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Developing the first national database and map of lymphatic filariasis clinical cases in Bangladesh: Another step closer to the elimination goals

Background The Bangladesh Lymphatic Filariasis (LF) Elimination Programme has made significant progress in interrupting transmission through mass drug administration (MDA) and has now focussed its efforts on scaling up managing morbidity and preventing disability (MMDP) activities to deliver the minimum package of care to people affected by LF clinical conditions. This paper highlights the Bangladesh LF Programme’s success in conducting a large-scale cross-sectional survey to determine the number of people affected by lymphoedema and hydrocoele, which enabled clinical risk maps to be developed for targeted interventions across the 34 endemic districts (19 high endemic; 15 low endemic). Methodology/Principal findings In the 19 high endemic districts, 8,145 community clinic staff were trained to identify and report patients in their catchment area. In the 15 low endemic districts, a team of 10 trained field assistants conducted active case finding with cases reported via a SMS mHealth tool. Disease burden and prevalence maps were developed, with morbidity hotspots identified at sub-district level based on a combination of the highest prevalence rates per 100,000 and case-density rates per square kilometre (km2). The relationship between morbidity and baseline microfilaria (mf) prevalence was also examined. In total 43,678 cases were identified in the 19 high endemic districts; 30,616 limb lymphoedema (70.1%; female 55.3%), 12,824 hydrocoele (29.4%), and 238 breast/female genital swelling (0.5%). Rangpur Division reported the highest cases numbers and prevalence of lymphoedema (26,781 cases, 195 per 100,000) and hydrocoele (11661 cases, 169.6 per 100,000), with lymphoedema predominately affecting females (n = 21,652). Rangpur and Lalmonirhat Districts reported the highest case numbers (n = 11,199), and prevalence (569 per 100,000) respectively, with five overlapping lymphoedema and hydrocoele sub-district hotspots. In the 15 low endemic districts, 732 cases were identified; 661 lymphoedema (90.2%; female 39.6%), 56 hydrocoele (7.8%), and 15 both conditions (2.0%). Spearman’s correlation analysis found morbidity and mf prevalence significantly positively correlated (r = 0.904; p<0.01). Conclusions/Significance The Bangladesh LF Programme has developed one of the largest, most comprehensive country databases on LF clinical conditions in the world. It provides an essential database for health workers to identify local morbidity hotspots, deliver the minimum package of care, and address the dossier elimination requirements.


Methodology/Principal findings
In the 19 high endemic districts, 8,145 community clinic staff were trained to identify and report patients in their catchment area. In the 15 low endemic districts, a team of 10 trained field assistants conducted active case finding with cases reported via a SMS mHealth tool. Disease burden and prevalence maps were developed, with morbidity hotspots identified at sub-district level based on a combination of the highest prevalence rates per 100,000 and case-density rates per square kilometre (km 2 ). The relationship between morbidity and baseline microfilaria (mf) prevalence was also examined. In total 43,678 cases were identified in the 19 high endemic districts; 30,616 limb lymphoedema (70.1%; female 55.3%), 12,824 hydrocoele (29.4%), and 238 breast/female genital swelling (0.5%). Rangpur Division reported the highest cases numbers and prevalence of lymphoedema (26,781 cases, 195 per 100,000) and hydrocoele (11661 cases, 169. 6

