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The analysis of evolution in eradicating mortalities caused by infectious diseases in East and Central African Countries coinciding with gross national income


 Background: Infectious diseases are predominantly within poor population living in low-income countries, while are either treatable or preventable with existing medicines in the first occurring. The highlighted cause is some government choose to spend national budget on several projects do not coincide the basic needs and demands of the population. The objectives of this study were to 1) compare the performance between new cases and deaths caused by diseases; 2) show the effect of gross national income (GNI) in the mortalities reduction, and 3) assess potential evolution in eradicating mortalities in East African countries.
Method: WHO database contains data on several responses (new cases of Malaria, Neonates protected at birth against neonatal tetanus, mortalities from tuberculosis among HIV-negative people and new cases of leprosy) recorded from 2004 to 2015. IMB SPSS modeler and Origin 8 were used especially, One-way ANOVA and Pearson’s correlation to achieve the objectives of the study.
Results: The p-values for either Levene’ and Brown-Forsythe compared with 0.05 significant level for testing the performance between countries, correlation between GNI with leprosy is -0.5 to -1.0, in five countries, with TB is closer t0 -1.0 in four countries, with deaths from Malaria, is -0.5 to -1.0 in three countries, and new cases from Malaria and protected neonates is 0.5 to 1.0.
Conclusion: The relationship between GNI and new cases and deaths indicate the weak effect of GNI in the process of eradicating mortalities, therefore, the government should prioritize the healthcare and use a national budget to monitoring the all complications related to infectious diseases.

Key wards: infectious diseases, eradicating mortalities, gross national income