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Reducing the rate of negative ureteroscopy: predictive factors and the role of preoperative imaging.

INTRODUCTION
The aim of this study was to investigate factors that may predict a negative ureteroscopy (URS) performed for ureteric calculi in prestented patients and to assess preoperative imaging in reducing the rate of negative URS.


METHODS
Data were collected on emergency stent placement for a ureteric calculus from April 2011 to February 2016 (Group A) and October 2016 to October 2019 (Group B). Data included patient demographics, indication for a stent, stone characteristics, baseline bloods, urine culture, readmission, negative URS rate and the use of pre-URS imaging. Multivariate logistic regression was used for statistical analysis.


RESULTS
Of 257 patients who underwent emergency stent insertion, 251 underwent deferred URS for a ureteric calculus and 6 avoided URS due to pre-URS imaging. Indications for stent were pain (42%), sepsis (39%) and acute kidney injury (19%). Mean stone size was 7.8mm, mean stone density was 699 Hounsfield units (HU) and the stone locations were upper (62%), mid (13%) and lower ureter (25%). The overall negative URS rate was 12%. The negative URS rate was lower in patients with pre-URS imaging compared with those with none, 6% and 14%, respectively (OR=2.33, 95% CI: 0.69-7.56, p=0.2214). Logistic regression analysis indicated stone size as the only significant predictor of a negative URS, where the greater the size of the stone the less likely URS would be negative (β=0.75, 95% CI: 0.60-0.94 p=0.011).


CONCLUSIONS
Utilising pre-URS imaging can lead to a reduction in negative URS rate. Stone size <5mm appears to be the subgroup most likely to benefit from imaging.