Introduction
The Bangladesh Lymphatic Filariasis (LF) Elimination Programme has made great strides towards eliminating LF as a public health problem [1]. The LF Programme was initiated in 2001 following the launch of the World Health Organization's (WHO) Global Programme to Elimination Lymphatic Filariasis (GPELF) [2]. It began the elimination process by addressing the GPELF's first aim of interrupting transmission through mass drug administration (MDA) [1,3,4]. At the start of the Bangladesh LF Programme, an estimated 70 million people were at risk of LF infection; caused by the parasite Wuchereria bancrofti and transmitted by the Culex sp. mosquitoes. Furthermore, tens of thousands of people were estimated to suffer from LF clinical manifestations, including lymphoedema and hydrocoele [5][6][7][8].
Over the past two decades MDA has been successfully scaled up across the 19 endemic areas with the interruption of transmission confirmed through transmission assessment surveys (TAS) [1]. The other 15 endemic districts were classified as low-endemic not requiring MDA as mf prevalence rates were below 1% [9]. Their low endemicity has also been confirmed through TAS [1], and recent molecular xenomonitoring for W. bancrofti in Culex quinquefasciatus in two districts in the northern endemic region [10]. Collectively, these implementation activities and impact assessments provide evidence that the Bangladesh programme is on target to meet the GPELF's first aim of interrupting transmission [2].
However, in order for the Bangladesh LF Programme to meet all of the GPELF's elimination requirements, it needed to address the second aim of alleviating suffering of patients by managing morbidity and preventing disability (MMDP) [2,11,12]. This component requires that a country must be able to document: (i) the number of patients with lymphoedema and hydrocoele (reported or estimated) by implementation unit (IU); (ii) 100% geographical coverage of the availability of the recommended minimum package of care; and (ii) the readiness and quality of available services, in selected designated facilities [13]. The estimated number of cases per IU allows for the proper planning and provision of services, namely the minimum package of care which comprises: (i) treatment of episodes of acute dermatolymphangiodenitis (ADLA); (ii) preventing ADLA and progression of lymphoedema to elephantiasis; (iii) ensuring access to hydrocoele surgery; and (iv) providing anti-filarial medicines to treat infection [11].
The prevention of disability due to LF clinical conditions is already a major integrated component of the Bangladesh LF Programme with the following objectives: • To list the community clinics in filariasis endemic areas for providing care • To find and report filariasis patients in endemic districts • To train caregivers at community clinics • To arrange regular management sessions at community clinics • To train patients and family caregivers on management at community clinic and at home Further, the revitalisation of community clinics is one of the priorities of the Bangladesh Government's health sector. Community clinics are small clinics at the grass root level and their main purpose is to provide first level primary care, including health education, health promotion, first aid and treatment of minor ailments to a catchment population of 6,000 to 10,000. The LF Programme aimed to maximise the use of this existing health infrastructure, and train community clinic staff to identify and report cases, as well as provide health education and information on home-based long-term care to patients and their families and caregivers. This will help to ensure that patients who are not fully capable of self-care can maintain the highest possible quality of life, degree of independence, personal fulfilment and dignity. It will also help to identify high prevalence areas, optimise the distribution of resources and determine where additional surveillance may be required to show impact.
The aim of this paper was to describe the way in which the Bangladesh LF Programme worked to provide MMDP training to upazila and community clinic staff across all endemic areas to enable them to search, identify and report the number of clinical cases found in their community clinic catchment area. Further, the number of clinical cases, prevalence and case density rates were quantified and mapped to determine the distribution of lymphoedema and hydrocoele, as well as to help identify geographical hotspots, and determine if there was a relationship with known high-risk transmission areas so that post-elimination patient care and surveillance may be optimised.

Survey sites
The 19 high endemic districts (that received MDA) considered to be the most endemic are in five of the eight administrative divisions of Bangladesh, which broadly group into three regions as shown in Fig 1. In the northern region, districts include Dinajpur, Kurigram, Lalmonirhat, Nilphamari, Panchagarh, Rangpur and Thakurgaon. In the central western region, the districts include Chuadanga, Kushtia, Meherpur, Chapainawabganj, Pabna, Rajshahi and Sirajganj. In the southern region, the districts include Barguna, Barisal, Jhalokathi, Patuakhali and Pirojpur.
The 15 low endemic districts (that did not require MDA) and considered to be the least endemic, are in five administrative divisions spread across the country, and include Bagerhat, Bandarban, Bogra, Feni, Gazipur, Gopalganj, Habiganj, Jamalpur, Jhenaidaha, Laxmipur, Munshiganj, Narayanganj, Narail, and Narshingdi, and peri-urban areas of Dhaka. Details of all districts baseline mf rates, year of patient searching, and population estimates are summarised in Table 1.

Health worker training
For the 19 high endemic districts, training was conducted in phases between 2013 and 2016. Training materials were developed by Bangladesh LF Programme using the standard WHO guidelines [11]. All staff attended a one-day training session which included background on LF in Bangladesh, MMDP, and identification and reporting of clinical cases of lymphoedema and hydrocoele. A cascade model of training was used, which included the delivery of training to community clinic staff though layers of trainers. First, the central LF Programme master trainer group conducted advocacy and training for the district trainer group, which comprised

