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Estimating Credibility of News Authors from their WIKI Validated Predictions

In this paper, we consider a set of articles or reports by journalists or others, wherein they predict or promise something about future. The problem we approach is determining the credibility of the authors based on the predictions coming out to be true. The two specific problems we address are extracting the predictions from the articles and annotating with various prediction attributes. And then we determine the truth of these predictions, using Wikipedia as a credible source to extract relevant facts which can ascertain the validity of the predictions. We proposed and built an end to end system for automated predictions validation(APV) by extracting future speculations and predictions from news articles and social media. We considered 28 news articles and extracted 97 predictions from these articles and the range of credibility scores(F-scores) for these articles are (0.57-0.71).