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The Nonlinear Dynamics of International Conflict

A nonlinear dynamic model is presented that reconciles balance-of-power and preponderance-of-power theories of international conflict in terms of the interaction of economic and political constraints. It is shown that the apparent paradox and complexity of conflict trajectories arise as much from the nonlinear nature of the system as from the multiplicity of causes. Convergent, explosive, oscillating, and chaotic regimes arise from the model depending on the choice of parameters.