Patient searching in high endemic districts
The cross-sectional patient searching activity was conducted over a 10-day period in phases between 2013 and 2016 following the training of community clinic staff. Community clinic staff were responsible for collecting the data by visiting each household in their respective clinic catchment area, visiting around 40 households per day. To verify that all households had been visited, community clinic data collectors were required to record contact information of 20 households visited each day, regardless of the presence of patients, which would be verified by the supervisors in that area. Data collectors recorded information for all identified patients on a paper form. Data recorded at community level included demographic information (district, upazila, union, ward, community clinic name, patient name, family head name, patient address, age, gender), condition information of lymphoedema (right/left arm, right/left leg, right/left breast), and hydrocoele. Information on ADLAs were not collected systematically and therefore not analysed.
A summary of the data was sent to the LF Programme at central level and included district, upazila, lymphoedema (arm, leg, breast) by sex, and hydrocoele, which was used in this study. No complete district-level age-specific data was available, however selected upazilas had detailed age-specific data for each condition and lymphoedema stage data, which were used to examine the number and proportion of cases across different age groups and different lymphoedema stages. The stage of lymphoedema was recorded according to the Dreyer method [14], and grouped into mild (stages 1-2), moderate (stages 3-4; enlarged limb with shallow folds), and severe (stages 5-7; greatly enlarged with deep folds).

Patient searching in low endemic districts
The cross-sectional patient searching activity was conducted in the peri-urban areas of Dhaka district in 2015, utilising the same methods as the high endemic districts where the community clinic staff were trained and conducted the patient searching activities in their catchment areas. Data collection was conducted over a 10-day period using paper forms as in the endemic districts. Summary data for each case was also reported using the mHealth system Measur-eSMS-morbidity [15][16][17][18][19] and cross-checked against the paper forms to ensure no duplication. Health workers reported a summary of each case identified via a mobile phone short message service (SMS) text, reporting the location (upazila, union), age, sex, condition (lymphoedema, hydrocoele or both conditions), the severity (for lymphoedema) and number of acute attacks in the last six months.
In the remaining 14 low endemic districts, data collection was conducted between February 2016 and January 2017 using paper forms as in the endemic districts, and summary data was reported through the MeasureSMS system. Data collection was carried out by a centrallytrained mHealth team of 10 data collectors that would visit each of the districts and conduct patient searching by visiting the upazila health facilities and gathering records of any known patients, and then would conduct house-to-house searching for patients in each upazila, confirming health facility records, and recording any additional patients identified through community informants. Data collection was conducted on average for a 10-day period, and all patients were reported by SMS to the MeasureSMS system.

Data analysis, mapping and hotspot identification
For the high endemic districts, all data were collected by paper, then entered into Microsoft Excel Version 12.3.6 (Microsoft Corp., Redmond, VA, USA) and analysed using IBM SPSS Statistics 32 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). Data were tabulated to determine the total number of lymphoedema, hydrocoele and other conditions (namely breast and female genital lymphoedema) at district and upazila level. For the low endemic districts, data were downloaded from the MeasureSMS database into Microsoft Excel, with the count of each condition tabulated at district level. A summary of the different patient searching and reporting methods and associated costs are presented in Table 2.
For all districts, clinical prevalence estimates per 100,000 people were calculated using the population estimates based on the year of patient searching, which were extrapolated from the 2011 census using the annual growth rates [20]. District populations are summarised in Table 1. For high endemic districts, prevalence rates at upazila level were also calculated to better help to identify focal areas of high clinical prevalence. In addition, to account for the different geographical sizes of the upazilas and to better understand the spatial density of lymphoedema and hydrocoele cases, the case-density per square kilometre (km 2 ) was calculated.
The geographic distributions of lymphoedema and hydrocoele cases, prevalence rates and case-density rates were mapped at the district and upazila level. Maps were created in in Arc-GIS 10.5.1 (ESRI, Redlands, California) using administrative boundaries available from Geo-DASH (https://geodash.gov.bd). To identify potential morbidity hotspots i.e. high risk areas that could be readily identified by LF Programme to prioritise MMDP interventions, the 10 upazilas with the highest case prevalence rates per 100,000 and highest case-density rates per km 2 were selected and mapped together, to identify the upazilas that had both the highest prevalence and case-density rates.
Further, to account for the impact of previous hydrocoele surgery campaigns and routine hospital surgeries conducted in the high endemic districts between 2003 and 2012 [21], the number of hydrocoele surgeries recorded from the districts were summarised from annual reports.

Relationship between district baseline mf prevalence and clinical prevalence rates
To determine if there is a relationship between the baseline mf prevalence, and the clinical case prevalence rates, the district baseline mf prevalence rates recorded at the start of the programme before the upscaling of MDA were correlated with the clinical prevalence rates of all total cases, lymphoedema, and hydrocoele) using Spearman's correlation. Further, simple linear regressions using the ln function of the R statistical package (R Core Team, 2013) were used to determine if mf prevalence could predict the overall prevalence, lymphoedema prevalence and hydrocoele prevalence.

