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What Are the Sectors Contributing to the Exceedance of European Air Quality Standards over the Iberian Peninsula? A Source Contribution Analysis

The Iberian Peninsula, located in southwestern Europe, is exposed to frequent exceedances of different threshold and limit values of air pollution, mainly related to particulate matter, ozone, and nitrous oxide. Source apportionment modeling represents a useful modeling tool for evaluating the contribution of different emission sources or sectors and for designing useful mitigation strategies. In this sense, this work assesses the impact of various emission sectors on air pollution levels over the Iberian Peninsula using a source contribution analysis (zero-out method). The methodology includes the use of the regional WRF + CHIMERE modeling system (coupled to EMEP emissions). In order to represent the sensitivity of the chemistry and transport of gas-phase pollutants and aerosols, several emission sectors have been zeroed-out to quantify the influence of different sources in the area, such as on-road traffic or other mobile sources, combustion in energy generation, industrial emissions or agriculture, among others. The sensitivity analysis indicates that large reductions of precursor emissions (coming mainly from energy generation, road traffic, and maritime-harbor emissions) are needed for improving air quality and attaining the thresholds set in the European Directive 2008/50/EC over the Iberian Peninsula.