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ASSESSMENT OF REDUCE THE MOSCOW POPULATION MORBIDITY AS A RESULT OF THE BEST AVAILABLE TECHNOLOGIES IMPLEMENTATION

The aim of the study is to assess the potential for reducing respiratory diseases of the Moscow population as a result the best available technologies introduction at objects of the I and II categories of negative impact on the environment. 
Methods. The source data array is formed using a parser script developed by the authors in the Python programming environment. The determination of the geographical coordinates of the location of industrial facilities and their territorial binding to the administrative districts of the city of Moscow was carried out using the JavaScript API of the Yandex Geocoder. To identify the relationship between the indicators of morbidity of the population of the city of Moscow and the indices of comparative non-carcinogenic danger, regression and correlation analysis was implemented. The mathematical processing of statistical data was carried out using the interpreted programming language R, the spatial territorial binding of negative impact on the environment objects was carried out using the ESRI ArcGIS Online geoinformation system. 
Results. Significant relationship was obtained between the values of the comparative non-carcinogenic danger indices to the respiratory system from the emissions volume of objects of the I and II categories of negative impact on the environment, and respiratory diseases for various age groups of the population of the city of Moscow. Spearman's sp coefficient was 0.84 (p 0.05), which corresponds to a strong correlation on the Cheddock scale, and the Student's t-test index is higher than the critical one at the significance level = 0.05. The study identified the potential for reducing the number of respiratory diseases in the population of Moscow, which varies in the range from 1.1% to 2.2% for children, from 1.2% to 2.5% for adolescents, from 1% to 2% for adults, depending on the scenario for the introduction of the best available technologies at the facilities of the I and II categories of the negative impact on the environment. 
Conclusions. As a result of the conducted research, a mathematical model has been developed that allows determining the values of the potential for reducing the incidence of the respiratory system with the introduction of the best available technologies, which can be used in the formation of regional and federal programs for socio-economic development.