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Does Cancellation of Preferential Tax Policy Reduce Foreign Direct Investment Inflows?

In light of recent tax cuts by the US, should China reintroduce a preferential tax policy to attract foreign direct investment? This paper investigates whether China's 2008 tax policy change affected inward foreign direct investment. In contrast to previous studies, we break foreign investment down into suspect and real foreign investment using firm‐level data from 1998 to 2008 and conduct a difference‐in‐difference estimation to determine the effect of the tax policy change on both types of foreign investment and compare these to the effect on domestic investment. The results show that the 2008 tax policy change reduced the amount of suspect foreign investment and its effect on real foreign investment was insignificant, indicating that foreign firms in China are more concerned with the investment environment and economic stability than taxes. Therefore, China should create a regulated business environment instead of readopting supernational treatment for foreign enterprises.