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Preconditions of Disaster: Premonitions of Tragedy

Disasters are not events; they are processes. True, news media inevitably focuses our attentions on the disaster singularity because it makes such compelling coverage. In the era of reality TV its about as good as it gets. Buildings are torn apart as we watch, people are seen in abject distress; there are miraculous escapes and heroic rescues and, as the cameras follow rescue workers into the rubble of buildings or search houses as flood waters recede, we might even see a real (live?) corpse. The only thing to compare is war reporting. Watching disaster coverage live on television is something akin to necro-voyeurism. But like wars and other forms of deadly conflict, disasters are anything but the singularities portrayed in news coverage. They have long portentous rehearsals and extended coda, little of which makes for entertainment like graphic scenes of destruction. The purpose of these remarks is to highlight the social conditions that lead to disaster, drawing on global and local lessons from natural disasters and deadly conflicts