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Financial Development and Economic Growth in Turkey: Further Evidence on the Causality Issue

This paper examines the causal relationship between financial development and economic growth in Turkey. Five alternative proxies for financial development are developed and Granger causality tests applied using the cointegration and vector error correction methodology (VECM). The empirical results show that the direction of causality between financial development and economic growth in Turkey is sensitive to the choice of proxy used for financial development. For example, when financial development is measured by the money to income ratio the direction of causality runs from financial development to economic growth, but when the bank deposits, private credit and domestic credit ratios are alternatively used to proxy financial development, growth is found to lead financial development. On balance, however, for Turkey, growth seems to lead financial sector development.