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Estimate of the excess of deaths reported compared to the report of deaths from covid-19 in peru from march to may 2020

Introduction: Mortality from COVID-19 is increasing, this being a concern for the authorities and the general population Objective: To estimate the existence of an excess of total deaths between the months of March to May 2020 with respect to the number of deaths from COVID-19 reported by the Ministry of Health for COVID-19 and to establish a relationship between the excess of total deaths and the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru Methods: we compared the gap between the National System of Deaths (SINADEF) with the official deaths reported by COVID -19 from March 1 to May 31, 2020;Violent deaths (homicide, suicide, traffic accident;other accidents and unknown deaths) were excluded To estimate the baseline of deaths, a seasonal linear regression was used, from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2019 with a 95% confidence interval The deaths reported in the National System of Deaths were compared to the initial deaths The excess of reported deaths was estimated using the "simple difference method" Results: The results of the investigation show that the total excess deaths, from March 1 to May 31, 2020, is 2 24 times higher than the official number of deaths reported by COVID-19 Conclusions: The differences found may be directly associated with an unrecorded death from COVID-19 and other general causes of death related to failures in our Public Health System during the period of the pandemic