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AFDC, a City's Racial and Ethnic Composition, and Burglary

This study explores whether and how AFDC and a city's racial and ethnic composition are related to burglary. Analyses were conducted for 140 cities for which data on burglary, AFDC, cost of living, racial and ethnic makeup, unemployment, and other relevant social and economic variables were available. Cost-of-living-adjusted AFDC payment per recipient was found to have a negative effect on burglary. This relationship held when racial and ethnic community composition and other factors were controlled. The results provide support for the "strain" theory of crime and suggest that caution be used in efforts to reform the welfare system in order to avoid changes that might increase crime.