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On the Need for Reproducible Numerical Accuracy through Intelligent Runtime Selection of Reduction Algorithms at the Extreme Scale

The inherent nondeterminism present in reduction operations on an exascale system, coupled with the nonassociativity of floating-point arithmetic, makes achieving reproducible results difficult or impossible. Work investigating the irreproducibility phenomenon has generally proceeded along one of two veins: (1) development of algorithms that produce reproducible numerical results irrespective of nondeterminism in the reduction tree and (2) study of the system-level factors that induce nondeterminism. Our work builds on the latter and unveils the power of mathematical methods to mitigate error propagation at the exascale. We focus on floating-point error accumulation over global summations where enforcing any reduction order is expensive or impossible. We model parallel summations with reduction trees and identify those parameters that can be used to estimate the reduction's sensitivity to variability in the reduction tree. We assess the impact of these parameters on the ability of different reduction methods to successfully mitigate errors. Our results illustrate the pressing need for intelligent runtime selection of reduction operators that ensure a given degree of reproducible accuracy.