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Integrating simulation-driven decisions and business wargames to shape fiscal policies

In 2013 sequestration resulted in defense budgets absorbing the greatest proportion of cutbacks. Leaders are on notice that future debates must be built on more solid cost positions related to operational success. In this paper we use a systems engineering approach to develop a decision support system that integrates operational planning, gaming, computer simulation, and experimentation. The resulting methodology translates strategic budget decisions into terms of military effectiveness. Central to this effort is implementation of a campaign level simulation to adjudicate the success of U.S. forces in a given mission set. Equally important is the transformation of a computer-assisted wargame into a closed-loop simulation experiment to examine the trade space of the problem. To meet the challenges of austere economic environments we offer policy makers a fiscally-bounded, simulation-based gaming process to provide credible options that are quantifiable, repeatable, and analytically defendable.