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Non-invasive tumor probability maps developed using autopsy tissue identify novel areas of tumor beyond the imaging-defined margin

Background: This study identified a clinically significant subset of glioma patients with tumor outside of contrast-enhancement present at autopsy, and subsequently developed a method for detecting non-enhancing tumor using radio-pathomic mapping. We tested the hypothesis that autopsy-based radio-pathomic tumor probability maps would be able to non-invasively identify areas of infiltrative tumor beyond traditional imaging signatures. Methods: A total of 159 tissue samples from 65 subjects were aligned to MRI acquired nearest to death for this study. Demographic and survival characteristics for patients with and without tumor beyond the contrast-enhancing margin were computed. An ensemble algorithm was used to predict pixelwise tumor presence from pathological annotations using segmented cellularity (Cell), extracellular fluid (ECF), and cytoplasm (Cyt) density as input (6 train/3 test subjects). A second level of ensemble algorithms were used to predict voxel-wise Cell, ECF, and Cyt on the full dataset (43 train/22 test subjects) using 5-by-5 voxel tiles from T1, T1+C, FLAIR, and ADC as input. The models were then combined to generate non-invasive whole brain maps of tumor probability. Results: Tumor outside of contrast was identified in 41.5% of patients, who showed worse survival outcomes (HR=3.90, p<0.001). Tumor probability maps reliably tracked non-enhancing tumor in the test set, external data collected pre-surgery, and longitudinal data to identify treatment-related changes and anticipate recurrence. Conclusion: This study developed a multi-stage model for mapping gliomas using autopsy tissue samples as ground truth, which was able to identify regions of tumor beyond traditional imaging signatures.