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Probabilistic travel modeling using GPS

Recreation simulation modeling, when combined with intelligent monitoring, is becoming a valuable tool for natural resource managers. The goal of recreation simulation is to accurately model recreational use, both current and future. Models are applied to gain a thorough understanding of the characteristics of recreation. Indicator variables such as visitor experience, carrying capacity and impact on resources can be computed. If the model is valid it can be used to predict future use as well as to investigate the effect of new scenarios and management decisions.