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ASSESSMENT OF THE ORGANIC ANIMAL HUSBANDRY CONDITION IN THE WORLD AND THE FORECAST FOR ITS DEVELOPMENT IN THE REGION

The purpose of the study is to assess the current state of organic animal husbandry in the world and to give a forecast of its development in the region. In preparing the article, the following methods were used: statistical-economic, monographic, abstract-logical, calculation-constructive, and forecasting ones. The analysis of the world statistics showed a rapid increase in organic animal husbandry production in the world, and its distribution by industry largely depends on the traditional directions of agricultural production in countries and continents, in addition, the priority of the development of crop production over livestock production has been identified. In Russia, the same trend can be traced, therefore, recommendations for the development of organic animal husbandry in the region are developed and proposed, which are divided into three main areas: technological (changing the production technology), economic (changing the structure of costs and markets) and social (reorienting food preferences consumers), and clear recommendations are given for their implementation. In order for agricultural producers and investors to understand the feasibility and effectiveness of organizing or reprofiling livestock production under organic production in accordance with Federal Law dated 03.08.2018 No. 280-ФЗ “On Organic Production and Amending Certain Legislative Acts of the Russian Federation”, the value of gross livestock production was forecasted with and without organic production in the Saratov region for the period until 2030.