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A TEMPERATURE‐DRIVEN MODEL TO SIMULATE THE POPULATION DEVELOPMENT OF THE SUMMERFRUIT TORTRIX, ADOXOPHYES ORANA

The influence of temperature on development time and synchronisation of different stages of the summerfruit tortrix Adoxophyes orana F.v.R. was studied. With these results and additional information taken from literature, especially about mortality, a simulation model was constructed which describes the development of A. orana throughout the vegetation period. The model is a system of differential equations with temperature as the only driving variable. In most instances the simulation predictions corresponded well with the observed data in the field, especially with reference to the phenology of A. orana.