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Using the MCPLXS Generator for Technology Transfer

This paper describes a technique for using the PRICE H model to estimate the cost of high technology space systems which will be developed 10 to 40 years hence. The technique uses time as a surrogate measure for technology in order to project the cost of technology far into the future by calibrating to past trends. Three examples of use of the technique, as well as issues and concerns of using the technique, are discussed.