Figure S3: Comparison of experimental data with simulations of median, majority, and intuitive confidence models for (a) complete and (b) chain networks. Figure S4: Comparison of experimental data with simulations of Abelson model with confidence based on the wager (Abel wag) and intuitive confidence (Abel intuit). (a) Complete network; (b) Chain. S10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 wager difference ($) -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 mean polarization shift ($) Complete data 2 median 47.6 majority 23.5 intuit conf 20.6 a -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 wager difference ($) -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 mean polarization shift ($) Chain data 2 median 25.0 majority 10.4 intuit conf 6.4 b -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 wager difference ($) -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 mean polarization shift ($) Complete data 2 Abel wag 17.6 Abel intuit 12.0 a -8 -6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 wager difference ($) -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 mean polarization shift ($) Chain data 2 Abel wag 7.4 Abel intuit 4.4 b