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Black Democratic Partisanship and White Flight in Louisiana, 1975 Through 1996

In a unique study by Giles and Hertz (1994) titled "Racial Threat and Partisan Identification," an explanation is provided for defections among White Democrats in Louisiana. A pooled time-series analysis of Louisiana voter registration data from 1975 to 1990 found that higher "Black concentrations of black Democratic members are associated with declines in the percentage of white registered voters who are Democrats and an increase in the percentage who are Republicans" (p. 317). White voters in Louisiana see a large Black membership in the state's Democratic party as a threat to their continued dominance of that party. Thus, the greater the number of Blacks joining the Louisiana Democratic party, the greater the threat to White voters' interests within that party and in the state. The study concluded that White Democrats were joining the more White interest-oriented Republican party or becoming Independents due to the political threat posed by increasing Black membership (see Giles & Hertz, 1994). The study employed the theoretical assertions of "power theory," which view intergroup relationships as competitive within political, economic, and social arenas. Simply, the greater the