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Study on the evolution and diffusion models of technological innovation system based on self-organization theory

There are complex characteristic of openness, dynamic, nonlinearity, fluctuation and indetermination in the technological innovation system. From the perspective of system theory this paper illuminates the self-organization characteristics of technological innovation system and analyzes the self-organization mechanisms of the innovation process and characteristics of instability, the multiplicity (branch), the sudden change and stochastic “the fluctuation” and constructs the self-organization process model of technological innovation and diffusion then carries on the confirmation with statistical software to the model fitting degree and the model parameters, using the data of China communication market, obtains the quite satisfied result. These models have realized the integration of the natural sciences and the social sciences, and developed a new method for studying on the evolution and diffusion process of the technological innovation system.