VFR Scenario 2 VFR Scenario 3 c. Postpone the trip until tomorrow morning. Postponing the trip until tomorrow morning reduces the performance level risk from fatigue and eliminates the  night risk factors, but leaves no other option for making the wedding on time. You are vulnerable to the pressure to  complete the flight even if other risk factors, such as weather, go above normal. The only marginal  PAVE  checklist item is: 3. en V ironment At a cruising altitude of 4,500 feet (required over the hills), the forecast en route ceiling of 6,500 exactly equals  the pilot’s personal minimum of 2,000 feet above his cruising altitude (cloud heights in Area Forecasts are MSL  unless denoted AGL or CIG). Likewise, the forecast en route visibility of 5 miles exactly equals the pilot’s personal  minimum. There is no room for the weather to deteriorate without going below the pilot’s personal minimums, so  the weather is a marginal item in the enVironment category. PAVE  checklist items that are not marginal: a. P ilot You feel well, and you have satisfactorily completed the I’M SAFE checklist. You have recently completed your  checkride and have 135 hours. You have also flown a cross-country flight within the last 2 weeks. You are qualified  for this flight. b. A ircraft This airplane is the same model airplane with which you are familiar, and you will get instruction on the avionics  differences. c. E xternal Pressures You have worked out alternatives regarding seeing your mother, and no one will be meeting you until you call them  on arrival. Go/No-go decision following review of  PAVE  checklist: Go With only one risk factor marginal on your PAVE checklist, under most circumstances, you could comfortably decide to  make this flight. The marginal  PAVE  checklist items are: a. P ilot You are hungry, fatigued, and feeling the stress from your wife’s discomfort. These make the Pilot risk category  marginal. b. A ircraft You originally planned a 1-hour fuel reserve (5 hours of fuel for a planned 4-hour trip), but the headwind is stronger  than forecast and your fuel burn appears to be higher than normal. Since you will no longer have the 1-hour fuel  reserve you planned, the Aircraft risk category is marginal. c. en V ironment The airport location on the downwind side of a large lake and the closing temperature-dew point spread makes it  likely that fog will form. This makes the enVironment category marginal. B-5