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Development of a Yield Projection Technique for Arizona Cotton

A series of boll measurements were taken at numerous locations in cotton producing areas across Arizona in 1999 in an attempt to continue to develop a yield prediction model with a project that began in 1993. Results from 1995 showed the strongest relationship between final open boll counts and yield compared to a number of other measurements. Based on these results, data collection on boll counts began in 1996 and has continued in 1997, 1998, and 1999. Boll counts were taken as the number of harvestable bolls per meter. All boll count measurements were made within one week of harvest. Number of bolls per unit area were then correlated to lint yield and an estimate for the number of bolls per area needed to produce a bale of lint was calculated. Estimates using all four years of data combined indicate that approximately 38 bolls per meter are needed to produce one bale of lint per acre.