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DEMOGRAPHY OF THE REPUBLIC OF UZBEKISTAN: STATE AND PROSPECTS OF DEVELOPMENT

The relevance of the research topic is due to the role of external and internal long-term factors on the development of demographic processes in Uzbekistan. The aim of the work is to analyze the current division of the population by territory, as well as to study the society living within a specific territory. To achieve this goal, the author attempted to assess the expected parameters of the reproduction of the rural and urban population of the republic; studied and determined the factors of the dynamic growth of the life expectancy of the urban population for the coming 30-year period; substantiated the characteristic and assessed the trends of migration processes. The author used the methods of statistical analysis and synthesis, as well as the method for predicting the reproductive health of the rural population of the Republic of Uzbekistan. The study result is the predictive data on the growth of the rural and urban population in the next 30 years. The forecasts consider the expected dynamics of the population, in accordance with the required development of social infrastructure and services, the choice of the most effective marketing strategies. The conclusion is that the population of the Republic of Uzbekistan will grow dynamically and by the end of 2050 it will be about 45 million people. The research results as predicted values may be of further use as the most important initial data for decision-making within the republican system of management of municipal and regional development.