Ethics statement
The LF patient identification and reporting activities are part of routine programme activities conducted by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MOHFW), Bangladesh, and therefore ethical clearance and written consent in Bangladesh was not required. Patients were informed of the procedures, and oral consent was given to record and report the details relating to their conditions, however this was not documented. Ethical approval was obtained from the Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine Research Ethics Committee (Research Protocol 12.22) to support MOHFW programme activities and analysis of data. All data were analysed anonymously.

District-level training, case numbers and prevalence rates
High endemic districts. Health worker training and patient searching activities were conducted between 2013 and 2016 across the 19 high endemic districts, with an estimated total population of 34.8 million. A total of 3,396 community clinics (mean 179; range 75-313 per district) were provided with materials to deliver the minimum package of care at the community level (Table 3). A total of 1,313 upazila level Health Inspectors and Assistant Health Inspectors (HI/AHI) (mean 61; range 21-119 per district), and 8,145 community clinic staff (mean 429; range 62-939 per district) were trained in MMDP practices, and to identify and report cases of lymphoedema and hydrocoele in their community, regardless of causality, to help ensure all patients would receive care. The average district cost of this activity was 1,074,982 BDT (est. US$12,952) ( Table 2).
The overall clinical case prevalence for the 19 high endemic districts was 125.4 per 100,000 population; for leg and/or arm lymphoedema it was 87.9 per 100,000, and for hydrocoele 74.0 per 100,000 (Table 4). Overall, the leg and/or arm lymphoedema prevalence rate was significantly higher in females (147.2 per 100,000) than males (37.3 per 100,000) (OR 3.85; 95% CIs 3.74-3.96; P< 0.0001). Regionally, the highest prevalence rate, including all conditions, was reported in Rangpur Division (280.9 per 100,000), with the highest district rates in Lalmonirhat (568.9), Nilphamari (385.3), and Rangpur (379.5). The prevalence rates in other divisions were 6 to 50 times lower than Rangpur Division, with the central Barisal Division rate 45.1 per 100,000 (district range 29.7-109.2), Rajshahi Division 17.1 per 100,000 (district range 8.5-53.4) and the lowest rate in Khulna Division 5.6 per 100,000 (district range 0-7.8).
Low endemic districts. Health worker training and patient searching activities were conducted between 2015 and 2017 across the 15 low endemic districts, with an estimated total population of 30.5 million. Peri-urban Dhaka was mapped first in 2015, with a total of 93 community clinic staff trained to identify and report LF clinical conditions. The remaining 14 districts were completed in 2016 and 2017 by a team of 10 data collectors. The cost of this activity in Dhaka was 657, 493 BDT (est. US$ 7,922) and the average cost of the remaining districts was 590,714 BDT (est. US$7,114) ( Table 2).
In total, 732 clinical cases were identified and reported from the 15 low endemic districts, which comprised 676 cases of lymphoedema (92.3%), 71 cases of hydrocoele in men (9.7%), and 15 men found with both conditions (2.0%) ( Table 5). Overall, the number of leg and/or arm lymphoedema cases was 1.6 times higher in males (n = 415) than females (n = 261). Regionally, the highest number of cases, including all conditions, was reported in the Dhaka Division across 7 districts (n = 257) and Khulna Division across three districts (n = 225), with the highest number from Narshingdi District (n = 58) and Bagherhat District (n = 136) respectively. The lowest regional number of cases was reported in Sylhet Division in one district (n = 48). The overall clinical case prevalence for the 15 low endemic districts was 2.4 per 100,000; for leg and/or arm lymphoedema it was 2.4 per 100,000, and for hydrocoele 0.5 per 100,000 (Table 5). Overall the leg and/or arm lymphoedema prevalence was significantly higher in males (2.7 per 100,000) than females (1.7 per 100,000) (OR 1.6, 95% CIs 1.4-1.9 P< 0.0001). Regionally, the highest prevalence rate, including all conditions, was found in Khulna Division (5.3 per 100,000) and Chittagong Division (3.7 per 100,000), with the highest districts rates within those divisions found in Bagherhat District (8.8 per 100,000) and Laxmipur District (3.9 per 100,000) and respectively. The lowest regional prevalence rate was found in Dhaka Division (1.5 per 100,000).
The upazila with the highest hydrocoele prevalence rates (range 129.3-486.3 per 100,000) and case-density rates (range 1.5-5.3 per km 2 ) were all found in Rangpur Division (Fig 3). The highest rates were found to overlap in seven upazilas from four districts across the area to define four small geographically distinct 'hydrocoele hotspots', and included Lalmonirhat

