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Risk simulation for residential development: A case study for an uncertain market in South Africa

Risk assessment (RA) can be considered to be a sub-system of risk management (RM). Some socioeconomic aspects of creating uncertainty in a residential development in a South African case study are discussed within a systems context. The cultural dimension creating uncertainty in the residential development undertaken by a Chinese company in South Africa is also explored. Conceptual risk simulation using the Monte Carlo method is presented to assess the effect of interest fluctuations on the development.