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Who perceives what? A demographic analysis of subjective perception in rural Thailand.

Rural households that rely on natural resources for their livelihoods are expected to face increased vulnerability due to climate variability. A number of empirical papers have assessed the impact of environmental shocks on these households, including demographic research that has investigated the impact of shocks on migration. To date, few studies have explicitly modeled how individual and household characteristics influence a household respondent's subjective perceptions of environmental or other shocks. My paper uses a unique panel dataset from rural Thailand to predict a respondent's probability of attributing a reduction in income to an environmental shock based on household composition and income, as well as on community-level effects. Preliminary results suggest that household composition influences respondents' perceptions of environmental risk, and that policies aimed at vulnerable communities should consider the life courses of the households within a given community.