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Immigrant Fertility Trends and Population Growth in Leeds

A simple population-projection model is presented which is used to predict the future numbers of Commonwealth immigrants in Leeds CB. The assumptions concerning survival and immigration used in the model are stated fully. The rates of fertility of immigrant groups in Leeds are investigated along with the trends in these rates in the historical period. These trends are used to calculate future fertility rates for the immigrant groups in Leeds CB. The results of the projection model are presented for each census date up to 1986 and conclusions are drawn from this information.