Appendix B Sample Risk Management Scenarios VFR Scenarios Scenario 1 Scenario 2 As a part of their responsibilities, flight instructors should include training on evaluating risk and using tools to manage  risks including making go/no-go flight decisions. Once a pilot leaves the instructor’s supervision, that pilot makes those  decisions for him or herself. The following scenarios are designed to provide a discussion platform that can be used to apply risk management procedures  and checklists such as the PAVE checklists. Instructors are encouraged to add scenarios from personal experience or adapt  other familiar scenarios. The answers and explanations to the questions for each of the following scenarios can be found  at the end of this appendix. You are a 32 year old, 325-hour, non-instrument-rated private pilot. You have about 75 hours on long cross-country flights  including one less than 3 weeks ago. You and your wife are planning to leave after work for a 400 NM flight to attend your  wife’s best friend’s 11:00 AM wedding the next day. You will take off about 30 minutes before sunset. The current weather is good and the forecast calls for clear skies, good visibility, and negligible wind en route and at your  destination. You have planned to cruise at 9,500 because about 250 miles of the route is over rugged terrain (few airports)  that goes up to 7,500 feet. Your aircraft is a typical general aviation single, 160 horsepower (HP), 600-mile range, and no  oxygen is available. You have decided that the combination of fatigue, rough terrain, and night make this flight, as originally planned, undesirable.  It is early October, you have 135 hours in your logbook, and this is your first trip to see your mom since getting your license  last summer. It will also be your longest trip—a little over 700 miles. You just took a 150-mile cross-country two weeks ago. You recently asked your instructor to help you make up a personal SOP. You both agreed on the following rules: fuel  reserves—1 hour day, 1½ hours night; ceiling—2,000 feet above your planned en route altitude; visibility—5 miles; a  maximum work/duty day of 12 hours, with no more than 8 hours flying time; a minimum of 6 hours sleep. You got an outlook weather briefing the night before, and the weather should be pretty good. You are making this trip to be at  your Mom’s 60th birthday party, but you told her that you would not come unless it’s completely safe, and she understands.  Your sister, Joan, will be there to help her celebrate, and you will see her when you are at Joan’s on Halloween—that’s  less than a month away. You told your Mom that you would give her a call after you have landed at your hometown. By the time Mom and Joan  get to the airport, you will be done post-flighting, fueling, and tying down the plane. You will be ready to go. The forecast  B-1 c. Postpone the trip until tomorrow morning. b. Get an airline reservation for your wife and delay your departure until tomorrow morning. a. Rearrange your work schedule to leave early and land in daylight. Which of the potential solution(s) below would best manage the risk of this trip?