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Predictors of atrial fibrillation after ablation of typical atrial flutter.

BACKGROUND
The occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF) after successful ablation of cavotricuspid isthmus-dependent atrial flutter (CTI-AFL) is an important medical event, but predictors of this event are still controversial.


OBJECTIVE
To determine the incidence of AF and its predictors in patients undergoing ablation of cavotricuspid isthmus-dependent atrial flutter (CTI-AFL).


METHODS
Fifty two patients with CTI-AFL underwent ablation from January 2003 to March 2004, in Instituto do Coração (InCor), Hospital das Clínicas da Faculdade de Medicina da Universidade de São Paulo.


RESULTS
During the mean follow-up period of 26.2 +/- 9.2 months, 16 (30.8%) patients presented AF. The univariate analysis revealed two clinical variables as predictive of the occurrence of AF after ablation of CTI-AFL for three years or longer (RR: 3.00; p = 0.020). In the multivariate analysis, these factors were independent variables associated with the occurrence of AF after ablation of CTI-AFL.


CONCLUSION
AF is frequently observed during the follow-up of patients undergoing ablation of CTI-AFL. Persistent CTI-AFL and history of arrhythmia for more than three years are predictors of the occurrence of AF during the clinical follow-up.