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Long-Term Statistical Analysis of Typhoon Wave Heights With Poisson-Maximum Entropy Distribution

Using the maximum typhoon wave height series observed at Nakagusukuwan Observation Station in Japan, a novel compound distribution, Poisson-maximum entropy distribution, is proposed to calculate typhoon wave height return values. In this paper, both the Annual Maximum method and Peak Over Threshold method are adopted for long-term wave height analysis. Calculation results by Peak Over Threshold method show that the choice of threshold slightly affects the return values of wave height under the same long statistical series. For a relatively short sample by the Peak Over Threshold method, the estimation accuracy is still higher under the condition that the maximum typhoon wave height is included in the statistical sample.© 2009 ASME