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Analysis of Emigration in Europe Using the Spatial Dynamic Shift-Share Method

Abstract The aim of the paper is to examine the pace of change in emigration levels in 24 selected European countries from 1999 to 2012, by age, country and the reference area. The spatial dynamic shift-share method is used in this research. The study analyses each country’s share and identifies structural as well as geographic factors in the volume of the net global effect. It also considers a spatial weights matrix. Results reveal that the global mean pace of change in the emigration is positive. The pace of phenomenon is the fastest among individuals aged 45–64 and also 35–44 years and in Czech Rep., Lithuania, Spain, Hungary and Germany.