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Fictive Learning in Choice under Uncertainty: A Logistic Regression Model

This paper is an exposition of an experiment on revealed preferences, where we posit a novel discrete binary choice model. To estimate this model, we use general estimating equations or GEE. This is a methodology originating in biostatistics for estimating regression models with correlated data. In this paper, we focus on the motivation for our approach, the logic and intuition underlying our analysis and a summary of our findings. The missing technical details are in the working paper by Bunn et al. (2013). The experimental data is available from the corresponding author: donald.brown@yale.edu. The recruiting poster and informed consent form are attached as appendices.