Upazila-level age-specific and lymphoedema stage analysis
Reported data on patient' age and lymphoedema stage were limited but available for the hotspot upazilas of Taraganj (Rangpur) and Haripur (Thakurgaon), which were examined together with two other (non-hotspot) upazilas with data available namely, Baliadangi (Thakurgaon) and Tatulia (Panchagarh). Cases with information on age and/or lymphoedema stage were included in the analysis.   In Taraganj, there were 539 leg lymphoedema and 701 hydrocoele cases, in Haripur 242  lymphoedema and 401 hydrocoele, in Baliadangi 332 lymphoedema and 219 hydrocoele, and  Tatulia 76 lymphoedema and hydrocoele 146 cases. The number of lymphoedema cases was 2.0 to 4.6 times higher in females than males; Taraganj (96 male; 443 female), Haripur (65 male, 177 female), Baliadangi (111 male, 221 female) and Tatulia (27 male; 49 female).
The average age of male and female lymphoedema cases, and hydrocoele cases were similar in all four upazilas; Taraganj lymphoedema (48.5 male, 47.9 female) and hydrocoele (41.5), Haripur lymphoedema (48.5 male, 48.9 female) and hydrocoele (43.2), Baliadangi lymphoedema (49.2 male, 48.7 female) and hydrocoele (46.0) and Tatulia lymphoedema (42.6 male; 48.2 female) and hydrocoele (41.3). The number of lymphoedema cases increased with age, especially among females as shown in Fig 4. The number of hydrocele cases also increased with age, however, the patterns were more variable, and possibility influenced by the number of surgeries conducted in the region as noted above.

Correlation between district baseline mf prevalence and clinical prevalence rates
Spearman's correlations showed significant positive associations between the baseline mf prevalence and the overall prevalence 0.882 (p<0.01), lymphoedema prevalence 0.873 (p<0.01) and hydrocoele prevalence 0.858 (p<0.01). Linear regressions run to predict overall case prevalence, lymphoedema prevalence and hydrocoele prevalence resulted in adjusted R2 values of 0.848, 0.765 and 0.853 respectively.

