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Coalescent‐based, maximum likelihood inference in phylogeography

Nielsen and Beaumont (2009) extol the virtues of a coalescent-based, likelihood approach to phylogeographic inference. In contrast, they compare the inferences drawn from nested-clade, phylogeographic analysis (NCPA) as similar to an “interest in newspaper horoscopes”. I fully agree with Nielsen and Beaumont (2009) on the desirability of a coalescent-based, likelihood approach to phylogeographic inference. Where I disagree with them is in their description of the inference structure of NCPA, which is both inaccurate and incomplete.