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Downscaling Indonesian precipitation using large‐scale meteorological fields

This study investigates the skill of linear methods for downscaling provincial‐scale precipitation over Indonesia from fields that describe the large‐scale circulation and hydrological cycle. The study is motivated by the strong link between large‐scale variations in the monsoon and the El Niño—Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon and regional precipitation, and the subsequent impact of regional precipitation on rice production in Indonesia. Three different downscaling methods are tested across five different combinations of large‐scale predictor fields and two different estimates of regional precipitation for Indonesia.