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Annual variation rate of KL-6 for predicting acute exacerbation in patients with rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease

Abstract Objectives This study evaluated the prognostic factors for acute exacerbation (AE), including sequential changes in Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) levels, in rheumatoid arthritis-associated interstitial lung disease (RA-ILD) patients. Methods This was a retrospective observational study. We reviewed 125 patients diagnosed with RA-ILD between 2010 and 2019. We defined ΔKL-6 as the annual variation rate of KL-6 one visit before AE onset (or the last visit). The Cox regression analysis was used for evaluating significant variables associated with AE. We analysed the overall survival and respiratory-related death-free survival. Results Thirty-three patients (26.4%) developed AE during the observation period. The univariate analysis revealed that KL-6 levels at RA-ILD diagnosis [hazard ratio (HR), 1.11; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.05–1.15; p < .01) and ΔKL-6 (HR: 3.69; 95% CI: −1.36 to 7.96; p = .01] were significantly associated with AE. ΔKL-6 was an independent prognostic factor for AE in the multivariate analysis (HR: 3.37; 95% CI: −1.16 to 8.87; p = .03). Patients with AE had a significantly higher overall mortality rate (p = .02) and respiratory-related mortality rate (p < .01) than those without AE. Conclusion ΔKL-6 can be a prognostic marker for detecting AE in RA-ILD patients.