Libya (Third Time’s the Charm)

Two attempts at nation building, Iraq and Afghanistan, have schooled hard lessons for America.  Experience is a difficult teacher, but lessons are learned.  Success in Libya is not difficult to define.  Success is an interim democratic-revolutionary government in opposition to Kaddafi, that survives the democratic revolution, ousts Kaddafi, gains control of Libya governance, and is capable of holding democratic governance in opposition to al-qaeda and other internal or external autocratic anarchies.

The US position, once this interim government is organized, is simple.  Support and recognize the government, aid it against Kaddafi and al-qaeda, and mentor it to an era of successful democratic governance.

A mentoring window of opportunity exists as long as the current Kaddafi opposition is in need of outside help and support.  Once the government is formed, outside influence on government structure and formation no longer exists.  Once the government is formed, America is obliged to deal with it, “weak” or  “strong”.

The most important lesson learned from Iraq and Afghanistan is that emerging democratic governments are extremely fragile, corruptible, and unreliable.  For this reason, the interim government must be smartly structured with robust, incorruptible, and reliable institutions.

The structure of third millennium emerging democratic constitutions must be “smartly” designed.  Larger participant numbers are needed in the congress and presidency.  This leads to greater popular identification, consensus, and public trust of government.

A multiple-vote president executive of 5 to 9 presidents “balances” autocratic and corrupt tendencies prevalent in “new” democratic executive branches.  Multiple presidents self-monitor internal executive corruptions and election fraud.  This is done in simple self-interest of existing elected presidents.

Large congressional bodies similarly mitigate corruption and election frauds. 26,600 citizens per congressperson is the representation ratio (“quorum”) of the American revolution and America’s first congress.  1776 America was composed mostly of poor and illiterate farmers.  The current state of Libya is not  far from the state of 1776 America.

America’s revolutionary “quorum” of 26,666 citizens per congressperson survived the revolution and went on to democratically revolutionize the world.  It is egregious to believe that an elected “monarchy” and undersized congress,  like exists in Iraq and Afghanistan, will see any less “lukewarm” success as already seen in Iraq and Afghanistan.  The 26,000 “starter” ratio is very stable and known to work.  For example the 352 Afghan assembly, increased to 1055 seats, offers more stable governance and consensus.  Karzai style corruption is not possible in a five voting president executive.

New democracies must be “participant/representative” heavy to overcome the challenges of democratic startup in the form of corruption, instability, and autocratic tyranny.

Smart emerging democratic structures will survive and succeed better.  America must insist on dealing only with “smart”, robust, incorruptible, and reliable emerging democratic governments. This policy greater assures American success in nation building.

It’s time for elections in Libya (ongoing revolution or not) and formation of a “smart”, robust, incorruptible, and reliable democratic government.




twitter: @_marp

How to spell Kaddafi.


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