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The Great Human Capital Reallocation: An Empirical Analysis of Occupational Mobility in Transitional Russia

This paper employs the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey, a nationwide panel, to inquire into the magnitude, determinants, and consequences of occupational moility in Russia from 1985 to 1998. We show that the restructuring process leads to a higher rate of occupational reallocation. Structural changes account for the substantial part of the increase in gross occupational flows. A model built in the paper outlines the major explanatory factors of increased mobility during transition. The empirical analysis demonstrates that the destruction of existing jobs and occupations and the creation of new opportunities are important explanations for increased occupational mobility in transitional Russia. The econometric results also indicate that the local outside opportunities and the scales of structural change largely determine the probability of occupational switching.