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Research on Co-Movements Among Financial Markets of China and ASEAN Countries

The economic ties between China and ASEAN get increasingly close, and the co-movement among the financial markets shows a significant character of time varying. With the daily data from 2012 to July, 2019, this paper gives an empirical analysis to the volatility spillover among the stock markets of China and six ASEAN countries, based on the multivariate DCC-GARCH model. The results manifest that there is significant volatility among the return rate of stock indexes of China and six ASEAN countries, and the volatility lasts. In addition, in the aspect of volatility spillover, the conditional correlation coefficients of China with six ASEAN countries are clearly time-varying; the correlation of China’s stock market with Singapore’s is the strongest and shows a rising tendency, while the correlation of China’s stock market with Malaysia’s and Thailand’s is comparatively weaker and also shows a rising tendency, but in 2019 it is on the way down. The conditional correlation coefficients of China’s stock market with the Philippines’, Indonesia’s and Vietnam’s volatile frequently with same trend.