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A dissenting voice: Part II1

Global human society is rapidly running into general crisis. And rapidly running out of options predicated on the technical fix. The clearest indicator of what is before us is presented through the impact of global warming. In Britain, the seasonal picture has not been simply unusual or unpredictable in recent years; it has rather been an ongoing series of extreme fluctuations and oscillations. Autumn 2001 was the wettest on record since these began in 1659. Yet while this pattern persisted into the winter and spring, bringing in its wake repeated, serious flooding, the following autumn in marked contrast was the warmest on record. The pattern was repeated in spring 2003 with close to drought conditions. On their own the persistence of such oscillations will have very deleterious consequences for the economic and social stability of this country. However, these ostensibly aberrant weather patterns are not some blip peculiar to the North Atlantic archipelago but—put into a computer frame alongside all the other recent micro-climatic data—one small yet significant indicator of a general shift in the global climate. Significantly, nobody studying this particular phenomenon—at least nobody reputable—would offer a technical fix for its solution, only an increasingly urgent if not shrill appeal for the rapid deceleration of CO2 emissions by an immediate order of not less than 60%. If we fail to respond to what we are being told by the climate modellers, the only issue is not whether we will drive our global ecosystem and with it our species—along with what remains of our bio-diversity—over the precipice, but when. There is, for instance, some current cutting-edge research which suggests that the immediate effects of global warming on the most populated regions of the world are being mitigated by the rainforests, notably the Amazon, acting as a giant sink for over six billion tons of CO2 emissions. To which one might be inclined to say “thank you Amazon.” But what this means in practice is that, while temperatures in the Arctic Circle are currently soaring to the tune of 3–4.5 Celsius in winter, bringing in the process the bears and other wild animals of the region to the absolute brink, these rises are currently 10 times the norm for the rest of the planet. Our insulation from these worst effects, however, is only a temporary respite. The sink, it is argued, will finally rupture, and when it does so it will release its pent-up store in entirety. Don’t blame nature; this is simply