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Intertemporal Solvency and Public Debt: Evidence from Brazil – 1995-2004

This article investigates the long-run solvency of the Brazilian public debt and the short run dynamics of government revenues and expenditures for monthly data from Jan/1995 to July/2004. Seignorage is not considered as a source of revenue. The conclusion is that the public debt is not solvent. Revenues are strongly exogenous for expenditures and the short run dynamics indicates that for each additional Real collected, the Brazilian government spends R$1,31 (±0.20 ).