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Southwest monsoon rainfall in India: Part I-Spatial variability

Results of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) in spatial mode (S-Mode) applied on a 10 years' (1977-86) data set of weekly rainfall anomalies are presented in this study. The rainfall activity has been below average in the period under study with high standard deviations mostly over low rainfall areas. Inter - subdivisional correlation values suggest predominance of broad- scale weather systems over most parts of the country .The first principal component (PC) resemblance with the mean pattern. The second PC has been associated with active monsoon condition. The third and fourth PCs have been related to the northward progression of the Madden-Julian oscillation and the weak monsoon condition respectively. 
Resemblance of spatial patterns of alternative PCs with typical strong and weak monsoon activities suggest significant contributions from certain parts of the country (northeast, southeast) towards overall rainfall activity during weak monsoon situation.