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Looking Back to See the Future of Corrections

The future of correctional institutions depends on key demographic, social, economic, and political conditions in the larger society. For example, the economy increasingly demands skills and attitudes that poor, urban populations have little chance of acquiring. Thus young persons turn to crime because they are unable to compete in the conventional economy. Likewise, single-parent families are increasing, and so more children are growing up in poverty and are being reared in extremely disadvantaged circumstances. Consequently, youth find it difficult to identify with definitions of conventional behavior that are the foundation of criminal law. The best predictors of the future of corrections are relevant trends in the past. If these trends continue, incarceration rates will remain high, and inmate populations will be drawn from unskilled, poor, powerless, and angry populations who come from deteriorated households and dangerous environments.