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La resilienza del sistema italiano di protezione sociale all'inizio della crisi COVID-19: evidenze territoriali (The resilience of the Italian social protection system at the beginning of COVID-19 outbreak: territorial evidence)

The article provides a first quantification of the redistributive effects of automatic stabilizers and discretional policies imposed by the Italian government to limit the diffusionof COVID-19 in March 2020 and to compensate for income losses of individuals affectedby the shutdown. In particular, we analyse the short term impact on family incomes, usingthe Italian module of EUROMOD which allow us to simulate the effects on incomes, povertyrisks and inequality based on IT-SILC data combined with relevant information needed toidentify the workers affected by the shutdown. The article provides timely evidence of the resilienceof the Italian welfare state in the different geographical areas of the country facing anasymmetric shock, particularly strong from an economic perspective for some families and lessfor others even in the presence of compensative policies introduced by the government.