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[Prospective follow-up studies in long-term diabetes. Results of the Erfurt study].

In 1970, in cooperation with the 14 district diabetic consultation centers of the Erfurt region (German Democratic Republic), all 208 known diabetics of the region with a known history of diabetes of at least 20 years (maximally 42 years) were registered and underwent multidisciplinary investigations. They were followed prospectively for at least 15 years. At the end of this period of observation, in 1985, 135 patients had died, 59 were still alive, the course of 14 is unknown. Of the 59 patients who were still alive in 1985, 49 (44 type I) were re-examined. There was a 2.1 times excess mortality rate compared with metabolically normal, interindividually paired (by age, sex and weight) controls. Cause of death in 89 patients (69.9%) was arteriosclerosis, predominantly of the coronaries, renal failure in only 9 (6.7%). Nearly all those patients who already in 1970 had evidence of advanced microangiopathies (proliferating retinopathy; persistent proteinuria) and/or macroangiopathy (authors' scoring system for coronary, cerebral and peripheral vascular disease) died during the observation period. Ophthalmoscopically normal or only mildly abnormal fundi revealed little tendency towards progression, despite the 35-55 years' duration of diabetes. Similar observations were made in the survivors as regards initially normal ECGs. The prognosis of long-term diabetes was decisively influenced by age and the severity of any arteriosclerotic disease, but not by the duration of diabetes.