malignant transformation and has predictive value for developing oral squamous cell carcinoma

Epithelial dysplasia is usually used to establish the prognosis of oral premalignant lesions. Its assessment, however, is subjective and does not always correctly predict the outcome of the lesions in terms of malignant transformation. Early molecular alteration(s) that dictate the development of cancer should be identified and used to evaluate oral premalignant lesions. In this context, alterations in the expression of p53 were investigated. Thirty‐five oral premalignant lesions and 11 carcinomas that developed from them in a period of 16 years were investigated for p53 expression by immunohistochemistry. Normal oral mucosa from healthy individuals and oral benign lesions were used as controls. In benign lesions and normal mucosa, p53 staining, when present, was confined to the basal cell layer. Seven out of 35 (20 per cent) premalignant lesions showed p53 expression clearly above the basal cell layer and six of these (86 per cent) developed carcinomas. Suprabasal p53 expression was found in three lesions with no or mild dysplasia that developed carcinomas. All carcinomas derived from premalignant lesions with p53 suprabasal expression showed p53 expression in neoplastic cells. The combined use of histological parameters (presence of moderate or severe dysplasia) with p53 expression patterns (p53 staining above the basal cell layer) showed the highest sensitivity for the detection of lesions that progressed to carcinoma (91 per cent). When used individually, the p53 expression pattern showed higher specificity than assessment of dysplasia (96 per cent vs. 54 per cent) and higher positive predictive value (86 per cent vs. 44 per cent) for correct prediction of the malignant transformation of the lesions. The results suggest that clear expression of p53 above the basal cell layer is an early event in oral carcinogenesis and an indicator of a developing carcinoma, even preceding morphological tissue alterations. However, since immunohistochemistry cannot always detect changes in p53 expression in lesions preceding carcinoma, p53 immunohistochemical analysis is strongly recommended in conjunction with histological parameters, to increase the sensitivity of detection of cases that will progress to carcinoma. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.