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Abstract P428: The Intracerebral Hemorrhage Score Overestimates Mortality in Young Adults


 Introduction:
 The intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) score is a widely used scoring system for predicting mortality in patients with ICH. This score has been validated for use in adults of all ages with ICH, but not specifically for use in populations of young adults (age 18-45). We aimed to determine the validity of the ICH score when applied to young adults with ICH.
 
 
 Methods:
 This was a retrospective analysis of all patients aged 18-45 with spontaneous ICH consecutively admitted to our institution from 2009-2019. We calculated the ICH score for each patient, recording the individual subcomponents, and analyzed the scores for prediction of mortality at 30 days. We also analyzed the individual subcomponents of the score for effect on mortality.
 
 
 Results:
 We identified 156 patients (mean age 35 +/- 7.8; 67 were female, 103 were white) to include in our study. The 30-day mortality rate was 15% (n=24); these patients had a mean age of 34.9 +/- 7.8, compared to survivors who had mean age 35.4 +/- 7.8 (p=0.797). ICH scores were predictive of mortality (p=0.036 for trend); however, the actual mortality rates in our population were substantially lower than those predicted by the ICH score. Specifically, patients in our population with scores of 1, 2, or 3 had 30-day mortality rates of 0%, 3%, and 41%, compared to the current ICH score mortality predictions of 13%, 26%, and 72%, respectively. Scores of 4 and 5 in our population were more closely aligned to current ICH predictions (85% and 100% compared to 97% and 100%, respectively). Of the ICH score subcomponents, ICH volume >30mL (p=0.007) and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores of 3 or 4 (p=0.014) were the strongest predictors of mortality at 30 days.
 
 
 Conclusion:
 The ICH score is predictive of mortality for adults of all ages, but the specific mortality rates associated with this scoring system vary considerably when applied to young adults (age 18-45). This over-estimation should be taken into consideration when applying the predictions of the ICH score to young adults with ICH; additionally, special attention should be given to ICH volume >30mL and very low GCS scores, as these were the strongest predictors of early mortality.
