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The Unfortunate Triumph of Destiny

One of the more telling statements by President George W. Bush was his assertion to writer Bob Woodward that he responds to a “higher father” than his own. There is something of the gut instinct at work here, something driving our president’s most important decisions that often supersedes valid and compelling sources of information. At its worst, it is not unrealistic to consider that this process of decision making has cost the world hundreds if not thousands of lives. But the process itself should no longer be surprising. There are patterns of behavior behind Bush’s decisions that are quite consistent, with one very strange commonality: the inability to fully understand the principle of cause and effect. The big decisions, like going to war, appear to be driven by faith, hope, and God rather than by any empirical evidence that could provide a rational understanding of the outcome of such a decision. Despite evidence to the contrary, there was a strong belief by our leaders that our invasion of Iraq would yield a shower of rose petals and instant peace. In reality, the dots were never connected between the action of invading a sovereign country and the impending consequences, which many would argue have now put the United States at a much higher risk than before the invasion. A further distortion of cause and effect was used to justify the war by assigning Saddam Hussein implicit responsibility for some portion of 9/11.