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Using Bus Probe Data for Analysis of Travel Time Variability

The rapid progress of information technology (IT) may provide us with new insights into understanding traffic phenomena, and could help mitigate traffic problems. One of the key applications of IT to traffic and transport analysis is the identification of the location of moving objects using the Global Positioning System (GPS). It is expected that detailed traffic analysis could be carried out using these data. In this article, we first summarize the various applications of probe data in transport analysis. GPS data are merely a sequence of locations, and further data transformation such as map-matching, data-reduction, processing, and reporting is needed to use them effectively. We then discuss the application of bus probe data to evaluating travel time variability and the level of service (LOS) of roads. A methodology for evaluating the road network from the viewpoint of travel time stability and reliability using bus probe data is proposed. Travel time distributions of arbitrary routes are estimated by statistically summing up directly observed multiple travel time distributions. Based on the development of methodologies to estimate travel time distributions of arbitrary routes covered by the bus probe survey, this study proposes an approach to evaluate the LOS of road networks based on the concept of travel time reliability.