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Adaptive Thinking: Rationality in the Real World

PART ONE: WHERE DO NEW IDEAS COME FROM? Introduction 1. From tools to theories: A heuristic of discovery 2. Mind as computer: The social origin of a metaphor 3. Ideas in exile: The struggles of an upright man PART TWO: ECOLOGICAL RATIONALITY Introduction 4. Ecological Intelligence 5. AIDS counselling for low-risk clients 6. How to improve Bayesian reasoning without instruction PART FOUR: BOUNDED RATIONALITY 7. Probabilistic mental models 8. Reasoning the fast and frugal way PART FOUR: SOCIAL RATIONALITY 9. Rationality: Why social context matters 10. Domain-specific reasoning: Social contracts and cheater detection 11. The modularity of social intelligence PART FIVE: ILLUSIONS AND RITUALS 12. How to make cognitive illusions disappear 13. The Superego, the Ego, and the Id in statistical reasoning 14. Surrogates for theories Index