Discussion
This paper highlights the significant efforts of the Bangladesh LF Elimination Programme to train a large cadre of upazila and community clinic staff to identify and report people affected by LF in endemic areas. The extensive data collected has facilitated the development of the first national database and map of LF clinical cases in Bangladesh, which represents one of the most comprehensive databases available in the world. This provides an informative baseline database for the LF programme and local health workers to use with good estimates on the number of patients, which will help assess the readiness and quality of services to deliver the minimum package of care. It will also help to identify and target morbidity hotspots, which were defined based on a combination of prevalence and case density rates. While this comprehensive approach of patient searching required significant time and resources, it was considered better than other methods that potentially underestimate the real burden of disease [15,22,23]. It also provides a template for other countries to adopt and develop national strategies to manage morbidity and preventing disability as recommended by GPELF.
In the high endemic districts, the health worker training and patient searching activities were well planned and conducted in phases over a four-year period, covering an estimated 34.8 million people. The extensive training at the community clinics will facilitate the integration of LF clinical care into the primary health care system as they are expected to provide lymphoedema management at community level and encourage patients to access care and receive advise and counselling on their condition. The house-to-house patient census provides detailed information on the number and type of cases at the IU level, which is required for the validation dossier [13].
Importantly, the data provide a good foundation to develop post-elimination surveillance strategies to ensure the numbers progressively decline over time, and no new cases emerge. The programme is working with the Management Information System (MIS) department of the MOHFW to incorporate indicators into the District Health Information System (DHIS, version 2) to enable the long-term reporting of new cases, and patient access to care (lymphoedema management and hydrocele surgery) by health facilities. These indicators and reporting requirements will be incorporated into the next phase of health worker training to ensure proper use and data quality. The data will also help to ensure gender-sensitive patient care and treatment packages are implemented to address the different clinical conditions affecting males and female patients.
Most men with hydrocoele will need surgery, and the capacity of hospitals will need to be assessed to determine if they have the essential infrastructure, human and financial resources to conduct hundreds to thousands of operations over the next decade. A hospital facility assessment survey tool is currently being developed and will be trialled in endemic districts in 2019. This will help the LF programme identify the hospitals that are fit-for-purpose and able the scale-up surgeries, thus ensuring quality of care, as required by the GPELF [13]. The LF programme aims to significantly reduce the LF caused hydrocoele burden by 2030 as part of the updated national eradication plan, and it will be important that they target all age groups as we found young men also affected. To reduce the backlog of cases, the LF programme have conducted hydrocele surgery campaigns in high burden districts since 2016, delivering over 1200 surgeries to date, with another 1300 surgeries planned for 2019. This will be a significant achievement and improve the socio-economic status and quality of life of tens of thousands of men, their families and caregivers [24-28], especially in highly endemic districts such as Rangpur and Thakurgaon.
In contrast, the lymphoedema patients, who were predominately female, will need to implement home-based MMDP strategies for the rest of their lives in order to prevent ADLAs and the worsening of their condition [14,29]. Studies elsewhere have also shown that lymphoedema affects females more than males [30,31], however the reasons are not well understood and could be due to gender related exposure, sex hormones, or genetics [32]. More information on the impact of lymphoedema, why it affects women more, and how they can better manage the long-term disability is urgently required, as it has wide range of physical, social and economic affects [33]. Compared with people unaffected, lymphoedema patients have a significantly poorer quality of life, impeding their mobility, earning potential and ability to spend on necessary healthcare [34].
Overall, most patients were found to have mild stage of lymphoedema and will be able to manage their condition through home-based care. However, the smaller proportion of patients with severe stage lymphoedema, which largely affected older people, will require more specialised care, and may be more vulnerable to ADLAs as shown in other studies [35]. Information on ADLAs was not systematically collected and included in the current database, however clinic staff have since been advised to conduct lymphoedema management sessions regularly (fortnightly or monthly) to enable lymphoedema patients to access care, receive advice and counselling on their condition. Additionally, clinics are now equipped to provide treatment for ALDAs at any time.
The WHO recommends good hygiene, skin care, limb exercise and elevation, and proper footwear [11,12], which are effective low-tech interventions with improvements translating to socio-economic benefits and improved quality of life for patients, their families and caregivers [36][37][38][39][40][41]. However, as new alternative physical and therapeutic intervention strategies [42,43] become available and/or are recommended by the WHO, it will be important for the LF programme to adopt them and devise new plans to train health workers and reach patients, as they are likely to improve patients' conditions more rapidly and for longer periods.
In the low endemic districts, the combination of mobile teams, community clinic staff and local informants found very low numbers of cases, which correlate with low baseline prevalences and recent negative TAS results [1]. This helps to confirm that LF is not a significant public health problem in these 15 districts, and a similar method could be used in the nonendemic districts if cases were suspected. Regardless, the community clinic health staff in these low endemic areas will still require training to implement patient care and treatment to ensure that no-one is left behind [44]. This may be challenging when cases are sparse, but the LF programme should aim to learn as much as possible from implementing MMDP activities in these low endemic communities, as they may reflect the future situation in highly endemic areas as case numbers progressively decline to zero. The use of the adapted patient searching method may be better use of human and financial resources [19].
Overall there was a significant correlation between mf and clinical prevalence rates, which suggests that mf prevalence data may be used to model and predict clinical burden in unmapped areas, with only selected field verification needed. This could help national programmes save time and resources in establishing the case estimates required for the dossier [13], and direct where detailed mapping may be required, and/or care and treatment packages needed most. National programmes should start in high sero-prevalence areas where the clinical burden is likely to be highest. However, it is important to note that the number of cases, and the relationship between mf and clinical prevalence, may vary across different epidemiological settings. Further, Bangladesh and other national programmes should aim to measure, monitor and model the decline of clinical prevalence and impact of interventions, similar to transmission models [45][46][47], as they will help predict the resources needed over time. The Bangladesh programme is planning an updated census and mapping of clinical cases every five years, especially in morbidity hotspot areas to help track progress and secure the government resources required to continue long-term essential care to patients.
This study found geographically well-defined morbidity hotspots in the northern Rangpur Division, which overlap with areas of high baseline prevalence and TAS positive children [1]. This high prevalence region is a high priority for the LF programme, and the collective use of the available sero-prevalence, TAS and morbidity datasets will help to develop targeted postelimination surveillance strategies, which will need to be integrated into national health systems to ensure that the national and global elimination goals are reached and maintained over the next decade.