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Traffic speed prediction method for urban networks — an ANN approach

The paper proposes a traffic speed prediction algorithm for urban road traffic networks. The motivation of the prediction is to provide short time forecast in order to support ITS (Intelligent Transport System) functionalities, such as traveler information systems, route guidance (navigation) systems, as well as adaptive traffic control systems. A potential and efficient solution to this problem is the application of a soft computing method. Namely, an artificial neural network (ANN) is used for the forecast by involving the measured speed patterns. The ANN is trained by using data produced by Vissim (a microscopic road traffic simulator) simulations. The proposed algorithm is developed and analyzed on a real-word test network (part of downtown in Budapest).