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Improved prediction for N-termini of alpha-helices using empirical information.

The prediction of the secondary structure of proteins from their amino acid sequences remains a key component of many approaches to the protein folding problem. The most abundant form of regular secondary structure in proteins is the alpha-helix, in which specific residue preferences exist at the N-terminal locations. Propensities derived from these observed amino acid frequencies in the Protein Data Bank (PDB) database correlate well with experimental free energies measured for residues at different N-terminal positions in alanine-based peptides. We report a novel method to exploit this data to improve protein secondary structure prediction through identification of the correct N-terminal sequences in alpha-helices, based on existing popular methods for secondary structure prediction. With this algorithm, the number of correctly predicted alpha-helix start positions was improved from 30% to 38%, while the overall prediction accuracy (Q3) remained the same, using cross-validated testing. Although the algorithm was developed and tested on multiple sequence alignment-based secondary structure predictions, it was also able to improve the predictions of start locations by methods that use single sequences to make their predictions. Furthermore, the residue frequencies at N-terminal positions of the improved predictions better reflect those seen at the N-terminal positions of alpha-helices in proteins. This has implications for areas such as comparative modeling, where a more accurate prediction of the N-terminal regions of alpha-helices should benefit attempts to model adjacent loop regions. The algorithm is available as a Web tool, located at http://rocky.bms.umist.ac.uk/elephant.