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[Quantifying the Developments of Shortages in Public Health Specialists in the Public Health Service and its Effects].

The institutions of the Public Health Service at the level of the federal government, the states and the local authorities play a central role in public health in Germany. To manage the many practical tasks of health protection, disease prevention and health promotion in accordance with legal requirements, employees with different skills work together and contribute to social coherence. There are no empirical data on nationwide staffing levels. For years, different actors have been reporting a decreasing number of public health consultants and associated quality of public health work. The aim of this study was to quantify the public health consultant decline and to present regional trends. Regularly collected and freely available data on medical consultants registered in Germany from 1998 to 2018 were descriptively analysed with regard to developments in the number of consultants in Germany, in the regions of the Medical Associations, by specialty and age. While the total number of medical consultants in Germany has continuously increased (52%), the number of those working in administrative positions, public corporate bodies, etc. has remained relatively constant at 2%. In contrast, the number of public health consultants working in administrative offices, public corporate bodies, etc. over the last 20 years has decreased by almost 30%. Similar developments can be seen in all regions, with some even larger decreases in some regions. Bavaria is the only region with a contrasting development. There is almost no new generation of public health consultants and the number of older consultants in this field is increasing. Against this background, the availability of a sufficient number of qualified professionals to manage administrative and other tasks relevant to population medicine must be questioned. These developments threaten public health in general, public concern for vulnerable population groups in particular, and ultimately the functioning of the democratic welfare state.