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AI-Based Predictive Modelling of the Onset and Progression of Dementia

Dementia, the most severe expression of cognitive impairment, is among the main causes of disability in older adults and currently affects over 55 million individuals. Dementia prevention is a global public health priority, and recent studies have shown that dementia risk can be reduced through non-pharmacological interventions targeting different lifestyle areas. The FINnish GERiatric Intervention Study to Prevent Cognitive Impairment and Disability (FINGER) has shown a positive effect on cognition in older adults at risk of dementia through a 2-year multidomain intervention targeting lifestyle and vascular risk factors. The LETHE project builds on these findings and will provide a digital-enabled FINGER intervention model for delaying or preventing the onset of cognitive decline. An individualised ICT-based multidomain, preventive lifestyle intervention program will be implemented utilising behaviour and intervention data through passive and active data collection. Artificial intelligence and machine learning methods will be used for data-driven risk factor prediction models. An initial model based on large multinational datasets will be validated and integrated into an 18-month trial integrating digital biomarkers to further improve the model. Furthermore, the LETHE project will investigate the concept of federated learning to, on the one hand, protect the privacy of the health and behaviour data and, on the other hand, to provide the opportunity to enhance the data model easily by integrating additional clinical centres.