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GIS-based risk assessment for identifying source areas of non-point nutrient emissions by water erosion (Odra Basin and sub catchment Uecker)

A methodology is presented for identifying and assessing source areas of sediment, phosphorus and nitrate emissions into surface waters and river systems of the South Baltic unconsolidated rock region by water erosion. This task is included into the characterization of the pressures and impacts in river basins as an important milestone in implementing the EC Water Framework Directive set out by 2004. The Nutrient Input Into River Systems (NIIRS) approach has been developed and tested in the Odra river basin in Poland, Czech Republic and Germany. Mesoscale distributed analyses are facilitated for identifying erosion risk areas with non-point phosphorus and nitrate inputs into water bodies via surface flow. Using statistical information and available geodata, analyses are based on empirical (NIIRS), but preferably process-oriented modelling (EROSION-3D). Thus, besides better understanding the system behaviour, detailed quantitative knowledge of spatial nutrient export rates from potential source areas will be acquired. The application of the distributed approaches is demonstrated in the entire Odra River basin and its sub-catchment Uecker River. Additionally spatial effects are shown for the field scale transfer of eroded material in the Uecker sub-catchment by using the physically based model EROSION-3D. Scenario calculations incorporated into a Geographical Information System (GIS) environment are feasible for estimating the development of erosion risk as well as N and P loads entering water bodies. Supplemented by impact analyses of land use changes, the methodology can serve as physical precondition for the cost-benefit oriented allocation of mitigation strategies.