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The Prewarning of Profile Modification Method in a High Water Oil Field

Abstract The authors introduce the concept of early warning that is widely used in military and economic fields to profile control and water shutoff decision making. They present a strong adaptive set of warning signs of indicators on the basis of the analysis of variation in the warning signs of indicators, and propose an early warning model. The model not only can give the current degree of a single well, but also can forecast the future degree of change in a period of time, so this model could provide an effective basis for water shutoff and profile control decision makers.