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SEMIPARAMETRIC REGRESSION MODEL FOR RECURRENT BACTERIAL INFECTIONS AFTER HEMATOPOIETIC STEM CELL TRANSPLANTATION.

Patients who undergo hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) often experience multiple bacterial infections during the early post-transplant period. In this article, we consider a semiparametric regression model that correlates patient- and transplant-related risk factors with inter-infection gap times. Existing regression methods for recurrent gap times are not directly applicable to study post-transplant infection because the initiating event (transplant) is different than the recurrent events of interest (post-transplant infections); as a result, the time from transplant to the first infection and the time elapsed between consecutive infections have distinct biological meanings and hence follow different distributions. Moreover, risk factors may have different effects on these two types of gap times. We propose a semiparametric estimation procedure to evaluate the covariate effects on time from transplant to thefirst infection and on gap times between consecutive infections simultaneously. The proposed estimator accounts for dependent censoring induced by within-subject correlation among recurrent gap times and length bias in the last censored gap time due to intercept sampling. We study the finite sample properties through simulations and present an application of the proposed method to the post-HSCT bacterial infection data collected at the University of Minnesota.