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Analysis of port and inland transport mode selection

Decisions on port selection and inland mode choice for ocean-going container cargo are usually determined simultaneously. In this paper, a discrete choice model is developed for modeling the port selection and inland mode selection in South China. Quantification of the effects and the dynamics of different determinants in port selection and mode selection behavior are important for the assessment of any potential logistic infrastructure and the overall improvement of logistic network in the whole region. With the established model, the effect of the Hong Kong - Zhuhai - Macau Bridge, which will commence operation in 2016, was evaluated. On the contrary to the general belief, it was found that the bridge will not help Hong Kong Port in obtaining more containerized cargo from west PRD region because that the additional trucking route via the bridge will not significantly reduce the general cost of Hong Kong Port.