{'fraction_non_alphanumeric': 0.015299026425591099, 'fraction_numerical': 0.0, 'mean_word_length': 5.545454545454546, 'pattern_counts': {'":': 0, '<': 0, '<?xml version=': 0, '>': 0, 'https://': 0, 'lorem ipsum': 0, 'www.': 0, 'xml': 0}, 'pii_count': 0, 'substrings_counts': 0, 'word_list_counts': {'cursed_substrings.json': 0, 'profanity_word_list.json': 0, 'sexual_word_list.json': 0, 'zh_pornsignals.json': 0}}
Economic-probabilistic Model for Risk Analysis in Projects

This paper presents an economic-probabilistic model to conduct risk analysis in projects. The model integrates risk and economic project analysis by quantifying both value and probability of occurrence of potential cash flow deviations, thus resulting in an economic-probabilistic analysis of the expected returns. The model allows calculating risk-adjusted values for cash flow groups and projecting net present value through stochastic simulation. As a result, the model provides both the risk-adjusted project economic return with the associated probability distribution to its NPV and the variability that each risk factor generates in the project return.