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A multilevel analysis of perceived intergenerational mobility and welfare state preferences

Previous scholarship suggests that the effect of perceived 
intergenerational mobility on attitudes related to social 
justice, inequality and redistribution is more salient than the 
effect of individuals’ objective intergenerational mobility. 
However, virtually no studies have attempted to link 
individuals’ perception of experiencing intergenerational 
mobility and their support for different welfare state 
programmes. In my study using nationally representative and 
comparative survey data for 33 Western European welfare 
democracies and post-socialist transition societies, I found 
that perceived intergenerational mobility is associated with 
support for certain welfare state programmes. Results from 
multilevel linear probability models indicate that subjectively 
downwardly mobile individuals are less likely to support 
education and healthcare expenditure and more likely to 
prefer targeted assistance of the poor, while subjectively 
upwardly mobile individuals oppose extra spending on 
housing and old-age pensions. The described associations are 
more vividly manifested in post-socialist societies than in the 
analysed Western European democracies.