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Armed opposition disputes threaten Ethiopian stability


 Significance
 The development was met with silence from the OLF leadership and little fanfare from the government, even though the two sides had been involved in rising conflict over recent months, with disarmament at the centre of the dispute. 
 
 
 Impacts
 If the OLF remains militarily active, other returned armed groups could reassess their options.
 The lack of credible commitments between former armed groups and the government could undermine the agreements between them.
 Rebel activism along ethnic lines could deepen inter-communal mistrust and lead to ethnic violence and further displacements.
 Deepening violence in Oromia, the largest of Ethiopia’s ethnic federal states, could destabilise the entire country.
