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Bayesian Decision-Theoretic Causation Analysis for Gas Explosion

Frequent mine gas incident in China fully shows there must be many undiscovered essential factors in all previous gas incident investigations. Exploring a new analysis approach is vital to prevent and control mine gas emergency. A Bayesian decision-theoretic causation analysis method was introduced to study the mine gas incident. A typical gas explosion case was explained. The interaction law of human, machine, environment, and management factors causing mine gas incident was discussed. The evolution process of the connotative factors from the uncertain state to the certain state was discovered, and the relationships between the external factors and the internal factors were revealed