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DYNAMICAL BEHAVIORS OF AN INFLUENZA EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH VIRUS MUTATION

Influenza virus mutates frequently. This poses immense challenges to prevent the spread of influenza. This paper aims to investigate an influenza epidemic model in which influenza virus can mutate into a mutant influenza virus. We find a threshold condition that determines the stability of the disease-free equilibrium. Two equilibria may also exist: mutant-dominant equilibrium and endemic equilibrium. We show that the mutant-dominant equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable under some biological feasible conditions. Furthermore, the influenza is endemic in the sense of permanence if and only if the endemic equilibrium exists. Numerical simulations are also performed to illustrate theoretical results and demonstrate the effects of disease-induced death on the dynamics of the model.